Early Prediction of Impending Exertional Heat Stroke With Wearable Multimodal Sensing and Anomaly Detection.

We employed wearable multimodal sensing (heart rate and triaxial accelerometry) with machine learning to enable early prediction of impending exertional heat stroke (EHS). US Army Rangers and Combat Engineers (N = 2,102) were instrumented while participating in rigorous 7-mile and 12-mile loaded rucksack timed marches. There were three EHS cases, and data from 478 Rangers were analyzed for model building and controls. The data-driven machine learning approach incorporated estimates of physiological strain (heart rate) and physical stress (estimated metabolic rate) trajectories, followed by reconstruction to obtain compressed representations which then fed into anomaly detection for EHS prediction. Impending EHS was predicted from 33 to 69 min before collapse. These findings demonstrate that low dimensional physiological stress to strain patterns with machine learning anomaly detection enables early prediction of impending EHS which will allow interventions that minimize or avoid pathophysiological sequelae. We describe how our approach can be expanded to other physical activities and enhanced with novel sensors.

Gait instability and estimated core temperature predict exertional heat stroke.

OBJECTIVE: Exertional heat stroke (EHS), characterised by a high core body temperature (Tcr) and central nervous system (CNS) dysfunction, is a concern for athletes, workers and military personnel who must train and perform in hot environments. The objective of this study was to determine whether algorithms that estimate Tcr from heart rate and gait instability from a trunk-worn sensor system can forward predict EHS onset. METHODS: Heart rate and three-axis accelerometry data were collected from chest-worn sensors from 1806 US military personnel participating in timed 4/5-mile runs, and loaded marches of 7 and 12 miles; in total, 3422 high EHS-risk training datasets were available for analysis. Six soldiers were diagnosed with heat stroke and all had rectal temperatures of >41°C when first measured and were exhibiting CNS dysfunction. Estimated core temperature (ECTemp) was computed from sequential measures of heart rate. Gait instability was computed from three-axis accelerometry using features of pattern dispersion and autocorrelation. RESULTS: The six soldiers who experienced heat stroke were among the hottest compared with the other soldiers in the respective training events with ECTemps ranging from 39.2°C to 40.8°C. Combining ECTemp and gait instability measures successfully identified all six EHS casualties at least 3.5 min in advance of collapse while falsely identifying 6.1% (209 total false positives) examples where exertional heat illness symptoms were neither observed nor reported. No false-negative cases were noted. CONCLUSION: The combination of two algorithms that estimate Tcr and ataxic gate appears promising for real-time alerting of impending EHS.

Estimating Sedentary Breathing Rate from Chest-Worn Accelerometry From Free-Living Data.

Breathing rate was estimated from chest-worn accelerometry collected from 1,522 servicemembers during training by a wearable physiological monitor. A total of 29,189 hours of training and sleep data were analyzed. The primary purpose of the monitor was to assess thermal-work strain and avoid heat injuries. The monitor design was thus not optimized to estimate breathing rate. Since breathing rate cannot be accurately estimated during periods of high activity, a qualifier was applied to identify sedentary time periods, totaling 8,867 hours. Breathing rate was estimated for a total of 4,179 hours, or 14% of the total collection and 47% of the sedentary total, primarily during periods of sleep. The breathing rate estimation method was compared to an FDA 510(K)-cleared criterion breathing rate sensor (Zephyr, Annapolis MD, USA) in a controlled laboratory experiment, which showed good agreement between the two techniques. Contributions of this paper are to: 1) provide the first analysis of accelerometry-derived breathing rate on free-living data including periods of high activity as well as sleep, along with a qualifier that effectively identifies sedentary periods appropriate for estimating breathing rate; 2) test breathing rate estimation on a data set with a total duration that is more than 60 times longer than that of the largest previously reported study, 3) test breathing rate estimation on data from a physiological monitor that has not been expressly designed for that purpose.