Deep Learning for Image Analysis in Kidney Care.

Analysis of medical images, such as radiological or tissue specimens, is an indispensable part of medical diagnostics. Conventionally done manually, the process may sometimes be time-consuming and prone to interobserver variability. Image classification and segmentation by deep learning strategies, predominantly convolutional neural networks, may provide a significant advance in the diagnostic process. In renal medicine, most evidence has been generated around the radiological assessment of renal abnormalities and histological analysis of renal biopsy specimens' segmentation. In this article, the basic principles of image analysis by convolutional neural networks, brief descriptions of convolutional neural networks, and their system architecture for image analysis are discussed, in combination with examples regarding their use in image analysis in nephrology.

Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Model Predicting Arteriovenous Fistula Failure in a Large Network of Dialysis Clinics.

Background: Vascular access surveillance of dialysis patients is a challenging task for clinicians. We derived and validated an arteriovenous fistula failure model (AVF-FM) based on machine learning. Methods: The AVF-FM is an XG-Boost algorithm aimed at predicting AVF failure within three months among in-centre dialysis patients. The model was trained in the derivation set (70% of initial cohort) by exploiting the information routinely collected in the Nephrocare European Clinical Database (EuCliD®). Model performance was tested by concordance statistic and calibration charts in the remaining 30% of records. Features importance was computed using the SHAP method. Results: We included 13,369 patients, overall. The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC-ROC) of AVF-FM was 0.80 (95% CI 0.79-0.81). Model calibration showed excellent representation of observed failure risk. Variables associated with the greatest impact on risk estimates were previous history of AVF complications, followed by access recirculation and other functional parameters including metrics describing temporal pattern of dialysis dose, blood flow, dynamic venous and arterial pressures. Conclusions: The AVF-FM achieved good discrimination and calibration properties by combining routinely collected clinical and sensor data that require no additional effort by healthcare staff. Therefore, it can potentially enable risk-based personalization of AVF surveillance strategies.