Development of multivariable models to predict change in Body Mass Index within a clinical trial population of psychotic individuals.

Many antipsychotics promote weight gain, which can lead to non-compliance and relapse of psychosis. By developing models that accurately identify individuals at greater risk of weight gain, clinicians can make informed treatment decisions and target intervention measures. We examined clinical, genetic and expression data for 284 individuals with psychosis derived from a previously published randomised controlled trial (IMPACT). These data were used to develop regression and classification models predicting change in Body Mass Index (BMI) over one year. Clinical predictors included demographics, anthropometrics, cardiac and blood measures, diet and exercise, physical and mental health, medication and BMI outcome measures. We included genetic polygenic risk scores (PRS) for schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, BMI, waist-hip-ratio, insulin resistance and height, as well as gene co-expression modules generated by Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA). The best performing predictive models for BMI and BMI gain after one year used clinical data only, which suggests expression and genetic data do not improve prediction in this cohort.

Linkage replication for chromosomal region 13q32 in schizophrenia: evidence from a Brazilian pilot study on early onset schizophrenia families.

We report analyses of a Brazilian study of early onset schizophrenia (BEOS) families. We genotyped 22 members of 4 families on a linkage SNP array and report here non-parametric linkage analyses using MERLIN® software. We found suggestive evidence for linkage on two chromosomal regions, 13q32 and 11p15.4. A LOD score of 2.71 was observed at 13q32 with a one LOD interval extending from 60.63-92.35 cM. From simulations, this LOD score gave a genome-wide empirical corrected p = 0.33, after accounting for all markers tested. Similarly 11p15.4 showed the same maximum LOD of 2.71 and a narrower one LOD interval of 4-14 cM. Of these, 13q32 has been reported to be linked to schizophrenia by multiple different studies. Thus, our study provides additional supporting evidence for an aetiological role of variants at 13q32 in schizophrenia.