Composite indices of femoral neck strength predicts the collapse of steroid-associated osteonecrosis of the femoral head: a retrospective study.

PURPOSES: The purpose of this study was to investigate the predictive effect exerted by composite indices of femoral neck strength (compressive strength index (CSI), bending strength index (BSI) and impact strength index (ISI) on the femoral head collapse in steroid-associated ONFH patients. METHODS: Nonoperative steroid-associated osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH) patients from 2017 to 2019 were selected. The patients fell into the collapsed group and the non-collapsed group according to whether the femoral head collapsed. CSI, BSI and ISI were calculated. Moreover, bone turnover markers were measured. The statistical analysis was conducted on the predictive effects of composite indices of femoral neck strength and bone turnover index on ONFH collapse. RESULTS: A total of 62 patients were included. The mean CSI, BSI and ISI were significantly lower in the collapsed group than those in the non-collapsed group (P < 0.05). CSI, ISI,t-P1NP and ß-CTx were suggested as the protective risk factors for the femoral head collapse in ONFH patients. The ISI area under the curve values was 0. 878.The mean survival time of the hips of patients with ISI greater than 0.435 was greater (P < 0.05) than that of patients with ISI less than 0.435. CONCLUSION: The composite indices of femoral neck strength can predict steroid-associated ONFH femoral head collapse more effectively than the bone turnover markers. The ISI value of 0.435 is a potential cut-off value, lower than this value can predict the early collapse of steroid-associated ONFH.

Development of a Practical Model to Predict Conversion to Total Hip Arthroplasty Following Non-Vascularized Bone Grafting.

Objective: To identify risk factors of failure after Non-Vascularized Bone Grafting (NVBG) in osteonecrosis patients, establish and validate a nomogram predictive model of hip survival after NVBG. Methods: Data on ONFH patients undergoing NVBG at our institution between 2010 and 2017 were retrospectively collected. Preoperative risk factors potentially associated with failure after NVBG were assessed by univariate Cox regression analyses. A predictive nomogram was developed based on multivariate Cox regression model. The performance of the nomogram model was evaluated by C statistic. Subjects were stratified according to total points calculated from the nomogram and Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to further evaluate the discrimination of the model. The model was also internally validated through calibration curves. Results: The overall 2-year and 5-year hip survival percentages were 91.8 and 84.6%, respectively. Age, etiology, Association Research Circulation Osseous stage and range of necrotic lesion were independent risk factors of failure after NVBG. The C statistic of the nomogram model established with these predictors was 0.77 and Kaplan-Meier curves of the tertiles showed satisfactory discrimination of the model. Internal validation by calibration curves indicated favorable consistency between actual and predicted hip survival rate. Conclusion: This predictive model may be a practical tool for patient selection of NVBG. However, future studies are still needed to externally validate this model.

Diagnostic value of necrotic lesion boundary in bone collapse of femoral head osteonecrosis.

PURPOSE: Our research developed a novel approach to quantitatively evaluate the boundary of necrotic lesions in osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH) and to explore its diagnostic value in predicting bone collapse of the femoral head. METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted in our institution, and 146 hips (121 cases) identified as ONFH were recruited. The anterior and lateral boundaries of each enrolled subject were measured in standard anteroposterior (AP) view and frog-leg (FL) view of plain radiographic images, the intact rate of which was then calculated and presented as the anteroposterior view intact ratio (APIR) and frog-leg view intact ratio (FLIR), respectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for collapse. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to determine the sensitivity, specificity and cutoff value of the APIR and FLIR. A Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis was applied to calculate the survival rate of the femoral head, and bone collapse of the femoral head was regarded as the endpoint. RESULTS: Femoral head collapse was observed in 61 hips during the follow-up period. Patients with or without femoral head collapse were categorized into the collapse group and non-collapse group, respectively. The mean follow-up time was 3.7 years (2-9) for the collapse group and 7.7 years (5-20) for the non-collapse group. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis and ROC analysis showed that APIR (< 25.61%) and FLIR (< 24.43%) were significantly associated with femoral head collapse. The K-M survival curves indicated that the overall survival rate of APIR (≥ 25.61%) was 94.8% at 7.5 years and 76.6% at 10 years, while that of FLIR (≥ 24.43%) was 87.3% at 7.5 years and ten years. CONCLUSION: The present study demonstrates that APIR and FLIR are of high diagnostic value in the early and middle stages of ONFH. APIR and FLIR can be used to predict the occurrence of femoral head collapse in patients with JIC classification types B and C1. The measurement of these two parameters in plain radiography images may contribute to the selection of a proper hip preservation strategy.

Prior Intra-articular Corticosteroid Injection Within 3 Months May Increase the Risk of Deep Infection in Subsequent Joint Arthroplasty: A Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Intra-articular injections containing a corticosteroid are used frequently, and periprosthetic joint infection is a serious complication after total joint arthroplasty. There is debate regarding whether intra-articular corticosteroid injections before arthroplasty increase periprosthetic joint infection after surgery. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: (1) Does a previous intra-articular corticosteroid injection increase the odds of infection after subsequent hip or knee arthroplasty? (2) Does this risk vary based on how soon before the arthroplasty (such as less than 3 months before surgery) the injection is administered? METHODS: Using the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases from inception to July 2021, we searched for comparative studies in English on patients who received intra-articular corticosteroid injections before arthroplasty and that tracked the frequency of infection after arthroplasty. We extracted data on the risk of infection after subsequent joint arthroplasty. The keywords included "corticosteroid," "steroid," "arthroplasty," "knee replacement," and "hip replacement." Eleven retrospective, comparative studies from four countries were included, of which 10 reported the specific diagnosis criteria and one did not. These articles included data on 173,465 arthroplasties in the hip or knee, as well as of 73,049 injections and 100,416 control patients. The methodologic quality of the included studies was evaluated according to the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale; the articles' scores ranged from 6 to 7 (the score itself spans 0 to 9, with higher scores representing better study quality). We found no evidence of publication bias based on the Egger test, and tests of heterogeneity generally found heterogeneity, so a random-effects model was used of our meta-analyses. A meta-analysis was performed with Review Manager 5.3 software and Stata version 12.0 software. RESULTS: Overall, there were no differences in the odds of periprosthetic joint infection between the injection group and the control group among patients who received any kind of injection (odds ratio 1.22 [95% CI 0.95 to 1.58]; p = 0.12). However, in a subgroup analysis, there was a higher OR for postoperative PJI in patients with an intra-articular corticosteroid injection in the knee or hip within 3 months (OR 1.39 [95% CI 1.04 to 1.87]; p = 0.03). There were no differences in the infection risk in patients who had injections between 3 and 6 months before arthroplasty (OR 1.19 [95% CI 0.95 to 1.48]; p = 0.13) or between 6 and 12 months before arthroplasty. CONCLUSION: The current evidence suggests ipsilateral intra-articular corticosteroid injections within 3 months before arthroplasty were associated with an increased risk of periprosthetic joint infection during subsequent joint arthroplasty. We recommend against performing total joint arthroplasty on a patient who has received an intra-articular corticosteroid injection within 3 months. Further high-quality studies on this topic from registries, national databases, or insurance company data are still required to confirm and extend our findings. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, therapeutic study.

[Predictive effect of femoral neck strength composite indexes on femoral head collapse in non-traumatic osteonecrosis of femoral head].

OBJECTIVE: To explore the predictive effect of the femoral neck strength composite indexes on femoral head collapse in non-traumatic osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH) compared with bone turnover marker. METHODS: The non-traumatic ONFH patients who were admitted and received non-surgical treatment between January 2010 and December 2016 as the research object. And 96 cases (139 hips) met the selection criteria and were included in the study. There were 54 males (79 hips) and 42 females (60 hips), with an average age of 40.2 years (range, 22-60 years). According to whether the femoral head collapsed during follow-up, the patients were divided into collapsed group and non-collapsed group. The femoral neck width, hip axis length, height, body weight, and bone mineral density of femoral neck were measured. The femoral neck strength composite indexes, including the compressive strength index (CSI), bending strength index (BSI), and impact strength index (ISI), were calculated. The bone turnover marker, including the total typeⅠcollagen amino terminal elongation peptide (t-P1NP), ß-crosslaps (ß-CTx), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), 25 hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], and N-terminal osteocalcin (N-MID), were measured. The age, gender, height, body weight, body mass index (BMI), bone mineral density of femoral neck, etiology, Japanese Osteonecrosis Investigation Committee (JIC) classification, femoral neck strength composite indexes, and bone turnover marker were compared between the two groups, and the influencing factors of the occurrence of femoral head collapse were initially screened. Then the significant variables in the femoral neck strength composite indexes and bone turnover marker were used for logistic regression analysis to screen risk factors; and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the significant variables' impact on non-traumatic ONFH. RESULTS: All patients were followed up 3.2 years on average (range, 2-4 years). During follow-up, 46 cases (64 hips) had femoral head collapse (collapsed group), and the remaining 50 cases (75 hips) did not experience femoral head collapse (non-collapsed group). Univariate analysis showed that the difference in JIC classification between the two groups was significant ( Z=-7.090, P=0.000); however, the differences in age, gender, height, body weight, BMI, bone mineral density of femoral neck, and etiology were not significant ( P>0.05). In the femoral neck strength composite indexes, the CSI, BSI, and ISI of the collapsed group were significantly lower than those of the non-collapsed group ( P<0.05); in the bone turnover marker, the t-P1NP and ß-CTx of the collapsed group were significantly lower than those of the non-collapsed group ( P<0.05); there was no significant difference in N-MID, 25(OH)D or ALP between groups ( P>0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that the CSI, ISI, and t-P1NP were risk factors for femoral collapse in patients with non-traumatic ONFH ( P<0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the cut-off points of CSI, BSI, ISI, t-P1NP, and ß-CTx were 6.172, 2.435, 0.465, 57.193, and 0.503, respectively, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were 0.753, 0.642, 0.903, 0.626, and 0.599, respectively. CONCLUSION: The femoral neck strength composite indexes can predict the femoral head collapse in non-traumatic ONFH better than the bone turnover marker. ISI of 0.465 is a potential cut-off point below which future collapse of early non-traumatic ONFH can be predicted.