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1.
IEEE Trans Vis Comput Graph ; 30(1): 316-326, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37910407

ABSTRACT

We present an analysis of the representation of gender as a data dimension in data visualizations and propose a set of considerations around visual variables and annotations for gender-related data. Gender is a common demographic dimension of data collected from study or survey participants, passengers, or customers, as well as across academic studies, especially in certain disciplines like sociology. Our work contributes to multiple ongoing discussions on the ethical implications of data visualizations. By choosing specific data, visual variables, and text labels, visualization designers may, inadvertently or not, perpetuate stereotypes and biases. Here, our goal is to start an evolving discussion on how to represent data on gender in data visualizations and raise awareness of the subtleties of choosing visual variables and words in gender visualizations. In order to ground this discussion, we collected and coded gender visualizations and their captions from five different scientific communities (Biology, Politics, Social Studies, Visualisation, and Human-Computer Interaction), in addition to images from Tableau Public and the Information Is Beautiful awards showcase. Overall we found that representation types are community-specific, color hue is the dominant visual channel for gender data, and nonconforming gender is under-represented. We end our paper with a discussion of considerations for gender visualization derived from our coding and the literature and recommendations for large data collection bodies. A free copy of this paper and all supplemental materials are available at https://osf.io/v9ams/.


Subject(s)
Computer Graphics , Data Visualization , Humans , Surveys and Questionnaires
2.
Clin Pharmacol Ther ; 114(5): 1015-1022, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37470135

ABSTRACT

Infants with neonatal opioid withdrawal syndrome commonly receive morphine treatment to manage their withdrawal signs. However, the effectiveness of this pharmacotherapy in managing the infants' withdrawal signs vary widely. We sought to understand how information available early in infant monitoring can anticipate this treatment response, focusing on early modified Finnegan Neonatal Abstinence Scoring System (FNASS) scores, polygenic risk for opioid dependence (polygenic risk score (PRS)), and drug exposure. Using k-means clustering, we divided the 213 infants in our cohort into 3 groups based on their FNASS scores in the 12 hours before and after the initiation of pharmacotherapy. We found that these groups were pairwise significantly different for risk factors, including methadone exposure, and for in-hospital outcomes, including total morphine received, length of stay, and highest FNASS score. Whereas PRS was not predictive of receipt of treatment, PRS was pairwise significantly different between a subset of the groups. Using tree-based machine learning methods, we then constructed network graphs of the relationships among these groups, FNASS scores, PRS, drug exposures, and in-hospital outcomes. The resulting networks also showed meaningful connection between early FNASS scores and PRS, as well as between both of those and later in-hospital outcomes. These analyses present clinicians with the opportunity to better anticipate infant withdrawal progression and prepare accordingly, whether with expedited morphine treatment or non-pharmacotherapeutic alternative treatments.

3.
Prod Oper Manag ; 2023 Jan 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36718234

ABSTRACT

In the United States, even though national guidelines for allocating scarce healthcare resources are lacking, 26 states have specific ventilator allocation guidelines to be invoked in case of a shortage. While several states developed their guidelines in response to the recent COVID-19 pandemic, New York State developed these guidelines in 2015 as "pandemic influenza is a foreseeable threat, one that we cannot ignore." The primary objective of this study is to assess the existing procedures and priority rules in place for allocating/rationing scarce ventilator capacity and propose alternative (and improved) priority schemes. We first build machine learning models using inpatient records of COVID-19 patients admitted to New York-Presbyterian/Columbia University Irving Medical Center and an affiliated community health center to predict survival probabilities as well as ventilator length-of-use. Then, we use the resulting point estimators and their uncertainties as inputs for a multiclass priority queueing model with abandonments to assess three priority schemes: (i) SOFA-P (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment based prioritization), which most closely mimics the existing practice by prioritizing patients with sufficiently low SOFA scores; (ii) ISP (incremental survival probability), which assigns priority based on patient-level survival predictions; and (iii) ISP-LU (incremental survival probability per length-of-use), which takes into account survival predictions and resource use duration. Our findings highlight that our proposed priority scheme, ISP-LU, achieves a demonstrable improvement over the other two alternatives. Specifically, the expected number of survivals increases and death risk while waiting for ventilator use decreases. We also show that ISP-LU is a robust priority scheme whose implementation yields a Pareto-improvement over both SOFA-P and ISP in terms of maximizing saved lives after mechanical ventilation while limiting racial disparity in access to the priority queue.

4.
JMIR Form Res ; 6(9): e34902, 2022 Sep 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36074543

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have highlighted gender differences in web-based physician reviews; however, so far, no study has linked web-based ratings with quality of care. OBJECTIVE: We compared a consumer-generated measure of physician quality (web-based ratings) with a clinical quality outcome (sanctions for malpractice or improper behavior) to understand how patients' perceptions and evaluations of physicians differ based on the physician's gender. METHODS: We used data from a large web-based physician review website and the Federation of State Medical Boards. We implemented paragraph vector methods to identify words that are specific to and indicative of separate groups of physicians. Then, we enriched these findings by using the National Research Council Canada word-emotion association lexicon to assign emotional scores to reviews for different subpopulations according to gender, gender and sanction, and gender and rating. RESULTS: We found statistically significant differences in the sentiment and emotion of reviews between male and female physicians. Numerical ratings are lower and sentiment in text reviews is more negative for women who will be sanctioned than for men who will be sanctioned; sanctioned male physicians are still associated with positive reviews. CONCLUSIONS: Given the growing impact of web-based reviews on demand for physician services, understanding the different dynamics of reviews for male and female physicians is important for consumers and platform architects who may revisit their platform design.

5.
Health Care Manag Sci ; 25(4): 649-665, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35895214

ABSTRACT

The opioid epidemic is a major policy concern. The widespread availability of opioids, which is fueled by physician prescribing patterns, medication diversion, and the interaction with potential illicit opioid use, has been implicated as proximal cause for subsequent opioid dependence and mortality. Risk indicators related to chronic opioid therapy (COT) at the point of care may influence physicians' prescribing decisions, potentially reducing rates of dependency and abuse. In this paper, we investigate the performance of machine learning algorithms for predicting the risk of COT. Using data on over 12 million observations of active duty US Army soldiers, we apply machine learning models to predict the risk of COT in the initial months of prescription. We use the area under the curve (AUC) as an overall measure of model performance, and we focus on the positive predictive value (PPV), which reflects the models' ability to accurately target military members for intervention. Of the many models tested, AUC ranges between 0.83 and 0.87. When we focus on the top 1% of members at highest risk, we observe a PPV value of 8.4% and 20.3% for months 1 and 3, respectively. We further investigate the performance of sparse models that can be implemented in sparse data environments. We find that when the goal is to identify patients at the highest risk of chronic use, these sparse linear models achieve a performance similar to models trained on hundreds of variables. Our predictive models exhibit high accuracy and can alert prescribers to the risk of COT for the highest risk patients. Optimized sparse models identify a parsimonious set of factors to predict COT: initial supply of opioids, the supply of opioids in the month being studied, and the number of prescriptions for psychotropic medications. Future research should investigate the possible effects of these tools on prescriber behavior (e.g., the benefit of clinician nudging at the point of care in outpatient settings).


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid , Military Personnel , Humans , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Drug Prescriptions , Practice Patterns, Physicians' , Machine Learning
6.
J Manag Care Spec Pharm ; 28(6): 631-644, 2022 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35621722

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Suboptimal maintenance medication (MM) adherence remains a clinical problem among Medicare beneficiaries with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). OBJECTIVE: To inform risk-based personalized decision-making, this study sought to develop and validate prediction models of nonadherence to COPD MMs for Medicare beneficiaries. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of beneficiaries aged 65 years and older with COPD and inhaled MMs. Nonadherence (proportion of days covered < 0.8) was measured in 12 months following the first MM fill after COPD diagnosis. Logistic and least absolute shrinkage selector operator regressions were implemented, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) evaluated model accuracy, as well as positive predictive values and negative predictive values. Our models evaluated different sets of predictors for two cohorts: those with an MM prescription before COPD diagnosis (prevalent users) and those without (new users). RESULTS: Among 16,157 prevalent and 40,279 new users of MMs, 11,271 (69.8%) and 34,009 (84.4%), respectively, were nonadherent. The best-performing logistic models achieved AUROCs of 0.8714 and 0.881, positive predictive values of 0.881 and 0.881, and negative predictive values of 0.559 and 0.578, respectively, for prevalent and new users. The least absolute shrinkage selector operator models had similar accuracy. Models with baseline-only predictors had average performance (AUROC < 0.72). The most important predictors were initial MM adherence, short-acting bronchodilator use, and asthma. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, this study is the first to develop predictive models of nonadherence to COPD MMs. Generated models achieved good discrimination and underlined the importance of early adherence. Well-performed models can be useful for care decision-making and interventions to improve COPD medication adherence after the first critical few months following a treatment episode. DISCLOSURES: All authors declared no conflicts of interest.


Subject(s)
Medicare , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive , Aged , Bronchodilator Agents/therapeutic use , Humans , Medication Adherence , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/diagnosis , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/drug therapy , Retrospective Studies , United States
7.
PLoS One ; 17(5): e0267794, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35522660

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is a serious health condition, associated with high health care costs, and poor outcomes. Patient empowerment and self-care are a key component of successful HF management. The emergence of telehealth may enable providers to remotely monitor patients' statuses, support adherence to medical guidelines, improve patient wellbeing, and promote daily awareness of overall patients' health. OBJECTIVE: To assess the feasibility of a voice activated technology for monitoring of HF patients, and its impact on HF clinical outcomes and health care utilization. METHODS: We conducted a randomized clinical trial; ambulatory HF patients were randomized to voice activated technology or standard of care (SOC) for 90 days. The system developed for this study monitored patient symptoms using a daily survey and alerted healthcare providers of pre-determined reported symptoms of worsening HF. We used summary statistics and descriptive visualizations to study the alerts generated by the technology and to healthcare utilization outcomes. RESULTS: The average age of patients was 54 years, the majority were Black and 45% were women. Almost all participants had an annual income below $50,000. Baseline characteristics were not statistically significantly different between the two arms. The technical infrastructure was successfully set up and two thirds of the invited study participants interacted with the technology. Patients reported favorable perception and high comfort level with the use of voice activated technology. The responses from the participants varied widely and higher perceived symptom burden was not associated with hospitalization on qualitative assessment of the data visualization plot. Among patients randomized to the voice activated technology arm, there was one HF emergency department (ED) visit and 2 HF hospitalizations; there were no events in the SOC arm. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the feasibility of remote symptom monitoring of HF patients using voice activated technology. The varying HF severity and the wide range of patient responses to the technology indicate that personalized technological approaches are needed to capture the full benefit of the technology. The differences in health care utilization between the two arms call for further study into the impact of remote monitoring on health care utilization and patients' wellbeing.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Telemedicine , Feasibility Studies , Female , Heart Failure/therapy , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pilot Projects , Technology
8.
COPD ; 18(5): 541-548, 2021 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34468243

ABSTRACT

Few studies have quantified the multimorbidity burden in older adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) using large and generalizable data. Such evidence is essential to inform evidence-based research, clinical care, and resource allocation. This retrospective cohort study used a nationally representative sample of Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years or older with COPD and 1:1 matched (on age, sex, and race) non-COPD beneficiaries to: (1) quantify the prevalence of multimorbidity at COPD onset and one-year later; (2) quantify the rates [per 100 person-years (PY)] of newly diagnosed multimorbidity during in the year prior to and in the year following COPD onset; and (3) compare multimorbidity prevalence in beneficiaries with and without COPD. Among 739,118 eligible beneficiaries with and without COPD, the average number of multimorbidity was 10.0 (SD = 4.7) and 1.0 (SD = 3.3), respectively. The most prevalent multimorbidity at COPD onset and at one-year after, respectively, were hypertension (70.8% and 80.2%), hyperlipidemia (52.2% and 64.8%), anemia (42.1% and 52.0%), arthritis (39.8% and 47.7%), and congestive heart failure (CHF) (31.3% and 38.8%). Conditions with the highest newly diagnosed rates before and following COPD onset, respectively, included hypertension (39.8 and 32.3 per 100 PY), hyperlipidemia (22.8 and 27.6), anemia (17.8 and 20.3), CHF (16.2 and 13.2), and arthritis (12.9 and 13.2). COPD was significantly associated with increased odds of all measured conditions relative to non-COPD controls. This study updates existing literature with more current, generalizable findings of the substantial multimorbidity burden in medically complex older adults with COPD-necessary to inform patient-centered, multidimensional care.Supplemental data for this article is available online at https://doi.org/10.1080/15412555.2021.1968815 .


Subject(s)
Multimorbidity , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive , Aged , Humans , Medicare , Prevalence , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , United States/epidemiology
9.
JMIR Mhealth Uhealth ; 9(4): e24646, 2021 04 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33792556

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is associated with high mortality rates and high costs, and self-care is crucial in the management of the condition. Telehealth can promote patients' self-care while providing frequent feedback to their health care providers about the patient's compliance and symptoms. A number of technologies have been considered in the literature to facilitate telehealth in patients with HF. An important factor in the adoption of these technologies is their ease of use. Conversational agent technologies using a voice interface can be a good option because they use speech recognition to communicate with patients. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this paper is to study the engagement of patients with HF with voice interface technology. In particular, we investigate which patient characteristics are linked to increased technology use. METHODS: We used data from two separate HF patient groups that used different telehealth technologies over a 90-day period. Each group used a different type of voice interface; however, the scripts followed by the two technologies were identical. One technology was based on Amazon's Alexa (Alexa+), and in the other technology, patients used a tablet to interact with a visually animated and voice-enabled avatar (Avatar). Patient engagement was measured as the number of days on which the patients used the technology during the study period. We used multiple linear regression to model engagement with the technology based on patients' demographic and clinical characteristics and past technology use. RESULTS: In both populations, the patients were predominantly male and Black, had an average age of 55 years, and had HF for an average of 7 years. The only patient characteristic that was statistically different (P=.008) between the two populations was the number of medications they took to manage HF, with a mean of 8.7 (SD 4.0) for Alexa+ and 5.8 (SD 3.4) for Avatar patients. The regression model on the combined population shows that older patients used the technology more frequently (an additional 1.19 days of use for each additional year of age; P=.004). The number of medications to manage HF was negatively associated with use (-5.49; P=.005), and Black patients used the technology less frequently than other patients with similar characteristics (-15.96; P=.08). CONCLUSIONS: Older patients' higher engagement with telehealth is consistent with findings from previous studies, confirming the acceptability of technology in this subset of patients with HF. However, we also found that a higher number of HF medications, which may be correlated with a higher disease burden, is negatively associated with telehealth use. Finally, the lower engagement of Black patients highlights the need for further study to identify the reasons behind this lower engagement, including the possible role of social determinants of health, and potentially create technologies that are better tailored for this population.


Subject(s)
Heart Failure , Telemedicine , Heart Failure/therapy , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Pilot Projects , Self Care , Technology
10.
J Am Med Inform Assoc ; 27(7): 1037-1045, 2020 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32521006

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: In preference-sensitive conditions such as back pain, there can be high levels of variability in the trajectory of patient care. We sought to develop a methodology that extracts a realistic and comprehensive understanding of the patient journey using medical and pharmaceutical insurance claims data. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We processed a sample of 10 000 patient episodes (comprised of 113 215 back pain-related claims) into strings of characters, where each letter corresponds to a distinct encounter with the healthcare system. We customized the Levenshtein edit distance algorithm to evaluate the level of similarity between each pair of episodes based on both their content (types of events) and ordering (sequence of events). We then used clustering to extract the main variations of the patient journey. RESULTS: The algorithm resulted in 12 comprehensive and clinically distinct patterns (clusters) of patient journeys that represent the main ways patients are diagnosed and treated for back pain. We further characterized demographic and utilization metrics for each cluster and observed clear differentiation between the clusters in terms of both clinical content and patient characteristics. DISCUSSION: Despite being a complex and often noisy data source, administrative claims provide a unique longitudinal overview of patient care across multiple service providers and locations. This methodology leverages claims to capture a data-driven understanding of how patients traverse the healthcare system. CONCLUSIONS: When tailored to various conditions and patient settings, this methodology can provide accurate overviews of patient journeys and facilitate a shift toward high-quality practice patterns.


Subject(s)
Algorithms , Back Pain , Insurance Claim Review , Patient Care , Aged , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Back Pain/diagnosis , Back Pain/drug therapy , Back Pain/surgery , Humans , Middle Aged , Quality of Health Care
11.
Sci Total Environ ; 710: 136375, 2020 Mar 25.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31923693

ABSTRACT

Direct membrane filtration has shown great potential in wastewater treatment and resource recovery in terms of its superior treated water quality, efficient nutrient recovery, and sustainable operation, especially under some scenarios where biological treatment is not feasible. This paper aims to give a comprehensive review of the state-of-the-art of direct membrane filtration processes (including pressure-driven, osmotic-driven, thermal-driven, and electrical-driven) in treating different types of wastewater for water reclamation and resource recovery. The factors influencing membrane performance and treatment efficiency in these direct membrane filtration processes are well illustrated, in which membrane fouling was identified as the main challenge. The strategies for improving direct membrane filtration performance, such as physical and chemical cleaning techniques and pretreatment of feed water, are highlighted. Towards scaling-up and long-term operation of direct membrane filtration for effective wastewater reclamation and resource recovery, the challenges are emphasized and the prospects are discussed.

12.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 38(1): 109-119, 2020 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31631255

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: During the period from 1999 to 2016, more than 350,000 Americans died from overdoses related to the use of prescription opioids. To the extent that supply is directly related to overprescribing, policy interventions aimed at changing prescriber behavior, such as the recent Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guideline, are clearly warranted. Although these could plausibly reduce the prevalence of opioid overuse and dependency, little is known about their economic and health-related impacts. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to quantify the efficacy of a policy intervention aimed at reducing the length of initial opioid prescriptions. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A Markov decision process model was fitted on a retrospective cohort of 827,265 patients, and patient cost and health trajectories were simulated over a 24-month period. The model's parameters were based on patients who received short (≤ 3 days) or long (> 7 days) initial opioid prescriptions, matched using propensity score methods. STUDY POPULATION: All active-duty US Army soldiers from 2011 to 2014; the data contained detailed medical and administrative information on over 11 million soldier-months corresponding to 827,265 individual soldiers. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Overall costs of a policy change, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, and $/QALY gained. RESULTS: Over a 2-year horizon, a reassignment of 10,000 patients to short initial duration would generate a cost saving in the vicinity of $3.1 million (excluding program costs), and would also lead to an estimated 4451 additional opioid-free months, i.e. months without any opioid prescriptions. CONCLUSION: The analysis found that efforts to change prescriber behavior can be cost effective, and further studies into the implementation of such policies are warranted.


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid/economics , Decision Support Techniques , Drug Prescriptions/economics , Models, Economic , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/economics , Analgesics, Opioid/administration & dosage , Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Drug Prescriptions/statistics & numerical data , Humans , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/trends , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Retrospective Studies
13.
West J Emerg Med ; 20(6): 885-892, 2019 Oct 14.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31738715

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: On January 1, 2014, the State of Maryland implemented the Global Budget Revenue (GBR) program. We investigate the impact of GBR on length of stay (LOS) for inpatients in emergency departments (ED) in Maryland. METHODS: We used the Hospital Compare data reports from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) and CMS Cost Reports Hospital Form 2552-10 from January 1, 2012-March 31, 2016, with GBR hospitals from Maryland and hospitals from West Virginia (WV), Delaware (DE), and Rhode Island (RI). We implemented difference-in-differences analysis and investigated the impact of GBR implementation on the LOS or ED1b scores of Maryland hospitals using a mixed-effects model with a state-level fixed effect, a hospital-level random effect, and state-level heterogeneity. RESULTS: The GBR impact estimator was 9.47 (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.06 to 11.87, p-value<0.001) for Maryland GBR hospitals, which implies, on average, that GBR implementation added 9.47 minutes per year to the time that hospital inpatients spent in the ED in the first two years after GBR implementation. The effect of the total number of hospital beds was 0.21 (95% CI, 0.089 to 0.330, p-value = 0 .001), which suggests that the bigger the hospital, the longer the ED1b score. The state-level fixed effects for WV were -106.96 (95% CI, -175.06 to -38.86, p-value = 0.002), for DE it was 6.51 (95% CI, -8.80 to 21.82, p-value=0.405), and for RI it was -54.48 (95% CI, -82.85 to -26.10, p-value<0.001). CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that GBR implementation has had a statistically significant negative impact on the efficiency measure ED1b of Maryland hospital EDs from January 2014 to April 2016. We also found that the significant state-level fixed effect implies that the same inpatient might experience different ED processing times in each of the four states that we studied.


Subject(s)
Budgets/organization & administration , Efficiency, Organizational/economics , Emergency Service, Hospital/organization & administration , Length of Stay/economics , State Government , Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, U.S. , Cost Control , Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , Health Care Reform , Hospital Costs , Humans , Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data , Maryland , Medicaid/organization & administration , Models, Statistical , United States
14.
Mil Med ; 183(9-10): e322-e329, 2018 09 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29590410

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The use of opioids has increased drastically over the past few years and decades. As a result, concerns have mounted over serious outcomes associated with chronic opioid use (COU), including dependency and death. A greater understanding of the factors that are associated with COU will be critical if prescribers are to navigate potentially competing objectives to provide compassionate care, while reducing the overall opioid use problem. In this study, we study pain levels and opioid prescription volumes and their effects on the risk of COU.This study leveraged passive data sources that support automated decision support systems (DSSs) currently employed in a large military population. The models presented compute monthly, person-specific, adjusted probability of subsequent COT and could potentially provide critical decision support for clinicians engaged in pain management. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study population included all outpatient presentations at military medical facilities worldwide among active duty United States Army soldiers during July 2011 to September 2014 (17,664,006 encounters; population N = 552,193). We conducted a retrospective cohort study of this population and employed longitudinal data and a discrete time multivariable logistic regression model to compute COT probability scores. The contribution of pain scores and opioid prescription quantities to the probability of COT represented analytic foci. RESULTS: There were 13,891 subjects (2.5%) who experienced incident COT during the observed time period. Statistically significant interactions between pain scores and prescription quantity were present, in addition to effects of multiple other control variables. Counts of monthly opioid prescriptions and maximum stated pain scores per month were each positively associated with COT. A wide range in individual COT risk scores was evident. The effect of prescription volume on the COT risk was larger than the effect of the pain score, and the combined effect of larger pain scores and increased prescription quantity was moderated by the interaction term. CONCLUSIONS: The results verified that passive data on the US Army can support a robust COT risk computation in this population. The individual, adjusted risk level requires statistical analyses to be fully understood. Because the same data sources drive current military DSSs, this work provides the potential basis for new, evidence-based decision support resources for military clinicians. The strong, independent impact of increasing opioid prescription counts on the COT risk reinforces the importance of exploring alternatives to opioids in pain management planning. It suggests that changing provider behavior through enhanced decision support could help reduce COT rates.


Subject(s)
Analgesics, Opioid/therapeutic use , Pain Management/statistics & numerical data , Pain/drug therapy , Adult , Analgesics, Opioid/administration & dosage , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Longitudinal Studies , Male , Military Personnel/statistics & numerical data , Odds Ratio , Pain/psychology , Pain Management/methods , Pain Management/standards , Pain Measurement/methods , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/standards , Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , United States
15.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 36(3): 369-380, 2018 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29230712

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: When preparing administrative medical and pharmacy claims data for analysis, decisions about data clean up and analytical approach need to be made. However, information about the effects of various modelling decisions on adherence measures such as the medication possession ratio (MPR) is limited. We address this gap with this study. METHODS: We utilized cross-sectional administrative claims data for commercially insured members filling at least two prescriptions for drugs within five classes of hypertension medication between 2008 and 2010. We divided nine modelling decisions into three categories: data scrubbing, study design, and MPR definition/calculations. We defined the base-case settings with commonly used values, varied each modelling decision singly and in combination, and measured the effects on the MPR. RESULTS: Claims data for 358,418 individuals were available for analysis. Two modelling decisions were found to be highly influential, each yielding a difference of over 25 percentage points from the base case: the decision of whether to use interval- or prescription-based study periods, and the decision of how to handle overlapping prescription claims. The effect of other decisions was smaller, with a difference of 1-9 percentage points from the base case. CONCLUSIONS: Some of the decisions considered had a large impact on the MPR. Therefore, it is important for researchers to standardize approaches for study period length and overlapping prescription claims. We also conclude that transparent reporting of modelling decisions will facilitate the interpretation of results and comparisons across studies.


Subject(s)
Decision Support Techniques , Insurance Claim Review/statistics & numerical data , Medication Adherence/statistics & numerical data , Cross-Sectional Studies , Databases, Factual , Humans
16.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 34(2): 169-79, 2016 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26660349

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Advanced computing capabilities and novel visual analytics tools now allow us to move beyond the traditional cross-sectional summaries to analyze longitudinal prescription patterns and the impact of study design decisions. For example, design decisions regarding gaps and overlaps in prescription fill data are necessary for measuring adherence using prescription claims data. However, little is known regarding the impact of these decisions on measures of medication possession (e.g., medication possession ratio). The goal of the study was to demonstrate the use of visualization tools for pattern discovery, hypothesis generation, and study design. METHOD: We utilized EventFlow, a novel discrete event sequence visualization software, to investigate patterns of prescription fills, including gaps and overlaps, utilizing large-scale healthcare claims data. The study analyzes data of individuals who had at least two prescriptions for one of five hypertension medication classes: ACE inhibitors, angiotensin II receptor blockers, beta blockers, calcium channel blockers, and diuretics. We focused on those members initiating therapy with diuretics (19.2%) who may have concurrently or subsequently take drugs in other classes as well. We identified longitudinal patterns in prescription fills for antihypertensive medications, investigated the implications of decisions regarding gap length and overlaps, and examined the impact on the average cost and adherence of the initial treatment episode. RESULTS: A total of 790,609 individuals are included in the study sample, 19.2% (N = 151,566) of whom started on diuretics first during the study period. The average age was 52.4 years and 53.1% of the population was female. When the allowable gap was zero, 34% of the population had continuous coverage and the average length of continuous coverage was 2 months. In contrast, when the allowable gap was 30 days, 69% of the population showed a single continuous prescription period with an average length of 5 months. The average prescription cost of the period of continuous coverage ranged from US$3.44 (when the maximum gap was 0 day) to US$9.08 (when the maximum gap was 30 days). Results were less impactful when considering overlaps. CONCLUSIONS: This proof-of-concept study illustrates the use of visual analytics tools in characterizing longitudinal medication possession. We find that prescription patterns and associated prescription costs are more influenced by allowable gap lengths than by definitions and treatment of overlap. Research using medication gaps and overlaps to define medication possession in prescription claims data should pay particular attention to the definition and use of gap lengths.


Subject(s)
Antihypertensive Agents/administration & dosage , Databases, Factual/statistics & numerical data , Medication Adherence , Prescription Drugs/administration & dosage , Antihypertensive Agents/economics , Decision Making , Drug Costs , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prescription Drugs/economics , Research Design , Software
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