Cytokeratin 18-based cell death markers indicate severity of liver disease and prognosis of cirrhotic patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatocyte death is an important factor in development and progression of cirrhosis. Cytokeratin 18-based serum markers reflecting apoptotic (M30) and overall epithelial cell death (M65 and M65EpiDeath) have been used as prognostic parameters for survival in patients with acute liver failure. However, there has been no trial investigating M30, M65 and M65EpiDeath as survival parameters in patients with cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure. METHODS: Patients with cirrhosis were enrolled and followed until death, liver transplantation or last contact. M30, M65 and M65EpiDeath serum levels were quantified in patient's sera. RESULTS: Three hundred and thirty-one patients were screened and 211 patients could be included in this study. The median duration of follow-up was 322 days with a range of 1-1382 days. All three cell death parameters correlated with the extent of the severity of the disease. However, M65EpiDeath was the only of the three parameters which was associated with the severe complications of cirrhosis including ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and hepatorenal syndrome. Additionally, M65EpiDeath was the only cell death parameter which was independently from liver function and its surrogate parameter such as Child-Pugh score and the model of end-stage liver disease associated with overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: Epithelial cell death reflected by M65EpiDeath serum levels is an indicator for the severity of cirrhosis and a prognostic survival parameter in cirrhotic patients.

Serum autotaxin is a parameter for the severity of liver cirrhosis and overall survival in patients with liver cirrhosis--a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Autotaxin (ATX) and its product lysophosphatidic acid (LPA) are considered to be involved in the development of liver fibrosis and elevated levels of serum ATX have been found in patients with hepatitis C virus associated liver fibrosis. However, the clinical role of systemic ATX in the stages of liver cirrhosis was unknown. Here we investigated the relation of ATX serum levels and severity of cirrhosis as well as prognosis of cirrhotic patients. METHODS: Patients with liver cirrhosis were prospectively enrolled and followed until death, liver transplantation or last contact. Blood samples drawn at the day of inclusion in the study were assessed for ATX content by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. ATX levels were correlated with the stage as well as complications of cirrhosis. The prognostic value of ATX was investigated by uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. LPA concentration was determined by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. RESULTS: 270 patients were enrolled. Subjects with liver cirrhosis showed elevated serum levels of ATX as compared to healthy subjects (0.814±0.42 mg/l vs. 0.258±0.40 mg/l, P<0.001). Serum ATX levels correlated with the Child-Pugh stage and the MELD (model of end stage liver disease) score and LPA levels (r = 0.493, P = 0.027). Patients with hepatic encephalopathy (P = 0.006), esophageal varices (P = 0.002) and portal hypertensive gastropathy (P = 0.008) had higher ATX levels than patients without these complications. Low ATX levels were a parameter independently associated with longer overall survival (hazard ratio 0.575, 95% confidence interval 0.365-0.905, P = 0.017). CONCLUSION: Serum ATX is an indicator for the severity of liver disease and the prognosis of cirrhotic patients.

Macrophage activation is a prognostic parameter for variceal bleeding and overall survival in patients with liver cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Soluble CD163 (sCD163) is shed in the blood circulation by activated macrophages, correlates strongly with the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and is thereby a good indicator of portal hypertension. It is unknown whether sCD163 correlates with the risk of variceal bleeding and overall survival (OS) in patients with liver cirrhosis. We performed a prospective study to investigate if sCD163 serum levels correlate with the risk of variceal bleeding and OS in cirrhotic patients. METHODS: Patients with liver cirrhosis were prospectively enrolled and followed until death or last contact. At the day of inclusion in the study, blood samples were taken and sCD163 serum levels were assessed by ELISA (enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay). The time until the end points death and variceal bleeding was assessed and the risks of death or variceal bleeding were calculated with uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: High sCD163 levels (>4100 ng/L) were associated with death independently of the MELD (model of end stage liver disease) score, CRP (C-reactive protein), age and gender. Furthermore, high sCD163 levels were associated with gastrointestinal bleeding independently of the variceal stage and red spots. CONCLUSIONS: The sCD163 serum level is a new independent non-invasive risk factor for death and variceal bleeding in cirrhotic patients.

Serum microRNA-122 predicts survival in patients with liver cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Liver cirrhosis is associated with high morbidity and mortality. MicroRNAs (miRs) circulating in the blood are an emerging new class of biomarkers. In particular, the serum level of the liver-specific miR-122 might be a clinically useful new parameter in patients with acute or chronic liver disease. AIM: Here we investigated if the serum level of miR-122 might be a prognostic parameter in patients with liver cirrhosis. METHODS: 107 patients with liver cirrhosis in the test cohort and 143 patients in the validation cohort were prospectively enrolled into the present study. RNA was extracted from the sera obtained at the time of study enrollment and the level of miR-122 was assessed. Serum miR-122 levels were assessed by quantitative reverse-transcription PCR (RT-PCR) and were compared to overall survival time and to different complications of liver cirrhosis. RESULTS: Serum miR-122 levels were reduced in patients with hepatic decompensation in comparison to patients with compensated liver disease. Patients with ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and hepatorenal syndrome had significantly lower miR-122 levels than patients without these complications. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the miR-122 serum levels were associated with survival independently from the MELD score, sex and age. CONCLUSIONS: Serum miR-122 is a new independent marker for prediction of survival of patients with liver cirrhosis.

Interleukin-22 predicts severity and death in advanced liver cirrhosis: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Interleukin-22 (IL-22), recently identified as a crucial parameter of pathology in experimental liver damage, may determine survival in clinical end-stage liver disease. Systematic analysis of serum IL-22 in relation to morbidity and mortality of patients with advanced liver cirrhosis has not been performed so far. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study including 120 liver cirrhosis patients and 40 healthy donors to analyze systemic levels of IL-22 in relation to survival and hepatic complications. RESULTS: A total of 71% of patients displayed liver cirrhosis-related complications at study inclusion. A total of 23% of the patients died during a mean follow-up of 196 ± 165 days. Systemic IL-22 was detectable in 74% of patients but only in 10% of healthy donors (P < 0.001). Elevated levels of IL-22 were associated with ascites (P = 0.006), hepatorenal syndrome (P < 0.0001), and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (P = 0.001). Patients with elevated IL-22 (>18 pg/ml, n = 57) showed significantly reduced survival compared to patients with regular (≤18 pg/ml) levels of IL-22 (321 days versus 526 days, P = 0.003). Other factors associated with reduced overall survival were high CRP (≥2.9 mg/dl, P = 0.005, hazard ratio (HR) 0.314, confidence interval (CI) (0.141 to 0.702)), elevated serum creatinine (P = 0.05, HR 0.453, CI (0.203 to 1.012)), presence of liver-related complications (P = 0.028, HR 0.258, CI (0.077 to 0.862)), model of end stage liver disease (MELD) score ≥20 (P = 0.017, HR 0.364, CI (0.159 to 0.835)) and age (P = 0.011, HR 0.955, CI (0.922 to 0.989)). Adjusted multivariate Cox proportional-hazards analysis identified elevated systemic IL-22 levels as independent predictors of reduced survival (P = 0.007, HR 0.218, CI (0.072 to 0.662)). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with liver cirrhosis, elevated systemic IL-22 levels are predictive for reduced survival independently from age, liver-related complications, CRP, creatinine and the MELD score. Thus, processes that lead to a rise in systemic interleukin-22 may be relevant for prognosis of advanced liver cirrhosis.