Test-to-Stay in Kindergarten Through 12th Grade Schools After Household Exposure to Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2.

BACKGROUND: Test-to-stay (TTS) is a strategy to limit school exclusion following an exposure to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). We evaluated the use of TTS within universally masked kindergarten through 12th grade (K-12) school settings following household SARS-CoV-2 exposure. METHODS: Three hundred twenty-two participants were enrolled. Serial rapid antigen testing was performed up to 15 days post-exposure. Analysis-eligible participants completed the 15-day testing protocol, tested positive any time during the testing window, or received a negative test on or after day 9. Primary outcomes included within-school tertiary attack rate (TAR) (test positivity among close contacts of positive TTS participants), and school days saved among TTS participants. RESULTS: Seventy-three of 265 analysis-eligible participants tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (secondary attack rate of 28% [95% CI: 16-63%]). Among 77 within-school close contacts, 2 were positive (TAR = 3% [95% CI: 1-5%]). Participant absences were limited to 338 days, resulting in 82% of 1849 school days saved. IMPLICATIONS FOR SCHOOL HEALTH POLICY, PRACTICE, AND EQUITY: TTS facilitates continued in-person learning and can greatly reduce the number of missed school days. CONCLUSIONS: Within universally masked K-12 schools, TTS is a safe alternative to school exclusion following household SARS-CoV-2 exposure.

Timing and predictors of severe rotavirus gastroenteritis among unvaccinated infants in low- and middle-income countries.

Delays in rotavirus vaccine schedule could improve performance in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, delaying the first dose could be detrimental if infants experience severe rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) early in life. Our objective was to describe the timing and predictors of severe RVGE in unvaccinated children in LMICs. We analysed the placebo arms from two clinical trials (cohort 1: NCT00241644; cohort 2: NCT00362648). We estimated the rate, cumulative incidence (per 1000 infants) and age distribution of severe RVGE episodes. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between baseline factors and severe RVGE. Cumulative incidence at 6 months of age was 23/1000 (95% CI 15-30) in cohort 1 and 6/1000 (95% CI 3-8) in cohort 2. Early antibiotic use (compared with no use) was associated with 2.03 (95% CI 1.18-3.48) and 1.41 (95% CI 0.80-2.51) times the rate of severe RVGE in cohorts 1 and 2, respectively. The cumulative incidence of severe RVGE was low at 6 months of age, suggesting that a 4-week delay in the vaccination schedule may not result in a large number of severe RVGE episodes prior to vaccine receipt.

Estimating the Effect of Preventable Treatment Discontinuation on Health Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: There is increased interest in studying the effects of medication adherence on health outcomes. However, if patients appropriately stop treatment because of side effects and treatment failure, it is neither possible nor clinically meaningful to estimate the effect of full medication adherence. METHODS: We present an analysis designed to estimate the effect of nonmedical (preventable) discontinuation of cinacalcet, an oral medication approved to treat secondary hyperparathyroidism in patients with end-stage renal disease on dialysis on mortality and heart failure. The approach involves artificially censoring patients who discontinue treatment for a reason that does not appear to be related to an adverse effect of treatment. We address potential bias from informative censoring through inverse-probability of censoring weighted estimation. RESULTS: Although the analysis is subject to possible residual confounding by the healthy adherer effect and other limitations, we find that potentially preventable discontinuation associates with 2.9 excess deaths at 1 year per 100 patients treated (95% confidence interval, 2.4, 3.5), and 4.6 excess deaths at 2 years (95% confidence interval, 3.5, 5.5). The association between cinacalcet persistence and heart failure hospitalization risk was sensitive to the outcome definition. CONCLUSIONS: Inverse-probability of censoring weighted estimation can be used to estimate the effect of potentially preventable treatment discontinuation in populations where treatment can be stopped for both medical and nonmedical reasons. Estimates from such approaches may represent an upper bound of what would be achievable by an adherence improvement intervention.

Fracture rate associated with quality metric-based anti-osteoporosis treatment in glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis.

UNLABELLED: Anti-osteoporosis medication (AOM) use in patients exposed to glucocorticoids is thought to reduce fractures. We found post-menopausal women using glucocorticoids for at least 90 days who also used an AOM within 90 days had 48 % fewer fractures by 1 year and 32 % fewer fractures by 3 years compared to non-AOM users. INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study is to explore the effectiveness of adherence to quality measures by estimating the effect of anti-osteoporosis medication (AOM) initiation within 90 days after chronic (≥90 days) glucocorticoid (GC) therapy on osteoporotic fracture. METHODS: A new-user cohort was assembled using the MarketScan databases between 2000 and 2012. Included patients were female, age ≥50 at GC initiation, had a first GC fill daily dose ≥10 mg and persisted for at least 90 days. During a 365-day baseline period, patients were excluded for prior GC or AOM (bisphosphonate, denosumab, teriparatide) use, fracture, or cancer diagnosis. Initiators of an AOM in the 14 days pre- or 90 days post-GC fill were characterized as AOM users; those without, AOM non-users. Follow-up began 91 days after GC fill with patients followed until fracture, loss of continuous enrollment, initiation of AOM by AOM non-users, or end of study period. A propensity score was estimated for AOM receipt using all measured covariates and converted to a stabilized inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW). Weighted hazard ratios (HR) and associated 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated using weighted Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Of the 7885 women eligible for the study, 12.1% were AOM users. AOM use was associated with lower fracture incidence: weighted HR of 0.52 (95% CI 0.29, 0.94) at 1 year and weighted HR of 0.68 (95% CI 0.47, 0.99) at 3 years. CONCLUSIONS: AOM initiation within 90 days of chronic GC use was associated with a fracture reduction of 48% at 1 year and 32% at 3 years.

Propensity scores for confounder adjustment when assessing the effects of medical interventions using nonexperimental study designs.

Treatment effects, especially when comparing two or more therapeutic alternatives as in comparative effectiveness research, are likely to be heterogeneous across age, gender, co-morbidities and co-medications. Propensity scores (PSs), an alternative to multivariable outcome models to control for measured confounding, have specific advantages in the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects. Implementing PSs using matching or weighting allows us to estimate different overall treatment effects in differently defined populations. Heterogeneous treatment effects can also be due to unmeasured confounding concentrated in those treated contrary to prediction. Sensitivity analyses based on PSs can help to assess such unmeasured confounding. PSs should be considered a primary or secondary analytic strategy in nonexperimental medical research, including pharmacoepidemiology and nonexperimental comparative effectiveness research.

Predictors of very low adherence with medications for osteoporosis: towards development of a clinical prediction rule.

UNLABELLED: We developed a clinical prediction rule score to predict medication non-adherence for women prescribed osteoporosis treatment. When combined into a summative score, 62% with seven or more points on the score demonstrated very low adherence. This compares with 17% subjects with fewer than seven points (c-statistic = 0.74). INTRODUCTION: Medication non-adherence is extremely common for osteoporosis; however, no clear methods exist for identifying patients at risk of this behavior. We developed a clinical prediction rule to predict medication non-adherence for women prescribed osteoporosis treatment. METHODS: Women undergoing bone mineral density testing and fulfilling WHO criteria for osteoporosis were invited to complete a questionnaire and then followed for 1 year. Adjusted logistic regression models were examined to identify variables associated with very low adherence (medication possession ratio <20%). The weighted variables, based on the logistic regression, were summed, and the score was compared with the proportion of subjects with very low adherence. RESULTS: One hundred forty two women participated in the questionnaire and were prescribed an osteoporosis medication. After 1 year, 36% (n = 50) had very low adherence. Variables associated with very low adherence included prior non-adherence with chronic medications, agreement that side effects are concerning, agreement that she is taking too many medications, lack of agreement that osteoporosis is a worry, lack of agreement that a fracture will cause disability, lack of agreement that medications help her stay active, and frequent use of alcohol. When combined into a summative score, 36 of the 58 subjects (62%) with seven or more points on the score demonstrated very low adherence. This compares with 14 of the 84 (17%) subjects with fewer than seven points (c-statistic = 0.74). CONCLUSION: We developed a brief clinical prediction rule that was able to discriminate between women likely (and unlikely) to experience very low adherence with osteoporosis medications.

Adherence to osteoporosis drugs and fracture prevention: no evidence of healthy adherer bias in a frail cohort of seniors.

UNLABELLED: We examined new users of osteoporosis drugs among seniors in Pennsylvania and found no evidence of healthy adherer bias on observed associations between adherence to treatment and non-vertebral fracture risk; we document fracture reduction with better adherence to bisphosphonates, yet no fracture reduction with better adherence to calcitonin or raloxifene. INTRODUCTION: We examined the potential for "healthy adherer bias" when studying the effects of adherence to osteoporosis pharmacotherapy on fracture risk. Based on clinical trial evidence, bisphosphonates, calcitonin, and raloxifene reduce vertebral fracture risk; yet only bisphosphonates are documented to reduce non-vertebral fracture risk. METHODS: This is a cohort study of older women in Pennsylvania who initiated osteoporosis drugs between 1995 and 2005. We included new users of bisphosphonates, calcitonin, and raloxifene. Adherence was categorized based on a measure of compliance as high [proportion of days covered (PDC) ≥ 80%], intermediate (50% < PDC < 80%), or low (PDC ≤ 50%) according to a 180-day ascertainment period. Non-vertebral fracture rates within 365 days after the ascertainment period were compared between adherence categories (reference = low) using Cox proportional hazard models and adjusting for fracture risk factors. Primary and secondary prevention cohorts were examined separately. Adherence to calcitonin and raloxifene were control analyses. RESULTS: We found little difference in fracture rates between levels of adherence to calcitonin, bisphosphonates for primary prevention, or raloxifene for secondary prevention. We document lower fracture rates among high versus low adherent bisphosphonate users for secondary prevention (HR = 0.53, 95%CI = 0.38-0.74) and higher fracture rates among high versus low adherent raloxifene users for primary prevention (HR = 2.01, 95%CI = 1.04-3.87). CONCLUSIONS: We document little evidence of healthy adherer bias when studying the association between better adherence to osteoporosis drugs and fracture risk reduction, with only better adherence to bisphosphonates reducing fracture risk. The higher fracture risk among highly adherent raloxifene users for primary prevention is likely due to residual confounding.

A blinded randomized controlled trial of motivational interviewing to improve adherence with osteoporosis medications: design of the OPTIMA trial.

UNLABELLED: We have designed an innovative randomized controlled trial for improving adherence with osteoporosis medications. Recruitment and randomization have been successful. Also, the counseling intervention has been well accepted by subjects randomized to this treatment arm. INTRODUCTION: While many effective treatments exist for osteoporosis, most people do not adhere to such treatments long term. No proven interventions exist to improve osteoporosis medication adherence. We report here on the design and initial enrollment in an innovative randomized controlled trial aimed at improving adherence to osteoporosis treatments. METHODS: The trial represents a collaboration between academic researchers and a state-run pharmacy benefits program for low-income older adults. Beneficiaries beginning treatment with a medication for osteoporosis are targeted for recruitment. We randomize consenting individuals to receive 12 months of mailed education (control arm) or an intervention consisting of one-on-one telephone-based counseling and the mailed education. Motivational interviewing forms the basis for the counseling program which is delivered by seven trained and supervised health counselors over ten telephone calls. The counseling sessions include scripted dialog and open-ended questions about medication adherence and its barriers, as well as structured questions. The primary end point of the trial is medication adherence measured over the 12-month intervention period. Secondary end points include fractures, nursing home admissions, health care resource utilization, and mortality. RESULTS: During the first 7 months of recruitment, we have screened 3,638 potentially eligible subjects. After an initial mailing, 1,115 (30.6%) opted out of telephone recruitment and 1,019 (28.0%) could not be successfully contacted. Of the remaining, 879 (24.2%) consented to participate and were randomized. Women comprise over 90% of all groups; mean ages range from 77 to 80 years old, and the majority in all groups was white. The distribution of osteoporosis medications was comparable across groups and the median number of different prescription drugs used in the prior year was eight to ten. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a novel intervention for improving osteoporosis medication adherence. The intervention is currently being tested in a large-scale randomized controlled trial. If successful, the intervention may represent a useful model for improving adherence to other chronic treatments.

Comparative gastrointestinal safety of weekly oral bisphosphonates.

SUMMARY: Weekly bisphosphonates are the primary agents used to treat osteoporosis. Although these agents are generally well tolerated, serious gastrointestinal adverse events, including hospitalization for gastrointestinal bleed, may arise. We compared the gastrointestinal safety between weekly alendronate and weekly risedronate and found no important difference between new users of these agents. INTRODUCTION: Weekly bisphosphonates are the primary agents prescribed for osteoporosis. We examined the comparative gastrointestinal safety between weekly bisphosphonates. METHODS: We studied new users of weekly alendronate and weekly risedronate from June 2002 to August 2005 among enrollees in a state-wide pharmaceutical benefit program for seniors. Our primary outcome was hospitalization for upper gastrointestinal bleed. Secondary outcomes included outpatient diagnoses for upper gastrointestinal disease, symptoms, endoscopic procedures, use of gastroprotective agents, and switching between therapies. We used Cox proportional hazard models to compare outcomes between agents within 120 days of treatment initiation, adjusting for propensity score quintiles. We also examined composite safety outcomes and stratified results by age and prior gastrointestinal history. RESULTS: A total of 10,420 new users were studied, mean age = 79 years (SD, 6.9), and 95% women. We observed 31 hospitalizations for upper gastrointestinal bleed (0.91 per 100 person-years) within 120 days of treatment initiation. Adjusting for covariates, there was no difference in hospitalization for upper gastrointestinal bleed among those treated with risedronate compared with alendronate (HR, 1.12; 95%CI, 0.55 to 2.28). Risedronate switching rates were lower; otherwise, no differences were observed for secondary or composite outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: We found no important difference in gastrointestinal safety between weekly oral bisphosphonates.

Uric acid lowering therapy: prescribing patterns in a large cohort of older adults.

BACKGROUND: Uric acid lowering therapy (UALT) is considered a chronic treatment for gout. Relatively little is known about adherence to UALT. METHODS: We assessed adherence with UALT over a 1-year study period among 9823 older adults enrolled in a pharmacy benefit program. Two adherence measures were calculated, the percentage of days covered (PDC) and the time until an extended break (at least 60 days) in treatment. A PDC <80% was considered poor adherence and its predictors were examined in multivariable logistic models. RESULTS: The mean (SD) PDC was 54% (36%) with 64% of patients considered poorly compliant over the study period. A total of 56% had experienced an extended break in UALT. Predictors of poor adherence included younger age (odds ratio (OR) 1.50, 95% CI 1.33-1.69 for ages 65-74 compared with 85 and above) and African-American race (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.52-2.27 compared with Caucasian race). Most patients (93%) received their initial UALT prescription from a non-specialist and this also predicted poor adherence (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.96-1.38 compared with rheumatologists or nephrologists). CONCLUSION: Adherence with UALT is poor. While uric acid levels were not measured in this study, poor adherence with UALT is likely to reduce attainment of goal uric acid levels.

Access to bone mineral density testing in patients at risk for osteoporosis.

INTRODUCTION: Prior studies have documented suboptimal diagnosis and treatment for osteoporosis in many settings. Consistent predictors of suboptimal management include patient age, physician training, and physician gender. We assessed whether access to bone mineral density (BMD) testing was a predictor of osteoporosis management in an at-risk population of patients from New Jersey. METHODS: Based on health care claims data, we identified three groups of at-risk beneficiaries, including women >or=65 (n=8,283), men and women >or=45 with a fracture (n=740), and men and women >or=45 taking chronic oral glucocorticoids (n=616). As the outcome of interest, we determined whether beneficiaries had undergone a BMD test and/or filled a prescription for a medicine used for osteoporosis (alendronate, calcitonin, hormone therapy, etidronate, risedronate, raloxifene, teriparatide) during the period 1 September 2002-31 August 2004. We assessed the relationship between this outcome and access to BMD testing. Access was characterized using two different measures: (1) the estimated driving time between each beneficiary's residence and the nearest BMD testing center ("driving time") and (2) the number of persons >or=65 years of age per BMD testing machine ("BMD scanner ratio") for each of the 21 counties in New Jersey. RESULTS: Of the 9,640 beneficiaries, we found that 3,104 (32%) had undergone a BMD test, 2,893 (30%) had filled a prescription for an osteoporosis medication, and 4,364 (45%) had one or both. Across the 21 counties of New Jersey, the percentage of at-risk patients who had a BMD test and/or medication for osteoporosis ranged from 38 to 52%. In models adjusted for patient factors and the clustering of patients in counties, driving time was not associated with patients being screened or treated for osteoporosis. The BMD scanner ratio was a weak predictor of osteoporosis management. CONCLUSION: Among beneficiaries of one large health insurer in New Jersey, two different measures of access to BMD testing were not important predictors of receiving testing and/or medications for osteoporosis.