ABSTRACT
The course of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) varies among individuals, with some reaching ESRD before 40 years of age and others never requiring RRT. In this study, we developed a prognostic model to predict renal outcomes in patients with ADPKD on the basis of genetic and clinical data. We conducted a cross-sectional study of 1341 patients from the Genkyst cohort and evaluated the influence of clinical and genetic factors on renal survival. Multivariate survival analysis identified four variables that were significantly associated with age at ESRD onset, and a scoring system from 0 to 9 was developed as follows: being male: 1 point; hypertension before 35 years of age: 2 points; first urologic event before 35 years of age: 2 points; PKD2 mutation: 0 points; nontruncating PKD1 mutation: 2 points; and truncating PKD1 mutation: 4 points. Three risk categories were subsequently defined as low risk (0-3 points), intermediate risk (4-6 points), and high risk (7-9 points) of progression to ESRD, with corresponding median ages for ESRD onset of 70.6, 56.9, and 49 years, respectively. Whereas a score ≤3 eliminates evolution to ESRD before 60 years of age with a negative predictive value of 81.4%, a score >6 forecasts ESRD onset before 60 years of age with a positive predictive value of 90.9%. This new prognostic score accurately predicts renal outcomes in patients with ADPKD and may enable the personalization of therapeutic management of ADPKD.
Subject(s)
Algorithms , Hypertension/complications , Kidney Failure, Chronic/etiology , Polycystic Kidney, Autosomal Dominant/complications , Polycystic Kidney, Autosomal Dominant/genetics , Proteinuria/etiology , Adult , Age of Onset , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Area Under Curve , Cross-Sectional Studies , Disease Progression , Female , Genotype , Glomerular Filtration Rate , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Mutation , Polycystic Kidney, Autosomal Dominant/physiopathology , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , Proportional Hazards Models , ROC Curve , Risk Factors , Sex Factors , Survival Rate , TRPP Cation Channels/genetics , Young AdultABSTRACT
Crescentic glomerulonephritis are characterised by a crescent shaped cellular proliferation that may lead to glomerular destruction. Over 50% of at least 10 analysed glomeruli should be affected. The search for immune deposits by immunofluorescence is an important diagnostic step. Patients present with rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis (RPGN): renal failure, proteinuria and haematuria. Extra-renal symptoms may help diagnosis. Diseases are classified in three groups according to immunofluorescence studies. Group I is characterised by linear deposits along the glomerular basement membrane (GBM) with anti-GBM auto-antibodies responsible for Goodpasture's disease. Group II put together various diseases with immune complex deposits. In group III, no significant immune deposits are found. Those "pauci-immune" glomerulonephritis are secondary to anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA) positive systemic vasculitis, mainly Wegener's granulomatosis and microscopic polyangiitis. Primary glomerulonephritis may also be associated with crescent formation. Treatment is urgently required. Diagnosis is suspected in the context of extra-renal symptoms or immunological abnormalities, and confirmed by a kidney biopsy, that also helps to define prognosis. Apart from some group II glomerulonephritis, the induction treatment is often an association of steroids and cyclophosphamide, with plasma exchange in case of Goodpasture's disease. After remission, a maintenance treatment is required for ANCA-positive vasculitis to prevent relapses. The high rate of opportunistic infections and cancer give the rational for searching less aggressive therapeutic options.
