Aerial imagery reveals abnormal stingrays, Taeniura lymma (Myliobatiformes: Dasyatidae), in the central Red Sea.

While morphological abnormalities have been widely reported in batomorphs, ontogenetic deformities of the posterior pectoral fin are rare. In this paper, we present two individuals of the bluespotted ribbontail ray, Taeniura lymma (Forsskål, 1775), with symmetrically deformed posterior pectoral fins. Both individuals were observed through aerial imagery on a coastal sandflat in the central Red Sea (22.30° N, 39.09° E). The similarity of this symmetrical deformity in both individuals indicates it likely has a genetic base. However, lacking access to the specimens, the ultimate cause of the abnormality remains uncertain. The incomplete disk closure did not seem to affect survival, as both individuals had reached a disk width of 22 cm, well above the typical birth size of the species. Our observations constitute both the first report of a morphological abnormality in T. lymma and the first record of a batomorph with a symmetrically deformed posterior pectoral fin.

Practice Patterns for Acute Asthma Exacerbation in Adult Patients Admitted to US Intensive Care Units.

RATIONALE: Guidelines recommend systemic corticosteroids and inhaled beta-agonists for patients with severe asthma exacerbation admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). The benefits and utilization of adjunct treatments after guideline recommended first-line treatments have been initiated are unclear. METHODS: Using the Premier Inc. PINC AI multicenter database (2016-2022), we sought to explore the use of adjunct interventions (medications [e.g., magnesium, leukotriene inhibitors, terbutaline, heliox]; and procedures [e.g., invasive and non-invasive mechanical ventilation]) for adult patients admitted to United States (US) ICUs with acute asthma exacerbations. We used hierarchical generalized linear models to calculate risk-adjusted rates of adjunct interventions and quantified between-hospital variation in adjunct interventions using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC - higher values correspond to higher between hospital variation). We then used K-means clustering to identify groups of hospitals with similar risk-adjusted practice profiles of all adjunct treatments and examined associations between identified hospital clusters and patient outcomes. RESULTS: We identified 62,392 patients from 961 hospitals for inclusion. Adjunct interventions with the highest between hospital variation after risk-adjustment were heliox (ICC 91%), inhaled steroids (ICC 23%), invasive mechanical ventilation (ICC 21%), terbutaline (ICC 22%), paralytics (ICC 16%), and non-invasive ventilation (ICC 15%). K-means clustering identified two distinct hospital clusters: patients admitted to cluster 1 hospitals (399 hospitals) had higher risk-adjusted rates of non-invasive ventilation (51% vs 33%) compared to patients admitted to cluster 2 hospitals (234 hospitals) which had higher risk-adjusted rates of invasive mechanical ventilation (63% vs 30%). Cluster 2 was associated with fewer hospital free days (beta -0.75 days, CI -0.95, -0.55 days) and increased in-hospital mortality (aOR 1.28, CI 1.17, 1.40). CONCLUSIONS: The use of adjunct interventions for patients with severe asthma exacerbations vary widely across US hospitals; however, hospitals generally fall into two clusters differentiated primarily by the use of invasive or non-invasive mechanical ventilation. Our results help to inform usual care arms of future comparative effectiveness studies and efforts to standardize asthma practice.

Mortality and morbidity ramifications of proposed retractions in healthcare coverage for the United States.

In the absence of universal healthcare in the United States, federal programs of Medicaid and Medicare are vital to providing healthcare coverage for low-income households and elderly individuals, respectively. However, both programs are under threat, with either enacted or proposed retractions. Specifically, raising Medicare age eligibility and the addition of work requirements for Medicaid qualification have been proposed, while termination of continuous enrollment for Medicaid was recently effectuated. Here, we assess the potential impact on mortality and morbidity resulting from these policy changes. Our findings indicate that the policy change to Medicare would lead to over 17,000 additional deaths among individuals aged 65 to 67 and those to Medicaid would lead to more than 8,000 deaths among those under the age of 65. To illustrate the implications for morbidity, we further consider a case study among those people with diabetes who would be likely to lose their health insurance under the policy changes. We project that these insurance retractions would lead to the loss of coverage for over 700,000 individuals with diabetes, including more than 200,000 who rely on insulin.

Evaluation of Strategies for Transitioning to Annual SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination Campaigns in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration has proposed administering annual SARS-CoV-2 vaccines. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of an annual SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign, quantify the health and economic benefits of a second dose provided to children younger than 2 years and adults aged 50 years or older, and optimize the timing of a second dose. DESIGN: An age-structured dynamic transmission model. SETTING: United States. PARTICIPANTS: A synthetic population reflecting demographics and contact patterns in the United States. INTERVENTION: Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 with age-specific uptake similar to that of influenza vaccination. MEASUREMENTS: Incidence, hospitalizations, deaths, and direct health care cost. RESULTS: The optimal timing between the first and second dose delivered to children younger than 2 years and adults aged 50 years or older in an annual vaccination campaign was estimated to be 5 months. In direct comparison with a single-dose campaign, a second booster dose results in 123 869 fewer hospitalizations (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 121 994 to 125 742 fewer hospitalizations) and 5524 fewer deaths (95% UI, 5434 to 5613 fewer deaths), averting $3.63 billion (95% UI, $3.57 billion to $3.69 billion) in costs over a single year. LIMITATIONS: Population immunity is subject to degrees of immune evasion for emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants. The model was implemented in the absence of nonpharmaceutical interventions and preexisting vaccine-acquired immunity. CONCLUSION: The direct health care costs of SARS-CoV-2, particularly among adults aged 50 years or older, would be substantially reduced by administering a second dose 5 months after the initial dose. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, Notsew Orm Sands Foundation, National Institutes of Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and National Science Foundation.

An agent-based framework to study forced migration: A case study of Ukraine.

The ongoing Russian aggression against Ukraine has forced over eight million people to migrate out of Ukraine. Understanding the dynamics of forced migration is essential for policy-making and for delivering humanitarian assistance. Existing work is hindered by a reliance on observational data which is only available well after the fact. In this work, we study the efficacy of a data-driven agent-based framework motivated by social and behavioral theory in predicting outflow of migrants as a result of conflict events during the initial phase of the Ukraine war. We discuss policy use cases for the proposed framework by demonstrating how it can leverage refugee demographic details to answer pressing policy questions. We also show how to incorporate conflict forecast scenarios to predict future conflict-induced migration flows. Detailed future migration estimates across various conflict scenarios can both help to reduce policymaker uncertainty and improve allocation and staging of limited humanitarian resources in crisis settings.

Cost-effectiveness of Prefusion F Protein-based Vaccines Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease for Older Adults in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Two prefusion F protein-based vaccines, Arexvy and Abrysvo, have been authorized by the US Food and Drug Administration for protecting older adults against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-associated lower respiratory tract illness. We evaluated the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of these vaccines. METHODS: We developed a discrete-event simulation model, parameterized with the burden of RSV disease including outpatient care, hospitalization, and death for adults aged 60 years or older in the United States. Taking into account the costs associated with these RSV-related outcomes, we calculated the net monetary benefit using quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained as a measure of effectiveness and determined the range of price-per-dose (PPD) for Arexvy and Abrysvo vaccination programs to be cost-effective from a societal perspective. RESULTS: Using a willingness-to-pay of $95 000 per QALY gained, we found that vaccination programs could be cost-effective for a PPD up to $127 with Arexvy and $118 with Abrysvo over the first RSV season. Achieving an influenza-like vaccination coverage of 66% for the population of older adults in the United States, the budget impact of these programs at the maximum PPD ranged from $6.48 to $6.78 billion. If the benefits of vaccination extend to a second RSV season as reported in clinical trials, we estimated a maximum PPD of $235 for Arexvy and $245 for Abrysvo, with 2-year budget impacts of $11.78 and $12.25 billion, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination of older adults would provide substantial direct health benefits by reducing outcomes associated with RSV-related illness in this population.

Cost-Effectiveness of Prefusion F Protein-Based Vaccines Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease for Older Adults in the United States.

Background: Two prefusion F protein-based vaccines, Arexvy and Abrysvo, have been authorized by the US Food and Drug Administration for protecting older adults against Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV)-associated lower respiratory tract illness. We evaluated the health benefits and cost-effectiveness of these vaccines. Methods: We developed a discrete-event simulation model, parameterized with the burden of RSV disease including outpatient care, hospitalization, and death for adults aged 60 years or older in the US. Taking into account the costs associated with these RSV-related outcomes, we calculated the net monetary benefit using quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) gained as a measure of effectiveness, and determined the range of price-per-dose (PPD) for Arexvy and Abrysvo vaccination programs to be cost-effective from a societal perspective. Results: Using a willingness-to-pay of $95,000 per QALY gained, we found that vaccination programs could be cost-effective for a PPD under $120 with Arexvy and $111 with Abrysvo over the first RSV season. Achieving an influenza-like vaccination coverage of 66% for the population of older adults in the US, the budget impact of these programs at the maximum PPD ranged from $5.74 to $6.10 billion. If the benefits of vaccination extend to a second RSV season as reported in clinical trials, we estimated a maximum PPD of $250 for Arexvy and $233 for Abrysvo, with two-year budget impacts of $11.59 and $10.89 billion, respectively. Conclusions: Vaccination of older adults would provide substantial direct health benefits by reducing outcomes associated with RSV-related illness in this population.

Disease burden among Ukrainians forcibly displaced by the 2022 Russian invasion.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, has displaced more than a quarter of the population. Assessing disease burdens among displaced people is instrumental in informing global public health and humanitarian aid efforts. We estimated the disease burden in Ukrainians displaced both within Ukraine and to other countries by combining a spatiotemporal model of forcible displacement with age- and gender-specific estimates of cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, cancer, HIV, and tuberculosis (TB) in each of Ukraine's 629 raions (i.e., districts). Among displaced Ukrainians as of May 13, we estimated that more than 2.63 million have CVDs, at least 615,000 have diabetes, and over 98,500 have cancer. In addition, more than 86,000 forcibly displaced individuals are living with HIV, and approximately 13,500 have TB. We estimated that the disease prevalence among refugees was lower than the national disease prevalence before the invasion. Accounting for internal displacement and healthcare facilities impacted by the conflict, we estimated that the number of people per hospital has increased by more than two-fold in some areas. As regional healthcare systems come under increasing strain, these estimates can inform the allocation of critical resources under shifting disease burdens.

Fish-mediated nutrient flows from macroalgae habitats to coral reefs in the Red Sea.

Macroalgae canopies are common in tropical coastlines, and can be feeding grounds for coral reef fishes. We investigated whether fish transfer algal material from Sargassum-dominated macroalgae habitats to coral reefs by collecting gut contents of two herbivorous fish species (Naso elegans and N. unicornis) from coral reefs in the central Red Sea. On inshore reefs close to macroalgae canopies, Sargassum accounted for up to 41% of these species' gut contents while almost no Sargassum was found in the stomachs of fish on offshore reefs farther from macroalgae canopies. Using consumption and excretion rates from literature, we estimate that these fish consume up to 6.0 mmol C/m2 reef/day and excrete up to 10.8 µmol N/m2 reef/day and 1.0 µmol P/m2 reef/day across inshore reefs as a result of Sargassum consumption. Examining fish-mediated connections between habitats illuminates the role of fish as a vector of nutrition to nutrient-poor coral reefs.

Impact of sleep deficiency on surgical performance: a prospective assessment.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: Sleep deficiency can adversely affect the performance of resident physicians, resulting in greater medical errors. However, the impact of sleep deficiency on surgical outcomes, particularly among attending surgeons, is less clear. METHODS: Sixty attending surgeons from academic and community departments of surgery or obstetrics and gynecology were studied prospectively using direct observation and self-report to explore the effect of sleep deprivation on patient safety, operating room communication, medical errors, and adverse events while operating under 2 conditions, post-call (defined as > 2 hours of nighttime clinical duties) and non-post-call. RESULTS: Each surgeon contributed up to 5 surgical procedures post-call and non-post-call, yielding 362 cases total (150 post-call and 210 non-post-call). Most common were caesarian section and herniorrhaphy. Hours of sleep on the night before the operative procedure were significantly less post-call (4.98 ± 1.41) vs non-post-call (6.68 ± 0.88, P < .01). Errors were infrequent and not related to hours of sleep or post-call status. However, Non-Technical Skills for Surgeons ratings demonstrated poorer performance while post-call for situational awareness, decision-making, and communication/teamwork. Fewer hours of sleep also were related to lower ratings for situational awareness and decision-making. Decreased self-reported alertness was observed to be associated with increased procedure time. CONCLUSIONS: Sleep deficiency in attending surgeons was not associated with greater errors during procedures performed during the next day. However, procedure time was increased, suggesting that surgeons were able to compensate for sleep loss by working more slowly. Ratings on nontechnical surgical skills were adversely affected by sleep deficiency. CITATION: Quan SF, Landrigan CP, Barger LK, et al. Impact of sleep deficiency on surgical performance: a prospective assessment. J Clin Sleep Med. 2023;19(4):673-683.

Inpatient albuterol spacing as an indicator of discharge readiness.

INTRODUCTION: In children admitted for asthma exacerbation, multiple evidence-based, clinical practice guidelines exist to identify readiness for discharge. At many institutions, weaning of albuterol is part of the discharge process, though presently there is limited evidence to guide best practice. We sought to determine how many children required escalation of care once placed on every 4-h dosing of albuterol. METHODS: We performed a consecutive case series of pediatric patients between 5 and 18 years of age admitted to a single tertiary care center's pediatric hospitalist service between April 2015 and April 2018 with a discharge diagnosis of asthma. Patients admitted to the intensive care unit (PICU) or a subspecialty service were excluded, as has been done previously. Time between albuterol administrations was tracked. "Treatment escalation" was defined as when a patient required more frequent albuterol more dosing after previously tolerating albuterol doses separated by more than 3.5 h. RESULTS: A total of 331 patients met inclusion criteria; 136 were female (41.1%), and the average age was 8.8 years. Twenty-six of the 331 patients (7.8%) required escalation of albuterol therapy. Eleven patients returned to the emergency department (ED) following discharge, 2 of which had experienced treatment escalation while admitted. CONCLUSIONS: Our case series showed that most patients were safe to discharge after spacing albuterol treatments to 4 h, with few returns to the ED and readmissions. Albuterol spacing to every 4 h once appears to be a reasonable discharge criterion, but future studies are needed to determine if this is a safe and efficient.

Highly sensitised individuals present a distinct Treg signature compared to unsensitised individuals on haemodialysis.

Introduction: Highly sensitised (HS) patients represent up to 30% of patients on the kidney transplant waiting list. When they are transplanted, they have a high risk of acute/chronic rejection and long-term allograft loss. Regulatory T cells (Tregs) (CD4+CD25hiCD127lo) are T cells involved in the suppression of immune alloresponses. A particular subset, called T follicular regulatory T cells (Tfr, CXCR5+Bcl-6+), is involved in regulating interactions between T effectors and B cells within the germinal centre and can be found in peripheral blood. Therefore, we wanted to identify specific subsets of Tregs in the peripheral blood of HS individuals. Methods: We recruited prospectively healthy volunteers (HV) (n = 9), non-sensitised patients on haemodialysis (HD) (n = 9) and HS individuals, all of whom were on haemodialysis (n = 15). Results: We compared the Treg phenotypes of HV, HD and HS. HS patients had more CD161+ Tregs (p = 0.02) and more CD45RA-CCR7- T effectors (Teffs) (p = 0.04, memory Teffs able to home to the germinal centre) compared to HVs. HS patients had more Bcl-6+ Tregs (p < 0.05), fewer Th1-like Tregs, more Th2-like Tregs (p < 0.001) and more CD161+ (p < 0.05) Tregs compared to HD patients. This population has been described to be highly suppressive. HD had a deficiency in a Th17-like CD161+ effector Treg cluster (cluster iii., CCR6+CCR4+CXCR3- CD39+CD15s+ICOS-CCR7-CD161+) (p < 0.05). Discussion: This is the first study presenting a deep Treg phenotype in HS patients. We confirmed that HS patients had more of a Th17-like CD161+ effector Treg from population III (CD4+CD25hiCD127loCD45RA-) compared to non-sensitised patients on HD. The clinical relevance of this highly suppressive Tregs population remains to be determined in the context of transplantation.

Interaction effects of crude oil and nutrient exposure on settlement of coral reef benthos.

Anthropogenic stressors increasingly cause ecosystem-level changes to sensitive marine habitats such as coral reefs. Intensification of coastal development and shipping traffic can increase nutrient and oil pollution on coral reefs, yet these two stressors have not been studied in conjunction. Here, we simulate a disturbance scenario exposing carbonate settlement tiles to nutrient and oil pollution in a full-factorial design with four treatments: control, nutrients, oil, and combination to examine community structure and net primary productivity (NPP) of pioneer communities throughout 28 weeks. Compared to the control treatment oil pollution decreased overall settlement and NPP, while nutrients increased turf algae and NPP. However, the combination of these two stressors resulted in similar community composition and NPP as the control. These results indicate that pioneer communities may experience shifts due to nutrient enrichment, and/or oil pollution. However, the timing and duration of an event will influence recovery trajectories requiring further study.

Detection and discrimination of electrical stimuli from an upper limb cuff electrode inM. Mulatta.

Objective.Peripheral nerve interfaces seek to restore nervous system function through electrical stimulation of peripheral nerves. In clinical use, these devices should function reliably for years or decades. In this study, we assessed evoked sensations from multi-channel cuff electrode stimulation in macaque monkeys up to 711 d post-implantation.Approach.Three trained macaque monkeys received multi-channel cuff electrode implants at the median or ulnar nerves in the upper arm. Electrical stimuli from the cuff interfaces evoked sensations, which we measured via standard psychophysical tasks. We adjusted pulse amplitude or pulse width for each block with various electrode channel configurations to examine the effects of stimulus parameterization on sensation. We measured detection thresholds and just-noticeable differences (JNDs) at irregular, near-daily intervals for several months using Bayesian inferencing from trial data. We examined data trends using classical models such as Weber's Law and the strength-duration relationship using linear regression.Main results.Detection thresholds were similar between blocks with pulse width modulation and blocks with pulse amplitude modulation when represented as charge per pulse, the product of the amplitude and the pulse width. Conversely, Weber fractions-calculated as the slope of the regression between JND charge values and reference stimulus charge-were significantly different between pulse width and pulse amplitude modulation blocks for the discrimination task.Significance.Weber fractions were lower in blocks with amplitude modulation than in blocks with pulse width modulation, suggesting that pulse amplitude modulation allows finer resolution of sensory encoding above threshold. Consequently, amplitude modulation may enable a greater dynamic range for sensory perception with neuroprosthetic devices.

Asymmetrical lineage introgression and recombination in populations of Aspergillus flavus: Implications for biological control.

Aspergillus flavus is an agriculturally important fungus that causes ear rot of maize and produces aflatoxins, of which B1 is the most carcinogenic naturally-produced compound. In the US, the management of aflatoxins includes the deployment of biological control agents that comprise two nonaflatoxigenic A. flavus strains, either Afla-Guard (member of lineage IB) or AF36 (lineage IC). We used genotyping-by-sequencing to examine the influence of both biocontrol agents on native populations of A. flavus in cornfields in Texas, North Carolina, Arkansas, and Indiana. This study examined up to 27,529 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in a total of 815 A. flavus isolates, and 353 genome-wide haplotypes sampled before biocontrol application, three months after biocontrol application, and up to three years after initial application. Here, we report that the two distinct A. flavus evolutionary lineages IB and IC differ significantly in their frequency distributions across states. We provide evidence of increased unidirectional gene flow from lineage IB into IC, inferred to be due to the applied Afla-Guard biocontrol strain. Genetic exchange and recombination of biocontrol strains with native strains was detected in as little as three months after biocontrol application and up to one and three years later. There was limited inter-lineage migration in the untreated fields. These findings suggest that biocontrol products that include strains from lineage IB offer the greatest potential for sustained reductions in aflatoxin levels over several years. This knowledge has important implications for developing new biocontrol strategies.

Quarantine and serial testing for variants of SARS-CoV-2 with benefits of vaccination and boosting on consequent control of COVID-19.

Quarantine and serial testing strategies for a disease depend principally on its incubation period and infectiousness profile. In the context of COVID-19, these primary public health tools must be modulated with successive SARS CoV-2 variants of concern that dominate transmission. Our analysis shows that (1) vaccination status of an individual makes little difference to the determination of the appropriate quarantine duration of an infected case, whereas vaccination coverage of the population can have a substantial effect on this duration, (2) successive variants can challenge disease control efforts by their earlier and increased transmission in the disease time course relative to prior variants, and (3) sufficient vaccine boosting of a population substantially aids the suppression of local transmission through frequent serial testing. For instance, with Omicron, increasing immunity through vaccination and boosters-for instance with 100% of the population is fully immunized and at least 24% having received a third dose-can reduce quarantine durations by up to 2 d, as well as substantially aid in the repression of outbreaks through serial testing. Our analysis highlights the paramount importance of maintaining high population immunity, preferably by booster uptake, and the role of quarantine and testing to control the spread of SARS CoV-2.

Risk factors for early PICC removal: A retrospective study of adult inpatients at an academic medical center.

BACKGROUND: Use of PICCs has been rising since 2001. They are used when long-term intravenous access is needed and for blood draws in patients with difficult venous access. OBJECTIVE: To determine which risk factors contribute to inappropriate PICC line insertion defined as removal of a PICC within five days of insertion for reasons other than a PICC complication. DESIGN: Retrospective, observational study. SETTING: Tertiary-care, Level 1 trauma center. PATIENTS: Adult patients with a PICC removed 1/1/2017 to 5/4/2020. MEASUREMENTS: Frequency of PICC removal within five days of insertion and associated risk factors for early removal. RESULTS: Between 1/1/2017 and 5/4/2020, 995 of 5348 PICCs inserted by the IV nursing team were removed within five days (19%). In 2017, 5 of 429 PICCs developed a central line-associated infection (1.2%) and 29 of 429 PICCs developed symptomatic venous thromboembolism (6.7%). Patients with PICCs whose primary service was in an ICU were independently at higher risk of early removal (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.14, 1.83); weekday insertion was independently associated with a lower likelihood of early removal compared to weekend insertion (OR 0.60; 95% CI 0.49, 0.75). LIMITATION: PICC removal after discharge was not assessed and paper records were likely incomplete and biased. CONCLUSION: Nearly one in five PICCs were removed within five days. Patients whose primary team was in an ICU and PICCs ordered on weekends were at independently higher risk of early removal.