ABSTRACT
Climate change and human activities increasingly threaten lakes that store 87% of Earth's liquid surface fresh water. Yet, recent trends and drivers of lake volume change remain largely unknown globally. Here, we analyze the 1972 largest global lakes using three decades of satellite observations, climate data, and hydrologic models, finding statistically significant storage declines for 53% of these water bodies over the period 1992-2020. The net volume loss in natural lakes is largely attributable to climate warming, increasing evaporative demand, and human water consumption, whereas sedimentation dominates storage losses in reservoirs. We estimate that roughly one-quarter of the world's population resides in a basin of a drying lake, underscoring the necessity of incorporating climate change and sedimentation impacts into sustainable water resources management.
ABSTRACT
A consistent dataset of lake surface water temperature, ice cover, water-leaving reflectance, water level and extent is presented. The collection constitutes the Lakes Essential Climate Variable (ECV) for inland waters. The data span combined satellite observations from 1992 to 2020 inclusive and quantifies over 2000 relatively large lakes, which represent a small fraction of the number of lakes worldwide but a significant fraction of global freshwater surface. Visible and near-infrared optical imagery, thermal imagery and microwave radar data from satellites have been exploited. All observations are provided in a common grid at 1/120° latitude-longitude resolution, jointly in daily files. The data/algorithms have been validated against in situ measurements where possible. Consistency analysis between the variables has guided the development of the joint dataset. It is the most complete collection of consistent satellite observations of the Lakes ECV currently available. Lakes are of significant interest to scientific disciplines such as hydrology, limnology, climatology, biogeochemistry and geodesy. They are a vital resource for freshwater supply, and key sentinels for global environmental change.
ABSTRACT
Monitoring the evolution of the Sahelian environment is a major challenge because the great Sahelian droughts, marked by significant environmental consequences and social impacts, contributed, for example, to the drying up of Lake Chad. We combined remote sensing images with a water level database from the Hydroweb project to determine the response of Lake Chad vegetation cover and surface water variations to rainfall fluctuations in the Lake Chad watershed under recent climate conditions. The variance in lake surface water levels was determined by computing the monthly anomaly time series of surface water height and area from the Hydroweb datasets. The spatiotemporal variability of watershed rainfall and vegetation cover of Lake Chad was highlighted through multivariate statistical analysis. The spatial distribution of correlations between watershed rainfall and Lake Chad vegetation cover was investigated. The results show an increase in watershed rainfall, vegetation cover, and surface water area and height, as their slopes were all positive i.e., 5.1 10-4 (mm/day); 4.26 10-6 (ndvi unit/day); 1.2 10-3 (km2/day) and 6 10-5 (m/day), respectively. The rainfall variations in the watershed drive those of Lake Chad vegetation cover and surface water, as the rainfall trend was strongly and positively correlated with those of vegetation cover (0.79), surface water height (0.57), and area (0.53). The time lag between the watershed rainfall fluctuations and lake surface water variations corresponded to approximately â¼112 days. Between rainfall variations and vegetation cover changes, the spatial distribution of the time lag showed a response time of <16 days in the western shores of the lake and on both sides of the great barrier, about 16 days in the bare soils of the northern basin and the eastern part of the south basin, and >64 days in the marshlands of the southern basin. For the analysis of lakes around the world, this research provides a robust method that computes the spatiotemporal variances of their trends and seasonality and correlates these with the spatiotemporal variances of climate changes. The correlations obtained have strong potential for predicting future changes in lake surface water worldwide.
