Mediating pathways that link adverse childhood experiences with cardiovascular disease.

OBJECTIVES: There is uncertainty about which factors mediate the association between adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). This could inform secondary prevention targets. STUDY DESIGN: Mediation analysis of a prospective cohort study. METHODS: English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) wave 3 data (2006/7) were used to measure retrospective exposure to 12 individual ACEs and waves 2 to 4 (2004/5 to 2008/9) data to measure current exposure to potential mediators [smoking, physical activity, alcohol consumption, body mass index, depression, and C-reactive protein (CRP)]. Waves 4 to 9 ELSA data (2008/9 to 2018/19) were used to measure incident CVD. Cumulative ACE exposure was categorised into experiencing 0, 1 to 3, or ≥4 individual ACEs. Associations were tested between ACE categories, potential mediators, and incident CVD, to inform which variables were analysed in causal mediation models. RESULTS: The analytical cohort consisted of 4547 participants (56% women), with a mean age of 64 years (standard deviation = 9 years). At least one ACE had been experienced by 45% of the cohort, and 24% developed incident CVD over a median follow-up period of 9.7 years (interquartile range: 5.3-11.4 years). After adjusting for potential confounders, experiencing ≥4 ACEs compared with none was associated with incident CVD [odds ratio (OR): 1.55; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10, 2.17], and the association of one to three ACEs compared with none was non-significant (OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 0.93, 1.24). There were two statistically significant mediators of the association between ≥4 ACEs and incident CVD: CRP and depression, which accounted for 10.7% and 10.8% of the association, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Inflammation and depression partially mediated the association between ACEs and CVD. Targeting these factors may reduce the future incidence of CVD.

Histological validation of a type 1 diabetes clinical diagnostic model for classification of diabetes.

AIMS: Misclassification of diabetes is common due to an overlap in the clinical features of type 1 and type 2 diabetes. Combined diagnostic models incorporating clinical and biomarker information have recently been developed that can aid classification, but they have not been validated using pancreatic pathology. We evaluated a clinical diagnostic model against histologically defined type 1 diabetes. METHODS: We classified cases from the Network for Pancreatic Organ donors with Diabetes (nPOD) biobank as type 1 (n = 111) or non-type 1 (n = 42) diabetes using histopathology. Type 1 diabetes was defined by lobular loss of insulin-containing islets along with multiple insulin-deficient islets. We assessed the discriminative performance of previously described type 1 diabetes diagnostic models, based on clinical features (age at diagnosis, BMI) and biomarker data [autoantibodies, type 1 diabetes genetic risk score (T1D-GRS)], and singular features for identifying type 1 diabetes by the area under the curve of the receiver operator characteristic (AUC-ROC). RESULTS: Diagnostic models validated well against histologically defined type 1 diabetes. The model combining clinical features, islet autoantibodies and T1D-GRS was strongly discriminative of type 1 diabetes, and performed better than clinical features alone (AUC-ROC 0.97 vs. 0.95; P = 0.03). Histological classification of type 1 diabetes was concordant with serum C-peptide [median < 17 pmol/l (limit of detection) vs. 1037 pmol/l in non-type 1 diabetes; P < 0.0001]. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides robust histological evidence that a clinical diagnostic model, combining clinical features and biomarkers, could improve diabetes classification. Our study also provides reassurance that a C-peptide-based definition of type 1 diabetes is an appropriate surrogate outcome that can be used in large clinical studies where histological definition is impossible. Parts of this study were presented in abstract form at the Network for Pancreatic Organ Donors Conference, Florida, USA, 19-22 February 2019 and Diabetes UK Professional Conference, Liverpool, UK, 6-8 March 2019.

Responses of Amblyomma americanum and Dermacentor variabilis to odorants that attract haematophagous insects.

Carbon dioxide (CO(2) ), 1-octen-3-ol, acetone, ammonium hydroxide, L-lactic-acid, dimethyl trisulphide and isobutyric acid were tested as attractants for two tick species, Amblyomma americanum and Dermacentor variabilis (Acari: Ixodidae), in dose-response bioassays using Y-tube olfactometers. Only CO(2) , acetone, 1-octen-3-ol and ammonium hydroxide elicited significant preferences from adult A. americanum, and only CO(2) was attractive to adult D. variabilis. Acetone, 1-octen-3-ol and ammonium hydroxide were separately evaluated at three doses against CO(2) (from dry ice) at a field site supporting a natural population of A. americanum nymphs and adults. Carbon dioxide consistently attracted the highest number of host-seeking ticks. However, for the first time, acetone, 1-octen-3-ol and ammonium hydroxide were shown to attract high numbers of A. americanum. Further research is needed to determine the utility of these semiochemicals as attractants in tick surveillance and area-wide management programmes.