Emerging Cerebrospinal Fluid Biomarkers of Disease Activity and Progression in Multiple Sclerosis.

Importance: Biomarkers distinguishing nonrelapsing progressive disease biology from relapsing biology in multiple sclerosis (MS) are lacking. Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is an accessible fluid that most closely reflects central nervous system biology. Objective: To identify CSF biological measures associated with progressive MS pathobiology. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study assessed data from 2 prospective MS cohorts: a test cohort provided serial CSF, clinical, and imaging assessments in a multicenter study of patients with relapsing MS (RMS) or primary progressive MS (PPMS) who were initiating anti-CD20 treatment (recruitment: 2016-2018; analysis: 2020-2023). A single-site confirmation cohort was used to assess CSF at baseline and long-term (>10 year) clinical follow-up (analysis: 2022-2023). Exposures: Test-cohort participants initiated standard-of-care ocrelizumab treatment. Confirmation-cohort participants were untreated or received standard-of-care disease-modifying MS therapies. Main Outcomes and Measures: Twenty-five CSF markers, including neurofilament light chain, neurofilament heavy chain, and glial fibrillary acid protein (GFAP); 24-week confirmed disability progression (CDP24); and brain magnetic resonance imaging measures reflecting focal injury, tissue loss, and progressive biology (slowly expanding lesions [SELs]). Results: The test cohort (n = 131) included 100 patients with RMS (mean [SD] age, 36.6 [10.4] years; 68 [68%] female and 32 [32%] male; Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] score, 0-5.5), and 31 patients with PPMS (mean [SD] age, 44.9 [7.4] years; 15 [48%] female and 16 [52%] male; EDSS score, 3.0-6.5). The confirmation cohort (n = 68) included 41 patients with RMS and 27 with PPMS enrolled at diagnosis (age, 40 years [range, 20-61 years]; 47 [69%] female and 21 [31%] male). In the test cohort, GFAP was correlated with SEL count (r = 0.33), greater proportion of T2 lesion volume from SELs (r = 0.24), and lower T1-weighted intensity within SELs (r = -0.33) but not with acute inflammatory measures. Neurofilament heavy chain was correlated with SEL count (r = 0.25) and lower T1-weighted intensity within SELs (r = -0.28). Immune markers correlated with measures of acute inflammation and, unlike GFAP, were impacted by anti-CD20. In the confirmation cohort, higher baseline CSF GFAP levels were associated with long-term CDP24 (hazard ratio, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.3-3.4; P = .002). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, activated glial markers (in particular GFAP) and neurofilament heavy chain were associated specifically with nonrelapsing progressive disease outcomes (independent of acute inflammatory activity). Elevated CSF GFAP was associated with long-term MS disease progression.

Predictors of relapsing disease course following index event in myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD).

BACKGROUND: Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) is an autoimmune disease that can present as a monophasic or relapsing disease course. Here, we investigate the predictors of developing relapsing disease with a focus on the index event. METHODS: MOGAD patients followed at Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Women's Hospital were included. Data on demographic, clinical, and laboratory features were collected. Time-to-event survival analysis was performed using a Cox proportional hazards model. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed. RESULTS: We included 124 patients with a diagnosis of MOGAD of which 62.1% (n = 77) were female. The median (IQR) onset age and follow-up time were 31 (16, 45), and 4.08 (2.2, 7.9) years respectively. In total, 40.3% (n = 50) of patients remained monophasic and, 59.7% (n = 74) developed a relapsing course. The median (IQR) time between the index event and the second attack was 3(2, 13.7) months. Starting maintenance therapy following the index event was associated with decreased risk of relapsing disease (HR:0.26; 95%CI: 0.12, 0.54; P < 0.001). Maintenance therapy with intravenous immunoglobulin (HR:0.1; 95% CI:0.01, 0.78, P = 0.02), rituximab (HR: 0.21; 95%CI: 0.08, 0.55; P = 0.001), and mycophenolate mofetil (HR: 0.27; 95%CI: 0.09, 0.77; P = 0.01) was associated with a decreased risk of relapsing disease course. A polyphasic first attack (HR:2.4; 95%CI:1.31, 4.4; P = 0.004) and high CSF protein (HR:2.06; 95%CI: 1.01, 4.16; P = 0.04) were associated with a relapsing course. CONCLUSIONS: In MOGAD patients, starting maintenance therapy following the index event reduces the risk of relapsing disease regardless of age, sex, and onset phenotype, while polyphasic first attack, and elevated CSF protein predict relapsing disease course.

Progression independent of relapses in aquaporin4-IgG-seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder, myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease, and multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) is present in Aquaporin4-IgG-seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (AQP4+NMOSD), Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) and relapsing remitting Multiple sclerosis (RRMS). METHODS: We retrospectively studied the change in EDSS, confirmed disability worsening (CDW) (i.e., PIRA), and new MRI lesions in AQP4+NMOSD, and MOGAD and MS patients. Linear mixed-effect regression model was used to compare the longitudinal changes in EDSS, and Cox regression was used to compare changes in MRI. RESULTS: The estimated mean ΔEDSS in the AQP4+NMOSD and matched MS group were +0.06 (95%CI: -0.40, +0.52, p = 0.76), and +0.02 (95%CI: -0.05, +0.08, p = 0.6) respectively. The same estimate was -0.08 (95%CI: -0.18, +0.02, p = 0.12) in MOGAD and +0.05 (95%CI: -0.05, +0.15, p = 0.35) in matched MS group. Comparing groups for the presence of CDW (i.e., PIRA) showed that PIRA is more associated with MS compared to AQP4+NMOSD (p = 0.02) and MOGAD (p<0.001). Compared to their matched MS groups, the annualized rate of PIRA was significantly lower in AQP4 (0.08 vs 0.44; p<0.0001), and MOG groups (0.04 vs 0.13; p<0.0001). New T2 or enhancing lesions on brain MRI were higher in MS compared to AQP4+NMOSD and MOGAD patients. CONCLUSION: Relapse-independent changes in the EDSS, CDW, and MRI activity are not common in AQP4+NMOSD and MOGAD, especially when compared with MS. Since our patients were on relapse prevention therapies at the time of EDSS measurements, our study supports the importance of preventing relapses in AQP4+NMOSD and MOGAD and suggests different pathologic mechanisms of relapse-free neurological damage between MS and AQP4+NMOSD/MOGAD.

Increasing Neurofilament and Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein After Treatment Discontinuation Predicts Multiple Sclerosis Disease Activity.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Stable patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) may discontinue treatment, but the risk of disease activity is unknown. Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) and serum glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP) are biomarkers of subclinical disease activity and may help risk stratification. In this study, sNfL and sGFAP levels in stable patients were evaluated before and after treatment discontinuation to determine association with disease activity. METHODS: This observational study included patients enrolled in the Comprehensive Longitudinal Investigation in MS at the Brigham and Women's Hospital who discontinued treatment after >2 years disease activity-free. Two serum samples within 2 years, before and after treatment stop, were sent for sNfL and sGFAP measurements by single-molecule array. Biannual neurologic examinations and yearly MRI scans determined disease activity by 3 time-to-event outcomes: 6-month confirmed disability worsening (CDW), clinical attacks, and MRI activity (new T2 or contrast-enhancing lesions). Associations between each outcome and log-transformed sNfL and sGFAP levels pretreatment stop and posttreatment stop and the percent change were estimated using multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusting for age, disability, disease duration, and duration from attack before treatment stop. RESULTS: Seventy-eight patients (92% female) discontinued treatment at a median (interquartile range) age of 48.5 years (39.0-55.7) and disease duration of 12.3 years (7.5-18.8) and were followed up for 6.3 years (4.2-8.5). CDW occurred in 27 patients (35%), new attacks in 19 (24%), and new MRI activity in 26 (33%). Higher posttreatment stop sNfL level was associated with CDW (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 2.80, 95% CI 1.36-5.76, p = 0.005) and new MRI activity (aHR 3.09, 95% CI 1.42-6.70, p = 0.004). Patients who had >100% increase in sNfL level from pretreatment stop to posttreatment stop had greater risk of CDW (HR 3.87, 95% CI 1.4-10.7, p = 0.009) and developing new MRI activity (HR 4.02, 95% CI 1.51-10.7, p = 0.005). Patients who had >50% increase in sGFAP level also had greater risk of CDW (HR 5.34, 95% CI 1.4-19.9, p = 0.012) and developing new MRI activity (HR 5.16, 95% CI 1.71-15.6, p = 0.004). DISCUSSION: Stable patients who discontinue treatment may be risk stratified by sNfL and sGFAP levels measured before and after discontinuing treatment. Further studies are needed to validate findings and determine whether resuming treatment in patients with increasing biomarker levels reduces risk of subsequent disease activity.

Accuracy of serum neurofilament light to identify contrast-enhancing lesions in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Contrast-enhancing magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) lesions (CELs) indicate acute multiple sclerosis inflammation. Serum biomarkers, neurofilament light (sNfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP) may increase in the presence of CELs, and indicate a need to perform MRI. OBJECTIVE: We assessed the accuracy of biomarkers to detect CELs. METHODS: Patients with two gadolinium-enhanced MRIs and serum biomarkers tested within 3 months were included (N = 557, 66% female). Optimal cut-points from Bland-Altman analysis for spot biomarker level and Youden's index for delta-change from remission were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 116 patients (21%) had CELs. A spot sNfL measurement >23.0 pg/mL corresponded to 7.0 times higher odds of CEL presence (95% CI: 3.8, 12.8), with 25.9% sensitivity, 95.2% specificity, operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.61; while sNfL delta-change >30.8% from remission corresponded to 5.0 times higher odds (95% CI: 3.2, 7.8), 52.6% sensitivity, 81.9% specificity, AUC 0.67. sGFAP had poor CEL detection. In patients > 50 years, neither cut-point remained significant. sNfL delta-change outperformed spot levels at identifying asymptomatic CELs (AUC 0.67 vs 0.59) and in patients without treatment escalation between samples (AUC 0.67 vs 0.57). CONCLUSION: Spot sNfL >23.0 pg/mL or a 30.8% increase from remission provides modest prediction of CELs in patients <50 years; however, low sNfL does not obviate the need for MRI.

Early miR-320b and miR-25-3p miRNA levels correlate with multiple sclerosis severity at 10 years: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic demyelinating autoimmune disorder which may cause long-term disability. MicroRNA (miRNA) are stable, non-coding molecules that have been identified in our Comprehensive Longitudinal Investigation of Multiple Sclerosis at the Brigham and Women's Hospital (CLIMB)-cohort, as well as other international cohorts, as potential disease biomarkers in MS. However, few studies have evaluated the association of miRNA expression early in the MS disease course with long-term outcomes. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the potential role of three candidate serum miRNAs previously correlated with MS disability in patients with MS, miR-320b, miR-25-3p and miRNA 486-5p, as early biomarkers of MS disability at 10-year follow-up. MAIN BODY: We included 144 patients with serum obtained within three years of MS onset. miRNA expression was measured by RNA extraction followed by RT-PCR. Demographic, clinical, brain MRI and other biomarkers were collected. The primary outcome was the association between early miRNA expression and retaining benign MS, defined as EDSS ≤ 2 at 10-year follow-up. Among the 144 patients, 104 were benign and 40 were not benign at 10-year follow-up. 89 (62%) were women, with mean age at onset 37.7 (SD: 9.6) years. Patients who retained benign MS had lower values of miR-25-3p (p = 0.047) and higher miR-320b (p = 0.025) values. Development of SPMS was associated with higher miR-320b (p = 0.002) levels. Brain parenchymal fraction at year 10 was negatively correlated with miR-25-3p (p = 0.0004) and positively correlated with miR-320b (p = 0.006). No association was found between miR-486-5p and any outcome, and 10-year T2-lesion volume was not associated with any miRNA. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that miR-320b and miR-25-3p expression are early biomarkers associated with MS severity and brain atrophy. This study provides class III evidence of that miR-320b and miR-25-3p are associated with long-term MS disability which may be a potential tool to risk-stratify patients with MS for early treatment decisions.

Preserved T cell but attenuated antibody response in MS patients on fingolimod and ocrelizumab following 2nd and 3rd SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine.

Background: There is limited knowledge about T cell responses in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) after 3 doses of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) mRNA vaccine. Objectives: Assess the SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody and T cell responses in MS patients and healthy controls (HCs) after 2 doses (2-vax) and 3 doses (3-vax) of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccination. Methods: We studied seroconversion rates and T cell responses by flow cytometry in HC and MS patients on fingolimod or ocrelizumab. Results: After 2-vax, 8/33 (24.2%) patients in ocrelizumab group, 5/7 (71.4%) in fingolimod group, and 29/29 (100%) in HC group (P = 5.7 × 10-11) seroconverted. After 3-vax, 9/22 (40.9%) patients in ocrelizumab group, 19/21 (90.5%) in fingolimod group, and 7/7 (100%) in HC group seroconverted (P = 0.0003). The percentage of SARS-CoV-2 peptide reactive total CD4+ T cells increased in HC and ocrelizumab group but not in fingolimod group after 2-vax and 3-vax (P < 0.0001). The percentage of IFNγ and TNFα producing total CD4+ and CD8+ T cells increased in fingolimod group as compared to HC and ocrelizumab group after 2-vax and 3-vax (P < 0.0001). Conclusions: MS patients on ocrelizumab and fingolimod had attenuated humoral responses, but preserved cytokine producing T cell responses compared to HCs after SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccination. Clinical Trials Registration: NCT05060354.

Early neurofilament light and glial fibrillary acidic protein levels improve predictive models of multiple sclerosis outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Early risk-stratification in multiple sclerosis (MS) may impact treatment decisions. Current predictive models have identified that clinical and imaging characteristics of aggressive disease are associated with worse long-term outcomes. Serum biomarkers, neurofilament (sNfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP), reflect subclinical disease activity through separate pathological processes and may contribute to predictive models of clinical and MRI outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of the Comprehensive Longitudinal Investigation of Multiple Sclerosis at the Brigham and Women's Hospital (CLIMB study), where patients with multiple sclerosis are seen every 6 months and undergo Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) assessment, have annual brain MRI scans where volumetric analysis is conducted to calculate T2-lesion volume (T2LV) and brain parenchymal fraction (BPF), and donate a yearly blood sample for subsequent analysis. We included patients with newly diagnosed relapsing-remitting MS and serum samples obtained at baseline visit and 1-year follow-up (both within 3 years of onset), and were assessed at 10-year follow-up. We measured sNfL and sGFAP by single molecule array at baseline visit and at 1-year follow-up. A predictive clinical model was developed using age, sex, Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), pyramidal signs, relapse rate, and spinal cord lesions at first visit. The main outcome was odds of developing of secondary progressive (SP)MS at year 10. Secondary outcomes included 10-year EDSS, brain T2LV and BPF. We compared the goodness-of-fit of the predictive clinical model with and without sNfL and sGFAP at baseline and 1-year follow-up, for each outcome by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) or R-squared. RESULTS: A total 144 patients with median MS onset at age 37.4 years (interquartile range: 29.4-45.4), 64% female, were included. SPMS developed in 25 (17.4%) patients. The AUC for the predictive clinical model without biomarker data was 0.73, which improved to 0.77 when both sNfL and sGFAP were included in the model (P = 0.021). In this model, higher baseline sGFAP associated with developing SPMS (OR=3.3 [95%CI:1.1,10.6], P = 0.04). Adding 1-year follow-up biomarker levels further improved the model fit (AUC = 0.79) but this change was not statistically significant (P = 0.15). Adding baseline biomarker data also improved the R-squared of clinical models for 10-year EDSS from 0.24 to 0.28 (P = 0.032), while additional 1-year follow-up levels did not. Baseline sGFAP was associated with 10-year EDSS (ß=0.58 [95%CI:0.00,1.16], P = 0.05). For MRI outcomes, baseline biomarker levels improved R-squared for T2LV from 0.12 to 0.27 (P<0.001), and BPF from 0.15 to 0.20 (P = 0.042). Adding 1-year follow-up biomarker data further improved T2LV to 0.33 (P = 0.0065) and BPF to 0.23 (P = 0.048). Baseline sNfL was associated with T2LV (ß=0.34 [95%CI:0.21,0.48], P<0.001) and 1-year follow-up sNfL with BPF (ß=-2.53% [95%CI:-4.18,-0.89], P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Early biomarker levels modestly improve predictive models containing clinical and MRI variables. Worse clinical outcomes, SPMS and EDSS, are associated with higher sGFAP levels and worse MRI outcomes, T2LV and BPF, are associated with higher sNfL levels. Prospective study implementing these predictive models into clinical practice are needed to determine if early biomarker levels meaningfully impact clinical practice.

Autoimmune diseases and cancers overlapping with myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD): A systematic review.

Background: Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) has various similarities with AQP4-IgG-seropositive Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder (AQP4-IgG + NMOSD) in terms of clinical presentations, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings, and response to treatment. But unlike AQP4-IgG + NMOSD, which is known to coexist with various autoimmune diseases and cancers, an association of MOGAD with these conditions is less clear. Methods: We conducted a systematic search in PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase based on the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analysis (PRISMA). Duplicates were removed using Mendeley 1.19.8 (USA production) and the citations were uploaded into Covidence systematic review platform for screening. Results: The most common autoimmune disease overlapping with MOGAD was anti-N-Methyl-D-Aspartate receptor encephalitis (anti-NMDAR-EN), followed by autoimmune thyroid disorders, and the most common autoantibody was antinuclear antibody (ANA), followed by AQP4-IgG (double-positive MOG-IgG and AQP4-IgG). A few sporadic cases of cancers and MOG-IgG-associated paraneoplastic encephalomyelitis were found. Conclusion: Unlike AQP4-IgG + NMOSD, MOGAD lacks clustering of autoimmune diseases and autoantibodies associated with systemic and organ-specific autoimmunity. Other than anti-NMDAR-EN and perhaps AQP4-IgG + NMOSD, the evidence thus far does not support the need for routine screening of overlapping autoimmunity and neoplasms in patients with MOGAD.

Humoral response to COVID-19 vaccination in MS patients on disease modifying therapy: Immune profiles and clinical outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) on some disease modifying therapies (DMTs), particularly anti-CD20 and sphingosine-1-phosphate (S1P) modulators, are at increased risk of severe Coronavirus Disease 19 (COVID-19) and death. COVID-19 vaccinations are effective in preventing infection and severe disease, but humoral response to vaccination and outcomes of COVID-19 infection after vaccination in MS patients on DMTs remain less understood. METHODS: In this retrospective single-center study, patients enrolled in the CLIMB (Comprehensive Longitudinal Investigation of Multiple Sclerosis at Brigham and Women's Hospital) study and biorepository who had been vaccinated against COVID-19 and had SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody (anti-SARS-CoV-2 S Roche-Elecsys) testing were identified and compared to healthy controls. Demographic data, serum immune profiles including lymphocyte count, B-cell count, and immunoglobulins, and clinical outcome of COVID-19 infection were collected. RESULTS: 254 patients (73.2% female, mean (SD) age 52.9 (11.2) years) were identified. When controlling for age, time since vaccination, and vaccine type, patients on fingolimod, ocrelizumab, rituximab, mycophenolate mofetil, natalizumab and teriflunomide had significantly lower levels of spike antibodies compared to healthy controls (n = 34). Longer duration of treatment was associated with lower spike antibody levels in patients on anti-CD20 therapy (p = 0.016) and S1P modulators (p = 0.016) compared to healthy controls. In patients on anti-CD20 therapy, higher spike antibody levels were associated with higher CD20 cell count (p<0.001), and longer time since last anti-CD20 therapy infusion (p<0.001). 92.8% (13/14) vaccine responders (spike antibody titer >100 ug/dL) on anti-CD20 therapy demonstrated B-cell reconstitution (mean CD20 3.6%). Only 1 out of 86 patients with CD20 of 0% had a measurable spike antibody response to vaccination. During follow-up (mean 270 days), five patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 after vaccination (incidence 1.9%), all of whom had spike antibody < 20 ug/dL. No patients required ICU care or died. CONCLUSIONS: Patients on some DMTs demonstrate reduced humoral immunity after Sars-CoV-2 vaccination. Longer duration of anti-CD20 therapy and reduced CD20 cell count is associated with blunted humoral response to vaccination. CD20 reconstitution >0.1% appears necessary, but not always sufficient, for humoral response to vaccination. Breakthrough COVID-19 infection in our cohort of MS patients on DMT was higher than in population studies. We propose that adjustment of B-cell therapy administration to allow for B-cell reconstitution prior to vaccination should be considered.

Younger age at multiple sclerosis onset is associated with worse outcomes at age 50.

OBJECTIVE: Older age at multiple sclerosis (MS) onset has been associated with worse 10-year outcomes. However, disease duration often exceeds 10 years and age-related comorbidities may also contribute to disability. We investigated patients with>10 years disease duration to determine how age at MS onset is associated with clinical, MRI and occupational outcomes at age 50. METHODS: We included patients enrolled in the Comprehensive Longitudinal Investigation of Multiple Sclerosis at the Brigham and Women's Hospital with disease duration>10 years. Outcomes at age 50 included the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), development of secondary-progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS), brain T2-lesion volume (T2LV) and brain parenchymal fraction (BPF), and occupational status. We assessed how onset age was independently associated with each outcome when adjusting for the date of visit closest to age 50, sex, time to first treatment, number of treatments by age 50 and exposure to high-efficacy treatments by age 50. RESULTS: We included 661 patients with median onset at 31.4 years. The outcomes at age 50 were worse the younger first symptoms developed: for every 5 years earlier, the EDSS was 0.22 points worse (95% CI: 0.04 to 0.40; p=0.015), odds of SPMS 1.33 times higher (95% CI: 1.08 to 1.64; p=0.008), T2LV 1.86 mL higher (95% CI: 1.02 to 2.70; p<0.001), BPF 0.97% worse (95% CI: 0.52 to 1.42; p<0.001) and odds of unemployment from MS 1.24 times higher (95% CI: 1.01 to 1.53; p=0.037). CONCLUSIONS: All outcomes at age 50 were worse in patients with younger age at onset. Decisions to provide high-efficacy treatments should consider younger age at onset, equating to a longer expected disease duration, as a poor prognostic factor.

Early Predictors of Clinical and MRI Outcomes Using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) in Multiple Sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to identify predictors in common between different clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) outcomes in multiple sclerosis (MS) by comparing predictive models. METHODS: We analyzed 704 patients from our center seen at MS onset, measuring 37 baseline demographic, clinical, treatment, and MRI predictors, and 10-year outcomes. Our primary aim was identifying predictors in common among clinical outcomes: aggressive MS, benign MS, and secondary-progressive (SP)MS. We also investigated MRI outcomes: T2 lesion volume (T2LV) and brain parenchymal fraction (BPF). The performance of the full 37-predictor model was compared with a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-selected model of predictors in common between each outcome by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs). RESULTS: The full 37-predictor model was highly predictive of clinical outcomes: in-sample AUC was 0.91 for aggressive MS, 0.81 for benign MS, and 0.81 for SPMS. After variable selection, 10 LASSO-selected predictors were in common between each clinical outcome: age, Expanded Disability Status Scale, pyramidal, cerebellar, sensory and bowel/bladder signs, timed 25-foot walk ≥6 seconds, poor attack recovery, no sensory attacks, and time-to-treatment. This reduced model had comparable cross-validation AUC as the full 37-predictor model: 0.84 versus 0.81 for aggressive MS, 0.75 versus 0.73 for benign MS, and 0.76 versus 0.75 for SPMS, respectively. In contrast, 10-year MRI outcomes were more strongly influenced by initial T2LV and BPF than clinical outcomes. INTERPRETATION: Early prognostication of MS is possible using LASSO modeling to identify a limited set of accessible clinical features. These predictive models can be clinically usable in treatment decision making once implemented into web-based calculators. ANN NEUROL 2022;92:87-96.

Serum neurofilament light in MS: The first true blood-based biomarker?

A simple blood-derived biomarker is desirable in the routine management of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients and serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) is the most promising candidate. Although its utility was first shown in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), technological advancements have enabled reliable detection in serum and less frequently plasma, obviating the need for repeated lumbar punctures. In this review, after defining the knowledge gap in MS management that many hope sNfL could fill, we summarize salient studies demonstrating associations of sNfL levels with outcomes of interest. We group these outcomes into inflammatory activity, progression, treatment response, and prediction/prognosis. Where possible we focus on data from real-world perspective observational cohorts. While acknowledging the limitations of sNfL and highlighting key areas for ongoing work, we conclude with our opinion of the role for sNfL as an objective, convenient, and cost-effective adjunct to clinical assessment. Paving the way for other promising biomarkers both blood-derived and otherwise, sNfL is an incremental step toward precision medicine for MS patients.

A real-world single-centre analysis of alemtuzumab and cladribine for multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Highly active MS may warrant higher efficacy treatments for disease control. However, these often confer more risk and have not been compared in head-to-head clinical trials, making relative efficacy and safety difficult to interpret. Alemtuzumab and cladribine are two high-efficacy treatments given as discrete courses separated by one year, followed by a durable response that potentially does not require ongoing treatment. Before the approval of oral cladribine, our centre had been treating patients with a bioequivalent intravenous (IV) regimen since 2010. The objective of this study is to report the safety and efficacy data of alemtuzumab and cladribine in a real-world, single centre setting. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed all patients treated with alemtuzumab or cladribine at the Ottawa Hospital MS Clinic with 2 or more years of follow-up. Information on baseline demographic variables, previous treatment, and prior disease activity was collected. Outcomes investigated were "no evidence of disease activity" (NEDA) and its constituents: new clinical relapse, new MRI activity, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression; as well as any adverse events or treatment discontinuation. We performed univariate and multiple logistic regression to determine differences in 2-year NEDA and time-to-event analyses with Cox regression models to determine factors associated with each outcome through the study period. RESULTS: Forty-six patients were treated with alemtuzumab and 65 with cladribine of whom 51 (78%) received the intravenous regimen, followed for a total of 420.1 person-years. The cladribine group was older (p=.0002), with higher baseline EDSS (p=.0015), and more likely secondary progressive (p<.0001). Alemtuzumab had a higher rate of 2-year NEDA than cladribine (OR 4.78, 95%CI: 1.57-14.50, p=.006), but beyond 2 years the difference was not statistically significant (HR 0.50, 95%CI: 0.25-1. 30, p=.061). More prior treatments were associated with lower likelihood of retaining NEDA (HR 1.26, 95%CI: 1.03-1.54, p=.027). Alemtuzumab had more infusion reactions (80% vs. 17%, p<.0001), shingles (22% vs. 2%, p=.005), and secondary autoimmunity (52% vs. 3%, p<.0001) than cladribine, but there was no difference in grade 3 or higher adverse events (21.7% vs. 18.5%, p=1.0). CONCLUSION: In our cohort alemtuzumab and cladribine achieved similar rates of NEDA in long-term follow-up, with overall less adverse events with cladribine. Patient registries would allow more robust comparisons, detection of adverse events, and assessment of a durable response.

Reactivation of SARS-CoV-2 after Rituximab in a Patient with Multiple Sclerosis.

A 32-year-old woman with highly active MS was infected with SARS-CoV-2 while on treatment with rituximab. She recovered and was symptom-free for 21 days before receiving rituximab and IVIg for comorbid hypogammaglobulinemia. Three days after the infusion she redeveloped respiratory symptoms and required admission. Three SARS-CoV-2 nasopharyngeal swabs and antibody testing was negative; however, bronchial alveolar lavage detected SARS-CoV-2. Reactivation of SARS-CoV-2 after rituximab for MS has not been reported but is a known risk in other conditions. The timing of anti-CD20 treatment after SARS-CoV-2 infection requires further investigation and individual consideration to reduce the risk of reactivation.

Direct oral anticoagulants in treatment of cerebral venous thrombosis: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVES: Current guidelines do not recommend direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) to treat cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) despite their benefits over standard therapy. We performed a systematic review to summarise the published experience of DOAC therapy in CVT. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase and COCHRANE databases up to 18 November 2020. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: All published articles of patients with CVT treated with DOAC were included. Studies without follow-up information were excluded. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two independent reviewers screened articles and extracted data. A risk of bias analysis was performed. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Safety data included mortality, intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) or other adverse events. Efficacy data included recurrent CVT, recanalisation rates and disability by modified Rankin Scales (mRS). RESULTS: 33 studies met inclusion criteria. One randomised controlled trial, 5 observational cohorts and 27 case series or studies reported 279 patients treated with DOAC for CVT: 41% dabigatran, 47% rivaroxaban, 10% apixaban and 2% edoxaban, in addition to 315 patients treated with standard therapy. The observational cohorts showed a similar risk of death in DOAC and standard therapy arms (RR 2.12, 95% CI 0.29 to 15.59). New ICH was reported in 2 (0.7%) DOAC-treated patients and recurrent CVT occurred in 4 (1.5%). A favourable mRS between 0 and 2 was reported in 94% of DOAC-treated patients, more likely than standard therapy in observational cohorts (RR 1.13, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.25). CONCLUSION: The evidence for DOAC use in CVT is limited although suggests sufficient safety and efficacy despite variability in timing and dose of treatment. This systematic review highlights that further rigorous trials are needed to validate these findings and to determine optimal treatment regimens.

Recent advances and remaining questions of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in multiple sclerosis.

The judicious use of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) for MS requires understanding the potential benefits, identifying the most appropriate patient, and acknowledging the risks and differences between different protocols. Recently, AHSCT for MS is occurring more frequently, with a better safety profile than earlier studies. This review assesses recently published studies to determine the advances that have been made and remaining questions that future studies are poised to answer. We included studies from January 2016 to November 2020 with 20 or more patients. The benefits of AHSCT, including "no evidence of disease activity", functional and patient-reported outcomes, novel biomarkers such as brain atrophy or neurofilament light chain, and cost-effectiveness were assessed. The patient selection, treatment protocols, and safety outcomes differ between reports. The overall efficacy of AHSCT is better than standard treatments. Younger patients with highly active disease have greater chance for improvement, while patients who have comorbidities, failed more treatments, and are transitioning to a more progressive phase may not respond as well to AHSCT. The safety profiles for all AHSCT protocols is improving, however the durability of treatment response may not be the same for all protocols. The goal of AHSCT is to stop disease activity, avoid worsening disability, and obviate the need for further disease-modifying treatment, while improving patient quality of life and minimizing treatment-related risk. Results from currently enrolling randomized controlled trials, as well as ongoing registries, will provide more evidence for the safe and appropriate use of AHSCT.

Autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for multiple sclerosis: A current perspective.

The most effective treatment at halting inflammation in patients with highly active multiple sclerosis (MS) is immune ablation followed by autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT). Better patient selection and supportive management, as well as advances in conditioning regimens have resulted in improved safety with AHSCT. However, which comorbidities or prior therapies increase the risks associated with AHSCT still need to be determined. In addition, there is still debate as to which AHSCT conditioning regimen offers the best balance of long-term efficacy and safety. New studies comparing AHSCT with highly effective disease-modifying therapies will help to inform on the ideal placement of AHSCT in the treatment algorithm. Currently, many centers are experienced and use AHSCT to treat select patients with MS, contributing to ongoing registries and clinical trials which will help answer these questions.