Cultivar classification of Apulian olive oils: Use of artificial neural networks for comparing NMR, NIR and merceological data.

The development of an efficient and accurate method for extra-virgin olive oils cultivar and origin authentication is complicated by the broad range of variables (e.g., multiplicity of varieties, pedo-climatic aspects, production and storage conditions) influencing their properties. In this study, artificial neural networks (ANNs) were applied on several analytical datasets, namely standard merceological parameters, near-infra red data and 1H nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) fingerprints, obtained on mono-cultivar olive oils of four representative Apulian varieties (Coratina, Ogliarola, Cima di Mola, Peranzana). We analyzed 888 samples produced at a laboratory-scale during two crop years from 444 plants, whose variety was genetically ascertained, and on 17 industrially produced samples. ANN models based on NMR data showed the highest capability to classify cultivars (in some cases, accuracy>99%), independently on the olive oil production process and year; hence, the NMR data resulted to be the most informative variables about the cultivars.

Clinical decision support system for end-stage kidney disease risk estimation in IgA nephropathy patients.

BACKGROUND: The progression of IgA nephropathy (IgAN) to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) depends on several factors that are not quite clear and tangle the risk assessment. We aimed at developing a clinical decision support system (CDSS) for a quantitative risk assessment of ESKD and its timing using available clinical data at the time of renal biopsy. METHODS: We included a total of 1040 biopsy-proven IgAN patients with long-term follow-up from Italy (N = 546), Norway (N = 441) and Japan (N = 53). Of these, 241 patients reached ESKD: 104 Italian [median time to ESKD = 5 (3-9) years], 134 Norwegian [median time to ESKD = 6 (2-11) years] and 3 Japanese [median time to ESKD = 3 (2-12) years]. We independently trained and validated two cooperating artificial neural networks (ANNs) for predicting first the ESKD status and then the time to ESKD (defined as three categories: ≤ 3 years, between > 3 and 8 years and over 8 years). As inputs we used gender, age, histological grading, serum creatinine, 24-h proteinuria and hypertension at the time of renal biopsy. RESULTS: The ANNs demonstrated high performance for both the prediction of ESKD (with an AUC of 89.9, 93.3 and 100% in the Italian, Norwegian and Japanese IgAN population, respectively) and its timing (f-measure of 90.7% in the cohort from Italy and 70.8% in the one from Norway). We embedded the two ANNs in a CDSS available online (www.igan.net). Entering the clinical parameters at the time of renal biopsy, the CDSS returns as output the estimated risk and timing of ESKD for the patient. CONCLUSIONS: This CDSS provides useful additional information for identifying 'high-risk' IgAN patients and may help stratify them in the context of a personalized medicine approach.