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1.
Am J Infect Control ; 43(9): 1018-21, 2015 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26050098

ABSTRACT

A preintervention-postintervention study was carried out over a 4-year period to assess the impact of an antimicrobial stewardship intervention, based on clinical microbiologist ward rounds (clinical microbiology-intensive care partnership [CMICP]), at a cardiothoracic intensive care unit. Comparison of clinical data for 37 patients with diagnosis of bacteremia (18 from preintervention period, 19 from postintervention period) revealed that CMICP implementation resulted in (1) significant increase of appropriate empirical treatments (+34%, P = .029), compliance with guidelines (+28%, P = .019), and number of de-escalations (+42%, P = .032); and (2) decrease (average = 2.5 days) in time to optimization of antimicrobial therapy and levofloxacin (Δ 2009-2012 = -74 defined daily dose [DDD]/1,000 bed days) and teicoplanin (Δ 2009-2012 = -28 DDD/1,000 bed days) use.


Subject(s)
Anti-Infective Agents/therapeutic use , Bacteremia/drug therapy , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Antimicrobial Stewardship , Bacteremia/diagnosis , Bacteremia/microbiology , Female , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Male , Microbiology , Middle Aged , Referral and Consultation , Treatment Outcome
2.
Int J Cardiovasc Imaging ; 30(2): 279-86, 2014 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24202403

ABSTRACT

Post-operative atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common and serious complication in patients undergoing aortic valve replacement (AVR). Speckle tracking echocardiography (STE) has recently enabled the quantification of longitudinal myocardial left atrial (LA) deformation dynamics. Our aim was to investigate LA preoperative mechanical function in patients undergoing AVR for aortic stenosis using STE and determine predictors of post-operative AF. 76 patients with aortic stenosis in sinus rhythm, undergoing AVR, were prospectively enrolled. Conventional echocardiographic parameters, and peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) were measured in all subjects the day before surgery. PALS values were obtained by averaging all segments in the 4- and 2-chamber views (global PALS). All patients received biological valve prostheses and a standard postoperative care. Postoperative AF occurred in 15 patients (19.7 %). On univariate analysis among all clinical and echocardiographic variables, global PALS showed the highest diagnostic accuracy (HR 6.55 p < 0.0001; AUC of 0.89) with a cut-off value <16.9 %, having sensitivity and specificity of 86 and 91 %, respectively, in predicting postoperative AF. LA volume indexed and E/e' ratio had lower diagnostic accuracy (AUC 0.76 and 0.51, respectively). On multivariate analysis global PALS remains a significant predictor of postoperative AF (p < 0.0001). STE analysis of LA myocardial deformation is considered a promising tool for the evaluation of LA subclinical dysfunction in patients undergoing AVR, giving a potentially better risk stratification for the occurrence of postoperative AF.


Subject(s)
Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery , Atrial Fibrillation/etiology , Atrial Function, Left , Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation/adverse effects , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Aortic Valve Stenosis/diagnosis , Aortic Valve Stenosis/physiopathology , Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis , Atrial Fibrillation/physiopathology , Biomechanical Phenomena , Chi-Square Distribution , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Multivariate Analysis , Predictive Value of Tests , Proportional Hazards Models , Prospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Stress, Mechanical , Time Factors , Treatment Outcome
3.
Biomed Res Int ; 2013: 918548, 2013.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24066303

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: The effects of mechanical ventilation (MV) on speckle tracking echocardiography- (STE-)derived variables are not elucidated. The aim of the study was to evaluate the effects of positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) ventilation on 4-chamber longitudinal strain (LS) analysis by STE. METHODS: We studied 20 patients admitted to a mixed intensive care unit who required intubation for MV and PEEP titration due to hypoxia. STE was performed at three times: (T1) PEEP = 5 cmH2O; (T2) PEEP = 10 cmH2O; and (T3) PEEP = 15 cmH2O. STE analysis was performed offline using a dedicated software (XStrain MyLab 70 Xvision, Esaote). RESULTS: Left peak atrial-longitudinal strain (LS) was significantly reduced from T1 to T2 and from T2 to T3 (P < 0.05). Right peak atrial-LS and right ventricular-LS showed a significant reduction only at T3 (P < 0.05). Left ventricular-LS did not change significantly during titration of PEEP. Cardiac chambers' volumes showed a significant reduction at higher levels of PEEP (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated for the first time that incremental PEEP affects myocardial strain values obtained with STE in intubated critically ill patients. Whenever performing STE in mechanically ventilated patients, care must be taken when PEEP is higher than 10 cmH2O to avoid misinterpreting data and making erroneous decisions.


Subject(s)
Echocardiography , Heart Diseases/therapy , Positive-Pressure Respiration , Respiration, Artificial , Aged , Critical Illness/therapy , Female , Heart Diseases/pathology , Humans , Intensive Care Units , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardium/pathology
4.
J Heart Lung Transplant ; 32(4): 424-30, 2013 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23498163

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Right ventricular (RV) systolic function has a critical role in determining the clinical outcome and the success of using left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) in patients with refractory heart failure. RV deformation analysis by speckle tracking echocardiography (STE) has recently allowed a deeper analysis of RV longitudinal function. The aim of the study was to observe RV function by STE in patients with advanced heart failure before and after LVAD implantation. METHODS: Transthoracic echo Doppler was performed in 10 patients referred for LVAD therapy at baseline and with serial echocardiograms after LVAD implantation. In a sub-group of 4 patients, an echocardiographic evaluation was also made after intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) support was initiated and before LVAD implantation. All echocardiographic images were analyzed off-line to calculate the free wall RV longitudinal strain (RVLS). RESULTS: Three patients who presented the lowest free wall RVLS values at baseline, showed a progressive decline of RVLS after LVAD implant, presenting finally RV failure; however, patients with higher values of RVLS at baseline presented a further and overt increase of strain values in the course of follow-up. The overall performance for the prediction of RV failure after LVAD implant was greatest for free wall RVLS (area under the curve, 0.93). For the sub-group receiving the IABP as an intermediate step, only 2 patients with an increase of RVLS after IABP implantation also showed an increase of RVLS levels, after subsequent LVAD implantation. The 2 patients without an increase of RVLS after IABP implantation also presented with RV failure after LVAD therapy. CONCLUSIONS: This study of 10 patients indicates that the new parameter of RVLS, representing RV myocardial deformation, may have important clinical implications for the selection and management of LVAD patients. A large multicenter study is required to confirm these observations and to quantify the clinical significance of changes in RVLS value.


Subject(s)
Heart Ventricles/diagnostic imaging , Heart-Assist Devices , Ventricular Function, Right , Aged , Echocardiography/methods , Female , Follow-Up Studies , Humans , Male
5.
Anesth Analg ; 113(6): 1389-95, 2011 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22003226

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Less-invasive monitoring systems, such as pulse contour methods, are increasingly being used to estimate cardiac output (CO). However, alterations in the arterial waveform caused by intraaortic balloon pump counterpulsation may affect the ability of pulse contour algorithms to determine CO. We investigated the reliability of an uncalibrated pulse contour method, the MostCare system, in patients with cardiac failure receiving intraaortic balloon pump counterpulsation by comparing its measurements of CO with those determined by an intermittent thermodilution method. METHODS: The study included 15 patients requiring hemodynamic support with an intraaortic balloon pump after coronary artery bypass graft surgery. A pulmonary artery catheter was inserted and CO was determined by bolus thermodilution (ThD-CO). The MostCare device was directly connected to the standard monitoring system for analysis of the radial artery pressure wave and computation of CO (MostCare-CO). Data were collected at 3 different intraaortic balloon pump rates (1:1, 1:2, 1:4) and after intraaortic balloon pump removal. RESULTS: One hundred six pairs of ThD-CO and MostCare-CO measurements were analyzed. There was a good correlation between ThD-CO and MostCare-CO (r = 0.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.86-0.93; P < 0.001). The mean bias of all CO measurements corrected for repeated measures was -0.2 L/min with limits of agreements of -1.31 to 0.91 L/min (lower 95% CI, -1.72 to -0.90; upper 95% CI, 0.50-1.32) and a relative percentage error of 24. There were close agreements between ThD-CO and MostCare-CO at the different intraaortic balloon pump rate settings. Changes in CO were calculated separately for the 2 methods and data comparison showed a correlation of 0.82 (95% CI = 0.76-0.87; P < 0.001) and a mean bias of 0.14 L/min with limits of agreement of -1.31 to 1.59 L/min (lower 95% CI, -1.62 to -1.00; upper 95% CI, 1.28-1.90). CONCLUSION: The MostCare system provided measurements of CO that were comparable to ThD-CO in patients assisted with an intraaortic balloon pump. The reliability of the MostCare system is not significantly affected by changes in arterial waveform morphology caused by inflation and deflation of the intraaortic balloon pump.


Subject(s)
Aorta/physiology , Cardiac Output/physiology , Coronary Artery Bypass , Counterpulsation/methods , Heart Rate/physiology , Aged , Catheterization, Swan-Ganz/methods , Cohort Studies , Coronary Artery Bypass/methods , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Thermodilution/methods
6.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 11: 44, 2011 Jun 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21693020

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Patients undergoing heart surgery continue to be the largest demand on blood transfusions. The need for transfusion is based on the risk of complications due to poor cell oxygenation, however large transfusions are associated with increased morbidity and risk of mortality in heart surgery patients. The aim of this study was to identify preoperative and intraoperative risk factors for transfusion and create a reliable model for planning transfusion quantities in heart surgery procedures. METHODS: We performed an observational study on 3315 consecutive patients who underwent cardiac surgery between January 2000 and December 2007. To estimate the number of packs of red blood cells (PRBC) transfused during heart surgery, we developed a multivariate regression model with discrete coefficients by selecting dummy variables as regressors in a stepwise manner. Model performance was assessed statistically by splitting cases into training and testing sets of the same size, and clinically by investigating the clinical course details of about one quarter of the patients in whom the difference between model estimates and actual number of PRBC transfused was higher than the root mean squared error. RESULTS: Ten preoperative and intraoperative dichotomous variables were entered in the model. Approximating the regression coefficients to the nearest half unit, each dummy regressor equal to one gave a number of half PRBC. The model assigned 4 units for kidney failure requiring preoperative dialysis, 2.5 units for cardiogenic shock, 2 units for minimum hematocrit at cardiopulmonary bypass less than or equal to 20%, 1.5 units for emergency operation, 1 unit for preoperative hematocrit less than or equal to 40%, cardiopulmonary bypass time greater than 130 minutes and type of surgery different from isolated artery bypass grafting, and 0.5 units for urgent operation, age over 70 years and systemic arterial hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: The regression model proved reliable for quantitative planning of number of PRBC in patients undergoing heart surgery. Besides enabling more rational resource allocation of costly blood-conservation strategies and blood bank resources, the results indicated a strong association between some essential postoperative variables and differences between the model estimate and the actual number of packs transfused.


Subject(s)
Blood Transfusion, Autologous , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/methods , Aged , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Linear Models , Male , Multivariate Analysis , Risk Factors
7.
Biomed Pharmacother ; 64(3): 203-7, 2010 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19954925

ABSTRACT

Heart failure (HF) is a syndrome causing a huge burden in morbidity and mortality worldwide. Current medical therapies for HF are aimed at suppressing the neurohormonal activation. However, novel therapies are needed for HF, independent of the neurohormonal axis, that can improve cardiac performance and prevent the progression of heart dysfunction. The modulation of cardiac metabolism may represent a new approach to the treatment of HF. The healthy heart converts chemical energy stored in fatty acids (FA) and glucose. Utilization of FA costs more oxygen per unit of ATP generated than glucose, and the heart gets 60-90% of its energy for oxidative phosphorylation from FA oxidation. The failing heart has been demonstrated to be metabolically abnormal, in both animal models and in patients, showing a shift toward an increased glucose uptake and utilization. The manipulation of myocardial substrate oxidation toward greater carbohydrate oxidation and less FA oxidation may improve ventricular performance and slow the progression of heart dysfunction. Impaired mitochondrial function and oxidative phosphorylation can reduce cardiac function by providing an insufficient supply of ATP to cardiomyocytes and by increasing myocardial oxidative stress. Although there are no effective stimulators of oxidative phosphorylation, several classes of drugs have been shown to open mitochondrial K(ATP) channels and, indirectly, to improve cardiac protection against oxidative stress. This article focuses on the energetic myocardial metabolism and oxidative status in the normal and failing heart, and briefly, it overviews the therapeutic potential strategies to improve cardiac energy and oxidative status in HF patients.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure/prevention & control , Myocardium/metabolism , Oxidative Stress , Adenosine Triphosphate/biosynthesis , Animals , Cardiovascular Agents/pharmacology , Cardiovascular Agents/therapeutic use , Creatine Kinase, Mitochondrial Form/physiology , Fatty Acids/metabolism , Glucose/metabolism , Glycolysis , Heart Failure/metabolism , Humans , Mitochondria, Heart/drug effects , Mitochondria, Heart/metabolism , Myocardial Ischemia/metabolism , Myocardial Reperfusion Injury/metabolism , Oxidative Phosphorylation , Oxygen Consumption , Potassium Channels/drug effects , Potassium Channels/metabolism , Substrate Specificity
8.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 36(5): 791-7, 2009 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19359191

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To verify the accuracy and precision of the logistic European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE) in high-risk cardiac surgery patients and to develop and externally validate a new system of recalibration. METHODS: The development series included 4279 high-risk patients who had undergone cardiac operations at the IRCCS Policlinico S. Donato. Performance, accuracy, and precision of the logistic EuroSCORE were assessed in this series, using a deciles-based comparison between expected and observed mortality rates, a receiver operating characteristic analysis, and a Hosmer-Lemeshow test for calibration. Differences between predicted and observed mortality rates were mathematically evaluated to develop an adjusted logistic EuroSCORE. This adjusted risk score was subsequently validated with the same approach on an external series of 1459 high-risk patients who had undergone cardiac operations at the Siena hospital. RESULTS: The adjusted logistic EuroSCORE was based on five different correction factors applied to the crude logistic EuroSCORE depending on its value. At the external validation, this model provided a good performance, with observed mortality rates not significantly different from the expected in 8 out of 10 deciles of risk distribution. The adjusted EuroSCORE had the same moderate balanced accuracy of the crude logistic EuroSCORE (area under the curve: 0.695), with a better precision (Hosmer-Lemeshow calibration test: chi(2): 3.6, p=0.891). CONCLUSIONS: Recalibration of the logistic EuroSCORE in high-risk patients is needed due to its tendency to overestimate the mortality risk. The application of a variable correction factor results in a better performance, increased precision, with unaltered balanced accuracy.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Severity of Illness Index , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Cardiac Surgical Procedures/mortality , Epidemiologic Methods , Female , Humans , Italy/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Prognosis
9.
Transplantation ; 87(2): 249-55, 2009 Jan 27.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19155980

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The detection of acute rejection in heart transplantation remains an important feature of transplant management, especially in the early phase. Frequent surveillance with endomyocardial biopsy is necessary, even though it is an invasive procedure and carries a certain risk. Hence, noninvasive biomarkers able to predict acute rejection could be a further helpful tool in patient management. The interferon-gamma-inducible chemokine CXCL10 is required for initiation and development of graft failure caused by acute or chronic rejection. It has been reported that CXCL10 serum level is predictive of graft loss in kidney graft recipients. In the present study, we investigated whether pretransplant CXCL10 serum level may be a predictive noninvasive biomarker in heart transplant (HTx) recipients, as well. METHODS: Sera from 143 patients undergoing orthotopic heart transplantation were collected before surgery and tested for CXCL10 and CCL22 and compared with serum samples from healthy subjects. RESULTS: We found that basal CXCL10 serum levels in HTx recipients were significantly higher than in healthy subjects, whereas no difference was seen in CCL22 levels. Among HTx recipients, CXCL10 serum levels of rejectors were significantly higher than in nonrejectors. Our results showed that CXCL10 was a significant independent risk factor of several variables and had the highest predictive value for early acute heart rejection, with 160 pg/mL cutoff value. CONCLUSIONS: In HTx recipients, measurement of pretransplant CXCL10 serum levels could be a clinically useful tool for predicting cardiac acute rejection, especially in the early posttransplant period.


Subject(s)
Cardiomyopathies/surgery , Chemokine CXCL10/blood , Graft Rejection/diagnosis , Heart Transplantation/immunology , Acute Disease , Biomarkers/blood , Cardiomyopathies/immunology , Chemokine CCL22/blood , Female , Graft Rejection/immunology , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Preoperative Care , ROC Curve , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors , Time Factors , Up-Regulation
10.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 7: 36, 2007 Nov 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18034873

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Popular predictive models for estimating morbidity probability after heart surgery are compared critically in a unitary framework. The study is divided into two parts. In the first part modelling techniques and intrinsic strengths and weaknesses of different approaches were discussed from a theoretical point of view. In this second part the performances of the same models are evaluated in an illustrative example. METHODS: Eight models were developed: Bayes linear and quadratic models, k-nearest neighbour model, logistic regression model, Higgins and direct scoring systems and two feed-forward artificial neural networks with one and two layers. Cardiovascular, respiratory, neurological, renal, infectious and hemorrhagic complications were defined as morbidity. Training and testing sets each of 545 cases were used. The optimal set of predictors was chosen among a collection of 78 preoperative, intraoperative and postoperative variables by a stepwise procedure. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, respectively. RESULTS: Scoring systems and the logistic regression model required the largest set of predictors, while Bayesian and k-nearest neighbour models were much more parsimonious. In testing data, all models showed acceptable discrimination capacities, however the Bayes quadratic model, using only three predictors, provided the best performance. All models showed satisfactory generalization ability: again the Bayes quadratic model exhibited the best generalization, while artificial neural networks and scoring systems gave the worst results. Finally, poor calibration was obtained when using scoring systems, k-nearest neighbour model and artificial neural networks, while Bayes (after recalibration) and logistic regression models gave adequate results. CONCLUSION: Although all the predictive models showed acceptable discrimination performance in the example considered, the Bayes and logistic regression models seemed better than the others, because they also had good generalization and calibration. The Bayes quadratic model seemed to be a convincing alternative to the much more usual Bayes linear and logistic regression models. It showed its capacity to identify a minimum core of predictors generally recognized as essential to pragmatically evaluate the risk of developing morbidity after heart surgery.


Subject(s)
Coronary Artery Bypass/adverse effects , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Models, Statistical , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Aged , Bayes Theorem , Female , Humans , Intensive Care Units/standards , Male , Middle Aged , Morbidity , Multivariate Analysis , Perioperative Care , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data , Risk Factors
11.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ; 7: 35, 2007 Nov 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18034872

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Different methods have recently been proposed for predicting morbidity in intensive care units (ICU). The aim of the present study was to critically review a number of approaches for developing models capable of estimating the probability of morbidity in ICU after heart surgery. The study is divided into two parts. In this first part, popular models used to estimate the probability of class membership are grouped into distinct categories according to their underlying mathematical principles. Modelling techniques and intrinsic strengths and weaknesses of each model are analysed and discussed from a theoretical point of view, in consideration of clinical applications. METHODS: Models based on Bayes rule, k-nearest neighbour algorithm, logistic regression, scoring systems and artificial neural networks are investigated. Key issues for model design are described. The mathematical treatment of some aspects of model structure is also included for readers interested in developing models, though a full understanding of mathematical relationships is not necessary if the reader is only interested in perceiving the practical meaning of model assumptions, weaknesses and strengths from a user point of view. RESULTS: Scoring systems are very attractive due to their simplicity of use, although this may undermine their predictive capacity. Logistic regression models are trustworthy tools, although they suffer from the principal limitations of most regression procedures. Bayesian models seem to be a good compromise between complexity and predictive performance, but model recalibration is generally necessary. k-nearest neighbour may be a valid non parametric technique, though computational cost and the need for large data storage are major weaknesses of this approach. Artificial neural networks have intrinsic advantages with respect to common statistical models, though the training process may be problematical. CONCLUSION: Knowledge of model assumptions and the theoretical strengths and weaknesses of different approaches are fundamental for designing models for estimating the probability of morbidity after heart surgery. However, a rational choice also requires evaluation and comparison of actual performances of locally-developed competitive models in the clinical scenario to obtain satisfactory agreement between local needs and model response. In the second part of this study the above predictive models will therefore be tested on real data acquired in a specialized ICU.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Surgical Procedures/adverse effects , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Models, Statistical , Postoperative Complications/epidemiology , Algorithms , Bayes Theorem , Female , Humans , Intensive Care Units/standards , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Logistic Models , Male , Morbidity , Neural Networks, Computer , Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data
12.
Tex Heart Inst J ; 33(3): 300-5, 2006.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17041685

ABSTRACT

Severe hemodilutional anemia on cardiopulmonary bypass increases morbidity and mortality after coronary surgery. The present study focuses on the lowest hematocrit values during extracorporeal circulation and on allogenic blood transfusions as mortality and morbidity risk factors. The records of 1,766 consecutive adult patients undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery at 3 institutions have been analyzed retrospectively for in-hospital mortality and adverse outcomes. Clinical data were from the Italian National Cardioanesthesia Database. Multivariate analysis and analysis of receiver operating characteristic curves were applied. The lowest hematocrit value on cardiopulmonary bypass was an independent risk factor for postoperative low-output syndrome and renal failure. The hematocrit cutoff values were similar for renal failure (23%) and low-output syndrome (24%). Blood transfusions were significantly associated with both renal failure and low-output syndrome. The risk of renal failure doubled when the nadir-on-cardiopulmonary-bypass hematocrit occurred in transfused patients. Anemia upon cardiopulmonary bypass was not associated with death. Our findings confirm that both severe anemia and blood transfusions were significantly associated with renal failure and low-output syndrome.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Output, Low/physiopathology , Cardiopulmonary Bypass , Coronary Artery Bypass , Hematocrit , Outcome Assessment, Health Care , Renal Insufficiency/physiopathology , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Blood Transfusion , Cardiac Output, Low/epidemiology , Female , Hospital Mortality , Humans , Italy , Male , Middle Aged , Renal Insufficiency/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment , Risk Factors
13.
Crit Care ; 10(3): R94, 2006.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16813658

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Although most risk-stratification scores are derived from preoperative patient variables, there are several intraoperative and postoperative variables that can influence prognosis. Higgins and colleagues previously evaluated the contribution of preoperative, intraoperative and postoperative predictors to the outcome. We developed a Bayes linear model to discriminate morbidity risk after coronary artery bypass grafting and compared it with three different score models: the Higgins' original scoring system, derived from the patient's status on admission to the intensive care unit (ICU), and two models designed and customized to our patient population. METHODS: We analyzed 88 operative risk factors; 1,090 consecutive adult patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting were studied. Training and testing data sets of 740 patients and 350 patients, respectively, were used. A stepwise approach enabled selection of an optimal subset of predictor variables. Model discrimination was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, whereas calibration was measured using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. RESULTS: A set of 12 preoperative, intraoperative and postoperative predictor variables was identified for the Bayes linear model. Bayes and locally customized score models fitted according to the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. However, the comparison between the areas under the ROC curve proved that the Bayes linear classifier had a significantly higher discrimination capacity than the score models. Calibration and discrimination were both much worse with Higgins' original scoring system. CONCLUSION: Most prediction rules use sequential numerical risk scoring to quantify prognosis and are an advanced form of audit. Score models are very attractive tools because their application in routine clinical practice is simple. If locally customized, they also predict patient morbidity in an acceptable manner. The Bayesian model seems to be a feasible alternative. It has better discrimination and can be tailored more easily to individual institutions.


Subject(s)
Bayes Theorem , Coronary Artery Bypass/statistics & numerical data , Postoperative Complications/mortality , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Morbidity , Multivariate Analysis , Predictive Value of Tests , Risk Factors
14.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 81(6): 2189-95, 2006 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16731152

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hyperlactatemia during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) is a common event and is associated to a high morbidity and mortality after cardiac operations. The present study is aimed to identify the possible predictors of hyperlactatemia during CPB among a series of oxygen and carbon dioxide derived parameters measured during CPB. METHODS: This is a prospective observational study on 54 patients undergoing cardiac surgery with CPB. Hyperlactatemia was defined as an arterial lactate concentration higher than 3 mMol/L. Serial blood lactate assays have been performed during CPB, and their association to a number of oxygen and carbon dioxide derived parameters was explored. RESULTS: Arterial blood lactate concentration was positively correlated to the CPB duration, the carbon dioxide elimination, and the respiratory quotient, and negatively correlated to the presence of the aortic cross-clamping, the body surface area, the ratio between the oxygen delivery and the carbon dioxide production, and the arterial oxygen saturation. Predictors of hyperlactatemia during CPB are a carbon dioxide production higher than 60 mL.min(-1).m(-2), a respiratory quotient higher than 0.9, and a ratio between oxygen delivery and carbon dioxide production lower than 5. CONCLUSIONS: Carbon dioxide derived parameters are representative of hyperlactatemia during CPB, as a result of the carbon dioxide produced under anaerobic conditions through the buffering of protons by the bicarbonate system. The carbon dioxide elimination rate measured at the exhaled site of the oxygenator may be used for an indirect assessment of the metabolic state of the patient.


Subject(s)
Anaerobiosis , Carbon Dioxide/blood , Cardiopulmonary Bypass/adverse effects , Lactates/blood , Aged , Area Under Curve , Coronary Artery Bypass , Female , Heart Valve Diseases/surgery , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Monitoring, Intraoperative , Oxygen/blood , Oxygen Consumption , Partial Pressure , Predictive Value of Tests , Prospective Studies , ROC Curve
15.
Perfusion ; 21(2): 109-16, 2006 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16615689

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The pressure recording analytical method (PRAM) is a method for real-time beat-to-beat quantification of peripheral blood flow based on the analysis of arterial waveform morphology. Since PRAM can be implemented in any conditions of flow, whether physiological or artificial, we assessed its accuracy in patients undergoing cardiac surgery during extracorporeal circulation (ECC), using the roller-pump device as the reference gold standard. METHODS: We prospectively studied 32 patients undergoing elective coronary surgery. Flow values obtained by PRAM from the radial artery were compared with simultaneous values by thermodilution in physiological conditions of flow and with the roller-pump device readings during ECC. RESULTS: Before and after ECC, the overall estimates of flow measured by PRAM closely agreed with thermodilution (mean difference 0.07 +/- 0.40 L/min). During ECC, PRAM estimates of flow also closely correlated with simultaneous pump readings (mean difference 0.11 +/- 0.33 L/min). At time of weaning from ECC, two patterns of hemodynamic adaptation were documented by PRAM following resumption of cardiac contraction: in most patients (n =26; 80%), cardiac output (CO) was stable (reduction < or = 10% compared to the steady ECC phase); six patients (20%) showed a fall in CO exceeding 10% and up to 38%. CONCLUSIONS: PRAM provided accurate, continuous quantification of peripheral blood flow during each phase of cardiac surgery, including ECC, and allowed early recognition of patients with low CO during weaning from the pump.


Subject(s)
Arteries/physiopathology , Extracorporeal Circulation/instrumentation , Extracorporeal Circulation/methods , Hemorheology/instrumentation , Hemorheology/methods , Pulsatile Flow/physiology , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Blood Pressure , Coronary Disease/physiopathology , Coronary Disease/surgery , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Monitoring, Physiologic/methods , Prospective Studies , Reproducibility of Results , Sensitivity and Specificity , Thermodilution , Time Factors
16.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 80(6): 2349-51, 2005 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16305907

ABSTRACT

Left single lung transplantation in a 33-year-old woman affected by end-stage lymphangioleiomyomatosis was complicated by spontaneous and diffuse bleeding from the right lung at the end of the procedure. The right lung was completely deteriorated and the only option to stop the bleeding was a right pneumonectomy. At 14 months after transplantation, the single allograft showed good lung function with acceptable volumes. Single lung transplant and contralateral pneumonectomy can be considered a safe procedure in case of complications related to native lung either in case of lymphangioleiomyomatosis than for other lung diseases (emphysema, cystic fibrosis).


Subject(s)
Emergency Treatment , Hemorrhage/etiology , Hemorrhage/surgery , Lung Diseases/etiology , Lung Diseases/surgery , Lung Neoplasms/etiology , Lung Neoplasms/surgery , Lung Transplantation/adverse effects , Lymphangioleiomyomatosis/etiology , Lymphangioleiomyomatosis/surgery , Pneumonectomy , Adult , Female , Humans
17.
Eur J Cardiothorac Surg ; 26(3): 515-20, 2004 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15302045

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: A less-invasive method has been developed that may provide an alternative to monitor cardiac output from arterial pressure: beat-to-beat values of cardiac output can be obtained by pressure recording analytical method (PRAM). The purpose of this study was to assess the reliability of cardiac output determination by PRAM in cardiac surgery. METHODS: Cardiac output was measured in 28 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting at 15 min after anaesthesia induction, 30 min after extracorporeal circulation, 1 and 3 h after arrival in the intensive care unit using thermodilution (ThD) method through a pulmonary artery catheter and PRAM. ThD cardiac output was calculated as the mean of five separate measurements. PRAM provided beat-by-beat cardiac output data continuously throughout the study and the cardiac output values displayed on a dedicated personal computer at each time point were recorded. Correlations were calculated and differences were compared by Bland-Altman analysis. RESULTS: A total of 112 measurements were obtained. Cardiac output ranged from 2.3 to 7.4 l/min, and a good linear correlation (R2=0.78, P<0.0001) was found between ThD and PRAM. The highest degree of correlation (R2=0.86) was obtained at 3 h after arrival in the intensive care unit. The lower degree of correlation (R2=0.70) was obtained 30 min after extracorporeal circulation. At Bland-Altman analysis, the overall estimates of cardiac output measured by PRAM closely agreed with ThD (mean difference, 0.027; standard deviation, 0.43; limits of agreement, -0.83 and +0.89). CONCLUSIONS: Under the studied conditions, our results demonstrate good agreement between PRAM data and ThD measurements, and this new method has shown to be accurate for real-time monitoring of cardiac output in cardiac surgery. Further studies will be required to assess this method in higher-risk patients and in the setting of haemodynamic instability or arrhythmias. This is the first study designed to assess the accuracy of PRAM in cardiac surgery.


Subject(s)
Cardiac Output , Coronary Artery Bypass , Monitoring, Physiologic/methods , Aged , Coronary Disease/physiopathology , Coronary Disease/surgery , Female , Humans , Intraoperative Period , Male , Middle Aged , Reproducibility of Results
18.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 76(1): 117-23, 2003 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12842524

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Proinflammatory cytokines, such as tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha), interleukin (IL)-6, and IL-8 play a key role in the inflammatory cascade after cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) and may induce cardiac and lung dysfunction. Antiinflammatory cytokines such as IL-10 may also significantly limit these complications. Corticosteroid administration before CPB increases blood IL-10 levels and prevents proinflammatory cytokine release. This study examined the association of increased release of IL-10, stimulated by steroid pretreatment, with reduced myocardial and lung injury after CPB. METHODS: Twenty patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) received either preoperative steroid (n = 10, protocol group) or no steroid (n = 10, control group). Perioperative care was standardized, and all caregivers were blinded to treatment group. Seven intervals of blood samples were obtained and assayed for TNF-alpha, IL-6, IL-8, and IL-10. Various hemodynamic and pulmonary measurements were obtained perioperatively. Levels of MB isoenzyme creatine kinase (CK-MB) were also measured. RESULTS: In the protocol group, proinflammatory cytokines were significantly reduced while IL-10 levels were much higher after CPB. The protocol group had a lower alveolar-arterial oxygen gradient and higher ratio of arterial oxygen pressure to fraction of inspired oxygen after CPB. Creatine kinase (CK) and CK-MB were reduced in the patients treated with steroid. Correlations were found between plasma cytokines levels and cardiac index, and CK-MB. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms that corticosteroids abolish proinflammatory cytokines release and increase blood IL-10 levels after CPB. Our findings demonstrate a greater release of IL-10 induced by steroid pretreatment, and better heart and lung protection after CPB.


Subject(s)
Biomarkers/analysis , Cardiopulmonary Bypass/adverse effects , Coronary Artery Bypass/adverse effects , Coronary Artery Disease/surgery , Cytokines/metabolism , Lung Injury , Myocardial Reperfusion Injury/diagnosis , Aged , Analysis of Variance , Cardiopulmonary Bypass/methods , Coronary Artery Bypass/methods , Coronary Artery Disease/diagnosis , Cytokines/analysis , Dose-Response Relationship, Drug , Double-Blind Method , Female , Humans , Interleukin-10/analysis , Interleukin-6/analysis , Interleukin-8/analysis , Lung Diseases/diagnosis , Lung Diseases/etiology , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Reperfusion Injury/etiology , Postoperative Period , Predictive Value of Tests , Preoperative Care , Prognosis , Prospective Studies , Reference Values , Risk Assessment , Statistics, Nonparametric , Steroids/administration & dosage , Treatment Outcome , Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/analysis
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