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1.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 524, 2024 May 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38789972

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: While existing research on people living with HIV (PWH) during the COVID-19 pandemic primarily focused on their clinical outcomes, a critical gap remains in understanding the implications of COVID-19 delivery of in-hospital care services to PWH. Our study aimed to describe the characteristics and outcomes of PWH hospitalised during 2020 in Mexico City, comparing patients admitted due to COVID-19 vs. patients admitted due to other causes. METHODS: All PWH hospitalised for ≥ 24 h at four institutions in Mexico City from January 1st to December 31st, 2020 were included. Patients were classified into two groups according to the leading cause of their first hospitalisation: COVID-19 or non-COVID-19. Characteristics among groups were compared using chi-square and Kruskal tests. A Cox model was used to describe the risk of death after hospitalisation and the characteristics associated with this outcome. Mortality and hospitalisation events were compared to data from 2019. RESULTS: Overall, we included 238 PWH hospitalised in 2020. Among them, 42 (18%) were hospitalised due to COVID-19 and 196 (82%) due to non-COVID-19 causes, mainly AIDS-defining events (ADE). PWH hospitalised due to COVID-19 had higher CD4 + cell counts (380 cells/mm3 [IQR: 184-580] vs. 97 cells/mm3 [IQR: 34-272], p < 0.01) and a higher proportion of virologic suppression (VS) compared to those hospitalised due to non-COVID-19 causes (92% vs. 55%, p < 0.01). The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for AIDS was 3.1 (95%CI: 1.3-7.2). COVID-19 was not associated with death (aHR 0.9 [95%CI: 0.3-2.9]). Compared to 2019, mortality was significantly higher in 2020 (19% vs. 9%, p < 0.01), while hospitalisations decreased by 57%. CONCLUSIONS: PWH with COVID-19 had higher VS and CD4 + cell counts and lower mortality compared to those hospitalised due to non-COVID-19-related causes, who more often were recently diagnosed with HIV and had ADEs. Most hospitalisations and deaths in 2020 in PWH were related to advanced HIV disease. The increased mortality and decreased hospitalisations of PWH during 2020 evidence the impact of the interruption of health services delivery for PWH with advanced disease due to the pandemic. Our findings highlight the challenges faced by PWH during 2020 in a country where advanced HIV remains a concern.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , HIV Infections , Hospitalization , Humans , Mexico/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/therapy , Male , Female , HIV Infections/epidemiology , HIV Infections/mortality , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Adult , SARS-CoV-2 , Tertiary Care Centers/statistics & numerical data , Pandemics , Tertiary Healthcare/statistics & numerical data
2.
AIDS Behav ; 28(3): 886-897, 2024 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37789236

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic has been reported to disrupt the access to care of people who live with HIV (PWH). The impact of the pandemic on the longitudinal HIV care continuum, however, has not been properly evaluated. We performed a mixed-methods study using data from the Mexican System of Distribution, Logistics, and ART Surveillance on PWH that are cared for in the state of Oaxaca. We evaluated the number of HIV diagnoses performed in the state before and during the pandemic with an interrupted time series. We used the longitudinal HIV care continuum framework to describe the stages of HIV care before and during the pandemic. Finally, we performed a qualitative analysis to determine which were the challenges faced by staff and users regarding HIV care during the pandemic. New HIV diagnoses were lower during the first year of the pandemic compared with the year immediately before. Among 2682 PWH with enough information to determine their status of care, 728 started receiving care during the COVID-19 pandemic and 1954 before the pandemic. PWH engaged before the pandemic spent 42825 months (58.2% of follow-up) in optimal HIV control compared with 3061 months (56.1% of follow-up) for those engaged in care during the pandemic. Staff and users reported decreases in the frequency of appointments, prioritisation of unhealthy users, larger disbursements of ART medication, and novel communication strategies with PWH. Despite challenges due to government cutbacks, changes implemented by staff helped maintain HIV care due to higher flexibility in ART delivery and individualised attention.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , HIV Infections , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Mexico/epidemiology , Pandemics , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Continuity of Patient Care
3.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 22: 100502, 2023 Jun.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37181819

ABSTRACT

Background: As living with HIV has been proposed as a condition that may accelerate aging, the main objective of this work was to estimate the prevalence of geriatric syndromes (GS) among older Mexicans with HIV dwelling in the community. Secondly, to evaluate whether the accumulation of GS could be associated with an adverse HIV-related clinical profile, independent of chronological age. Methods: Multicenter, cross-sectional study including 501 community-dwelling people aged ≥50 years with HIV. The overall prevalence of nine selected GS and their cumulative number were estimated. An Age-Independent Cumulative Geriatric Syndromes scale (AICGSs) was constructed, and correlations between the AICGSs and HIV-related parameters assessed. Finally, k-mean clustering analyses were performed to test the secondary objective. Findings: Median age 56 (IQR: 53-61) years, 81.6% of men. Polypharmacy (74.8%), sensorial deficit (71.2%), cognitive impairment (53.6%), physical disability (41.9%), pre-frailty (27.9%), and falls (29.7%), were the more prevalent GS. A significant negative correlation was found between the AICGSs and normalized values of CD4+ nadir cell counts (r = -0.126; 95%: CI: -0.223 to -0.026, p < 0.05). Similarly, a significant inverse adjusted association between the CD4+ nadir cells and the AICGSs was observed on linear regression analysis (ß -0.058; 95%: CI: -0.109 to -0.007, p = 0.03). Cluster analysis identified three differentiated groups varying by age, metabolic comorbidities, AICGSs, and HIV-related parameters. Interpretation: An elevated prevalence of GS was observed in the studied population. Moreover, the accumulation of GS was associated with adverse HIV-related profiles, independent of age. Thus, early detection and management of GS are crucial to promote healthier aging trajectories in people with HIV. Funding: This work was funded in part by the National Center for the Prevention and Control of HIV/AIDS in Mexico (CENSIDA)-National Ministry of Health.

4.
AIDS Res Hum Retroviruses ; 39(3): 136-144, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36597354

ABSTRACT

Suboptimal adherence to antiretroviral therapy (ART) in people with HIV, even during sustained viral suppression, is associated with persistent inflammation, immune activation, and coagulopathy. Persistently low CD4-CD8 Ratio has been also associated with residual inflammation, is a good predictor of increased risk of death and more widely available than inflammatory biomarkers. We tested the hypothesis that the CD4-CD8 Ratio is associated with ART adherence during periods of complete viral suppression. We used the Medication Possession Ratio based in pharmacy registries as measure of adherence and time-varying, routine care CD4 and CD8 measurements as outcome. We used a linear mixed model for longitudinal data, including fixed effects for sex, age, education, date of ART initiation, AIDS-related conditions, and baseline CD4 to model the outcome. In 988 adults with a median follow-up of 4.13 years, higher ART adherence was independently associated with a modest increase in CD4-CD8. For each increasing percentage point in adherence, the CD4-CD8 Ratio increased 0.000857 (95% confidence interval [CI] -0.000494 to 0.002209, p = .213731) in the first year after achieving viral suppression; 0.001057 (95% CI 0.000262-0.001853, p = .009160) in years 1 to 3; 0.000323 (95% CI -0.000448 to 0.001095, p = .411441) in years 3 to 5; and 0.000850 (95% CI 0.000272-0.001429, p = .003946) 5-10 years after achieving viral suppression. The magnitude of the effect of adherence over CD4-CD8 Ratios varied over time and by baseline CD4 count, with increasing adherence having a larger effect early after ART initiation in people with higher baseline CD4 (>500 cells/µL) and in later years in people with lower baseline CD4 count (≥200 cells/µL). Our findings expand on previous evidence suggesting that the benefits of optimal adherence to modern ART regimens goes beyond maintaining viral suppression. These results highlight the importance of including objective measurements of adherence as part of routine care, even in patients with complete HIV suppression over long-term follow-up.


Subject(s)
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome , Anti-HIV Agents , HIV Infections , Adult , Humans , HIV Infections/drug therapy , CD4-CD8 Ratio , Mexico , Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , Anti-Retroviral Agents/pharmacology , Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/drug therapy , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Medication Adherence , Inflammation , Viral Load , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Anti-HIV Agents/pharmacology , Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active/methods
5.
AIDS Care ; 35(10): 1604-1611, 2023 10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36529962

ABSTRACT

Loss to follow-up (LTFU) and interruption of antiretroviral therapy (ART) are associated with worse outcomes in people with HIV (PWH). Little is known about gaps in the continuum of care. We conducted a retrospective cohort study including adult PWH with at least one clinical visit during 2000-2017. Three groups of care were defined: those constantly retained in care (constantly-RIC), definitively LTFU (dLTFU), and those who returned to care (RTC) after being LTFU for 1 year. We analyzed characteristics of individuals at enrollment. Among 2967 patients, 1565 (53%) were constantly-RIC, 826 (28%) dLTFU, and 576 (19%) RTC. CD4+ ≥350 cells/µL at enrollment was more frequent in RTC patients (43% vs 28% in both constantly-RIC and dLTFU groups, p < 0.01). Time since enrollment to ART initiation was longer in dLTFU (3.3 weeks) and RTC groups (6.0 weeks) in comparison with constantly-RIC patients (2.0 weeks, p < 0.01). Multivariate analysis showed significant differences between groups. Older and ART-naïve patients at enrollment were less likely to have gaps in the continuum of care. Those with non-MSM transmission were less likely to RTC. Patients with CD4+ ≥350 cells/µL at enrollment were more likely to reengage in care. Interventions should be tailored for those at risk of LTFU.


Subject(s)
Anti-HIV Agents , HIV Infections , Humans , Adult , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Retrospective Studies , Follow-Up Studies , Multivariate Analysis , Lost to Follow-Up , Continuity of Patient Care , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use
7.
Mol Med ; 28(1): 131, 2022 11 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36348276

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Respiratory failure in severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with a severe inflammatory response. Acetylcholine (ACh) reduces systemic inflammation in experimental bacterial and viral infections. Pyridostigmine increases the half-life of endogenous ACh, potentially reducing systemic inflammation. We aimed to determine if pyridostigmine decreases a composite outcome of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and death in adult patients with severe COVID-19. METHODS: We performed a double-blinded, placebo-controlled, phase 2/3 randomized controlled trial of oral pyridostigmine (60 mg/day) or placebo as add-on therapy in adult patients admitted due to confirmed severe COVID-19 not requiring IMV at enrollment. The primary outcome was a composite of IMV or death by day 28. Secondary outcomes included reduction of inflammatory markers and circulating cytokines, and 90-day mortality. Adverse events (AEs) related to study treatment were documented and described. RESULTS: We recruited 188 participants (94 per group); 112 (59.6%) were men; the median (IQR) age was 52 (44-64) years. The study was terminated early due to a significant reduction in the primary outcome in the treatment arm and increased difficulty with recruitment. The primary outcome occurred in 22 (23.4%) participants in the placebo group vs. 11 (11.7%) in the pyridostigmine group (hazard ratio, 0.47, 95% confidence interval 0.24-0.9; P = 0.03). This effect was driven by a reduction in mortality (19 vs. 8 deaths, respectively). CONCLUSION: Our data indicate that adding pyridostigmine to standard care reduces mortality among patients hospitalized for severe COVID-19.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Drug Treatment , Adult , Male , Humans , Middle Aged , Female , Pyridostigmine Bromide/therapeutic use , SARS-CoV-2 , Respiration, Artificial , Inflammation , Treatment Outcome
8.
AIDS ; 36(14): 2005-2013, 2022 11 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35848588

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To describe the timing of tuberculosis (TB) presentation in relation to diagnosis of HIV infection and antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation and to evaluate whether the established impact from late presentation to care and late initiation of ART on the risk of TB is retained beyond the observation period of clinical trials. DESIGN: We used marginal structural models to emulate a clinical trial with up to 5 years of follow-up to evaluate the impact of late initiation on TB risk. METHODS: People with HIV (PWH) were enrolled from 2007 to 2016 in observational cohorts from Uganda, Peru, Mexico and Italy. The risk of TB was compared in LP (accessing care with CD4 + cell count ≤350 cells/µl) vs. nonlate presentation using survival curves and a weighted Cox regression. We emulated two strategies: initiating ART with CD4 + cell count less than 350 cells/µl vs. CD4 + cell count at least 350 cells/µl (late initiation). We estimated TB attributable risk and population attributable fraction up to 5 years from the emulated date of randomization. RESULTS: Twenty thousand one hundred and twelve patients and 1936 TB cases were recorded. Over 50% of TB cases were diagnosed at presentation for HIV care. More than 50% of the incident cases of TB after ART initiation were attributable to late presentation; nearly 70% of TB cases during the first year of follow-up could be attributed to late presentation and more than 50%, 5 years after first attending HIV care. CONCLUSION: Late presentation accounted for a large share of TB cases. Delaying ART initiation was detrimental for incident TB rates, and the impact of late presentation persisted up to 5 years from HIV care entry.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Tuberculosis , Humans , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Incidence , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Tuberculosis/complications , Tuberculosis/diagnosis , Tuberculosis/epidemiology , Risk Factors
9.
Int J Infect Dis ; 122: 469-475, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35768025

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to describe the incidence, clinical characteristics, and risk factors of late-onset opportunistic infections (LOI) in people who live with HIV (PWLHA) within the Caribbean, Central and South America network for HIV epidemiology. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study including treatment-naive PWLHA enrolled at seven sites (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Peru, Mexico, and two sites in Honduras). Follow-up began at 6 months after treatment started. Outcomes were LOI, loss to follow-up, and death. We used a Cox proportional hazards model and a competing risks model to evaluate risk factors. RESULTS: A total of 10,583 patients were included. Median follow up was at 5.4 years. LOI occurred in 895 (8.4%) patients. Median time to opportunistic infection was 2.1 years. The most common infections were tuberculosis (39%), esophageal candidiasis (10%), and Pneumocystis jirovecii (P. jirovecii) pneumonia (10%). Death occurred in 576 (5.4%) patients, and 3021 (28.5%) patients were lost to follow-up. A protease inhibitor-based regimen (hazard ratio 1.25), AIDS-defining events during the first 6 months of antiretroviral-treatment (hazard ratio 2.12), starting antiretroviral-treatment in earlier years (hazard ratio 1.52 for 2005 vs 2010), and treatment switch (hazard ratio 1.31) were associated with a higher risk of LOI. CONCLUSION: LOI occurred in nearly one in 10 patients. People with risk factors could benefit from closer follow-up.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections , Opportunistic Infections , Brazil , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , HIV Infections/complications , HIV Infections/drug therapy , HIV Infections/epidemiology , Humans , Latin America/epidemiology , Opportunistic Infections/epidemiology , Opportunistic Infections/etiology , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors
10.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35602655

ABSTRACT

Background: Clinical outcomes are rarely studied in virologically suppressed people living with HIV (PWH) and incomplete CD4 recovery. To explore whether time living with severe immunosuppression predict clinical outcomes better than baseline or time updated CD4, we estimated the association between cumulative percentage of time with CD4 <200 cells/µL during viral suppression (VS) (%tCD4<200), and mortality and comorbidities during 2000-2019. Methods: In a retrospective cohort analysis, we followed PWH initiating ART in Latin America from first VS (HIV-RNA<200 copies/µL) to death, virological failure or loss to follow-up. We fit Cox models to estimate risk of death and/or AIDS-defining and serious non-AIDS-defining events (ADE and SNADE -cancer, cardiovascular, liver, and renal diseases) by %tCD4<200 (continuous variable). We predicted survival probabilities for each event and calculated risks of hypothetical cases of different %tCD4<200. Findings: In 8,369 patients with 34·9 months of follow-up (median, IQR: 16·7, 69·1), 4,274 (51%) started ART with CD4<200 cells/µL. Median %tCD4<200 was 0% (IQR: 0, 15%). We identified 195 (2·3%) deaths and 584 (7·2%) patients with ADE/SNADE. For an increased %tCD4<200 of 15% (e.g., 15% vs. 0%), the adjusted relative hazard (aHR) of death was 1·27 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1·19 - 1·35), of ADE/SNADE was 1·13 (95%CI: 1·09 - 1·17), of SNADE was 0·96 (95%CI: 0·89 - 1·02) and of death/ADE/SNADE was 1·11 (95%CI: 1·07 - 1·14). Estimates were similar after adjusting for time updated CD4 count. Interpretation: In virologically suppressed PWH, increased time living with severe immunosuppression had an increased risk of death and ADE/SNADE in this Latin American cohort, independently of time updated CD4 count. Funding: This work was supported by the NIH-funded Caribbean, Central and South America network for HIV epidemiology (CCASAnet, U01AI069923), a member cohort of the International Epidemiologic Databases to Evaluate AIDS (leDEA). This award is funded by the following institutes: Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute Of Child Health & Human Development (NICHD), National Cancer Institute (NCI), National Institute Of Allergy And Infectious Diseases (NIAID), National Institute Of Mental Health (NIMH), the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI), the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (NIAAA), the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK), and the Fogarty International Center (FIC). Specific funding was provided from the Fogarty International Center (FIC) for lead author, Yanink Caro-Vega, for the Fogarty-IeDEA Mentorship Program (FIMP).

11.
PLoS One ; 17(3): e0264964, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35298500

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: We performed a longitudinal SARS-CoV-2 seroepidemiological study in healthcare personnel of the two largest tertiary COVID-19 referral hospitals in Mexico City. METHODS: All healthcare personnel, including staff physicians, physicians in training, nurses, laboratory technicians, researchers, students, housekeeping, maintenance, security, and administrative staff were invited to voluntarily participate, after written informed consent. Participants answered a computer-assisted self-administered interview and donated blood samples for antibody testing every three weeks from October 2020 to June 2021. RESULTS: A total of 883 participants (out of 3639 registered employees) contributed with at least one blood sample. The median age was 36 years (interquartile range: 28-46) and 70% were women. The most common occupations were nurse (28%), physician (24%), and administrative staff (22%). Two hundred and ninety participants (32.8%) had a positive-test result in any of the visits, yielding an overall adjusted prevalence of 33.5% for the whole study-period. Two hundred and thirty-five positive tests were identified at the baseline visit (prevalent cases), the remaining 55 positive tests were incident cases. Prevalent cases showed associations with both occupational (institution 2 vs. 1: adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 2.24, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.54-3.25; laboratory technician vs. physician: aOR = 4.38, 95% CI: 1.75-10.93) and community (municipality of residence Xochimilco vs. Tlalpan: aOR = 2.03, 95% CI: 1.09-3.79) risk-factors. The incidence rate was 3.0 cases per 100 person-months. Incident cases were associated with community-acquired risk, due to contact with suspect/confirmed COVID-19 cases (HR = 2.45, 95% CI: 1.21-5.00). CONCLUSIONS: We observed that between October 2020 and June 2021, healthcare workers of the two largest tertiary COVID-19 referral centers in Mexico City had similar level of exposure to SARS-CoV-2 than the general population. Most variables associated with exposure in this setting pointed toward community rather than occupational risk. Our observations are consistent with successful occupational medicine programs for SARS-CoV-2 infection control in the participating institutions but suggest the need to strengthen mitigation strategies in the community.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , Personnel, Hospital/statistics & numerical data , SARS-CoV-2 , Tertiary Care Centers/statistics & numerical data , Adult , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/etiology , COVID-19 Serological Testing/statistics & numerical data , Female , Humans , Male , Mexico/epidemiology , Middle Aged , Risk Factors , Seroepidemiologic Studies
12.
Rev Invest Clin ; 74(2): 071-080, 2022 Mar 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35038256

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Delay in COVID-19 diagnosis due to late real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction reporting has been described to be an important cause of suboptimal COVID-19 surveillance and outbreak containment. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to determine the duration of diagnostic delay due to test turnaround time and its association with marginalization status. METHODS: In this observational study using national open data of Mexico and Colombia, we quantified the delay in COVID-19 diagnosis that occurred in both countries. We considered two periods that contributed to the delay in diagnosis: the time from symptom onset until testing (delay-one) and test turnaround time (delay-two). Marginalization status was determined according to country-specific scores. RESULTS: Among 3,696,773 patients from Mexico and Colombia, delay-two was generally longer than delay-one. Median delay-one was 3 days and delay-two 7 days in Colombia, while in Mexico, they were 3 days and 4 days, respectively. In Colombia, worse marginalization status prolonged delaytwo. In Mexico, a lower number and percentage of rapid tests were performed in areas with worse marginalization. CONCLUSION: Diagnostic delay was mostly due to test turnaround time. Marginalization status was an important barrier to diagnostic test access.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19 Testing , Colombia , Delayed Diagnosis , Humans , Mexico/epidemiology , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction , Sensitivity and Specificity
14.
Pathogens ; 10(12)2021 Dec 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34959524

ABSTRACT

We describe associations of pretreatment drug resistance (PDR) with clinical outcomes such as remaining in care, loss to follow-up (LTFU), viral suppression, and death in Mexico, in real-life clinical settings. We analyzed clinical outcomes after a two-year follow up period in participants of a large 2017-2018 nationally representative PDR survey cross-referenced with information of the national ministry of health HIV database. Participants were stratified according to prior ART exposure and presence of efavirenz/nevirapine PDR. Using a Fine-Gray model, we evaluated virological suppression among resistant patients, in a context of competing risk with lost to follow-up and death. A total of 1823 participants were followed-up by a median of 1.88 years (Interquartile Range (IQR): 1.59-2.02): 20 (1%) were classified as experienced + resistant; 165 (9%) naïve + resistant; 211 (11%) experienced + non-resistant; and 1427 (78%) as naïve + non-resistant. Being ART-experienced was associated with a lower probability of remaining in care (adjusted Hazard Ratio(aHR) = 0.68, 0.53-0.86, for the non-resistant group and aHR = 0.37, 0.17-0.84, for the resistant group, compared to the naïve + non-resistant group). Heterosexual cisgender women compared to men who have sex with men [MSM], had a lower viral suppression (aHR = 0.84, 0.70-1.01, p = 0.06) ART-experienced persons with NNRTI-PDR showed the worst clinical outcomes. This group was enriched with women and persons with lower education and unemployed, which suggests higher levels of social vulnerability.

15.
Rev. invest. clín ; 73(2): 120-126, Mar.-Apr. 2021. graf
Article in English | LILACS | ID: biblio-1251872

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT Background: Underestimation of the number of cases during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been a constant concern worldwide. Detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RNA using real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) is the most common method to confirm a case. However, these tests have suboptimal sensitivity. Objective: The objective of the study was to estimate the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions and deaths in Mexico, accounting for the probabilities of false-negative tests. Methods: We used publicly available, national databases of all SARS-CoV-2 tests performed at public laboratories in Mexico between February 27 and October 31, 2020. We used the estimated probabilities of false-negative tests based on the day of clinical sample collection after symptom initiation calculated previously. With the resulting model, we estimated the corrected daily number of cases, ICU admissions, and deaths. Results: Among 2,024,822 people tested in Mexico between February 27 and October 31 with an available result, we estimated 1,248,583 (95% confidence interval 1,094,850-1,572,818) cases, compared to 902,343 cases reported with positive tests. ICU admissions and deaths were 15% and 8% higher than reported, respectively. Conclusion: Accounting for SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR-based diagnostic testsҠprecision is a simple way to improve estimations for the true number of COVID-19 cases among tested persons.


Subject(s)
Humans , COVID-19 Testing/methods , COVID-19/diagnosis , Databases, Factual , Sensitivity and Specificity , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction , False Negative Reactions , Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , COVID-19/mortality , COVID-19/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Intensive Care Units/statistics & numerical data , Mexico/epidemiology
16.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(6): e1273-e1281, 2021 09 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33693517

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization's Treat-All guidance recommends CD4 testing before initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART), and routine viral load (VL) monitoring (over CD4 monitoring) for patients on ART. METHODS: We used regression discontinuity analyses to estimate changes in CD4 testing and VL monitoring among 547 837 ART-naive patients enrolling in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) care during 2006-2018 at 225 clinics in 26 countries where Treat-All policies were adopted. We examined CD4 testing within 12 months before and VL monitoring 6 months after ART initiation among adults (≥20 years), adolescents (10-19 years), and children (0-9 years) in low/lower-middle-income countries (L/LMICs) and high/upper-middle-income countries (H/UMICs). RESULTS: Treat-All adoption led to an immediate decrease in pre-ART CD4 testing among adults in L/LMICs, from 57.0% to 48.1% (-8.9 percentage points [pp]; 95% CI: -11.0, -6.8), and a small increase in H/UMICs, from 90.1% to 91.7% (+1.6pp; 95% CI: 0.2, 3.0), with no changes among adolescents or children; decreases in pre-ART CD4 testing accelerated after Treat-All adoption in L/LMICs. In L/LMICs, VL monitoring after ART initiation was low among all patients in L/LMICs before Treat-All; while there was no immediate change at Treat-All adoption, VL monitoring trends significantly increased afterwards. VL monitoring increased among adults immediately after Treat-All adoption, from 58.2% to 61.1% (+2.9pp; 95% CI: 0.5, 5.4), with no significant changes among adolescents/children. CONCLUSIONS: While on-ART VL monitoring has improved in L/LMICs, Treat-All adoption has accelerated and disparately worsened suboptimal pre-ART CD4 monitoring, which may compromise care outcomes for individuals with advanced HIV.


Subject(s)
Anti-HIV Agents , HIV Infections , Adolescent , Adult , Anti-HIV Agents/therapeutic use , Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use , Antiretroviral Therapy, Highly Active , CD4 Lymphocyte Count , Child , HIV Infections/drug therapy , Humans , Viral Load
17.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(1): e199-e205, 2021 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32986118

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: We evaluated the risk of death for health-care workers (HCW) with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in Mexico City during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, and describe the associated factors in hospitalized HCW, compared with non-HCW. METHODS: We analyzed data from laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases registered from 27 February-31 August 2020 in Mexico City's public database. Individuals were classified as non-HCW or HCW (subcategorized as physicians, nurses, and other HCW). In hospitalized individuals, a multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the potential factors associated with death and compare mortality risks among groups. RESULTS: A total of 125 665 patients were included. Of these, 13.1% were HCW (28% physicians, 38% nurses, and 34% other HCW). Compared with non-HCW, HCW were more frequently female, were younger, and had fewer comorbidities. Overall, 25 771 (20.5%) were treated as inpatients and 11 182 (8.9%) deaths were reported. Deaths in the total population (9.9% vs 1.9%, respectively; P < .001) and in hospitalized patients (39.6% vs 19.3%, respectively; P < .001) were significantly higher in non-HCW than in HCW. In hospitalized patients, using a multivariate model, the risk of death was lower in HCW in general (odds ratio [OR], 0.53) than in non-HCW, and the risks were also lower by specific occupation (OR for physicians, 0.60; OR for nurses, 0.29; OR for other HCW 0.61). CONCLUSIONS: HCW represent an important proportion of individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection in Mexico City. While the mortality risk is lower in HCW compared to non-HCW, a high mortality rate in hospitalized patients was observed in this study. Among HCW, nurses had a lower risk of death compared to physicians and other HCW.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Female , Health Personnel , Humans , Mexico , Pandemics
18.
BMC Infect Dis ; 20(1): 765, 2020 Oct 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33066761

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, the causative agent of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), may lead to severe systemic inflammatory response, pulmonary damage, and even acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). This in turn may result in respiratory failure and in death. Experimentally, acetylcholine (ACh) modulates the acute inflammatory response, a neuro-immune mechanism known as the inflammatory reflex. Recent clinical evidence suggest that electrical and chemical stimulation of the inflammatory reflex may reduce the burden of inflammation in chronic inflammatory diseases. Pyridostigmine (PDG), an ACh-esterase inhibitor (i-ACh-e), increases the half-life of endogenous ACh, therefore mimicking the inflammatory reflex. This clinical trial is aimed at evaluating if add-on of PDG leads to a decrease of invasive mechanical ventilation and death among patients with severe COVID-19. METHODS: A parallel-group, multicenter, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, phase 2/3 clinical trial to test the efficacy of pyridostigmine bromide 60 mg/day P.O. to reduce the need for invasive mechanical ventilation and mortality in hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19. DISCUSSION: This study will provide preliminary evidence of whether or not -by decreasing systemic inflammation- add-on PDG can improve clinical outcomes in patients with severe COVID-19. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04343963 (registered on April 14, 2020).


Subject(s)
Cholinesterase Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Coronavirus Infections/drug therapy , Pneumonia, Viral/drug therapy , Pyridostigmine Bromide/therapeutic use , Adult , Betacoronavirus/pathogenicity , COVID-19 , Coronavirus Infections/mortality , Coronavirus Infections/pathology , Coronavirus Infections/physiopathology , Humans , Inflammation , Lung/drug effects , Lung/pathology , Lung/physiopathology , Pandemics , Pneumonia, Viral/mortality , Pneumonia, Viral/pathology , Pneumonia, Viral/physiopathology , Respiration, Artificial , SARS-CoV-2
19.
PLoS One ; 15(6): e0233965, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32555607

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: A growing population of older adults with HIV will increase demands on HIV-related healthcare. Nearly a quarter of people receiving care for HIV in Latin America are currently 50 years or older, yet little is known about the frequency of comorbidities in this population. We estimated the prevalence and incidence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) among people 50 years of age or older (≥50yo) receiving HIV care during 2000-2015 in six centers affiliated with the Caribbean, Central and South American network for HIV epidemiology (CCASAnet). METHODS: We estimated the annual prevalence, and overall prevalence and incidence of cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, psychiatric disorders, chronic liver and renal diseases, and non-AIDS-defining cancers, and multimorbidity (more than one NCD) of people ≥50yo receiving care for HIV. Analyses were performed according to age at enrollment into HIV care (<50yo and ≥50yo). RESULTS: We included 3,415 patients ≥50yo, of whom 1,487(43%) were enrolled at age ≥50 years. The annual prevalence of NCDs increased from 32% to 68% and multimorbidity from 30% to 40% during 2000-2015. At the last registered visit, 53% of patients enrolled <50yo and 50% of those enrolled ≥50yo had at least one NCD. Most common NCDs at the last visit in each age-group at enrollment were dyslipidemia (36% in <50yo and 28% in ≥50yo), hypertension (17% and 18%), psychiatric disorders (15% and 10%), and diabetes (11% and 12%). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of NCDs and multimorbidity in people ≥50 years receiving care for HIV in CCASAnet centers in Latin America increased substantially in the last 15 years. Our results make evident the need of planning for provision of complex, primary care for aging adults living with HIV.


Subject(s)
HIV Infections/epidemiology , Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology , Aging , Argentina , Brazil , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Chile , Cohort Studies , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Female , HIV Infections/therapy , Honduras , Humans , Liver Diseases/epidemiology , Male , Mental Disorders/epidemiology , Mexico , Middle Aged , Multimorbidity , Neoplasms/epidemiology , Prevalence , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology
20.
J Clin Transl Sci ; 4(2): 125-132, 2020 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32313702

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Audits play a critical role in maintaining the integrity of observational cohort data. While previous work has validated the audit process, sending trained auditors to sites ("travel-audits") can be costly. We investigate the efficacy of training sites to conduct "self-audits." METHODS: In 2017, eight research groups in the Caribbean, Central, and South America network for HIV Epidemiology each audited a subset of their patient records randomly selected by the data coordinating center at Vanderbilt. Designated investigators at each site compared abstracted research data to the original clinical source documents and captured audit findings electronically. Additionally, two Vanderbilt investigators performed on-site travel-audits at three randomly selected sites (one adult and two pediatric) in late summer 2017. RESULTS: Self- and travel-auditors, respectively, reported that 93% and 92% of 8919 data entries, captured across 28 unique clinical variables on 65 patients, were entered correctly. Across all entries, 8409 (94%) received the same assessment from self- and travel-auditors (7988 correct and 421 incorrect). Of 421 entries mutually assessed as "incorrect," 304 (82%) were corrected by both self- and travel-auditors and 250 of these (72%) received the same corrections. Reason for changing antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen, ART end date, viral load value, CD4%, and HIV diagnosis date had the most mismatched corrections. CONCLUSIONS: With similar overall error rates, findings suggest that data audits conducted by trained local investigators could provide an alternative to on-site audits by external auditors to ensure continued data quality. However, discrepancies observed between corrections illustrate challenges in determining correct values even with audits.

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