Using automated extraction of hepatitis B tests for surveillance: evidence of decreasing incidence of acute hepatitis B in England.

Surveillance of acute hepatitis B in England is necessary to estimate incidence, determine routes of transmission and inform public health actions. Here we describe an automated process to extract information on testing for markers of hepatitis B infection in English sentinel laboratories between 2002 and 2008. The resulting data were used to identify individuals with acute infections, describe their characteristics and estimate the incidence of infection. Two-thirds of acute infections were in males. Heterosexual exposure and injecting drug use were the main risks reported. Annual incidence was estimated at 1.3/100 000 person-years overall (1.7 and 0.6 for males and females, respectively) and declined each year. Automated extraction of hepatitis B markers, including quantitative results where available, can help to classify HBV status more accurately for surveillance. HBV incidence in England is at its lowest level in recent years.

Recruiting individuals into the HTLV cohort study in the United Kingdom: clinical findings and challenges in the first six years, 2003 to 2009.

Human T-lymphotropic virus (HTLV) infection is rare in the United Kingdom (UK) and few studies are available worldwide. Following introduction of blood donation testing in 2002, a cohort of individuals could be identified and prospectively recruited to describe progression and onset of disease. Here we describe baseline characteristics of participants, and evaluate recruitment into the UK HTLV National Register over the first six years, from July 2003 to June 2009. A multicentre cohort study recruited participants from the UK blood services (recipients and donors) and specialist HTLV clinics. Almost half of the 148 participants recruited were blood donors, nine were blood transfusion recipients, 40 contacts and 29 clinic attendees (nine asymptomatic and 20 symptomatic). Most participants were HTLV-1 positive (n=115); 11 had HTLV-2 and 22 were HTLV-negative. Baseline self-completion questionnaires were received for 83%. The most commonly reported condition was a past operation/serious illness (69%). Twenty-six participants reported four or more possible signs/symptoms of HTLV-1-associated myelopathy/tropical spastic paraparesis. Recruitment into a study of a rare, long-term infection is challenging. This cohort will enable descriptions of HTLV-associated disease progression amongst people recruited from varying sources; it is the first prospective study of its kind in Europe.

A re-evaluation of the risk of transfusion-transmitted HIV prevented by the exclusion of men who have sex with men from blood donation in England and Wales, 2005-2007.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES One component of the rationale for lifetime exclusion of men who have sex with men (MSM) from blood donation in the UK is the probable reduction in the risk of transfusion-transmitted HIV; this exclusion has recently been questioned. MATERIALS AND METHODS Data about HIV in blood donors and MSM were analysed to estimate the risk of infectious donations entering the blood supply under different scenarios of donor selection criteria (and donor compliance) for MSM and a heterosexual group with increased risk of HIV. RESULTS In 2005-2007, a change from lifetime exclusion of MSM to 5-year deferral or no deferral increased the point estimate of HIV risk by between 0·4% and 7·4% depending on compliance with the deferral (range -4% to 15%) and 26·5% (range 18% to 43%) respectively. A change from a 12-month deferral of the high-risk heterosexual group to lifetime exclusion reduced the estimated risk by about 7·2% (range 6% to 9%). Each point estimate was within the probable range of risk under the current criteria. CONCLUSION If prevalence is the only factor affected by a reduced deferral, then the increased risk of HIV is probably negligible. However, the impact of a change depends on compliance; if this stays the same or worsens, the risk is expected to increase because of more incident infections in MSM who donate blood. The risk of transfusion-transmitted HIV could probably be reduced further by improving compliance with any exclusion, particularly after recent risk behaviours.

The problem with using computer programmes to assign ethnicity: immigration decreases sensitivity.

OBJECTIVES: It is recognized that ethnic group is important in describing differences in infection and disease, but is often not routinely available to surveillance systems. Computerized programmes, such as NamPehchan, can assign ethnicity according to name; however, sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV) can vary. The aim of this study was to assess whether the sensitivity and PPV of NamPehchan had changed, after an observation that surnames previously associated with South Asians were increasingly reported as Black. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional. METHODS: NamPehchan was used to classify women as South Asian using name, and compared with the gold standard (midwife-reported ethnicity). Sensitivity and PPV were calculated overall and by year. Frequency of infection by ethnic group was estimated. RESULTS: A total of 627 women positive for hepatitis B surface antigen were identified. The majority were from minority ethnic groups, particularly Asian. The overall sensitivity of NamPehchan was 74.5% and PPV was 68.5%. Almost 50% of Black African women were classified as South Asian by NamPehchan. CONCLUSIONS: Immigration from African countries has reduced the sensitivity of NamPehchan in this group. Care is needed when using NamPehchan for groups which include Africans from Muslim areas, as misclassification is likely to occur.

Time-dependent association of total serum cholesterol and cancer incidence in a cohort of 172,210 men and women: a prospective 19-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between serum cholesterol and cancer incidence remains controversial. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We investigated the association of total serum cholesterol (TSC) with subsequent cancer incidence in a population-based cohort of 172 210 Austrian adults prospectively followed up for a median of 13.0 years. Cox regression, allowing for time-dependent effects, was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for the association of TSC with cancer. RESULTS: We observed pronounced short-term associations of TSC and overall cancer incidence in both men and women. For malignancies diagnosed shortly (<5 months) after baseline TSC measurement, the highest TSC tertile (>235.0 mg/dl in men and >229.0 in women) compared with the lowest tertile (<194.0 mg/dl in men and <190.0 in women) was associated with a significantly lower overall cancer risk [HR = 0.58 (95% CI 0.43-0.78, P(trend) = 0.0001) in men, HR = 0.69 (95% CI 0.49-0.99, P(trend) = 0.03) in women]. However, after roughly 5 months from baseline measurement, overall cancer risk was not significantly associated with TSC. The short-term inverse association of TSC with cancer was mainly driven by malignancies of the digestive organs and lymphoid and hematopoietic tissue. CONCLUSION: The short-term decrease of cancer risk seen for high levels of TSC may largely capture preclinical effects of cancer on TSC.

Diagnoses of, and deaths from, severe liver disease due to hepatitis C in England between 2000 and 2005 estimated using multiple data sources.

Matching individuals reported to a sentinel surveillance scheme for hepatitis C between 2000 and 2005 to individuals with a hospital episode for hepatitis C-related liver disease in the same hospitals, we estimated that the number of cases of hepatitis C-related end-stage liver disease in these English hospitals was 42% (597/419) higher than Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) would indicate. Further, matching records of hepatitis C-related deaths in HES to death certificates, we estimated that, between 2000 and 2005, the true number of deaths from hepatitis C-related end-stage liver disease was between 185% (353/124) and 257% (378/106) higher than the number recorded in routine mortality statistics. We provide estimates of under-recording that can be used to modify existing models of disease burden due to hepatitis C and provide a simple approach to improve the monitoring of trends in severe hepatitis C-related morbidity over time.

Setting up an enhanced surveillance of newly acquired hepatitis C infection in men who have sex with men: a pilot in London and South East region of England.

Preliminary findings suggest ongoing HCV transmission among MSM infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and that enhanced surveillance for newly acquired HCV in MSM is feasible.

Diagnosis of acute hepatitis C virus infection and estimated incidence in low- and high-risk English populations.

The diagnosis of acute hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is not straightforward; few people exhibit clinical symptoms and genome/antigen detection techniques do not indicate when infection had occurred. Here, a strategy to detect HCV RNA in the absence of antibody ('window-period') for diagnosis of acute infection is assessed. The sentinel surveillance of hepatitis testing study was used to retrospectively identify anti-HCV negative samples from high-risk individuals (2002-2003), for testing singly for HCV RNA. Additional samples were identified prospectively (2005) and tested in pools for HCV RNA. Positive samples were genotyped. Incidence and costs of adopting the pooling strategy were estimated. In the retrospective study, 8/390 (2.1%) samples were confirmed HCV RNA positive, anti-HCV negative. Prospectively, 3237 samples were tested in 325 pools. Five positive pools identified four confirmed HCV RNA positive patients (one false positive). Estimated incidence was 12.9 per 100 person-years in injecting drug users (IDUs) (retrospective study) and 3.7 per 100 person-years among drug/alcohol services and prison attendees (prospective study). Estimated costs were pound 850 per positive sample, in areas of higher risk. The yield from a window-period strategy depends upon the population tested. Pooled HCV RNA testing of anti-HCV negative samples from the current IDUs is realistic and relatively inexpensive to identify recently infected individuals.

Where are people being tested for anti-HCV in England? Results from sentinel laboratory surveillance.

SUMMARY: Many people infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) are unaware of their infection and are, therefore. potentially infectious to others. To enable effective case-finding policies to be developed, an understanding of where people, and injecting drug users (IDUs) in particular, are accessing HCV antibody testing is needed. HCV antibody testing data were collected electronically from 21 sentinel laboratories in England between 2002 and 2006 in this cross-sectional study. Service types of the physician requesting the HCV test were identified and classified. Differences in people being tested in each service type and over time were investigated. Over half a million people were tested in 5 years. Whilst most testing took place in hospital, a large proportion of people were tested in community care, particularly in general practice surgeries and genito-urinary medicine clinics. Younger people were more likely to be tested in community care, and there was evidence that testing differed according to ethnic status. IDUs were tested in all parts of the health services, although the highest proportion positive were from prisons and specialist services for drug users. Testing increased between 2002 and 2005 whilst the proportion of people testing positive declined. Routine laboratory data can provide valuable information on where people are being tested for HCV. Risk exposures should be investigated and testing targeted to people at higher risk for infection. Local laboratories should review data on testing locations and proportion positive to inform local initiatives to improve testing and yield.

Infections detected in English surgical bone and deceased donors (2001-2006) and estimated risk of undetected hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Infections can be transmitted through donated tissue products, such as femoral heads. Here we describe infections detected through microbiological testing of English surgical bone and deceased donors (2001-2006) and estimate the residual risk of infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on infected tissue donors identified by NHS Blood and Transplant (NHSBT) were collected through the NBS/Health Protection Agency Infection Surveillance programme. The blood donor model for estimating risk was adapted for tissue donors. Incidence among surgical bone donors was derived from new blood donor data and estimates of residual risk presented for surgical bone donors only. RESULTS: Fifty-seven surgical bone and four deceased donors were identified with 60 and five infections, respectively, during the 6 years. Syphilis was the most common infection detected, with no human T-lymphotropic virus infections and one HIV infection in a deceased donor. Hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus and syphilis prevalence was higher among surgical bone and deceased donors than new blood donors for the same period. The overall estimated risk of undetected hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus among surgical bone donors (2001-2006) on initial screening was 0.426 and 0.048 per 100 000 donors, respectively. Testing a follow-up sample made these risks almost negligible. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of infections was low among English tissue donors. Risk estimates were higher for surgical bone donors on first screening than among new blood donors. However, the probability of an infectious donation entering the tissue supply became negligible after obtaining a follow-up sample 6 months post-donation and were well below that of new blood donors.

Can proton MR spectroscopic and perfusion imaging differentiate between neoplastic and nonneoplastic brain lesions in adults?

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Noninvasive diagnosis of brain lesions is important for the correct choice of treatment. Our aims were to investigate whether 1) proton MR spectroscopic imaging ((1)H-MRSI) can aid in differentiating between tumors and nonneoplastic brain lesions, and 2) perfusion MR imaging can improve the classification. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively examined 69 adults with untreated primary brain lesions (brain tumors, n = 36; benign lesions, n = 10; stroke, n = 4; demyelination, n = 10; and stable lesions not confirmed on pathologic examination, n = 9). MR imaging and (1)H-MRSI were performed at 1.5T before biopsy or treatment. Concentrations of N-acetylaspartate (NAA), creatine (Cr), and choline (Cho) in the lesion were expressed as metabolite ratios and were normalized to the contralateral hemisphere. Dynamic susceptibility contrast-enhanced perfusion MR imaging was performed in a subset of patients (n = 32); relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV) was evaluated. Discriminant function analysis was used to identify variables that can predict inclusion in the neoplastic or nonneoplastic lesion groups. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to compare the discriminatory capability of (1)H-MRSI and perfusion MR imaging. RESULTS: The discriminant function analysis correctly classified 84.2% of original grouped cases (P < .0001), on the basis of NAA/Cho, Cho(norm), NAA(norm), and NAA/Cr ratios. MRSI and perfusion MR imaging had similar discriminatory capabilities in differentiating tumors from nonneoplastic lesions. With cutoff points of NAA/Cho < or =0.61 and rCBV > or =1.50 (corresponding to diagnosis of the tumors), a sensitivity of 72.2% and specificity of 91.7% in differentiating tumors from nonneoplastic lesions were achieved. CONCLUSION: These results suggest a promising role for (1)H-MRSI and perfusion MR imaging in the distinction between brain tumors and nonneoplastic lesions in adults.

The burden of hepatitis C in England.

In England, a large number of individuals are infected with the hepatitis C virus (HCV) and may develop future liver complications, such as decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Estimates of the magnitude of this future burden are required to plan healthcare resources. We have estimated past incidence of HCV infection in England and predict future burden of end-stage liver disease in the HCV-infected population. A model of the natural history of HCV as a series of disease stages was constructed. A back-calculation approach was performed, using the natural history model and data on annual HCC deaths in England from 1996 to 2004 with mention of HCV and hospital episode statistics for end-stage liver disease with HCV. The number of HCV-infected people living with compensated cirrhosis is predicted to rise from 3705 [95% credible interval (CrI): 2820-4975] in 2005 to 7550 (95% CrI: 5120-11,640) in 2015. The number of decompensated cirrhosis and/or HCC cases is also predicted to rise, to 2540 (95% CrI: 2035-3310) by 2015. HCV incidence increased during the 1980s, with an annual incidence of 12 650 (95% CrI: 6150-26,450) by 1989. HCV-related cirrhosis and deaths from HCC in England are likely to increase dramatically within the next decade. If patients are left undiagnosed and untreated, the future burden of the disease on healthcare resources will be substantial.

Increase in recently acquired syphilis infections in English, Welsh and Northern Irish blood donors.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Syphilis can be transmitted by blood. We describe syphilis infections detected in blood donors and investigate the epidemiology of syphilis in English, Welsh and Northern Irish blood donors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This article analyses routine surveillance data regarding syphilis infections in blood donors from England, Wales and Northern Ireland between 1998 and 2004. Infections are classified as recently acquired or past syphilis and donor characteristics and trends examined. RESULTS: A total of 518 syphilis-infected donors were identified; 40 had recently acquired infection and 407 had past syphilis (71 were unclassified). Thirteen times more recently acquired syphilis infections were identified among people who donated between 2002 and 2004 compared to 1998 to 2001. Young, white and regular donors were most likely to have recently acquired syphilis infections. Heterosexual sex was the main risk exposure identified overall; in contrast, the greatest proportion of recently acquired infections were in men who have sex with men. CONCLUSION: The increase in recently acquired syphilis, although low, indicates that risky sexual behaviours are increasing in the blood donor population, with implications for the microbiological safety of blood. Continued vigilance is required by blood services as the risk of syphilis increases in the general population.

Sentinel laboratory surveillance of hepatitis C antibody testing in England: understanding the epidemiology of HCV infection.

This paper describes sentinel laboratory surveillance of hepatitis C antibody testing in England. Demographic and test result data were supplemented by follow-up questionnaires sent to the requesting clinician. Between October 2002 and September 2003 almost 75000 anti-HCV tests were performed in eight sentinel centres. More males were tested than females and over half of those tested were aged 25-44 years. Overall 5.7% (3333/58144, range 2.8-7.7%) individuals tested positive. Follow-up questionnaire data showed that 82% (1043/1277) of the positives had injecting drug use reported as the main risk exposure. The majority of negative individuals were undergoing routine screening as recommended for specific patient groups. Most individuals were asymptomatic. Antibody prevalence was estimated to be 34% in current injecting drug users and 42% in former injectors. Comparing positives to routine national surveillance suggests that only 53% (1782/3333) of diagnosed cases were reported. Sentinel laboratory data can provide valuable supplementary data to national surveillance.

The relationship between a urinary cachectic factor and weight loss in advanced cancer patients.

A 24K glycoprotein, the proteolysis-inducing factor (PIF), has been identified in mice and humans with cancer cachexia. Clinical cross-sectional studies found an association between the presence of PIF in urine and tumors of patients and weight loss. For the first time, we report results from a longitudinal study establishing the relationship between a urinary PIF pattern and persistent weight loss. Over time, cancer patients positive for the PIF pattern experienced weight loss, whereas those with a negative test gained weight.

Hormone replacement therapy and longitudinal changes in blood pressure in postmenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of hypertension in postmenopausal women exceeds that in age-matched men. Longitudinal studies relating hormone replacement therapy (HRT) to blood pressure changes are sparse. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between HRT and longitudinal changes in blood pressure in postmenopausal women. DESIGN: Longitudinal observational study. SETTING: Community-dwelling volunteers. PATIENTS: 226 healthy, normotensive postmenopausal women from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging with a mean (+/-SD) age of 64 +/- 10 years were followed for 5.7 +/- 5.3 years. Seventy-seven women used both estrogen and progestin, and 149 used neither. MEASUREMENTS: Lifestyle variables, blood pressure, and traditional cardiovascular risk factors were measured at baseline and approximately every 2 years thereafter. RESULTS: Systolic blood pressure at baseline was similar in HRT users and nonusers (133.9 +/- 16.0 mm Hg vs. 132.4 +/- 14.8 mm Hg). Over time, average systolic blood pressure increased less in HRT users than nonusers, independent of other cardiovascular risk factors, physical activity, and alcohol use. For example, HRT users who were 55 years of age at their first Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging visit experienced a 7.6-mm Hg average increase in systolic blood pressure over 10 years; in contrast, the average increase in nonusers was 18.7 mm Hg. The lesser increase in systolic blood pressure in HRT users was more evident at older age. Diastolic blood pressure, which did not change statistically over time in either group, was not associated with HRT. CONCLUSION: Postmenopausal women taking HRT have a smaller increase in systolic blood pressure over time than those not taking HRT. This difference is intensified at older ages.

Is the apoE4 allele an independent predictor of coronary events?

PURPOSE: Although the apolipoprotein E genotype epsilon4 (apoE4) has been associated with high cholesterol levels, whether it is an independent predictor of coronary events is not certain. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We measured apoE genotypes in 730 participants in the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (421 men and 309 women, mean [+/- SD] age of 52+/-17 years) who were free of preexisting coronary heart disease. A proportional hazards regression model was used to study the association between risk factors and the occurrence of coronary events, defined as angina pectoris, documented myocardial infarction by history or major Q waves on the electrocardiogram (Minnesota Code 1:1 or 1:2), or coronary death, adjusted for other risk factors, including total plasma cholesterol level. RESULTS: The apoE4 allele was observed in 200 subjects (27%), including 183 heterozygotes and 17 homozygotes. Coronary risk factor profiles were similar in those with and without apoE4. Coronary events developed in 104 (14%) of the 730 subjects, including 77 (18%) of the 421 men during a mean follow-up of 20 years and 27 (9%) of the 309 women during a mean follow-up of 13 years. Coronary events occurred significantly more frequently in subjects with apoE4 (n = 40, 20%) than in those without this allele (64, 12%, P <0.05). In a multivariate model, apoE4 was an independent predictor of coronary events in men (risk ratio [RR]= 2.9, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.8 to 4.5, P<0.0001) but not in women (RR = 0.9, 95% CI: 0.4 to 1.9, P = 0.62). CONCLUSION: The apoE4 genotype is a strong independent risk factor for coronary events in men, but not women. The association does not appear to be mediated by differences in total cholesterol levels.

The effect of gestational parity on FEV1 in a group of healthy volunteer women.

In the past, studies utilizing within-subject comparisons of small groups of pregnant women showed that forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) remained essentially unchanged during pregnancy. However, one of the findings from an epidemiological study was that women with greater number of children experienced a faster decline of FEV1. The aim of this study was to examine the effect of parity on FEV1 in a group of healthy volunteer women. To this end, cross-sectional multiple regression analyses of data from 397 healthy women participants in the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA) with a mean (range) age of 47.7 (18-92) years were performed. Similar analyses were done using the younger (50 years or less) and the older (> 50 years) subgroups. After controlling for age, height, weight, and smoking, parity as a dichotomous variable was associated with a higher FEV1 in women of child-bearing age (0.139 1; P = 0.02) but not in the older women. There was a modest link with the number of children (P = 0.05), with the first child possibly having the greatest effect on FEV1. We could not account for the effect of parity on FEV1 by the educational level, occupation, health status of the women, or by the presence of a cohort effect. Thus the nulliparous state is associated with lower FEV1 in this group of healthy adult women of child-bearing age.

Effect of long-term caloric restriction and exercise on muscle bioenergetics and force development in rats.

We evaluated the hypothesis that long-term caloric restriction and exercise would have beneficial effects on muscle bioenergetics and performance in the rat. By themselves, each of these interventions is known to increase longevity, and bioenergetic improvements are thought to be important in this phenomenon. Accordingly, we investigated rats that underwent long-term caloric restriction and were sedentary, ad libitum-fed rats permitted to exercise by daily spontaneous wheel running (AE), and the combination of the dietary and exercise interventions (RE). Ad libitum-fed, sedentary rats comprised the control group. 31P NMR spectra of the gastrocnemius muscle (GM) were collected in vivo at rest and during two periods of electrical stimulation. Neither caloric restriction nor exercise affected the ratio of phosphocreatine to ATP or pH at rest. During the first stimulation and after recovery, the RE group had a significantly smaller decline in pH than did the other groups (P < 0.05). During the second period of stimulation, the decrease in pH was much smaller in all groups than during the first stimulation, with no differences observed among the groups. The combination of caloric restriction and exercise resulted in a significant attenuation in the decline in developed force during the second period of stimulation (P < 0.05). A biochemical correlate of this was a significantly higher concentration of citrate synthase in the GM samples from the RE rats (32.7 +/- 5.4 micromol. min-1. g-1) compared with the AE rats (17.6 +/- 5.7 micromol. min-1. g-1; P < 0.05). Our experiments thus demonstrated a synergistic effect of long-term caloric restriction and free exercise on muscle bioenergetics during electrical stimulation.