ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 pandemic has disproportionately affected individuals residing in Long-Term Care Facilities (LTCFs), necessitating tailored strategies to manage outbreaks. This study examines the outcomes of the ILPI BH project, a collaborative effort between the Municipal Health Department and the Hospital das Clínicas of the Federal University of Minas Gerais, designed to mitigate COVID-19 spread within LTCFs. METHODS: Prospective cohort of secondary data: 1,794 old residents in 99 long-term care facilities of Belo Horizonte, Brazil, were followed from May 2020 to January 2021. The study analyzed the prevention strategies, residents' clinical data, and the characteristics of the long-term care facilities, correlating these variables with the number of infections, hospitalizations, and deaths from COVID-19. It checked absolute numbers and rates of incidence, hospitalization, mortality, and lethality. RESULTS: There have been 58 COVID-19 outbreaks in long-term care facilities. There were 399 cases among residents, 96 hospitalizations for COVID-19 and 48 deaths from COVID-19 (2.7 % of the cohort), with a case fatality rate of 12 %. After multivariate analysis, the intrinsic variables to residents associated with higher mortality risk were higher degree of frailty (OR=1.08; p = 0.004) and the fact of living in a long-term care facility with a considerable proportion of residents' coverage by health plans (OR = 1.01; p = 0.028). Early geriatric follow-up showed an association with a reduction in the number of hospitalizations due to COVID-19. CONCLUSION: The correct classification of the degree of frailty of institutionalized older people seems to have been relevant for predicting mortality from COVID-19. The extensive assistance by private health plans, contrary to what is supposed, did not result in better health protection. Early geriatric follow-up was beneficial and may be an attractive strategy in the face of health emergencies that affect long-term care facilities to reduce hospital admissions.
ABSTRACT
The COVID-19 pandemic poses difficulties for long-term care institutions for the elderly, with increased mortality rates for the residents. This study aims to estimate the impact of COVID-19 on mortality of institutionalized elderly in Brazil. Estimates of the percentage of elderly deaths occurring in care homes were calculated for Brazil, States and Regions using estimates for the total number of deaths. The estimation was based upon information available for other countries. The weighted percentage was 44.7% and 107,538 COVID-19 deaths were estimated for the elderly in these institutions in Brazil in 2020. Higher numbers of deaths were expected in the Southeast Region (48,779 deaths), followed by the Northeast Region (28,451 deaths); São Paulo was the most affected State (24,500 deaths). The strong impact of COVID-19 on the elderly population living in long-term care facilities is clear. Estimates for the country exceeded 100,000 elderly people, potentially the most fragile and vulnerable, and are based upon a conservative number of total deaths, in view of other estimates and the alarming situation of death growth in Brazil from COVID-19.
Subject(s)
Coronavirus Infections/mortality , Homes for the Aged/statistics & numerical data , Long-Term Care , Pneumonia, Viral/mortality , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Brazil/epidemiology , COVID-19 , Computer Simulation , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Cross-Sectional Studies , Humans , Institutionalization/statistics & numerical data , Pandemics , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiologyABSTRACT
Resumo O presente estudo tem como objetivo estimar o impacto da COVID-19 na mortalidade de idosos institucionalizados no Brasil. Foram estimados números de óbitos pela doença para o País, Unidades da Federação e Regiões, com base nas estimativas calculadas e efetuadas neste trabalho do percentual de óbitos de idosos que ocorreriam em instituições de longa permanência de acordo com os totais. Essa estimativa foi baseada em informações disponíveis para uma série de países. O percentual ponderado foi de 44,7%. Estimaram-se 107.538 óbitos de idosos nestas instituições no Brasil em 2020, por COVID-19. São previstos maiores números de óbitos na Região Sudeste (48.779 óbitos), seguida da Região Nordeste (28.451 óbitos); São Paulo é a Unidade da Federação que na estimativa será mais afetada (24.500 óbitos). Fica claro o forte impacto da COVID-19 na população idosa residente em instituições de longa permanência para idosos. As estimativas ultrapassam para o país 100 mil idosos, potencialmente os mais frágeis e vulneráveis, e são baseadas em número de óbitos totais conservador, tendo em vista outras estimativas e a situação alarmante de crescimento dos números de óbitos no Brasil.
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic poses difficulties for long-term care institutions for the elderly, with increased mortality rates for the residents. This study aims to estimate the impact of COVID-19 on mortality of institutionalized elderly in Brazil. Estimates of the percentage of elderly deaths occurring in care homes were calculated for Brazil, States and Regions using estimates for the total number of deaths. The estimation was based upon information available for other countries. The weighted percentage was 44.7% and 107,538 COVID-19 deaths were estimated for the elderly in these institutions in Brazil in 2020. Higher numbers of deaths were expected in the Southeast Region (48,779 deaths), followed by the Northeast Region (28,451 deaths); São Paulo was the most affected State (24,500 deaths). The strong impact of COVID-19 on the elderly population living in long-term care facilities is clear. Estimates for the country exceeded 100,000 elderly people, potentially the most fragile and vulnerable, and are based upon a conservative number of total deaths, in view of other estimates and the alarming situation of death growth in Brazil from COVID-19.
