Plasma soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ratio of 11.5 multiples of median predicts preeclampsia with severe features within 2 weeks of testing.

BACKGROUND: Angiogenic imbalances, characterized by an excess of antiangiogenic factors (soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1) and reduced angiogenic factors (vascular endothelial growth factor and placental growth factor), contribute to the mechanisms of disease in preeclampsia. The ratio of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor has been used as a biomarker for preeclampsia, but the cutoff values may vary with gestational age and assay platform. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare multiples of the median of the maternal plasma soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor ratio, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1, placental growth factor, and conventional clinical and laboratory values in their ability to predict preeclampsia with severe features. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a cohort study across 18 United States centers involving hospitalized individuals with hypertension between 23 and 35 weeks' gestation. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses of maternal plasma biomarkers, highest systolic or diastolic blood pressures, and laboratory values at enrollment were performed for the prediction of preeclampsia with severe features. The areas under the curve were compared, and quasi-Poisson regression models were fitted to estimate relative risks. The primary outcome was preeclampsia with severe features within 2 weeks of enrollment. Secondary outcomes were a composite of severe adverse maternal outcomes (elevated liver enzymes, low platelets count, placental abruption, eclampsia, disseminated intravascular coagulation, and pulmonary edema) and a composite of severe adverse perinatal outcomes (birth weight below the third percentile, very preterm birth [<32 weeks' gestation], and fetal or neonatal death). RESULTS: Of the 543 individuals included in the study, preeclampsia with severe features within 2 weeks was observed in 33.1% (n=180) of them. A receiver operating characteristic curve-derived cutoff of 11.5 multiples of the median for the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor plasma ratio provided good sensitivity (90.6%), specificity (76.9%), positive predictive value (66.0%), negative predictive value (94.3%), positive likelihood ratio (3.91), negative likelihood ratio (0.12), and accuracy (81.4%) for preeclampsia with severe features within 2 weeks. This cutoff was used to compare test positive cases (≥ cutoff) and test negative cases (< cutoff). Preeclampsia with severe features (66.0% vs 5.7%; P<.001) and composites of severe adverse maternal (8.11% vs 2.7%; P=.006) or perinatal (41.3% vs 10.14%; P=.001) outcomes within 2 weeks were more frequent in test positive cases than in test negative cases. A soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor plasma ratio ≥11.5 multiples of the median was independently associated with preeclampsia with severe features (adjusted incidence rate ratio, 9.08; 95% confidence interval, 6.11-14.06; P<.001) and a composite of severe adverse perinatal outcomes (adjusted incidence rate ratio, 9.42; 95% confidence interval, 6.36-14.53; P<.001) but not with a composite of severe adverse maternal outcomes (adjusted incidence rate ratio, 2.20; 95% confidence interval, 0.95-5.54; P=.08). The area under the curve for the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor plasma ratio in multiples of the median (0.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.89-0.94) for preeclampsia with severe features within 2 weeks was significantly higher (P<.001 for all comparisons) than either plasma biomarker alone or any other parameter with the exception of absolute soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor plasma ratio values. CONCLUSION: A soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 to placental growth factor plasma ratio ≥11.5 multiples of the mean among hospitalized patients with hypertension between 23 and 35 week's gestation predicts progression to preeclampsia with severe features and severe adverse perinatal outcomes within 2 weeks.

Contralateral suppression in adrenal venous sampling predicts clinical and biochemical outcome in primary aldosteronism.

CONTEXT: The role for hormone parameters at adrenal venous sampling (AVS) in predicting clinical and biochemical outcome remains controversial. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of hormone parameters at AVS under cosyntropin stimulation on lateralization and on complete biochemical and clinical outcome. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 150 sequential AVS under cosyntropin infusion. Bilateral successful cannulation rate was 83.3% (n = 140), 47.9% bilateral and 52.1% unilateral. The lateralization index (LI), aldosterone/cortisol ratio (A/C) in the dominant adrenal vein (AV), relative aldosterone secretion index (RASI = A/C in AV divided by A/C in inferior vena cava) were assessed. The contralateral suppression (CS) percentage was defined by (1 - nondominant RASI) *100. RESULTS: A nondominant RASI <0.5 (CS >50%) had 86.84% sensitivity and 92.96% specificity to predict contralateral lateralization. An A/C ratio in dominant AV >5.9 (74.67% sensitivity and 80% specificity) and dominant RASI >4.7 (35.21% sensitivity and 88.06% specificity) had a worst performance to predict ipsilateral lateralization. Complete biochemical and clinical cure were significantly more frequent in the patients with CS >50% [98.41% vs. 42.86% (p < 0.001) and 41.94% vs. 0% (p < 0.001)]. CS correlated with high aldosterone at diagnosis (p < 0.001) and low postoperative aldosterone levels at 1 month (p = 0.019). Postoperative biochemical hypoaldosteronism was more frequent in patients with CS >50% (70% vs. 16.67%, p = 0.014). In multivariable analysis, a CS >50% was associated with complete biochemical cure (OR 125, 95%CI 11.904-5,000; p = 0.001) and hypertension remission (OR 12.19, 95%CI 2.074-250; p = 0.023). CONCLUSION: A CS >50% was an independent predictor of complete clinical and biochemical cure. Moreover, it can predict unilateral PA and postoperative biochemical hypoaldosteronism. Our findings underscore the usefulness of CS for clinical decision-making.

Variations in surgical practice and short-term outcomes for degenerative lumbar scoliosis and spondylolisthesis: do surgeon training and experience matter?

For diverse procedures, sizable geographic variation exists in rates and outcomes of surgery, including for degenerative lumbar spine conditions. Little is known about how surgeon training and experience are associated with surgeon-level variations in spine surgery practice and short-term outcomes. This retrospective observational analysis characterized variations in surgical operations for degenerative lumbar scoliosis or spondylolisthesis, two common age-related conditions. The study setting was two large spine surgery centers in one region during 2017-19. Using data (International Classification of Diseases-10th edition and current procedural terminology codes) extracted from electronic health record systems, we characterized surgeon-level variations in practice (use of instrumented fusion - a more extensive procedure that involves device-related risks) and short-term postoperative outcomes (major in-hospital complications and readmissions). Next, we tested for associations between surgeon training (specialty and spine fellowship) and experience (career stage and operative volume) and use of instrumented fusion as well as outcomes. Eighty-nine surgeons performed 2481 eligible operations. For the study diagnoses, spine surgeons exhibited substantial variation in operative volume, use of instrumented fusion, and postoperative outcomes. Among surgeons above the median operative volume, use of instrumented fusion ranged from 0% to >90% for scoliosis and 9% to 100% for spondylolisthesis, while rates of major in-hospital complications ranged from 0% to 25% for scoliosis and from 0% to 14% for spondylolisthesis. For scoliosis, orthopedic surgeons were more likely than neurosurgeons to perform instrumented fusion for scoliosis [49% vs. 33%, odds ratio (OR) = 2.3, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.3-4.2, P-value = .006] as were fellowship-trained surgeons (49% vs. 25%, OR = 3.0, 95% CI 1.6-5.8; P = .001). Fellowship-trained surgeons had lower readmission rates. Surgeons with higher operative volumes used instrumented fusion more often (OR = 1.1, 95% CI 1.0-1.2, P < .05 for both diagnoses) and had lower rates of major in-hospital complications (OR = 0.91, 95% CI 0.85-0.97; P = .006). Surgical practice can vary greatly for degenerative spine conditions, even within the same region and among colleagues at the same institution. Surgical specialty and subspecialty, in addition to recent operative volume, can be linked to variations in spine surgeons' practice patterns and outcomes. These findings reinforce the notion that residency and fellowship training may contribute to variation and present important opportunities to optimize surgical practice over the course of surgeons' careers. Future efforts to reduce unexplained variation in surgical practice could test interventions focused on graduate medical education. Graphical Abstract.

Changes in attachment dimensions during the treatment of acute post-traumatic stress disorder in sexually assaulted Brazilian women.

Introduction: Attachment patterns are established during early childhood; however, extreme experiences throughout life may change this structure, either toward attachment security or insecurity. We analyzed changes in attachment dimensions in women with acute post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) following sexual assault, that were randomized to a 14-week treatment with either the medication sertraline or Interpersonal Psychotherapy. Methods: Seventy-four adult women who presented significant reduction in PTSD symptoms across the trial responded to the Revised Adult Attachment Scale at baseline, on week 8 of treatment, and at the end of the trial, on week 14. We fitted a generalized linear model to explain the attachment anxiety and avoidance scores at baseline. A generalized linear mixed model investigated how attachment dimensions changed over time. Socioeconomic data, treatment type, history of childhood trauma, and PTSD severity over the 14-week period were the considered covariates. Results: At baseline, attachment anxiety was associated with a history of early trauma. Attachment anxiety remained stable during the follow-up. Attachment avoidance, on the other hand, significantly increased from baseline to week 14. Higher avoidance was observed in patients with higher total PTSD scores and on the cluster of hyperarousal symptoms. Races other than White (black, mixed-race, or Asian) and younger age were associated with higher attachment avoidance. Discussion: Contrary to our expectations, attachment avoidance increased during follow-up, indicating changes in the interpersonal realm beyond the symptoms of PTSD.

Dynamic Risk Prediction of Treatment Discontinuation Using Patient-Reported Outcomes Data in the Phase III NSABP B-35 Trial.

Predicting an individual's risk of treatment discontinuation is critical for the implementation of precision chemoprevention. We developed partly conditional survival models to predict discontinuation of tamoxifen or anastrozole using patient-reported outcome (PRO) data from postmenopausal women with ductal carcinoma in situ enrolled in the NSABP B-35 clinical trial. In a secondary analysis of the NSABP B-35 clinical trial PRO data, we proposed two models for treatment discontinuation within each treatment arm (anastrozole or tamoxifen treated patients) using partly conditional Cox-type models with time-dependent covariates. A 70/30 split of the sample was used for the training and validation datasets. The predictive performance of the models was evaluated using calibration and discrimination measures based on the Brier score and AUC from time-dependent ROC curves. The predictive models stratified high-risk versus low-risk early discontinuation at a 6-month horizon. For anastrozole-treated patients, predictive factors included baseline body mass index (BMI) and longitudinal patient-reported symptoms such as insomnia, joint pain, hot flashes, headaches, gynecologic symptoms, and vaginal discharge, all collected up to 12 months [Brier score, 0.039; AUC, 0.76; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.57-0.95]. As for tamoxifen-treated patients, predictive factors included baseline BMI, and time-dependent covariates: cognitive problems, feelings of happiness, calmness, weight problems, and pain (Brier score, 0.032; AUC, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.65-0.91). A real-time calculator based on these models was developed in Shiny to create a web-based application with a future goal to aid healthcare professionals in decision-making. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: The dynamic prediction provided by partly conditional models offers valuable insights into the treatment discontinuation risks using PRO data collected over time from clinical trial participants. This tool may benefit healthcare professionals in identifying patients at high risk of premature treatment discontinuation and support interventions to prevent potential discontinuation.

Risk of metastasis in BRCA2 carriers diagnosed with triple-negative breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is the neoplasia most associated with BRCA1 germline pathogenic variants (PV) and is more likely to develop metastases than the other breast cancer (BC) subtypes, mainly in the lungs and the central nervous system (CNS). Recently, BRCA2 carriers were shown to have a higher risk for developing CNS metastases. However, the patterns of recurrence and metastases of BRCA2 carriers with TNBC are unknown. METHODS: TNBC patient data attending the A.C. Camargo Cancer Center, from 1998 through 2020, were verified either by medical records or by BRCA1/2 genetic testing carried out. Multivariable logistic regression models were fit to the data to assess the independent factors for bone and CNS metastases. Adjustment was done using all independent variables with p < 0.2 in the univariable Cox model to describe the relationship between the independent variables until time of death. RESULTS: A total of 388 TNBC patients were evaluated. We identified PV in BRCA1/2 genes in 21% (82/388), being 17.7% (69/388) in BRCA1 and only 3.3% (13/388) in BRCA2. A total of 120 patients (31%) developed distant metastases. Bone or CNS metastases were observed in 40% and 60% of BRCA2 PV carriers (p = 0.155), respectively. The BRCA2 carriers tended to have a higher likelihood of developing bone metastases (OR, 4.06; 95% CI, 0.82-20.01; p = 0.085), when compared to BRCA1 carriers (OR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.12-2.87; p = 0.528). BRCA2 carriers had an OR of 1.75 (95% CI, 0.33-9.14; p = 0.503) for CNS metastasis development, while BRCA1 carriers had an OR of 0.72 (95% CI, 0.23-2.23; p = 0.574). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with TNBC and PV in the BRCA2 gene had higher frequencies of secondary bone involvement and CNS in the course of the disease. However, the BRCA2 PV did not represent an independent outcome predictor of metastases and overall survival. Efforts to increase the number of BRCA2 carriers among TNBC patients are crucial for determining their risk of developing bone and CNS metastases compared to BRCA2 noncarriers.

COLORECTAL CANCER: ASSOCIATION BETWEEN SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC VARIABLES AND THE ADHERENCE TO CANCER SCREENING.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a worldwide health problem whose control depends on public policy establishment and effective prevention and screening programs. In Brazil, there are few studies related to adherence to screening methods. AIMS: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between demographic and socioeconomic to adherence to CRC screening with fecal immunochemical test (FIT) among average-risk individuals for CRC. METHODS: In this prospective cross-sectional study, conducted between March 2015 and April 2016, 1,254 asymptomatic individuals aged 50-75 years, participating in a hospital screening campaign in Brazil, were invited to participate in the study. RESULTS: The adherence rate to FIT was 55.6% (697/1,254). In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, patients aged 60-75 years (odds ratio (OR)=1.30; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.66; p=0.03), religious belief (OR=2.04; 95% CI: 1.34-3.11; p<0.01), previous fecal occult blood test (OR=2.07; 95% CI: 1.55-2.76; p<0.01), and full/part-time working status (OR=0.66; 95% CI: 0.49-0.89; p<0.01) were independently associated with adherence to CRC screening. CONCLUSION: The results of the present study highlight the importance of considering the labor aspects when implementing screening programs, suggesting that campaigns conducted in the workplace and repeated over the years may be more effective.

Does the Addition of Mutations of CTNNB1 S45F to Clinical Factors Allow Prediction of Local Recurrence in Patients With a Desmoid Tumor? A Local Recurrence Risk Model.

BACKGROUND: The initial approach to the treatment of desmoid tumors has changed from surgical resection to watchful waiting. However, surgery is still sometimes considered for some patients, and it is likely that a few patients would benefit from tumor removal if the likelihood of local recurrence could be predicted. However, to our knowledge, there is no tool that can provide guidance on this for clinicians at the point of care. QUESTION/PURPOSE: We sought to explore whether a combined molecular and clinical prognostic model for relapse in patients with desmoid tumors treated with surgery would allow us to identify patients who might do well with surgical excision. METHODS: This was a retrospective, single-center study of 107 patients with desmoid tumors who were surgically treated between January 1980 and December 2015, with a median follow-up of 106 months (range 7 to 337 months). We correlated clinical variables (age, tumor size, and localization) and CTNNB1 gene mutations with recurrence-free survival. Recurrence-free survival was estimated using a Kaplan-Meier curve. Univariate and multivariable analyses of time to local recurrence were performed using Cox regression models. A final nomogram model was constructed according to the final fitted Cox model. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated using measures of calibration and discrimination: calibration plot and the Harrell C-statistic, also known as the concordance index, in which values near 0.5 represent a random prediction and values near 1 represent the best model predictions. RESULTS: The multivariable analysis showed that S45F mutations (hazard ratio 5.25 [95% confidence interval 2.27 to 12.15]; p < 0.001) and tumor in the extremities (HR 3.15 [95% CI 1.35 to 7.33]; p = 0.008) were associated with a higher risk of local recurrence. Based on these risk factors, we created a model; we observed that patients considered to be at high risk of local recurrence as defined by having one or two factors associated with recurrence (extremity tumors and S45F mutation) had an HR of 8.4 compared with patients who had no such factors (95% CI 2.84 to 24.6; p < 0.001). From these data and based on the multivariable Cox models, we also developed a nomogram to estimate the individual risk of relapse after surgical resection. The model had a concordance index of 0.75, or moderate discrimination. CONCLUSION: CTNNB1 S45F mutations combined with other clinical variables are a potential prognostic biomarker associated with the risk of relapse in patients with desmoid tumors. The developed nomogram is simple to use and, if validated, could be incorporated into clinical practice to identify patients at high risk of relapse among patients opting for surgical excision and thus help clinicians and patients in decision-making. A large multicenter study is necessary to validate our model and explore its applicability. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III, therapeutic study.

Sex with animals among men attended in referral centers for sexually transmitted infections in northeast Brazil: prevalence, associated factors and behavioral aspects

ABSTRACT Purpose Our objective was to investigate the prevalence of SWA, associated factors, relationship with STIs, and behavioral aspects in men attended at Referral Centers for STIs and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)/CR-STI/AIDS in northeast Brazil. Materials and Methods In this cross-sectional study, a questionnaire with sociodemographic, clinical, sexual and SWA practices information was applied to 400 men attended at two CR-STI/AIDS in Northeast Brazil on the years of 2018 and 2019. Clinical and laboratory diagnoses of STIs were confirmed in medical records. Logistic regression models were performed to identify the independent predictors for SWA. Results The prevalence of SWA over total samples was 15.00%. Of the participants, 239 (59.75%) of the participants were diagnosed with STIs, and of these 37 (15.48%) reported SWA. Most men practiced SWA in adolescence, being the last episode more than 20 years ago, usually with asinine and mules, in vaginal route and without a condom. SWA practitioners have higher percentages of occurrence of some viral STIs. SWA was associated with increasing age, history of residence in a rural area with remained over 12 years, married or widowed/separated, heterosexuals, with less than 7 years of study, Catholics, with hepatitis B, former user of alcoholic beverages and smokers, with a history of STI and intercourse with sex workers. Conclusion SWA practices increase STIs vulnerability. The association between hepatitis B and SWA highlights the importance of educational campaigns and conclusive studies on the topic.

Sex with animals among men attended in referral centers for sexually transmitted infections in northeast Brazil: prevalence, associated factors and behavioral aspects.

PURPOSE: Our objective was to investigate the prevalence of SWA, associated factors, relationship with STIs, and behavioral aspects in men attended at Referral Centers for STIs and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)/CR-STI/AIDS in northeast Brazil. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, a questionnaire with sociodemographic, clinical, sexual and SWA practices information was applied to 400 men attended at two CR-STI/AIDS in Northeast Brazil on the years of 2018 and 2019. Clinical and laboratory diagnoses of STIs were confirmed in medical records. Logistic regression models were performed to identify the independent predictors for SWA. RESULTS: The prevalence of SWA over total samples was 15.00%. Of the participants, 239 (59.75%) of the participants were diagnosed with STIs, and of these 37 (15.48%) reported SWA. Most men practiced SWA in adolescence, being the last episode more than 20 years ago, usually with asinine and mules, in vaginal route and without a condom. SWA practitioners have higher percentages of occurrence of some viral STIs. SWA was associated with increasing age, history of residence in a rural area with remained over 12 years, married or widowed/separated, heterosexuals, with less than 7 years of study, Catholics, with hepatitis B, former user of alcoholic beverages and smokers, with a history of STI and intercourse with sex workers. CONCLUSION: SWA practices increase STIs vulnerability. The association between hepatitis B and SWA highlights the importance of educational campaigns and conclusive studies on the topic.

Intraoperative radiotherapy for brain metastases: first-stage results of a single-arm, open-label, phase 2 trial.

OBJECTIVE: Focal stereotactic radiosurgery to the surgical cavity lowers local recurrence after resection of brain metastases (BM). To evaluate local control (LC) and brain disease control (BDC) after intraoperative radiotherapy (IORT) for resected BM. METHODS: Adult patients with completely resected single supratentorial BM were recruited and underwent IORT to the cavity with a prescribed dose of 18 Gy to 1 mm-depth. Primary endpoints were actuarial LC and BDC. Local failure (LF) and distant brain failure (DBF), with death as a competing risk, were estimated. Secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and incidence of radiation necrosis (RN). Simon's two-stage design was used and estimated an accrual of 10 patients for the first-stage analysis and a LC higher than 63% to proceed to second stage. We report the final analysis of the first stage. RESULTS: Between June 2019 to November 2020, 10 patients were accrued. Median clinical and imaging FU was 11.2 and 9.7 months, respectively. Median LC was not reached and median BDC was 5 months. The 6-month and 12-month LC was 87.5%. The 6-month and 12-month BDC was 39% and 13%, respectively. Incidence of LF at 6 and 12 months was 10% and of DBF at 6 and 12 months was 50% and 70%, respectively. Median OS was not reached. The 6-month and 12-month OS was 80%. One patient had asymptomatic RN. CONCLUSION: IORT for completely resected BM is associated with a potential high local control and low risk of RN, reaching the pre-specified criteria to proceed to second stage and warranting further studies.

Randomized clinical trial of tissue equivalent bolus prescription in postmastectomy radiotherapy stratified by skin involvement status.

Purpose: To assess the impact and optimize the prescription of tissue-equivalent bolus in postmastectomy radiotherapy (PMRT), we compared the use of different bolus regimens tailored by skin involvement status. Methods: Patients with breast cancer who required PMRT were recruited (NCT01925651) and classified into two groups: standard-risk (SR, without skin involvement) and high-risk (HR, with skin involvement). SR was randomized between no bolus or 5 mm-bolus on alternate days and HR between 5 mm-bolus on alternate days or daily. Conventional fractionation (50.4 Gy; 1.8 Gy/daily) was used. Acute skin toxicity was evaluated blindly and the radiodermatitis-specific toxicity index [rads-TI] calculated. Subsequently, patients were followed up to assess oncologic outcomes, focusing on chest wall (CW) local control. Results: Fifty-eight patients were enrolled (34 SR and 24 HR). Baseline characteristics were similar between arms within the same risk group. Overall, maximal radiodermatitis rates were 29.4 % (G2) and 15.7 % (G3). In the SR group, no difference existed in G2 radiodermatitis incidence between the subgroups (p = 0.70) and no G3 events occurred. In the HR group, incidences of G2 (100 % vs 44.5 %, p = 0.01) and G3 radiodermatitis (70 % vs 11.1 %, p = 0.02) were higher with daily bolus. After adjusting for confounders, the daily bolus had a higher incidence of G2 (p = 0.03), G3 radiodermatitis (p = 0.04), and worse rads-TI (p < 0.01). After a median follow-up of 6.2 years, the 5-year local control was 95.8 % (95 %CI: 88.2 %-100 %) in the SR and 91.7 % (95 %CI: 77.3 %-100 %) in the HR groups. Per risk group, there was no difference in local control between the SR (p = 0.90) or the HR bolus regimens (p = 0.70). Conclusion: Daily 5 mm bolus prescription significantly increased the overall toxicity burden. In this preliminary study, within the same risk group, no detriment in CW local control was detected with less intense bolus regimens (SR: no bolus; HR: alternate-days bolus). Additionally, the rads-TI was able to distinguish overall radiodermatitis burden.

Systemic immune mediators reflect tumour-infiltrating lymphocyte intensity and predict therapeutic response in triple-negative breast cancer.

Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) is an aggressive form of breast cancer (BC). Neoadjuvant chemotherapy has proven efficacy in its treatment, and a pathological complete response (pCR) to therapy is predictive of improved long-term survival. The immune response is key to successful neoadjuvant chemotherapy, as indicated by the relation between the percentage of stromal tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in pre-treated tumour tissue samples and the likelihood of achieving pCR. Here we studied systemic immune mediators from volunteer TNBC patients before undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy to determine the systemic response association with TIL intensity, treatment response and survival. Patients were classified into pCR responder or non-responder at time of surgery. We found higher levels of immune mediators before treatment began in patients that went on to be pCR responders versus non-pCR, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.64-0.80. We also observed a positive correlation between inflammatory systemic immune mediators and the percentage of TILs in pCR responder patients. Combining TILs and systemic immune mediator levels provided stronger AUC values (range of 0.72-0.82). Last, performing a progression-free survival analysis with several of the systemic cytokines that predict pCR, segregated the patients into long- and short-survival groups based on high and low production of the cytokines, respectively. Our study demonstrates that circulating cytokines, before treatment begins, predict pCR in TNBC patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Moreover, they may act as a surrogate marker of high TILs or together with TILs to better predict pCR and survival.

A general class of promotion time cure rate models with a new biological interpretation.

Over the last decades, the challenges in survival models have been changing considerably and full probabilistic modeling is crucial in many medical applications. Motivated from a new biological interpretation of cancer metastasis, we introduce a general method for obtaining more flexible cure rate models. The proposal model extended the promotion time cure rate model. Furthermore, it includes several well-known models as special cases and defines many new special models. We derive several properties of the hazard function for the proposed model and establish mathematical relationships with the promotion time cure rate model. We consider a frequentist approach to perform inferences, and the maximum likelihood method is employed to estimate the model parameters. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate its performance with a discussion of the obtained results. A real dataset from population-based study of incident cases of melanoma diagnosed in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, is discussed in detail.

Simulation study comparing analytical methods for single-item longitudinal patient-reported outcomes data.

PURPOSE: Efficient analytical methods are necessary to make reproducible inferences on single-item longitudinal ordinal patient-reported outcome (PRO) data. A thorough simulation study was performed to compare the performance of the semiparametric probabilistic index models (PIM) with a longitudinal analysis using parametric cumulative logit mixed models (CLMM). METHODS: In the setting of a control and intervention arm, we compared the power of the PIM and CLMM to detect differences in PRO adverse event (AE) between these groups using several existing and novel summary scores of PROs. For each scenario, PRO data were simulated using copula multinomial models. Comparisons were also exemplified using clinical trial data. RESULTS: On average, CLMM provided substantially greater power than the PIM to detect differences in PRO-AEs between the groups when the baseline-adjusted method was used, and a small advantage in power when using the baseline symptom as a covariate. CONCLUSION: Although the CLMM showed the best performance among analytical methods, it relies on assumptions difficult to verify and that might not be fulfilled in the real world, therefore our recommendation is the use of PIM models with baseline symptom as a covariate.

The Relationship between Lifetime Exposure to Potentially Traumatic Events, Peritraumatic Dissociation, and PTSD in a Sample of Sexually Assaulted Women in Sao Paulo, Brazil.

Sexually assaulted women represent a particularly high-risk group for developing post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). Potentially traumatic events (PTEs) and peritraumatic dissociation (PD) are known risk factors for PTSD. However, little is known about how previous trauma affects PD and how this relationship affects PTSD. We aimed to investigate whether PD acts as a mediator between PTEs and PTSD severity in a sample of recently sexually assaulted women in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Seventy-four sexually assaulted women aged 18-44 completed questionnaires and structured interviews on PTSD, PD, and PTEs. We examined direct and indirect effects of variables using causal mediation analysis. Lifetime exposure to PTEs was a risk factor for PD, but PD was not a risk factor for PTSD symptom severity. Also, PD was not a mediator between PTEs and PTSD severity. We provided recommendations on how to further explore the relationship between lifetime traumatic exposure, PTSD, and peritraumatic dissociation.

Câncer colorretal: associação entre variáveis sociodemográficas e a adesão a programas de rastreamento / Colorectal cancer: association between sociodemographic variables and the adherence to cancer screening

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a worldwide health problem whose control depends on public policy establishment and effective prevention and screening programs. In Brazil, there are few studies related to adherence to screening methods. AIMS: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between demographic and socioeconomic to adherence to CRC screening with fecal immunochemical test (FIT) among average-risk individuals for CRC. METHODS: In this prospective cross-sectional study, conducted between March 2015 and April 2016, 1,254 asymptomatic individuals aged 50-75 years, participating in a hospital screening campaign in Brazil, were invited to participate in the study. RESULTS: The adherence rate to FIT was 55.6% (697/1,254). In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, patients aged 60-75 years (odds ratio (OR)=1.30; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.66; p=0.03), religious belief (OR=2.04; 95% CI: 1.34-3.11; p<0.01), previous fecal occult blood test (OR=2.07; 95% CI: 1.55-2.76; p<0.01), and full/part-time working status (OR=0.66; 95% CI: 0.49-0.89; p<0.01) were independently associated with adherence to CRC screening. CONCLUSION: The results of the present study highlight the importance of considering the labor aspects when implementing screening programs, suggesting that campaigns conducted in the workplace and repeated over the years may be more effective.

RESUMO RACIONAL: O câncer colorretal (CCR) é um problema de saúde mundial cujo controle depende do estabelecimento de políticas públicas e programas de prevenção e rastreamento eficazes. No Brasil existem poucos estudos relacionados à adesão métodos de rastreamento. OBJETIVO: Avaliar a associação de características sócio-demográficas à realização de testes de sangue oculto nas fezes do tipo imunoquimicomecanizado (FIM) em população de médio risco para o desenvolvimento de câncer colorretal. MÉTODOS: Estudo observacional transversal, com coleta prospectiva de dados. Entre março de 2015 e abril de 2016, 1.254 indivíduos assintomáticos, com idade entre 50 e 75 anos, foram consecutivamente selecionados a partir de uma campanha hospitalar de rastreamento para neoplasias. RESULTADOS: As taxas de adesão ao teste FIM foi 55.6% (697/1254). Na análise de regressão logística múltipla os fatores independentes associados à adesão ao rastreamento do CCR foram: Idade entre 60-75 anos (oddsratio (OR)=1.30; intervalo de confiança de 95% (IC): 1.02-1.66; p=0.03), crença religiosa (OR=2.04; 95%IC: 1.34-3.11; p<0.01), realização prévia de exame de sangue oculto nas fezes (OR=2.07; 95%IC: 1.55-2.76; p<0.01) e vínculo empregatício em período integral ou parcial (OR=0.66; 95%IC: 0.49-0.89; p<0.01). CONCLUSÃO: Este estudo enfatiza a importância de considerar aspectos laborais ao implementar programas de rastreamento do câncer colorretal e sugere que campanhas de rastreamento implantadas no ambiente de trabalho e de maneira repetida ao longo dos anos podem ser mais efetivas.

A cross-sectional study of clinical, dermoscopic, histopathological, and molecular patterns of scalp melanoma in patients with or without androgenetic alopecia.

Scalp melanoma (SM) has a worse prognosis than melanoma in other locations likely because of late diagnosis due to hair coverage, difficulties in interpreting dermoscopy findings, and its unique molecular profile. We aimed to describe the clinical, histopathological, molecular, and dermoscopic patterns of SM and its relation to androgenetic alopecia/elastosis at the tumor site. Through a retrospective cross-sectional study, we identified all SM diagnosed at the A.C.Camargo Cancer Center between 2008 and 2018. In all, 48 SM were analyzed: 45.8% of which exhibited moderate/severe androgenetic alopecia and 54.1% exhibited elastosis. Androgenetic alopecia/elastosis at the site of the SM was associated with older age (p < 0.001), chronic sun damage (p < 0.001), lentigo maligna subtype (p = 0.029), and photodamaged dermoscopic pattern (p < 0.001). Additionally, 41 cases were evaluated with a 14-gene panel: 53.7% displayed mutations and 46.3% were wild-type. BRAF mutations were most common (77%), with BRAF V600K being more frequent (50%) than BRAF V600E (31.2%). The NF1 gene was evaluated in 40 samples, of which 20% exhibited mutations. SM presents differently in areas covered by hair compared to in areas with androgenetic alopecia. Patients without alopecia may have higher Breslow thickness due to late diagnosis because of hair concealment. The high frequency of detrimental mutations can also explain the poor prognosis of SM.

Heterogeneity of HER2 Expression in Circulating Tumor Cells of Patients with Breast Cancer Brain Metastases and Impact on Brain Disease Control.

HER2 expression switching in circulating tumor cells (CTC) in breast cancer is dynamic and may have prognostic and predictive clinical implications. In this study, we evaluated the association between the expression of HER2 in the CTC of patients with breast cancer brain metastases (BCBM) and brain disease control. An exploratory analysis of a prospective assessment of CTC before (CTC1) and after (CTC2) stereotactic radiotherapy/radiosurgery (SRT) for BCBM in 39 women was performed. Distant brain failure-free survival (DBFFS), the primary endpoint, and overall survival (OS) were estimated. After a median follow-up of 16.6 months, there were 15 patients with distant brain failure and 16 deaths. The median DBFFS and OS were 15.3 and 19.5 months, respectively. The median DBFFS was 10 months in patients without HER2 expressed in CTC and was not reached in patients with HER2 in CTC (p = 0.012). The median OS was 17 months in patients without HER2 in CTC and was not reached in patients with HER2 in CTC (p = 0.104). On the multivariate analysis, DBFFS was superior in patients who were primary immunophenotype (PIP) HER2-positive (HR 0.128, 95% CI 0.025-0.534; p = 0.013). The expression of HER2 in CTC was associated with a longer DBFFS, and the switching of HER2 expression between the PIP and CTC may have an impact on prognosis and treatment selection for BCBM.