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1.
J Pediatr ; 254: 61-67.e1, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36265574

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To investigate why certain at-risk individuals develop celiac disease (CD), we examined the association of proton pump inhibitors (PPI), histamine-2 receptor antagonists (H2RAs), and antibiotic prescriptions in the first 6 months of life with an early childhood diagnosis of CD. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study was performed using the Military Healthcare System database. Children with a birth record from October 1, 2001, to September 30, 2013, were identified. Outpatient prescription records were queried for antibiotic, PPI, and H2RA prescriptions in the first 6 months of life. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of developing CD based on medication exposure. International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes identified children with an outpatient visit for CD. RESULTS: There were 968 524 children who met the inclusion criteria with 1704 cases of CD in this group. The median follow-up for the cohort was approximately 4.5 years. PPIs (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.76-2.83), H2RAs (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.67-2.26), and antibiotics (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.02-1.28) were all associated with an increased hazard of CD. CONCLUSIONS: There is an increased risk of developing CD if antibiotics, PPIs and H2RAs are prescribed in the first 6 months of life. Our study highlights modifiable factors, such as medication stewardship, that may change the childhood risk of CD.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents , Celiac Disease , Child , Humans , Infant , Child, Preschool , Retrospective Studies , Anti-Bacterial Agents/adverse effects , Proton Pump Inhibitors/adverse effects , Histamine H2 Antagonists/adverse effects , Risk Factors
2.
Biosecur Bioterror ; 9(2): 139-51, 2011 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21612365

ABSTRACT

The ability to quickly dispense postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) using multiple points of dispensing (PODs) following a bioterrorism event could potentially save a large proportion of those who were exposed, while failure in PEP dispensing could have dire public health consequences. A Monte Carlo simulation was developed to explore the traffic flow and parking around PODs under different arrival rates and how these factors might affect the utilization rate of POD workers. The results demonstrate that the public can reasonably access the PODs under ideal conditions assuming a stationary (uniform) arrival rate. For the 5 nonstationary arrival rates tested, however, the available parking spaces quickly become filled, causing long traffic queues and resulting in total processing times that range from 1 hour to over 6 hours. Basic planning considerations should include the use of physical barriers, signage, and traffic control officers to help direct vehicular and pedestrian access to the PODs. Furthermore, the parking and traffic surrounding PODs creates long queues of people waiting to access the PODs. Thus, POD staff are fully used approximately 90% of the time, which can lead to worker fatigue and burn out.


Subject(s)
Anti-Bacterial Agents/supply & distribution , Antiviral Agents/supply & distribution , Automobiles , Bioterrorism , Disaster Planning/organization & administration , Parking Facilities , Boston , Health Services Accessibility , Humans , Monte Carlo Method
3.
Biosecur Bioterror ; 5(1): 26-34, 2007 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17437349

ABSTRACT

A discrete-time, deterministic, compartmental model was developed and analyzed to provide insight into how the use of anthrax vaccine before or after a large-scale attack can reduce casualties. The model accounts for important response and protection factors such as antibiotic and vaccine efficacy, the protective effects of buildings, the timing of emergency response, and antibiotic adherence and vaccine coverage in the population prior to the attack. The relative benefit of pre- versus post-exposure vaccination is influenced by the timing of the post-exposure antibiotic distribution campaign as well as assumptions of antibiotic adherence. The results indicate that, regardless of which vaccination policy is adopted, a rapid and effective post-attack medical response has a large impact on the number of lives that can be saved by a post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) campaign. A sensitivity analysis of the model indicates that uncertainty in medical efficacy and the time to initiate a PEP campaign are the model parameters that have the greatest impact on the number of predicted deaths. It is shown that for each day that a mass prophylaxis campaign is delayed, more casualties and deaths result than for each day that the completion of the campaign is delayed.


Subject(s)
Anthrax Vaccines/therapeutic use , Anthrax/prevention & control , Bioterrorism , Policy Making , Public Health , Anthrax/immunology , Bacillus anthracis/immunology , Humans , Models, Theoretical
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