Validation of sTREM-1 and IL-6 based algorithms for outcome prediction of COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: A prospective observational cohort study of COVID-19 patients in a single Emergency Department (ED) showed that sTREM-1- and IL-6-based algorithms were highly predictive of adverse outcome (Van Singer et al. J Allergy Clin Immunol 2021). We aim to validate the performance of these algorithms at ED presentation. METHODS: This multicentric prospective observational study of PCR-confirmed COVID-19 adult patients was conducted in the ED of three Swiss hospitals. Data of the three centers were retrospectively completed and merged. We determined the predictive accuracy of the sTREM-1-based algorithm for 30-day intubation/mortality. We also determined the performance of the IL-6-based algorithm using data from one center for 30-day oxygen requirement. RESULTS: 373 patients were included in the validation cohort, 139 (37%) in Lausanne, 93 (25%) in St.Gallen and 141 (38%) in EOC. Overall, 18% (93/373) patients died or were intubated by day 30. In Lausanne, 66% (92/139) patients required oxygen by day 30. The predictive accuracy of sTREM-1 and IL-6 were similar compared to the derivation cohort. The sTREM-1-based algorithm confirmed excellent sensitivity (90% versus 100% in the derivation cohort) and negative predictive value (94% versus 100%) for 30-day intubation/mortality. The IL-6-based algorithm performance was acceptable with a sensitivity of 85% versus 98% in the derivation cohort and a negative predictive value of 60% versus 92%. CONCLUSION: The sTREM-1 algorithm demonstrated good reproducibility. A prospective randomized controlled trial, comparing outcomes with and without the algorithm, is necessary to assess its safety and impact on hospital and ICU admission rates. The IL-6 algorithm showed acceptable validity in a single center and need additional validation before widespread implementation.

Barriers and facilitators to implementation of point-of-care lung ultrasonography in a tertiary centre in Benin: a qualitative study among general physicians and pneumologists.

OBJECTIVES: Owing to its ease-of-use and excellent diagnostic performance for the assessment of respiratory symptoms, point-of-care lung ultrasound (POC-LUS) has emerged as an attractive skill in resource-low settings, where limited access to specialist care and inconsistent radiology services erode health equity.To narrow down the research to practice gap, this study aims to gain in-depth insights in the perceptions on POC-LUS and computer-assisted POC-LUS for the diagnosis of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) in a low-income and middle-income country (LMIC) of sub-Saharan Africa. DESIGN AND SETTING: Qualitative study using face-to-face semi-structured interviews with three pneumologists and five general physicians in a tertiary centre for pneumology and tuberculosis in Benin, West Africa. The center hosts a prospective cohort study on the diagnostic performance of POC-LUS for LRTI. In this context, all participants started a POC-LUS training programme 6 months before the current study. Transcripts were coded by the interviewer, checked for intercoder reliability by an independent psychologist, compared and thematically summarised according to grounded theory methods. RESULTS: Various barriers- and facilitators+ to POC-LUS implementation were identified related to four principal categories: (1) hospital setting (eg, lack of resources for device renewal or maintenance-, need for POC tests+), (2) physician's perceptions (eg, lack of opportunity to practice-, willingness to appropriate the technique+), (3) tool characteristics (eg, unclear lifespan-, expedited diagnosis+) and (4) patient's experience (no analogous image to keep-, reduction in costs+). Furthermore, all interviewees had positive attitudes towards computer-assisted POC-LUS. CONCLUSIONS: There is a clear need for POC affordable lung imaging techniques in LMIC and physicians are willing to implement POC-LUS to optimise the diagnostic approach of LRTI with an affordable tool. Successful integration of POC-LUS into clinical routine will require adequate responses to local challenges related to the lack of available maintenance resources and limited opportunity to supervised practice for physicians.

Point-of-care ultrasound for tuberculosis management in Sub-Saharan Africa-a balanced SWOT analysis.

Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) is an increasingly accessible skill, allowing for the decentralization of its use to nonspecialist healthcare workers to guide routine clinical decision-making. The advent of ultrasound-on-a-chip has transformed the technology into a portable mobile health device. Because of its high sensitivity to detect small consolidations, pleural effusions, and subpleural nodules, POCUS has recently been proposed as a sputum-free likely triage tool for tuberculosis (TB). To make an objective assessment of the potential and limitations of POCUS in routine TB management, we present a Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT) analysis based on a review of the relevant literature and focusing on Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We identified numerous strengths and opportunities of POCUS for TB management, e.g., accessible, affordable, easy to use and maintain, expedited diagnosis, extrapulmonary TB detection, safer pleural/pericardial puncture, use in children/pregnant women/people living with HIV, targeted screening of TB contacts, monitoring TB sequelae, and creating artificial intelligence decision support. Weaknesses and external threats such as operator dependency, lack of visualization of central lung pathology, poor specificity, lack of impact assessments and data from SSA must be taken into consideration to ensure that the potential of the technology can be fully realized in research as in practice.

Point-of-care lung ultrasonography for early identification of mild COVID-19: a prospective cohort of outpatients in a Swiss screening center.

OBJECTIVES: Early identification of SARS-CoV-2 infection is important to guide quarantine and reduce transmission. This study evaluates the diagnostic performance of lung ultrasound (LUS), an affordable, consumable-free point-of-care tool, for COVID-19 screening. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This prospective observational cohort included adults presenting with cough and/or dyspnoea at a SARS-CoV-2 screening centre of Lausanne University Hospital between 31 March and 8 May 2020. INTERVENTIONS: Investigators recorded standardised LUS images and videos in 10 lung zones per patient. Two blinded independent experts reviewed LUS recording and classified abnormal findings according to prespecified criteria to investigate their predictive value to diagnose SARS-CoV-2 infection according to PCR on nasopharyngeal swabs (COVID-19 positive vs COVID-19 negative). PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: We finally combined LUS and clinical findings to derive a multivariate logistic regression diagnostic score. RESULTS: Of 134 included patients, 23% (n=30/134) were COVID-19 positive and 77% (n=103/134) were COVID-19 negative; 85%, (n=114/134) cases were previously healthy healthcare workers presenting within 2-5 days of symptom onset (IQR). Abnormal LUS findings were significantly more frequent in COVID-19 positive compared with COVID-19 negative (45% vs 26%, p=0.045) and mostly consisted of focal pathologic B lines. Combining clinical findings in a multivariate logistic regression score had an area under the receiver operating curve of 80.3% to detect COVID-19, and slightly improved to 84.5% with the addition of LUS features. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19-positive patients are significantly more likely to have lung pathology by LUS. However, LUS has an insufficient sensitivity and is not an appropriate screening tool in outpatients. LUS only adds little value to clinical features alone.

Utility of Polymerase Chain Reaction in Nasopharyngeal Swabs for Identifying Respiratory Bacteria Causing Community-Acquired Pneumonia.

Timely identification of a pathogen in lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) can support appropriate antibiotics use. The difficulty of obtaining lower respiratory tract (LRT) samples limits the utility of point-of-care syndromic molecular assays. We assessed the performance of the FilmArray Pneumonia plus panel (FilmArray PP) in nasopharyngeal (NP) swab for detection of Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, and Moraxella catarrhalis. Patients in the study included retrospectively consenting adults who attended the emergency department of Lausanne University Hospital between February 2019 and August 2020 for a community-acquired LRTI, with available NP swab and a high-quality LRT sample. These samples were tested with the FilmArray PP (cutoff of ≥104 copies/mL). Positive (PPA) and negative percent agreement (NPA) of FilmArray PP in NP swab were calculated, using (i) FilmArray PP in LRT sample and (ii) standard microbiological tests as reference standards. To assess the performance of a lower detection cutoff, NP samples were also tested with an in-house PCR (cutoff of ≥10 copies/mL) for S. pneumoniae and H. influenzae. Overall, 118 patients were included. FilmArray PP in LRT sample and standard microbiology tests detected S. pneumoniae in 19/118 and 12/118, H. influenzae in 44/118 and 19/118, and M. catarrhalis in 14/118 and 0/118, respectively. Using LRT FilmArray PP as reference, PPA and NPA of FilmArray PP on NP were 58% and 100% for S. pneumoniae, 61% and 100% for H. influenzae, and 57% and 99% for M. catarrhalis. Using standard diagnostic tests as reference, PPA and NPA were 58% and 96% for S. pneumoniae, 74% and 87% for H. influenzae, and indefinite and 92% for M. catarrhalis. Using a lower cutoff on NP (≥102 copies/mL), PPA was 68% for S. pneumoniae and 77% for H. influenzae with LRT FilmArray PP as reference. FilmArray PP in NP swabs has a limited PPA for identifying the most common etiologies of community-acquired LRTI irrespective of the reference standard, preventing its use for withholding antibiotics. The PCR detection cutoff does not explain the low PPA. The excellent NPA suggests the use of NP PCR results for rapidly targeted antimicrobial therapy. IMPORTANCE Timely identification of a pathogen in patients with lower respiratory tract infections is of paramount importance to avoid inappropriate antibiotic prescription. We aimed to evaluate the performance of a rapid syndromic molecular assay in nasopharyngeal swabs for identifying the most common bacterial causes of lower respiratory tract infections in adults (Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, and Moraxella catarrhalis). Our data show that nasopharyngeal molecular assay has a good concordance with lower respiratory tract sample when positive but not when negative. A positive result is therefore concordant with a lower respiratory tract infection and can be used to target antibiotics. Nevertheless, a negative result does not have a good concordance, so it cannot be used to withhold antibiotics. Our findings illustrate the potential utility of these easily collected samples for the management of patients with lower respiratory tract infections.

Post­COVID­19 Syndrome in Outpatients: a Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: After mild COVID-19, some outpatients experience persistent symptoms. However, data are scarce and prospective studies are urgently needed. OBJECTIVES: To characterize the post-COVID-19 syndrome after mild COVID-19 and identify predictors. PARTICIPANTS: Outpatients with symptoms suggestive of COVID-19 with (1) PCR-confirmed COVID-19 (COVID-positive) or (2) SARS-CoV-2 negative PCR (COVID-negative). DESIGN: Monocentric cohort study with prospective phone interview between more than 3 months to 10 months after initial visit to the emergency department and outpatient clinics. MAIN MEASURES: Data of the initial visits were extracted from the electronic medical file. Predefined persistent symptoms were assessed through a structured phone interview. Associations between long-term symptoms and PCR results, as well as predictors of persistent symptoms among COVID-positive, were evaluated by multivariate logistic regression adjusted for age, gender, smoking, comorbidities, and timing of the survey. KEY RESULTS: The study population consisted of 418 COVID-positive and 89 COVID-negative patients, mostly young adults (median age of 41 versus 36 years in COVID-positive and COVID-negative, respectively; p = 0.020) and healthcare workers (67% versus 82%; p = 0.006). Median time between the initial visit and the phone survey was 150 days in COVID-positive and 242 days in COVID-negative patients. Persistent symptoms were reported by 223 (53%) COVID-positive and 33 (37%) COVID-negative patients (p = 0.006) and proportions were stable among the periods of the phone interviews. Overall, 21% COVID-positive and 15% COVID-negative patients (p = 0.182) attended care for this purpose. Four surveyed symptoms were independently associated with COVID-19: fatigue (adjusted odds ratio 2.14, 95% CI 1.04-4.41), smell/taste disorder (26.5, 3.46-202), dyspnea (2.81, 1.10-7.16), and memory impairment (5.71, 1.53-21.3). Among COVID-positive, female gender (1.67, 1.09-2.56) and overweight/obesity (1.67, 1.10-2.56) were predictors of persistent symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: More than half of COVID-positive outpatients report persistent symptoms up to 10 months after a mild disease. Only 4 of 14 symptoms were associated with COVID-19 status. The symptoms and predictors of the post-COVID-19 syndrome need further characterization as this condition places a significant burden on society.

Transcriptomic Signature Differences Between SARS-CoV-2 and Influenza Virus Infected Patients.

The reason why most individuals with COVID-19 have relatively limited symptoms while other develop respiratory distress with life-threatening complications remains unknown. Increasing evidence suggests that COVID-19 associated adverse outcomes mainly rely on dysregulated immunity. Here, we compared transcriptomic profiles of blood cells from 103 patients with different severity levels of COVID-19 with that of 27 healthy and 22 influenza-infected individuals. Data provided a complete overview of SARS-CoV-2-induced immune signature, including a dramatic defect in IFN responses, a reduction of toxicity-related molecules in NK cells, an increased degranulation of neutrophils, a dysregulation of T cells, a dramatic increase in B cell function and immunoglobulin production, as well as an important over-expression of genes involved in metabolism and cell cycle in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 compared to those infected with influenza viruses. These features also differed according to COVID-19 severity. Overall and specific gene expression patterns across groups can be visualized on an interactive website (https://bix.unil.ch/covid/). Collectively, these transcriptomic host responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection are discussed in the context of current studies, thereby improving our understanding of COVID-19 pathogenesis and shaping the severity level of COVID-19.

Lung Ultrasonography for Risk Stratification in Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): A Prospective Observational Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Lung ultrasonography (LUS) is a promising pragmatic risk-stratification tool in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This study describes and compares LUS characteristics between patients with different clinical outcomes. METHODS: Prospective observational study of polymerase chain reaction-confirmed adults with COVID-19 with symptoms of lower respiratory tract infection in the emergency department (ED) of Lausanne University Hospital. A trained physician recorded LUS images using a standardized protocol. Two experts reviewed images blinded to patient outcome. We describe and compare early LUS findings (≤24 hours of ED presentation) between patient groups based on their 7-day outcome (1) outpatients, (2) hospitalized, and (3) intubated/dead. Normalized LUS score was used to discriminate between groups. RESULTS: Between 6 March and 3 April 2020, we included 80 patients (17 outpatients, 42 hospitalized, and 21 intubated/dead). Seventy-three patients (91%) had abnormal LUS (70% outpatients, 95% hospitalized, and 100% intubated/dead; P = .003). The proportion of involved zones was lower in outpatients compared with other groups (median [IQR], 30% [0-40%], 44% [31-70%], 70% [50-88%]; P < .001). Predominant abnormal patterns were bilateral and there was multifocal spread thickening of the pleura with pleural line irregularities (70%), confluent B lines (60%), and pathologic B lines (50%). Posterior inferior zones were more often affected. Median normalized LUS score had a good level of discrimination between outpatients and others with area under the ROC of .80 (95% CI, .68-.92). CONCLUSIONS: Systematic LUS has potential as a reliable, cheap, and easy-to-use triage tool for the early risk stratification in patients with COVID-19 presenting to EDs.

COVID-19 risk stratification algorithms based on sTREM-1 and IL-6 in emergency department.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to surges of patients presenting to emergency departments (EDs) and potentially overwhelming health systems. OBJECTIVE: We sought to assess the predictive accuracy of host biomarkers at clinical presentation to the ED for adverse outcome. METHODS: Prospective observational study of PCR-confirmed COVID-19 patients in the ED of a Swiss hospital. Concentrations of inflammatory and endothelial dysfunction biomarkers were determined at clinical presentation. We evaluated the accuracy of clinical signs and these biomarkers in predicting 30-day intubation/mortality, and oxygen requirement by calculating the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve and by classification and regression tree analysis. RESULTS: Of 76 included patients with COVID-19, 24 were outpatients or hospitalized without oxygen requirement, 35 hospitalized with oxygen requirement, and 17 intubated/died. We found that soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells had the best prognostic accuracy for 30-day intubation/mortality (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.77-0.95) and IL-6 measured at presentation to the ED had the best accuracy for 30-day oxygen requirement (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.74-0.94). An algorithm based on respiratory rate and sTREM-1 predicted 30-day intubation/mortality with 94% sensitivity and 0.1 negative likelihood ratio. An IL-6-based algorithm had 98% sensitivity and 0.04 negative likelihood ratio for 30-day oxygen requirement. CONCLUSIONS: sTREM-1 and IL-6 concentrations in COVID-19 in the ED have good predictive accuracy for intubation/mortality and oxygen requirement. sTREM-1- and IL-6-based algorithms are highly sensitive to identify patients with adverse outcome and could serve as early triage tools.