Revised Cardiac Risk Index as a Predictor for Myocardial Infarction and Cardiac Arrest Following Posterior Lumbar Decompression.

STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the ability of Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) to predict adverse cardiac events following posterior lumbar decompression (PLD). SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: PLD is an increasingly common procedure used to treat a variety of degenerative spinal conditions. The RCRI is used to predict risk for cardiac events following noncardiac surgery. There is a paucity of literature that directly addresses the relationship between RCRI and outcomes following PLD, specifically, the discriminative ability of the RCRI to predict adverse postoperative cardiac events. METHODS: ACS-NSQIP was utilized to identify patients undergoing PLD from 2006 to 2014. Fifty-two thousand sixty-six patients met inclusion criteria. Multivariate and ROC analysis was utilized to identify associations between RCRI and postoperative complications. RESULTS: Membership in the RCRI=1 cohort was a predictor for myocardial infarction (MI) [odds ratio (OR) = 3.3, P = 0.002] and cardiac arrest requiring cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) (OR = 3.4, P = 0.013). Membership in the RCRI = 2 cohort was a predictor for MI (OR = 5.9, P = 0.001) and cardiac arrest requiring CPR (OR = 12.5), Membership in the RCRI = 3 cohort was a predictor for MI (OR = 24.9) and cardiac arrest requiring CPR (OR = 26.9, P = 0.006). RCRI had a good discriminative ability to predict both MI [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.876] and cardiac arrest requiring CPR (AUC = 0.855). The RCRI had a better discriminative ability to predict these outcomes that did ASA status, which had discriminative abilities of "fair" (AUC = 0.799) and "poor" (AUC = 0.674), respectively. P < 0.001 unless otherwise specified. CONCLUSION: RCRI was predictive of cardiac events following PLD, and RCRI had a better discriminative ability to predict MI and cardiac arrest requiring CPR than did ASA status. Consideration of the RCRI as a component of preoperative surgical risk stratification can minimize patient morbidity and mortality. Studies such as this can allow for implementation of guidelines that better estimate the preoperative risk profile of surgical patients. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.

Revised Cardiac Risk Index versus ASA Status as a Predictor for Noncardiac Events After Posterior Lumbar Decompression.

BACKGROUND: The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) was designed to predict risk for cardiac events after noncardiac surgery. However, there is a paucity of literature that directly addresses the relationship between RCRI and noncardiac outcomes after posterior lumbar decompression (PLD). The objective of this study is to determine the ability of RCRI to predict noncardiac adverse events after PLD. METHODS: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program was used to identify patients undergoing PLD from 2006 to 2014. Multivariate and receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to identify associations between RCRI and postoperative complications. RESULTS: A total of 52,066 patients met the inclusion criteria. Membership in the RCRI=1 cohort independently predicted unplanned intubation, ventilation >48 hours, progressive renal insufficiency, acute renal failure, urinary tract infection (UTI), sepsis, septic shock, and readmission. Membership in the RCRI=2 cohort independently predicted for superficial surgical site infection, pneumonia, unplanned intubation, ventilation >48 hours, bleeding transfusion, progressive renal insufficiency, acute renal failure, UTI, sepsis, septic shock, and readmission. Membership in the RCRI=3 cohort independently predicted unplanned intubation (odds ratio [OR], 11.8), ventilation >48 hours (OR, 23.0), acute renal failure (OR, 84.5), and UTI (OR, 3.6). RCRI had a poor discriminative ability (DA) (area under the curve = 0.623), and American Society of Anesthesiologists status had a fair DA (area under the curve = 0.770) to predict a composite of noncardiac complications. CONCLUSIONS: RCRI was predictive of a wide range of noncardiac complications after PLD but had a diminished DA to predict a composite of any noncardiac complication than did American Society of Anesthesiologists score. Consideration of the RCRI as a component of preoperative surgical risk stratification can minimize patient morbidity and mortality after lumbar decompression.

Preoperative arterial pulse pressure has no apparent association with perioperative mortality after lower extremity arterial bypass.

BACKGROUND: Arterial pulse pressure hypertension is associated with perioperative morbidity and mortality in cardiac surgery patients. However, its association with perioperative mortality in other high-risk surgical populations has not been determined. In this study, we tested the hypothesis that increased preoperative arterial pulse pressure is associated with 30-day and 1-year all-cause mortality after lower extremity arterial bypass surgery. METHODS: A retrospective review of patients who had infrainguinal arterial bypass surgery at a single center over a 6-year period (January 2002 to January 2008) was performed (n = 556). Mean, systolic, and diastolic arterial blood pressure were determined from a single noninvasive oscillometric blood pressure cuff reading in the operating room before the administration of anesthetic drugs. Pulse pressure was calculated from this measurement in a retrospective manner by subtracting diastolic pressure from systolic pressure. Mortality for all subjects was determined using the social security death index. Comorbid conditions, preoperative medications, and anesthetic techniques were recorded. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate the association between arterial pulse pressure and the primary outcome variables, and all-cause 30-day and 1-year mortality. RESULTS: Of the 556 patients, a large percentage had elevated pulse pressure (44.9% had pulse pressure ≥80). Thirty-day mortality was 5.1% and 1-year mortality was 17.8%. There was no apparent association between preoperative pulse pressure and 30-day (P = 0.35) or 1-year (P = 0.14) all-cause mortality. Independent predictors of 30-day mortality were age ≥80 years (P = 0.02), ASA physical status ≥IV (P = 0.04), baseline creatinine >2.0 mg/dL (P < 0.0001), and emergency surgery (P = 0.009). The same variables were associated with 1-year mortality, as were the Lee's Revised Cardiac Risk Index score, female gender, and gangrene or ulcer as an indication for surgery. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that increased preoperative arterial pulse pressure might not be associated with all-cause mortality after lower extremity arterial bypass surgery.

Indication for surgery, the revised cardiac risk index, and 1-year mortality.

BACKGROUND: Patients who undergo vascular surgery are at increased risk of perioperative cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is a validated and widely used bedside tool for estimating the risk of a perioperative major adverse myocardial event. We hypothesized that inclusion of the indication for surgery would add independent and prognostic information to the RCRI in predicting all-cause 30-day and 1-year mortality in open infrainguinal vascular surgical procedures. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of 603 patients who underwent open infrainguinal bypass vascular surgery between January 2002 and January 2008 at a tertiary care medical center. RCRI and indication for surgery were determined. The primary outcomes of interest were all-cause 30-day mortality (which included all in-hospital mortality, regardless of time) and all-cause 1-year mortality. RESULTS: Overall 30-day mortality was 32 (5.3%). Independent risk factors for early death were RCRI score, being of age ≥80 years, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification = 4, and emergency surgery. Overall 1-year mortality, including early deaths, was 114 (18.9%). Indication for surgery, RCRI score, age, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification = 4, female sex, and emergency surgery were all independent predictors of 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The RCRI score was associated with both 30-day and 1-year mortality in patients undergoing lower extremity bypass surgery. Indication for surgery was predictive of 1-year mortality but not of 30-day mortality.

Statins and the perioperative period.

Recent studies on the effects of statin use on perioperative morbidity and mortality suggest that statins may reduce risk during the perioperative period. However, studies published thus far either were retrospective nonrandomized studies or included small numbers of patients. Individually, none offered authoritative recommendations. However, in almost every study, preoperative statin use was associated with a substantial improvement in perioperative outcome. Thus, pending the publication of a large, prospective randomized trial, the preponderance of the evidence at this time suggests that perioperative statin usage may improve outcome in high-risk patients undergoing major surgery. Furthermore, even if statins are definitively found to be effective, additional studies will be necessary to establish the optimal timing of initiation, drug dosages, and length of therapy.