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1.
J Affect Disord ; 250: 153-162, 2019 05 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30856492

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Social workers have an elevated risk for mental disorders, but little is known about their antidepressant treatment. AIMS: To examine any and long-term antidepressant treatment among social workers in Finland, Sweden and Denmark. METHODS: We linked records from drug prescription registers to three prospective cohorts: the Finnish Public Sector study, years 2006-2011, and nation-wide cohorts in Sweden and Denmark, years 2006-2014, including a total of 1.5 million employees in (1) social work, (2) other social and health care professions, (3) education and (4) office work. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios for any and long-term (>6 months) antidepressant treatment among social workers compared to the three reference occupational groups and carried out meta-analyses. RESULTS: During follow-up, 25% of social workers had any prescriptions for antidepressants (19-24% reference occupations) and 20% for long-term treatment (14-19% reference occupations). The pooled effects for any and long-term treatment showed that probabilities were 10% higher in social workers compared to other health and social care professionals and 30% higher compared to education and non-human service professionals. Probabilities for any treatment in the three countries were relatively similar, but for long-term treatment social workers in Finland had a greater risk compared with other human service professions. LIMITATIONS: There were differences between the cohorts in the availability of data. Specific diagnoses for the antidepressant treatment were not known neither adherence to treatment. CONCLUSION: Social workers have a higher risk for any and long-term antidepressant treatment than other human and non-human service professionals.


Subject(s)
Antidepressive Agents/therapeutic use , Depressive Disorder/drug therapy , Health Personnel/psychology , Social Workers/psychology , Adult , Cohort Studies , Denmark , Depressive Disorder/psychology , Female , Finland , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prospective Studies , Registries , Sweden
2.
Acta Neurol Scand ; 125(3): 213-7, 2012 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21699500

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Danish National Patient Register, Landspatientregistret (LPR), is a register of all hospital discharges and outpatient treatments in Denmark. AIMS: It is increasingly used in research so it is important to understand to what extent this can be used as an accurate source of information. Virtually all patients in Denmark with multiple sclerosis (MS) are reported to the Combined MS Registry (DMSR), so this was used as the standard which the LPR was compared against. METHODS: All residents of Denmark are assigned a unique Civil Register (CPR) number; this was used to compare data between registers. The LPR completeness was estimated by the proportion of cases from the DMSR that could be retrieved from the LPR. The LPR validity was estimated by the proportion of cases, listed in the LPR and DMSR, in whom the MS diagnosis could be confirmed as definite/probable/possible by the DMSR. RESULTS: We found that 86.9% of those who were DMSR listed with an approved MS diagnosis were also listed in the LPR with a MS diagnosis. The diagnosis was valid in 96.3% of patients listed in the LPR when compared against the DMSR. CONCLUSIONS: The low completeness reduces the usefulness of the LPR in epidemiological MS research, in particular incidence studies. The study also found that the completeness of the LPR could be increased to 92.8% by including LPR records from other departments in addition, but this reduced the validity of the LPR to 95.1%. However, these results cannot uncritically be applied to registration of other diseases in the LPR.


Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis/diagnosis , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Registries/standards , Adult , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Hospital Departments/standards , Hospital Departments/statistics & numerical data , Hospitalization , Humans , Male , Multiple Sclerosis/therapy , Neurology/standards
4.
Int MS J ; 13(2): 66-71, 2006 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16635423

ABSTRACT

Long-term survival and trends in overall and cause-specific excess mortality among people with MS have been studied using the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, which contains information about all Danish MS patients since the mid-20th Century. A total of 4254 deaths among approximately 10,000 people with MS, representing more than 200,000 person-years of observation, have been analysed. Overall, mortality was almost three times higher and life expectancy 10 years less among people with MS than for the general population. However, excess mortality has declined significantly since 1950.


Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis/mortality , Denmark/epidemiology , Humans , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Prevalence , Survival Rate
5.
Mult Scler ; 11(5): 504-10, 2005 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16193885

ABSTRACT

The occurrence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in twins has not previously been studied in complete nationwide data sets. The existence of almost complete MS and twin registries in Denmark ensures that essentially unbiased samples of MS cases among twins can be obtained. In this population-based study, virtually all Danish MS cases among twins born before 1983 with onset of MS after 1948 and diagnosis before I January 1997 were identified. Of 13 286 MS cases, 178 were twins and, of these 164 twin pairs were discordant and seven were concordant. We found significantly higher proband-wise concordance among monozygotic twins than dizygotic twins, with estimated proband-wise concordances of 24% (95% confidence interval (CI): 5-39%) for monozygotic and 3% (95% CI: 0-8%) for dizygotic twins. Thus, a monozygotic twin whose co-twin has MS has a 24% risk of developing the disease, while the corresponding risk for a dizygotic twin is only 3%. Our results largely confirm previously published concordance estimates and indicate that genetic factors are of importance in susceptibility to MS.


Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Multiple Sclerosis/genetics , Registries , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Genetic Predisposition to Disease/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , Twins, Dizygotic , Twins, Monozygotic
6.
J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry ; 76(10): 1457-9, 2005 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16170097

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To compare the suicide risk among Danish citizens with multiple sclerosis with that of the general population, and to evaluate changes over 45 years. METHODS: The study was based on linkage of the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry to the Cause of Death Registry. It comprised all 10,174 persons in whom multiple sclerosis was diagnosed in the period 1953 to 1996. The end of follow up was 1 January 1999. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated for various times after diagnosis and for age and calendar period of diagnosis. RESULTS: In all, 115 persons (63 men, 52 women) had taken their own lives, whereas the expected number of suicides was 54.2 (29.1 men, 25.1 women). Thus the suicide risk among persons with multiple sclerosis was more than twice that of the general population (SMR = 2.12). The increased risk was particularly high during the first year after diagnosis (SMR = 3.15). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of suicide in multiple sclerosis was almost twice as high as expected more than 20 years after diagnosis. The excess suicide risk has not declined since 1953.


Subject(s)
Multiple Sclerosis/psychology , Suicide/statistics & numerical data , Adult , Age of Onset , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Prevalence , Registries , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution
7.
Neurology ; 62(5): 726-9, 2004 Mar 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15007121

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have suggested that psychological stress may play a role in the risk of multiple sclerosis (MS), but the evidence is very limited. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between MS and a well-defined major stressful life event: the death of a child. METHODS: In this follow-up study based on nationwide and population-based registers, all 21,062 parents who lost a child younger than 18 years from 1980 to 1996 in Denmark were included in the exposed cohort and 293,745 matched parents who did not lose a child in the unexposed cohort. The two cohorts were followed for incident MS from 1980 to 1997. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CI were calculated as the measure of association between the exposure and MS, using the Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS: Two hundred fifty-eight MS patients were identified (28 in the exposed cohort and 230 in the unexposed cohort). The exposed parents had an increased risk of MS (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.31), which is significant only when follow-up was at least 8 years. The HR for definite/probable MS was 1.42 (95% CI 0.90 to 2.24). Parents who lost a child unexpectedly had an HR of 2.13 (95% CI 1.13 to 4.03) for all MS, which is higher than that for other bereaved parents (HR 1.33; 95% CI 0.81 to 2.16). CONCLUSION: Psychological stress may play a role in the development of MS.


Subject(s)
Bereavement , Multiple Sclerosis/etiology , Stress, Psychological/complications , Adult , Cohort Studies , Denmark , Humans , Middle Aged , Multiple Sclerosis/epidemiology , Proportional Hazards Models , Risk Factors
8.
Public Health ; 116(2): 81-8, 2002 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11961675

ABSTRACT

Myocardial infarction incidence rate declined 3-5% per year during 1982-1992 in the Danish study population of the WHO MONICA Project. We examined whether smoking habits, alcohol intake, dietary habits and physical activity levels changed in the population during the same period. Data from 6695 men and women of ages 30, 40, 50 and 60 y, examined in 1982-4, in 1986-7, and in 1991-2, were analysed to estimate trends. A summary healthy eating index and six scores derived by factor analysis were used to analyse food frequency data. The percentage of smokers declined 1.6% per year in men, and 1.0% per year in 30-, 40- and 50-y-old women, but increased 0.9% per year in 60-y-old women. The percentages of heavy cigarette smoking men and women nevertheless remained constant and close to 30%. Total alcohol intake declined among 30-y-olds, but appeared constant in other age groups. However, among 60-y-old men and among women over 30, the percentage of wine-drinkers rose from 6-11% in 1982-4 to 9-18% in 1991-2. Only 60-y-old men became more physically active at work and only 30-y-old women more so in leisure times. The percentage of individuals with a low healthy eating index decreased and the percentage with a high index increased. More importantly, dietary factor scores showed trends suggesting that very profound and potentially beneficial changes in dietary habits occurred. Lifestyle in the DAN-MONICA population changed in several ways that may have contributed to the declining incidence of myocardial infarction during the 1980s.


Subject(s)
Health Behavior , Life Style , Myocardial Infarction/etiology , Population Surveillance , Adult , Alcohol Drinking/epidemiology , Denmark/epidemiology , Diet/statistics & numerical data , Exercise , Female , Humans , Incidence , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Myocardial Infarction/prevention & control , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , Smoking/epidemiology
9.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 54(12): 1244-50, 2001 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11750193

ABSTRACT

As part of the Danish WHO MONICA study, a register of patients with myocardial infarction was established in 1982, covering 11 municipalities in the western part of Copenhagen County, Denmark. During the period 1982-91, all cases of myocardial infarction among citizens aged 25-74 years were registered and validated according to the criteria set up for the WHO MONICA project. Short-term (28 days) and long-term (up to 15 years) survival in three periods were compared. The rate of mortality after a non-fatal myocardial infarction was compared with that of the general population, and causes of death were analyzed. Short-term survival did not change during the study period, whereas long-term survival improved for men but did not change for women. The excess mortality rate among female patients over that of the general population was due to ischemic heart disease, other cardiovascular diseases, cancer and other diseases. The excess mortality among male patients was due only to cardiovascular diseases.


Subject(s)
Myocardial Infarction/mortality , Adult , Aged , Cause of Death/trends , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Poisson Distribution , Registries , Survival Analysis
10.
Stroke ; 32(9): 2131-6, 2001 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11546907

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: As part of the Danish contribution to the World Health Organization (WHO) MONICA (Monitoring Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease) Project, a register of patients with stroke was established in 1982. The purpose of the present study was to analyze long-term survival and causes of death after a first stroke and to compare them with those of the background population. METHODS: The study population comprised all subjects aged 25 years or older who were resident in a geographically defined region in Copenhagen County. All stroke events in the study population during 1982-1991 were ascertained and validated according to standardized criteria outlined for the WHO MONICA Project. After completion of the stroke registry at the end of 1991, all patients were followed up by record linkage to official registries. Standardized mortality ratios were calculated for various causes of death and periods after the stroke. RESULTS: The estimated cumulative risks for death at 28 days, 1 year, and 5 years after onset were 28%, 41%, and 60%, respectively. Compared with the general population, nonfatal stroke was associated with an almost 5-fold increase in risk for death between 4 weeks and 1 year after a first stroke and a 2-fold increase in the risk for death subsequent to 1 year. The excess mortality rate in stroke patients was due mainly to cardiovascular diseases but also to cancer, other diseases, accidents, and suicide. The probability for long-term survival improved significantly during the observation period for patients with ischemic or ill-defined stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Stroke is a medical emergency associated with a very high risk for death in the acute and subacute phases and with a continuous excess risk of death. Better prevention and management of strokes may improve the long-term survival rate.


Subject(s)
Stroke/mortality , Adult , Age Distribution , Aged , Cause of Death/trends , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Risk Assessment , Sex Distribution , Survival Rate/trends
11.
Tob Control ; 10(3): 273-8, 2001 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11544393

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To estimate health expectancy--that is, the average lifetime in good health--among never smokers, ex-smokers, and smokers in Denmark. DESIGN: A method suggested by Peto and colleagues in 1992 for estimating smoking attributable mortality rates was used to construct a life table for never smokers. This life table and relative risks for death for ex-smokers and smokers versus never smokers were used to estimate life tables for ex-smokers and smokers. Life tables and prevalence rates of health status were combined and health expectancy was calculated by Sullivan's method. SETTING: The Danish adult population. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The expected lifetime in self rated good health or without longstanding illness for never smokers and smokers. RESULTS: The expected lifetime of a 20 year old man who will never begin to smoke is 56.7 years, 48.7 (95% confidence interval (CI), 46.8 to 50.7) years of which are expected to be in self rated good health. The corresponding figures for a man who smokes heavily are 49.5 years, 36.5 (95% CI 35.0 to 38.1 ) years of which are in self rated good health. A 20 year old woman who will never begin to smoke can expect to live a further 60.9 years, with 46.4 (95% CI 44.9 to 47.8) years in self rated good health; if she is a lifelong heavy smoker, her expected lifetime is reduced to 53.8 years, 33.8 (95% CI 31.7 to 35.9) years of which are in self rated good health. Health expectancy based on long standing illness is reduced for smokers when compared with never smokers. CONCLUSIONS: Smoking reduces the expected lifetime in good health and increases the expected lifetime in poor health.


Subject(s)
Life Expectancy , Smoking/mortality , Adult , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Health Status , Humans , Interviews as Topic , Life Tables , Male , Population Surveillance , Smoking/adverse effects , Smoking/epidemiology
12.
Scand J Public Health ; 29(1): 40-3, 2001 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11355715

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To examine trends in alcohol drinking in different educational groups. METHODS: Data from three cross-sectional WHO MONICA surveys conducted in 1982-84, 1987, and 1991-92 were analysed to estimate trends in abstention, moderate, heavy, and sporadic heavy alcohol use in relation to level of education, age and smoking. In total, 6,695 Danish men and women aged 30, 40, 50, and 60 years were included. RESULTS: Alcohol drinking decreased in both men and women during the study period, but changes were only significant among the highest educated. In the highest educated men the prevalence of moderate alcohol use increased from 77 to 82%, while heavy alcohol use declined from 19 to 12%. In the highest educated women the prevalence of abstention increased from 15 to 22%, while moderate alcohol use declined from 78 to 68%. CONCLUSION: During the 1980s, alcohol drinking decreased among the highest educated men and women and an educational gradient in alcohol drinking widened in men and attenuated in women.


Subject(s)
Alcohol Drinking/epidemiology , Educational Status , Social Class , Adult , Aged , Analysis of Variance , Cross-Sectional Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Risk Factors , Surveys and Questionnaires
13.
Scand J Public Health ; 29(1): 5-12, 2001 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11355717

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Mortality and disease patterns in Greenland have greatly changed since the 1950s. Infectious diseases have decreased markedly; chronic diseases, suicides and violent deaths have increased. METHODS: Life tables for the period 1991-95 were used and health status was derived from the 1993/94 Greenland Health Interview Survey. Health expectancy for the Inuit population of Greenland was calculated by an index suggested by Sullivan. RESULTS: Greenland Inuit women live longer than men, but the expected lifetime in self-rated good health was shorter for women than for men. Chronic disease rates are high in Greenland, and consequently many healthy life years are lost, especially because of musculoskeletal diseases. Health expectancy decreases with age, but for this Inuit population the proportion of healthy life years increases after the age of 60, especially among men. CONCLUSION: The many healthy life years lost in Greenland according to self-rated poor health and chronic diseases should be a cause for concern in public health planning in Greenland. Special attention should also be paid to future investigations of regional patterns of health in Greenland, since there is great population heterogeneity according to geography and urbanization.


Subject(s)
Health Status , Inuit/statistics & numerical data , Life Expectancy/trends , Adult , Aged , Chronic Disease/epidemiology , Female , Greenland/epidemiology , Health Surveys , Humans , Life Tables , Male , Middle Aged , Population Surveillance , Prevalence
14.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 17(12): 1139-45, 2001.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12530774

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Growing awareness of risk factors for myocardial infarction (MI), continuous mass campaigns on lifestyle factors, increasing use of heart rehabilitation and improved treatment should imply decreases in the incidence, case-fatality and recurrence rates of MI. The purpose of the study was to assess trends in the incidence, case-fatality and recurrence rate of MI and to analyse whether any changes seen were due to a period or a cohort effect. METHODS: The Danish MONICA population comprises all men and women aged 25-74 years in the period 1982-1991 living in a suburban area of Copenhagen, Denmark. Fatal and non-fatal attacks classified as definite MI and non-fatal attacks classified as possible MI were included. The incidence rate was analysed by Poisson regression, the case-fatality rate by logistic regression, and the rate of recurrence by Cox regression. Age-period-cohort analyses were carried out according to a method described by Clayton and Schifflers. RESULTS: During the 10-year period a significant decrease in the incidence rate of MI was seen for men and women and for the rate of recurrent MI. The decrease in incidence and recurrence could not unambiguously be ascribed to a period or cohort effect. The rate of case-fatality after a first MI was not changed significantly during the period, whereas men and women had different trends in case-fatality after recurrent MI. CONCLUSIONS: In accordance with results from other Western countries we found a decline in the incidence and recurrence rate of MI. Contrary, the lack of a decrease in the case-fatality rate after a first MI was unexpected and difficult to explain.


Subject(s)
Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Incidence , Logistic Models , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/mortality , Netherlands/epidemiology , Poisson Distribution , Proportional Hazards Models , Recurrence , Registries , Risk Factors
15.
Ugeskr Laeger ; 163(46): 6417-20, 2001 Nov 12.
Article in Danish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11816919

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: The incidence rate of a first myocardial infarction declined 3-5% annually in the Danish WHO MONICA population in the period from 1982 to 1991. The aim of this study was to investigate whether levels of the most commonly considered biological traits associated with cardiovascular risk have changed in the Danish MONICA population during this period. METHOD: Data from 6,695 men and women of 30, 40, 50 and 60 years of age, examined in the Danish WHO MONICA surveys in 1982-1984, 1986-1987, and 1991-1992, were analysed to estimate temporal trends in body height and weight, blood pressure, and serum total, HDL, and LDL cholesterol, and triglyceride. RESULTS: Body height increased by 0.1% per year and the body mass index by 0.4% per year in women. The diastolic blood pressure increased 0.4% per year in women and 0.6% per year in 60-year-old men. HDL cholesterol declined 0.4% per year. Body mass indices in men, diastolic blood pressures in men < 60 years of age, systolic blood pressures, total and LDL cholesterol and triglyceride did not change. DISCUSSION: The levels of biological risk factors in the Danish WHO MONICA study population did not show trends during the 1980s that contribute to explain the declining incidence of myocardial infarction in the population.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/etiology , Myocardial Infarction/etiology , Adult , Blood Pressure , Body Height , Body Mass Index , Body Weight , Cardiovascular Diseases/blood , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cholesterol/blood , Cohort Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Myocardial Infarction/blood , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Risk Factors
16.
Ugeskr Laeger ; 162(43): 5772-7, 2000 Oct 23.
Article in Danish | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11082677

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Cigarette smoking is a serious threat against public health and the most important preventable cause of death. The purpose of this study is to predict the effect on smoking-attributable mortality in Denmark by reducing the number of cigarette smokers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The simulation model "Prevent" is used. This model operates with the population size and death rates in 1993, data on cigarette smoking from 1973 to 1992 and relative risks for the association between cigarette smoking and lung cancer, chronic bronchitis and emphysema, ischaemic heart disease and stroke. The influence of reduced cigarette smoking on mortality due to these diseases is studied. The expected effect on a smoke-free year group is estimated and so is the effect of the implementation of targets in the Danish Government's Public Health Programme 1999-2008. RESULTS: For the smoke-free year group death rates of ischaemic heart disease are reduced by one third for men and one half for women compared to unchanged cigarette smoking. Death rates of lung cancer, chronic bronchitis and emphysema would be approx. five times lower. If the proportion of Danish cigarette smokers could be reduced by one third over a period of ten years the reduced mortality due to lung cancer, chronic bronchitis and emphysema, ischaemic heart disease and stroke would increase the population (five mio. individuals) by 25,000 after 20 years. DISCUSSION: Intervention against cigarette smoking, especially among young people, would massively reduce mortality from several diseases in the long term. Also in the short term mortality would be reduced substantially by reducing the number of cigarette smokers.


Subject(s)
Smoking Cessation , Smoking/mortality , Adult , Aged , Bronchitis/mortality , Coronary Disease/mortality , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/mortality , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Statistical , Prognosis , Pulmonary Emphysema/mortality , Risk Factors , Stroke/mortality
17.
Scand J Public Health ; 28(3): 194-9, 2000 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11045751

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Social differences in mortality rates reported in Denmark gave rise to the present study of health expectancy in different socioeconomic groups. METHODS: Data on health status and occupation were derived from Health Interview Surveys. Information on occupation and deaths is register data. Health expectancy in each socioeconomic group was calculated using Sullivan's method. RESULTS: Among 30-year-old men, high-level salaried employees had the longest expected lifetime in perceived good health, 41 years, which amounts to 89% of life expectancy, compared to 34 years (73%) for farmers, 32 years (73%) for unskilled workers, and 19 years (56%) for economically inactive men. Expected lifetime in perceived good health for high-level salaried female employees from age 30 was 46 years (91% of life expectancy). The lowest was found for assisting spouses, 36 years (71%) and economically inactive women, 25 years (56%). Large differences were also found when data on long-standing illness were used. CONCLUSION: The differences between socioeconomic groups are greater for health expectancy than for life expectancy.


Subject(s)
Health Status , Life Expectancy , Adolescent , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Denmark , Female , Health Surveys , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Occupations , Sex Factors , Socioeconomic Factors
18.
Epidemiology ; 11(4): 422-6, 2000 Jul.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10874549

ABSTRACT

We estimated the mortality from various diseases caused by cigarette smoking using two methods and compared the results. In one method, the "Prevent" model is used to simulate the effect on mortality of the prevalence of cigarette smoking derived retrospectively. The other method, suggested by R. Peto et al (Lancet 1992;339:1268-1278), requires data on mortality from lung cancer among people who have never smoked and among smokers, but it does not require data on the prevalence of smoking. In the Prevent model, 33% of deaths among men and 23% of those among women in 1993 from lung cancer, chronic bronchitis, emphysema, ischemic heart disease, and stroke were caused by cigarette smoking. In the method proposed by Peto et al, 35% of deaths among men and 25% of deaths among women from these causes were estimated to be attributable to cigarette smoking. The differences between the two methods are small and appear to be explicable. The Prevent model can be used for more general scenarios of effective health promotion, but it requires more data than the Peto et al method, which can be used only to estimate mortality related to smoking.


Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms/mortality , Smoking/adverse effects , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Theoretical , Prevalence , Reproducibility of Results , Retrospective Studies , Risk Assessment/methods
19.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 53(4): 427-34, 2000 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10785574

ABSTRACT

Data from 6695 men and women of ages 30, 40, 50, and 60 years, examined in the Danish WHO MONICA surveys in 1982-84, in 1986-87, and in 1991-92, were analyzed to estimate secular trends in body height and weight, blood pressure, and serum total, HDL-, and LDL-cholesterol, and triglyceride. Body height increased 0.1% per year, and body mass index increased 0.4% per year in women. Diastolic blood pressure increased 0.4% per year in women and 0.6% per year in 60-year-old men. HDL cholesterol declined 0.4% per year. Body mass indices in men, diastolic blood pressures in men <60 years of age, systolic blood pressures, total- and LDL cholesterol and triglyceride did not change. The levels of biological risk factors in the Danish WHO MONICA study population did not show trends during the 1980s that help explain the declining incidence of myocardial infarction in the population.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Adult , Age Distribution , Anthropometry , Blood Pressure , Cardiovascular Diseases/blood , Cardiovascular Diseases/physiopathology , Denmark/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Linear Models , Lipids/blood , Male , Middle Aged , Morbidity/trends , Risk Factors , Sex Distribution , World Health Organization
20.
J Epidemiol Community Health ; 54(2): 108-13, 2000 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10715743

ABSTRACT

STUDY OBJECTIVE: The decline in cardiovascular mortality in Denmark during the 1980s has been greatest in the highest socioeconomic groups of the population. This study examines whether the increased social inequality in cardiovascular mortality has been accompanied by a different trend in cardiovascular risk factors in different educational groups. DESIGN: Data from three cross sectional WHO MONICA surveys conducted in 1982-84, 1987, and 1991-92, were analysed to estimate trends in biological (weight, height, body mass index, blood pressure, and serum lipids) and behavioural (smoking, physical activity during leisure, and eating habits) risk factors in relation to educational status. SETTING: County of Copenhagen, Denmark. PARTICIPANTS: 6695 Danish men and women of ages 30, 40, 50, and 60 years. MAIN RESULTS: The prevalence of smoking and heavy smoking decreased during the study but only in the most educated groups. In fact, the prevalence of heavy smoking increased in the least educated women. There was no significant interaction for the remaining biological and behavioural risk factors between time of examination and educational level, indicating that the trend was the same in the different educational groups. However, a summary index based on seven cardiovascular risk factors improved, and this development was only seen in the most educated men and women. CONCLUSION: The difference between educational groups in prevalence of smoking increased during the 1980s, and this accounted for widening of an existing social difference in the total cardiovascular risk.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Smoking/epidemiology , Adult , Cardiovascular Diseases/mortality , Cross-Sectional Studies , Denmark/epidemiology , Educational Status , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Risk Factors , Smoking/mortality , Social Class
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