ABSTRACT
Donor T cell chimerism is associated with relapse outcomes after allogeneic stem cell transplantation (alloSCT) for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). However, measures of statistical association do not adequately assess the performance of a prognostic biomarker, which is best characterized by its sensitivity and specificity for the chosen outcome. We analyzed donor T cell chimerism results at day 100 (D100chim) after myeloablative alloSCT for AML or MDS in 103 patients and determined its sensitivity and specificity for relapse-free survival at 6 months (RFS6) and 12 months (RFS12) post-alloSCT. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for RFS6 was .68, demonstrating only modest utility as a predictive biomarker, although this was greater than RFS12 at .62. Using a D100chim threshold of 65%, the specificity for RFS6 was 96.6%; however, sensitivity was poor at 26.7%. This equated to a negative predictive value of 88.5% and positive predictive value of 57.1%. Changing the threshold for D100chim to 75% or 85% modestly improved the sensitivity of D100chim for RFS6; however, this was at the expense of specificity. D100chim is specific but lacks sensitivity as a prognostic biomarker of early RFS after myeloablative alloSCT for AML or MDS. Caution is required when using D100chim to guide treatment decisions including immunologic manipulation, which may expose patients to unwarranted graft-versus-host disease.
Subject(s)
Chimerism , Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/methods , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/therapy , Myeloablative Agonists/therapeutic use , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/therapy , Adolescent , Adult , Chimerism/drug effects , Disease-Free Survival , Female , Humans , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/diagnosis , Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/mortality , Male , Middle Aged , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/diagnosis , Myelodysplastic Syndromes/mortality , Predictive Value of Tests , Prognosis , ROC Curve , Sensitivity and Specificity , T-Lymphocytes/transplantation , Transplantation, Homologous , Young AdultABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Targeted MEK inhibition is an emerging therapy in a number of solid tumors. It holds particular promise in BRAF V600E mutation-positive malignant melanoma, where constitutive activation and cell growth through the MAP kinase (MAPK) pathway is well established. In vitro and preclinical research indicates that MAPK pathway activation is important in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) leukemogenesis; however, the potential of MEK inhibition has not yet been investigated clinically in the setting of such hematologic malignancies. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We report a case of complete hematologic response of CML to MEK inhibition in a patient with synchronous metastatic melanoma, who received treatment with combination BRAF and MEK1/2 inhibitors. We studied the effects of these agents on proliferation and outgrowth of myeloid precursors, and longitudinal shifts in peripheral blood phenotyping during the course of treatment. A model cell line system was used to examine the effects of dabrafenib and trametinib on MAPK and BCR-ABL1 signaling. RESULTS: After 35 weeks on treatment with BRAF and MEK inhibitors, complete hematologic response was observed without recourse to BCR-ABL1-targeted therapy. MEK inhibition was principally responsible for impaired proliferation of both mature and primitive myeloid precursors, as well as growth and hemoglobinization of erythroid precursors. Paradoxical activation of the MAPK pathway was seen in response to BRAF inhibitor therapy but this was easily overcome by clinically relevant doses of concurrent MEK inhibitor. CONCLUSIONS: These studies suggest that further evaluation of the optimal MAPK targeting approach is warranted to extend therapeutic options in CML.
