Effect of using the Simple Erosion Narrowing Score or Sharp/van der Heijde score on power of rheumatoid arthritis clinical trials to detect differences in radiographic progression.

OBJECTIVES: The Simple Erosion Narrowing Score (SENS) is a simplification of the Sharp/van der Heijde score (SHS). Previous studies found SENS and SHS to have very similar measurement properties, but suggest that SENS has a lower discriminative ability that may result in reduced power. Therefore, we aimed to quantify the effect of using SENS rather than SHS on the power to show between-group differences in radiographic progression. METHODS: Using data from two clinical trials in rheumatoid arthritis (DRESS and BeSt), SENS was derived from the SHS. Criterion validity of the SENS in relation to the SHS was assessed by calculating the Spearman correlation. The power of both scores to show a difference between groups was compared using bootstrapping to generate 10.000 replications of each study. Then, the number of replications with a significant difference in progression (using ANCOVA adjusted for baseline scores) were compared. RESULTS: Correlations between SENS and SHS were all >0.9, indicating high criterion validity of SENS compared with SHS as a reference standard. There was one exception, the DRESS study showed a somewhat lower correlation for the change score at 18 months (0.787). The loss in power of SENS over SHS was limited to at most 19% (BeSt year 5). In addition, the difference in power between SENS and SHS is smaller at higher levels of power. CONCLUSION: SENS appears to be a reasonable alternative to SHS, with only a limited loss of power to show between-group differences in radiographic progression.

1-year results of treatment with rituximab in polymyalgia rheumatica: an extension study of a randomised double-blind placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Rituximab was effective for patients with polymyalgia rheumatica in the 21-week BRIDGE-PMR randomised controlled trial. Here, we aimed to assess rates of glucocorticoid-free remission up to 1 year after infusion in an extension of this trial. METHODS: BRIDGE-PMR was a randomised controlled proof-of-concept trial that enrolled participants with polymyalgia rheumatica according to 2012 European League Against Rheumatism-American College of Rheumatology classification criteria at the Sint Maartenskliniek, Nijmegen, Netherlands. Patients were randomly allocated in a 1:1 ratio to receive one intravenous dose of 1000 mg rituximab or placebo, with identical pre-medication and accelerated glucocorticoid tapering over 17 weeks. After the 21-week study, patients were followed in a double-blind extension until 1 year after infusion during which standard-of-care treatment was provided. The primary outcome after 52 weeks was between-group difference in glucocorticoid-free remission (ie, polymyalgia rheumatica activity score [PMR-AS] <10), assessed in all randomly allocated participants, with data imputed using a predictive mean matching model (provided data were missing at random). A sensitivity analysis restricted to patients with complete data (complete case analysis) was also done. This trial is registered with EudraCT (2018-002641-11) and the Dutch trial database (NL7414). FINDINGS: Between Dec 18, 2019 and June 8, 2021, 47 patients enrolled in the BRIDGE-PMR were followed up in this extension study (23 [11 women and 12 men] allocated rituximab and 24 [13 women and 11 men] allocated placebo), of who 38 had recently diagnosed polymyalgia rheumatica and nine had relapsing polymyalgia rheumatica. Mean (SD) age was 64 (10) years in the rituximab group and 66 (9) years in the placebo group. All participants were White. Missing data were imputed for six participants (four rituximab, two placebo); because the data were probably missing at random, a complete case analysis was added as sensitivity analyses. In the imputed analysis, the between-group absolute difference reached statistical significance (12 [52%] of 23 in the rituximab group in glucocorticoid-free remission vs five [21%] of 24 participants in the placebo group; absolute difference 31% [95% CI 5 to 57], RR 2·5 [1·0 to 6·0]; p=0·04). In the complete case analysis, nine (47%) of 19 patients in the rituximab group were in glucocorticoid-free remission 1 year after infusion compared with five (23%) of 22 in the placebo group (absolute difference 25% [95% CI -4 to 53], relative risk (RR) 2·1 [95% CI 0·8 to 5·2]; p=0·12). Eight (33%) patients in the placebo group and six (26%) in the rituximab group had adverse events. INTERPRETATION: After a single dose of rituximab (1000 mg), the proportion of patients with polymyalgia rheumatica in glucocorticoid-free remission remained stable at 1 year after infusion, and a glucocorticoid sparing effect was evident. A larger trial including possibility for retreatment is warranted to confirm these results. FUNDING: Sint Maartenskliniek.

(Dis)agreement of polymyalgia rheumatica relapse criteria, and prediction of relapse in a retrospective cohort.

BACKGROUND: To develop and assess a prediction model for polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) relapse within the first year of glucocorticoid (GC) treatment. METHODS: A retrospective PMR cohort (clinical diagnosis) from a rheumatology department was used. All visits > 30 days after starting GC treatment and with > 2.5 mg/day oral prednisolone were used as potential relapse visits. Often used relapse criteria (1) rheumatologist judgement, (2) treatment intensification-based relapse) were assessed for agreement in this cohort. The proportion of patients with treatment-based relapse within 1 and 2 years of treatment and the relapse incidence rate were used to assess unadjusted associations with candidate predictors using logistic and Poisson regression respectively. After using a multiple imputation method, a multivariable model was developed and assessed to predict the occurrence (yes/no) of relapse within the first year of treatment. RESULTS: Data from 417 patients was used. Relapse occurred at 399 and 321 (of 2422) visits based on the rheumatologist judgement- and treatment-based criteria respectively, with low to moderate agreement between the two (87% (95% CI 0.86-0.88), with κ = 0.49 (95% CI 0.44-0.54)). Treatment-based relapse within the first two years was significantly associated with CRP, ESR, and pre-treatment symptom duration, and incidence rate with only CRP and ESR. A model to predict treatment intensification within the first year of treatment was developed using sex, medical history of cardiovascular disease and malignancies, pre-treatment symptom duration, ESR, and Hb, with an AUC of 0.60-0.65. CONCLUSION: PMR relapse occurs frequently, although commonly used criteria only show moderate agreement, underlining the importance of a uniform definition and criteria of a PMR specific relapse. A model to predict treatment intensification was developed using practical predictors, although its performance was modest.

PolyMyalgia Rheumatica treatment with Methotrexate in Optimal Dose in an Early disease phase (PMR MODE): study protocol for a multicenter double-blind placebo controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) is an inflammatory rheumatic disease affecting people older than 50, resulting in pain and stiffness of the neck, shoulder, and pelvic girdle. To date, glucocorticoids (GC) remain the cornerstone of treatment, but these have several drawbacks. Firstly, a large proportion of patients do not achieve GC-free remission within either the first (over 70%) or second year of treatment (over 50%). Secondly, GC-related adverse events (AE) occur in up to 65% of patients and can be severe. The current EULAR/ACR guidelines for PMR recommend early introduction of methotrexate (MTX) as a GC sparing agent in patients at risk for worse prognosis. However, earlier trials of low to medium quality only studied MTX dosages of 7.5-10 mg/week with no to modest effect. These doses may be suboptimal as MTX is recommended in higher doses (25 mg/week) for other inflammatory rheumatic diseases. The exact role, timing, and dose of MTX in PMR remain unclear, and therefore, our objective is to study the efficacy of MTX 25 mg/week in recently diagnosed PMR patients. METHODS: We set up a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled superiority trial (PMR MODE) to assess the efficacy of MTX 25 mg/week versus placebo in a 1:1 ratio in 100 recently diagnosed PMR patients according to the 2012 EULAR/ACR criteria. All patients will receive prednisolone 15 mg/day, tapered to 0 mg over the course of 24 weeks. In case of primary non-response or disease relapse, prednisolone dose will be temporarily increased. Assessments will take place at baseline, 4, 12, 24, 32, and 52 weeks. The primary outcome is the difference in proportion of patients in GC-free remission at week 52. DISCUSSION: No relapsing PMR patients were chosen, since the possible benefits of MTX may not outweigh the risks at low doses and effect modification may occur. Accelerated tapering was chosen in order to more easily identify a GC-sparing effect if one exists. A composite endpoint of GC-free remission was chosen as a clinically relevant endpoint for both patients and rheumatologist and may reduce second order (treatment) effects. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Dutch Trial Registration, NL8366 . Registered on 10 February 2020.

Measurement Properties of the Polymyalgia Rheumatica Activity Score: A Systematic Literature Review.

OBJECTIVE: To perform a COnsensus-based Standards for the selection of health Measurement INstruments (COSMIN)-based systematic literature review of measurement properties of the Polymyalgia Rheumatica Activity Score (PMR-AS). METHODS: PubMed, EMBASE, and CINAHL were broadly searched. English full-text articles, with (quantitative) data on ≥ 5 patients with PMR using the PMR-AS were selected. Seven hypotheses for construct validity and 3 for responsiveness, concerning associations with erythrocyte sedimentation rate, physical function, quality of life, clinical disease states, ultrasound, and treatment response, were formulated. We assessed the structural validity, internal consistency, reliability, and measurement error, or the hypotheses on construct validity or responsiveness of the PMR-AS based on COSMIN criteria. RESULTS: Out of the identified 26 articles that used the PMR-AS, we were able to use 12 articles. Structural validity, internal consistency, construct validity, and responsiveness were assessed in 1, 2, 8, and 3 articles, respectively. Insufficient evidence was found to confirm structural validity and internal consistency. No data were found on reliability or measurement error. Although 60% and 67% of hypotheses tested for construct validity and responsiveness, respectively, were confirmed, there was insufficient evidence to meet criteria for good measurement properties. CONCLUSION: While there is some promising evidence for construct validity and responsiveness of the PMR-AS, it is lacking for other properties and, overall, falls short of criteria for good measurement properties. Therefore, further research is needed to assess its role in clinical research and care.

Effect of add-on methotrexate in polymyalgia rheumatica patients flaring on glucocorticoids tapering: a retrospective study.

Guidelines on management of polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) recommend early introduction of methotrexate (MTX), especially in patients with worse prognosis, although evidence on clinical efficacy of MTX in PMR is limited. Our objective was to assess MTX efficacy in real-world PMR care. Retrospective data of newly diagnosed PMR patients who started MTX were compared to control patients in whom MTX was not started at the first flare. Main outcomes were number of flares per year (Poisson regression) and weighted daily glucocorticoid (GC)-dose (linear regression), and flare incidence rate ratio in the MTX group only. 240 patients were selected; 39 patients in the MTX group and 201 in the control group. The yearly incidence rate ratio of flares in the MTX versus control group was 0.80 (95% CI 0.45-1.42). The yearly flare rate was 1.22 before and 0.43 after MTX initiation, resulting in an incidence ratio of 0.35 (95% CI 0.23-0.52). Adjusted time weighted daily GC dose was higher in the MTX versus control group (ratio 1.37, 95% CI 1.04-1.80). No clear effect of MTX on flares was found and time weighted daily GC dose was higher, possibly due to residual confounding by indication. However, the clearly reduced flare rate after MTX start might be suggestive for a beneficial effect of MTX.

A novel algorithm for better distinction of primary mucinous ovarian carcinomas and mucinous carcinomas metastatic to the ovary.

Primary mucinous ovarian carcinomas (MOC) are notoriously difficult to distinguish from mucinous carcinomas metastatic to the ovary (mMC). Studies performed on small cohorts reported algorithms based on tumor size and laterality to aid in distinguishing MOC from mMC. We evaluated and improved these by performing a large-scale, nationwide search in the Dutch Pathology Registry. All registered pathology reports fulfilling our search criteria concerning MOC in the Netherlands from 2000 to 2011 were collected. Age, histology, laterality, and size were extracted. An existing database covering the same timeline containing tumors metastatic to the ovary was used, extracting all mMC, age, size, laterality, and primary tumor location. Existing algorithms were applied to our cohort. Subsequently, an algorithm based on tumor histology, laterality, and a nomogram based on age and size was created for differentiating MOC and mMC. We identified 735 MOC and 1018 mMC. Patients with MOC were significantly younger and MOC were significantly larger and more often unilateral than mMC. Signet ring cell carcinomas were rarely primary. Our algorithm used signet ring cell histology, bilaterality, and a nomogram integrating patient age and tumor size to diagnose mMC. Sensitivity and specificity for mMC was 90.1% and 59.0%, respectively. Applying existing algorithms on our cohort yielded a far lower sensitivity. The algorithm described here using tumor histology, laterality, size, and patient age has higher sensitivity but lower specificity compared to earlier algorithms and aids in indicating tumor origin, but for conclusive diagnosis, careful integration of morphology, immunohistochemistry, and clinical and imaging data is recommended.