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Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20140749

ABSTRACT

Information on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) spread in Africa is limited by fragile surveillance systems and insufficient diagnostic capacity. We assessed the coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19)-related diagnostic workload in Benin, Western Africa, characterized SARS-CoV-2 genomes from 12 acute cases of COVID-19, used those together with public data to estimate SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in a Bayesian framework, validated a widely used diagnostic dual target RT-PCR kit donated to African countries, and conducted serological analyses in 68 sera from confirmed COVID-19 cases and from febrile patients sampled before the predicted SARS-CoV-2 introduction. We found a 15-fold increase in the monthly laboratory workload due to COVID-19. Genomic surveillance showed introductions of three distinct SARS-CoV-2 lineages. SARS-CoV-2 genome-based analyses yielded an R0 estimate of 4.4 (95% confidence interval: 2.0-7.7), suggesting intense spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Africa. RT-PCR-based tests were highly sensitive but showed variation of internal controls and between diagnostic targets. Commercially available SARS-CoV-2 ELISAs showed up to 25% false-positive results depending on antigen and antibody types, likely due to unspecific antibody responses elicited by acute malaria according to lack of SARS-CoV-2-specific neutralizing antibody responses and relatively higher parasitemia in those sera. We confirm an overload of the diagnostic capacity in Benin and provide baseline information on the usability of genome-based surveillance in resource-limited settings. Sero-epidemiological studies needed to assess SARS-CoV-2 spread may be put at stake by low specificity of tests in tropical settings globally. The increasing diagnostic challenges demand continuous support of national and supranational African stakeholders. FundingThis work was supported by the Deutsche Gesellschaft fur Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH.

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