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1.
Braz J Anesthesiol ; 74(2): 744455, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37541486

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Respiratory responses to extubation can cause serious postoperative complications. Beta-blockers, such as metoprolol, can interfere with the cough pathway. However, whether metoprolol can effectively control respiratory reflexes during extubation remains unclear. The objective of this study is to evaluate the efficacy of intravenous metoprolol in attenuating respiratory responses to tracheal extubation. METHODS: Randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial. SETTING: Tertiary referral center located in Brasília, Brazil. Recruitment: June 2021 to December 2021. SAMPLE: 222 patients of both sexes with an American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status I-III aged 18-80 years. Patients were randomly assigned to receive intravenous metoprolol 5 mg IV or placebo at the end of surgery. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients who developed bucking secondary to endotracheal tube stimulation of the tracheal mucosa during extubation. Secondary outcomes included coughing, bronchospasm, laryngospasm, Mean Blood Pressure (MAP), and Heart Rate (HR) levels. RESULTS: Two hundred and seven participants were included in the final analysis: 102 in the metoprolol group and 105 in the placebo group. Patients who received metoprolol had a significantly lower risk of bucking (43.1% vs. 64.8%, Relative Risk [RR = 0.66], 95% Confidence Interval [95% CI 0.51-0.87], p = 0.003). In the metoprolol group, 6 (5.9%) patients had moderate/severe coughing compared with 33 (31.4%) in the placebo group (RR = 0.19; 95% CI 0.08-0.43, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Metoprolol reduced the risk of bucking at extubation in patients undergoing general anesthesia compared to placebo.


Subject(s)
Airway Extubation , Metoprolol , Male , Female , Humans , Metoprolol/therapeutic use , Metoprolol/pharmacology , Heart Rate , Arterial Pressure , Intubation, Intratracheal/adverse effects , Double-Blind Method
2.
Rev Bras Enferm ; 76(4): e20220592, 2023.
Article in English, Portuguese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37820146

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To identify the prevalence of non-communicable chronic diseases: arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and associated risk factors in long-lived elderly people from three Brazilian regions. METHODS: This is a multicenter, cross-sectional, and comparative study conducted with elderly people aged 80 years or older. RESULTS: Higher prevalence of arterial hypertension were observed among those who use polypharmacy (75.7%), among elderly people aged between 80 and 84 years (33.9%), as well as in elderly people who are overweight (78.2%). The prevalence of diabetes was 24% (RP: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.59-0.98) lower among women compared to men and 2.15 times higher among those who use five or more medications (RP: 2.15; 95% CI: 1.63-2.85). CONCLUSIONS: In our sample, polypharmacy, body weight, and gender determine the prevalence of non-communicable chronic diseases: arterial hypertension and diabetes mellitus in long-lived elderly people.


Subject(s)
Diabetes Mellitus , Hypertension , Noncommunicable Diseases , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Female , Humans , Male , Cross-Sectional Studies , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology , Hypertension/complications , Hypertension/epidemiology , Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology , Prevalence , Risk Factors
3.
Adv Rheumatol ; 63(1): 30, 2023 07 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37415193

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to compare the efficacy of rituximab, tocilizumab, and abatacept in individuals with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) refractory to treatments with MTX or TNFi agents. METHODS: We searched 6 databases until January 2023 for phase 2-4 RCTs evaluating patients with RA refractory to MTX or TNFi therapy treated with rituximab, abatacept, and tocilizumab (intervention arm) compared to controls. Study data were independently assessed by two investigators. The primary outcome was considered as achieving ACR70 response. RESULTS: The meta-analysis included 19 RCTs, with 7,835 patients and a mean study duration of 1.2 years. Hazard ratios for achieving an ACR70 response at six months were not different among the bDMARDs, however, we found high heterogeneity. Three factors showing a critical imbalance among the bDMARD classes were identified: baseline HAQ score, study duration, and frequency of TNFi treatment in control arm. Multivariate meta-regression adjusted to these three factors were conducted for the relative risk (RR) for ACR70. Thus, heterogeneity was attenuated (I2 = 24%) and the explanatory power of the model increased (R2 = 85%). In this model, rituximab did not modify the chance of achieving an ACR70 response compared to abatacept (RR = 1.773, 95%CI 0.113-10.21, p = 0.765). In contrast, abatacept was associated with RR = 2.217 (95%CI 1.554-3.161, p < 0.001) for ACR70 compared to tocilizumab. CONCLUSION: We found high heterogeneity among studies comparing rituximab, abatacept, and tocilizumab. On multivariate metaregressions, if the conditions of the RCTs were similar, we estimate that abatacept could increase the chance of reaching an ACR70 response by 2.2-fold compared to tocilizumab.


Subject(s)
Antirheumatic Agents , Arthritis, Rheumatoid , Humans , Abatacept/therapeutic use , Rituximab/therapeutic use , Methotrexate/therapeutic use , Tumor Necrosis Factor Inhibitors/therapeutic use , Antirheumatic Agents/therapeutic use , Network Meta-Analysis , Arthritis, Rheumatoid/drug therapy
5.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 1021, 2023 01 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36658176

ABSTRACT

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is a common cause of death in individuals older than 55 years. Although younger individuals are less frequently seen with ACS, this clinical event has increasing incidence trends, shows high recurrence rates and triggers considerable economic burden. Young individuals with ACS (yACS) are usually underrepresented and show idiosyncratic epidemiologic features compared to older subjects. These differences may justify why available risk prediction models usually penalize yACS with higher false positive rates compared to older subjects. We hypothesized that exploring temporal framing structures such as prediction time, observation windows and subgroup-specific prediction, could improve time-dependent prediction metrics. Among individuals who have experienced ACS (nglobal_cohort = 6341 and nyACS = 2242), the predictive accuracy for adverse clinical events was optimized by using specific rules for yACS and splitting short-term and long-term prediction windows, leading to the detection of 80% of events, compared to 69% by using a rule designed for the global cohort.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome , Humans , Acute Coronary Syndrome/diagnosis , Acute Coronary Syndrome/epidemiology , Machine Learning , Risk Factors , Risk Assessment
7.
Rev. bras. enferm ; 76(4): e20220592, 2023. tab
Article in English | LILACS-Express | LILACS, BDENF - Nursing | ID: biblio-1515014

ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT Objective: To identify the prevalence of non-communicable chronic diseases: arterial hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and associated risk factors in long-lived elderly people from three Brazilian regions. Methods: This is a multicenter, cross-sectional, and comparative study conducted with elderly people aged 80 years or older. Results: Higher prevalence of arterial hypertension were observed among those who use polypharmacy (75.7%), among elderly people aged between 80 and 84 years (33.9%), as well as in elderly people who are overweight (78.2%). The prevalence of diabetes was 24% (RP: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.59-0.98) lower among women compared to men and 2.15 times higher among those who use five or more medications (RP: 2.15; 95% CI: 1.63-2.85). Conclusions: In our sample, polypharmacy, body weight, and gender determine the prevalence of non-communicable chronic diseases: arterial hypertension and diabetes mellitus in long-lived elderly people.


RESUMEN Objetivo: Identificar la prevalencia de enfermedades crónicas no transmisibles: hipertensión arterial, diabetes mellitus y los factores de riesgo asociados en ancianos longevos de tres regiones brasileñas. Métodos: Se trata de un estudio multicéntrico, transversal y comparativo, realizado con ancianos con edad igual o superior a 80 años. Resultados: Se observaron mayores prevalencias de hipertensión arterial entre aquellos que hacen uso de polifarmacia (75,7%), entre los ancianos con edad entre 80 y 84 años (33,9%), así como en ancianos que presentan sobrepeso (78,2%). La prevalencia de diabetes fue 24% (RP: 0,76; IC 95%: 0,59-0,98) menor entre las mujeres en comparación con los hombres y 2,15 veces mayor entre aquellos que utilizan cinco o más medicamentos (RP: 2,15; IC 95%: 1,63-2,85). Conclusión: En nuestra muestra, la polifarmacia, el peso corporal y el sexo determinan la prevalencia de las enfermedades crónicas no transmisibles: hipertensión arterial y diabetes mellitus en ancianos longevos.


RESUMO Objetivo: identificar a prevalência das doenças crônicas não transmissíveis: hipertensão arterial, diabetes mellitus e os fatores de risco associados em pessoas idosas longevas de três regiões brasileiras. Métodos: trata-se de um estudo multicêntrico, transversal e comparativo, realizado com pessoas idosas com idade igual ou superior a 80 anos. Resultados: foram observadas maiores prevalências de hipertensão arterial entre aqueles que fazem uso de polifarmácia (75,7%), entre as pessoas idosas com idade entre 80 e 84 anos (33,9%), bem como em pessoas idosas que apresentam sobrepeso (78,2%). A prevalência de diabetes foi 24% (RP: 0,76; IC 95%: 0,59-0,98) menor entre as mulheres quando comparadas aos homens e 2,15 vezes maior entre aqueles que utilizam cinco ou mais medicamentos (RP: 2,15; IC 95%: 1,63-2,85). Conclusões: Em nossa amostra, a polifarmácia, o peso corporal e o sexo determinam a prevalência das doenças crônicas não transmissíveis: hipertensão arterial e diabetes mellitus em pessoas idosas longevas.

8.
REVISA (Online) ; 12(2): 339-349, 2023.
Article in Portuguese | LILACS | ID: biblio-1438413

ABSTRACT

Objetivo: Verificar quais as comorbidades podem ser preditoras do risco para uso de medicamentos potenciamente inapropriados para idosos (MPII) e desenvolver um modelo preditor para o consumo de MPII. Método: Trata-se de um estudo retrospectivo, transversal, com alocação consecutiva de idosos atendidos ambulatorialmente. Foram desenvolvidos modelos probabilísticos com a utilização de regressões logísticas binárias. Resultados: Um modelo contendo as variáveis dor, ansiedade, depressão, escore de Elixhauser, e número de medicamentos atingiu área sob a curva de 0,853 (IC95% 0,813-0,893) para identificar idosos sob risco de receber prescrição de MPII. Os resultados corroboram que a ansiedade [OR 10,6 (IC95% 1,29-87,0), p=0.028] e depressão [OR 40,3 (IC95% 5,05-321), p<0.001] são fatores de risco independentes para o uso de MPII.Conclusão: Ferramentas de suporte à decisão clínica podem incorporar modelos preditores como os desenvolvidos no presente trabalho, aumentando o nível de informação e facilitando a sinalização de MPII no ato da prescrição.


Objective: To verify which comorbidities may be predictors of the risk for use of potentially inappropriate medication for the elderly (PIME) and to develop a predictive model for the consumption of PIME. Method: It is a study retrospective, cross-sectional study with consecutive allocation of elderly patients treated on an outpatient basis. Probabilistic models have been developed using binary logistic regressions. Results: A model containing the variables pain, anxiety, depression, Elixhauser score, and number of medications reached an area under the curve of 0.853 (95%CI 0.813-0.893) to identify elderly people at risk of receiving PIME prescription. The results corroborate that anxiety [OR 10.6 (95%CI 1.29-87.0), p=0.028] and depression [OR 40.3 (95%CI 5.05-321), p<0.001] are independent risk factors for the use of PIME.Conclusion: Clinical decision support tools can incorporate predictive models such as those developed in the present study, increasing the level of information and facilitating the signaling of PIME at the time of prescription.


Objetivo: Verificar qué comorbilidades pueden ser predictoras del riesgo de uso de medicación potencialmente ianpropriada para los ancianos (MPIA) y desarrollar un modelo predictivo para el consumo de MPIA. Método: És un estudio retrospectivo, transversal, con asignación consecutiva de ancianos atendidos de forma ambulatoria. Se han desarrollado modelos probabilísticos utilizando regresiones logísticas binarias. Resultados: Un modelo que contenía las variables dolor, ansiedad, depresión, puntaje de Elixhauser y número de medicamentos alcanzó un área bajo la curva de 0,853 (IC95% 0,813-0,893) para identificar ancianos con riesgo de recibir prescripción de MPIA. Los resultados corroboran que la nestidade [OR 10,6 (IC95% 1,29-87,0), p=0,028] y la depresión [OR 40,3 (IC95% 5,05-321), p<0,001] son factores de riesgo independientes para el uso de MPIA. Conclusión: Las herramientas de apoyo a la decisión clínica pueden incorporar modelos predictivos como los desarrollados en el presente estudio, aumentando el nivel de información y facilitando la señalización del MPIA en el momento de la prescripción.


Subject(s)
Aged , Comorbidity , Polypharmacy
9.
Adv Rheumatol ; 63: 30, 2023. tab, graf
Article in English | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1447134

ABSTRACT

Abstract Background Our aim was to compare the efficacy of rituximab, tocilizumab, and abatacept in individuals with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) refractory to treatments with MTX or TNFi agents. Methods We searched 6 databases until January 2023 for phase 2-4 RCTs evaluating patients with RA refractory to MTX or TNFi therapy treated with rituximab, abatacept, and tocilizumab (intervention arm) compared to controls. Study data were independently assessed by two investigators. The primary outcome was considered as achieving ACR70 response. Results The meta-analysis included 19 RCTs, with 7,835 patients and a mean study duration of 1.2 years. Hazard ratios for achieving an ACR70 response at six months were not different among the bDMARDs, however, we found high heterogeneity. Three factors showing a critical imbalance among the bDMARD classes were identified: baseline HAQ score, study duration, and frequency of TNFi treatment in control arm. Multivariate meta-regression adjusted to these three factors were conducted for the relative risk (RR) for ACR70. Thus, heterogeneity was attenuated (I2 = 24%) and the explanatory power of the model increased (R2 = 85%). In this model, rituximab did not modify the chance of achieving an ACR70 response compared to abatacept (RR = 1.773, 95%CI 0.113-10.21, p = 0.765). In contrast, abatacept was associated with RR = 2.217 (95%CI 1.554-3.161, p < 0.001) for ACR70 compared to tocilizumab. Conclusion We found high heterogeneity among studies comparing rituximab, abatacept, and tocilizumab. On multivariate metaregressions, if the conditions of the RCTs were similar, we estimate that abatacept could increase the chance of reaching an ACR70 response by 2.2-fold compared to tocilizumab. Key messages Abatacept could increase the chance of reaching an ACR70 response by 2.2-fold compared to tocilizumab.

10.
REVISA (Online) ; 12(2): 430-438, 2023.
Article in Portuguese | LILACS | ID: biblio-1442347

ABSTRACT

Objetivo: Investigar as lives disponibilizadas nas redes sociais de instituições e conselhos profissionais brasileiros sobre pessoas idosas no contexto de enfrentamento da Covid-19, publicadas entre abril e setembro de 2020. Método: Realizou-se um estudo retrospectivo, exploratório, descritivo e infométrico. Resultados: Três instituições relacionadas diretamente a pessoas idosas divulgaram lives vol-tadas para essa população ou para cuidadores e familiares. Entre os profissionais que mais tiveram participações nas lives encontram-se os médicos geriatras. O maior número de acesso (quase oito mil) ocorreu em uma live intitulada "Pande-mia Covid-19", realizada em junho, por um geriatra. Ela foi divulgada no YouTu-be da Sociedade Brasileira de Geriatria e Gerontologia ­ instituição que mais di-vulgou lives sobre a temática. A rede social mais utilizada para esse fim foi o Ins-tagram. Conclusão: há uma carência na atenção e no cuidado com a pessoa idosa no contexto da pandemia de Covid-19.


Objective: Investigate the lives made available on the social networks of institutions and professional advice about people going to s in the face of Covid-19 to verify which institutions most disseminated these lives which was the most used social network and which professional had more participations. Method: A retrospective, exploratory, descriptive and infometric study was conducted. Results: Three institutions, SBGG, FNILPI and ABG ­ directly related to elderly ­ disseminated lives aimed at this population or at caregivers and family members; among the professionals who had the most participation in the lives were geriatric doctors, the largest number of access was given to the live entitled "Covid-19 Pandemic", which was held in June by a geriatrician, and which had 7.829 accesses, being disclosed in the YT of SBGG. SBGG was the institution that most disseminated lives, the most used social network was IG, and July was the month with the highest number of disclosures. Conclusion: There is a lack of attention and care for the elderly.


Objetivo: Investigo las lives puestas a disposición en las redes sociales de instituciones y asesoramiento profesional sobre personas que acuden a s frente al Covid-19 para verificar qué instituciones más difundieron estas lives, cuál fue la red social más utilizada y qué profesional tuvo más participaciones. Método: Se realizó un estudio retrospectivo, exploratorio, descriptivo e infométrico. Resultados: Tres instituciones, SBGG, FNILPI y ABG ­ directamente relacionadas con las personas atendidas ­ difundieron vidas dirigidas a esta población o a cuidadores y familiares; entre los profesionales que más participación tuvieron en la live fueron los médicos geriátricos, el mayor número de acceso se dio al live titulada "Pandemia Covid-19", que se realizó en junio por un geriatra, y que tuvo 7.829 accesos, siendo divulgado en el YT de SBGG. SBGG fue la institución que más difundió lives, la red social más utilizada fue IG, y julio fue el mes con mayor número de divulgaciones. Conclusión: Hay una falta de atención y cuidado para los ancianos.


Subject(s)
Aged , Social Networking , COVID-19
11.
Front Cardiovasc Med ; 9: 1000260, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36440021

ABSTRACT

Background: In recent decades, the world watched a dramatic increase in the incidence of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) among young individuals (≤55 years-old) and a relative decrease in the elderly. The management of ACS in young patients with multivessel disease still needs to be elucidated, as these individuals maintain a long life expectancy. Research Question: To compare clinical outcomes and care costs in individuals with premature ACS and multivessel disease undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Methods and Results: Participants included all individuals ≤55 years-old admitted with ACS to public hospitals in Brasília (Brazil) between 2013 and 2015 and who underwent cardiac catheterization with SYNTAX score ≥23 or Duke category 6. Outcomes were adjudicated with death certificates and data from medical records. The primary outcome was the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as death due to cardiovascular causes, recurrent hospitalizations due to cardiovascular ischemic events, and incident heart failure New York Heart Association III-IV. As secondary outcome we assessed indirect and direct costs by evaluating the cost of lost productivity (in international dollars (Int$) per year) due to illness and death, outpatient costs and costs with new hospitalizations. Multivariate and principal components (PC) adjusted analyzes were performed. Results: Among 1,088 subjects (111 CABG and 977 PCI) followed for 6.2 years (IQR: 1.1), 304 primary events were observed. MACE was observed in 20.7% of the CABG group and 28.8% of the PCI group (p = 0.037). In multivariate analyses, PCI was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) = 1.227 (95% CI: 1.004-1.499; p = 0.0457) for MACE, and in PC-adjusted HR = 1.268 (95% CI: 1.048-1.548; p = 0.0271) compared with CABG. Despite direct costs were equivalent, the cost due to the loss of labor productivity was higher in the PCI group (Int$ 4,511 (IQR: 18,062)/year vs Int$ 3,578 (IQR: 13,198)/year; p = 0.049], compared with CABG. Conclusions: Among young individuals with ACS and multivessel disease, surgical strategy was associated with a lower occurrence of MACE and lower indirect costs in the long-term.

12.
Int Arch Allergy Immunol ; 183(11): 1226-1230, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35973410

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Inborn errors of immunity (IEI) are underdiagnosed disorders, leading to increased morbimortality and expenses for healthcare system. OBJECTIVES: The study aimed to develop and compare risk prediction model to measure the individual chance of a confirmed diagnosis of IEI in children at risk for this disorder. METHOD: Clinical and laboratory data of 128 individuals were used to derive machine learning (ML) and logistic regression risk prediction models, to measure the individual chance of a confirmed diagnosis of IEI in children with suspected disorder, according to previous general pediatrician/clinician judgement. Their performances were compared. RESULTS: Statistically significant variables were mainly leucopenia, neutropenia, lymphopenia, and low levels of immunoglobulins A/G/M. ML models performed better. CONCLUSION: The enhanced predictive power provided by ML models could be a resource to track IEI, providing better healthcare outcomes.


Subject(s)
Artificial Intelligence , Hypersensitivity , Child , Humans , Machine Learning , Logistic Models , Hypersensitivity/diagnosis , Delivery of Health Care
13.
Front Cardiovasc Med ; 9: 876795, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35571207

ABSTRACT

Aim: To assess the impact of the HbA1c levels achieved with antidiabetic therapies (ADTs) on the risk of MACE. Methods: A systematic search was performed in PubMed, Cochrane, and ClinicalTrials. gov for RCTs published up to March 2022 reporting the occurrence of MACE and all-cause mortality in individuals with T2DM treated with all marketed ADTs, including a sample size ≥100 individuals in each study arm and follow-up ≥24 weeks. A systematic review and additive-effects network meta-analysis with random effects and a multivariate meta-regression were utilized to assess the impact of achieved HbA1c on incident MACE. Results: We included 126 RCTs with 143 treatment arms, 270,874 individuals, and 740,295 individuals-years who were randomized to an active treatment vs. control group. Among all ADTs, only therapy with SGLT2i, GLP1-RA, or pioglitazone similarly reduced the risk of MACE compared to placebo. The achievement of HbA1c ≤ 7.0% in RCTs with the 3 drug classes in the active arm was associated with an adjusted HR of 0.91 (95% CI 0.80, 0.97; p = 0.017) compared with HbA1c>7.0%, without affecting all-cause mortality. These results, however, were not maintained among all ADTs. Conclusions: Achieving lower glucose levels with SGLT2i, GLP1-RA, or pioglitazone is linearly associated with a reduced risk of MACEs, without affecting all-cause mortality. Systematic Review Registration: www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42020213127, identifier: CRD42020213127.

14.
Précoma, Dalton Bertolim; Oliveira, Gláucia Maria Moraes de; Simão, Antonio Felipe; Dutra, Oscar Pereira; Coelho, Otávio Rizzi; Izar, Maria Cristina de Oliveira; Póvoa, Rui Manuel dos Santos; Giuliano, Isabela de Carlos Back; Filho, Aristóteles Comte de Alencar; Machado, Carlos Alberto; Scherr, Carlos; Fonseca, Francisco Antonio Helfenstein; Filho, Raul Dias dos Santos; Carvalho, Tales de; Avezum Jr, Álvaro; Esporcatte, Roberto; Nascimento, Bruno Ramos; Brasil, David de Pádua; Soares, Gabriel Porto; Villela, Paolo Blanco; Ferreira, Roberto Muniz; Martins, Wolney de Andrade; Sposito, Andrei C; Halpern, Bruno; Saraiva, José Francisco Kerr; Carvalho, Luiz Sergio Fernandes; Tambascia, Marcos Antônio; Coelho-Filho, Otávio Rizzi; Bertolami, Adriana; Filho, Harry Correa; Xavier, Hermes Toros; Neto, José Rocha Faria; Bertolami, Marcelo Chiara; Giraldez, Viviane Zorzanelli Rocha; Brandão, Andrea Araújo; Feitosa, Audes Diógenes de Magalhães; Amodeo, Celso; Souza, Dilma do Socorro Moraes de; Barbosa, Eduardo Costa Duarte; Malachias, Marcus Vinícius Bolívar; Souza, Weimar Kunz Sebba Barroso de; Costa, Fernando Augusto Alves da; Rivera, Ivan Romero; Pellanda, Lucia Campos; Silva, Maria Alayde Mendonça da; Achutti, Aloyzio Cechella; Langowiski, André Ribeiro; Lantieri, Carla Janice Baister; Scholz, Jaqueline Ribeiro; Ismael, Silvia Maria Cury; Ayoub, José Carlos Aidar; Scala, Luiz César Nazário; Neves, Mario Fritsch; Jardim, Paulo Cesar Brandão Veiga; Fuchs, Sandra Cristina Pereira Costa; Jardim, Thiago de Souza Veiga; Moriguchi, Emilio Hideyuki; Moriguchi, Emilio Hideyuki; Schneider, Jamil Cherem; Assad, Marcelo Heitor Vieira; Kaiser, Sergio Emanuel; Lottenberg, Ana Maria; Magnoni, Carlos Daniel; Miname, Marcio Hiroshi; Lara, Roberta Soares; Herdy, Artur Haddad; Araújo, Cláudio Gil Soares de; Milani, Mauricio; Silva, Miguel Morita Fernandes da; Stein, Ricardo; Lucchese, Fernando Antônio; Nobre, Fernando; Griz, Hermilo Borba; Magalhães, Lucélia Batista Neves Cunha; Borba, Mario Henrique Elesbão de; Pontes, Mauro Ricardo Nunes; Mourilhe-Rocha, Ricardo.
Arq. bras. cardiol ; 116(4): 855-855, abr. 2021.
Article in Portuguese | LILACS | ID: biblio-1285194
15.
Value Health ; 23(12): 1570-1579, 2020 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33248512

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Traditional risk scores improved the definition of the initial therapeutic strategy in acute coronary syndrome (ACS), but they were not designed for predicting long-term individual risks and costs. In parallel, attempts to directly predict costs from clinical variables in ACS had limited success. Thus, novel approaches to predict cardiovascular risk and health expenditure are urgently needed. Our objectives were to predict the risk of major/minor adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and estimate assistance-related costs. METHODS: We used a 2-step approach that: (1) predicted outcomes with a common pathophysiological substrate (MACE) by using machine learning (ML) or logistic regression (LR) and compared with existing risk scores; (2) derived costs associated with noncardiovascular deaths, dialysis, ambulatory-care-sensitive-hospitalizations (ACSH), strokes, and MACE. With consecutive ACS individuals (n = 1089) from 2 cohorts, we trained in 80% of the population and tested in 20% using a 4-fold cross-validation framework. The 29-variable model included socioeconomic, clinical/lab, and coronarography variables. Individual costs were estimated based on cause-specific hospitalization from the Brazilian Health Ministry perspective. RESULTS: After up to 12 years follow-up (mean = 3.3 ± 3.1; MACE = 169), the gradient-boosting machine model was superior to LR and reached an area under the curve (AUROC) of 0.891 [95% CI 0.846-0.921] (test set), outperforming the Syntax Score II (AUROC = 0.635 [95% CI 0.569-0.699]). Individuals classified as high risk (>90th percentile) presented increased HbA1c and LDL-C both at <24 hours post-ACS and 1-year follow-up. High-risk individuals required 33.5% of total costs and showed 4.96-fold (95% CI 3.71-5.48, P < .00001) greater per capita costs compared with low-risk individuals, mostly owing to avoidable costs (ACSH). This 2-step approach was more successful for finding individuals incurring high costs than predicting costs directly from clinical variables. CONCLUSION: ML methods predicted long-term risks and avoidable costs after ACS.


Subject(s)
Acute Coronary Syndrome/economics , Cost Savings/statistics & numerical data , Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Machine Learning , Acute Coronary Syndrome/complications , Aged , Cost Savings/economics , Female , Humans , Male , Morbidity , Risk Factors , Treatment Outcome
17.
Arq Bras Cardiol ; 113(4): 787-891, 2019 11 04.
Article in English, Portuguese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31691761
18.
Précoma, Dalton Bertolim; Oliveira, Gláucia Maria Moraes de; Simão, Antonio Felipe; Dutra, Oscar Pereira; Coelho, Otávio Rizzi; Izar, Maria Cristina de Oliveira; Póvoa, Rui Manuel dos Santos; Giuliano, Isabela de Carlos Back; Filho, Aristóteles Comte de Alencar; Machado, Carlos Alberto; Scherr, Carlos; Fonseca, Francisco Antonio Helfenstein; Filho, Raul Dias dos Santos; Carvalho, Tales de; Avezum Jr, Álvaro; Esporcatte, Roberto; Nascimento, Bruno Ramos; Brasil, David de Pádua; Soares, Gabriel Porto; Villela, Paolo Blanco; Ferreira, Roberto Muniz; Martins, Wolney de Andrade; Sposito, Andrei C; Halpern, Bruno; Saraiva, José Francisco Kerr; Carvalho, Luiz Sergio Fernandes; Tambascia, Marcos Antônio; Coelho-Filho, Otávio Rizzi; Bertolami, Adriana; Filho, Harry Correa; Xavier, Hermes Toros; Neto, José Rocha Faria; Bertolami, Marcelo Chiara; Giraldez, Viviane Zorzanelli Rocha; Brandão, Andrea Araújo; Feitosa, Audes Diógenes de Magalhães; Amodeo, Celso; Souza, Dilma do Socorro Moraes de; Barbosa, Eduardo Costa Duarte; Malachias, Marcus Vinícius Bolívar; Souza, Weimar Kunz Sebba Barroso de; Costa, Fernando Augusto Alves da; Rivera, Ivan Romero; Pellanda, Lucia Campos; Silva, Maria Alayde Mendonça da; Achutti, Aloyzio Cechella; Langowiski, André Ribeiro; Lantieri, Carla Janice Baister; Scholz, Jaqueline Ribeiro; Ismael, Silvia Maria Cury; Ayoub, José Carlos Aidar; Scala, Luiz César Nazário; Neves, Mario Fritsch; Jardim, Paulo Cesar Brandão Veiga; Fuchs, Sandra Cristina Pereira Costa; Jardim, Thiago de Souza Veiga; Moriguchi, Emilio Hideyuki; Schneider, Jamil Cherem; Assad, Marcelo Heitor Vieira; Kaiser, Sergio Emanuel; Lottenberg, Ana Maria; Magnoni, Carlos Daniel; Miname, Marcio Hiroshi; Lara, Roberta Soares; Herdy, Artur Haddad; Araújo, Cláudio Gil Soares de; Milani, Mauricio; Silva, Miguel Morita Fernandes da; Stein, Ricardo; Lucchese, Fernando Antônio; Nobre, Fernando; Griz, Hermilo Borba; Magalhães, Lucélia Batista Neves Cunha; Borba, Mario Henrique Elesbão de; Pontes, Mauro Ricardo Nunes; Mourilhe-Rocha, Ricardo.
Arq. bras. cardiol ; 113(4): 787-891, Oct. 2019. tab, graf, ilus
Article in English | CONASS, Sec. Est. Saúde SP, SESSP-IDPCPROD, Sec. Est. Saúde SP | ID: biblio-1150799
19.
Lipids Health Dis ; 11: 130, 2012 Oct 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23039379

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) plays a major role in lipid metabolism, but studies on the association of CETP polymorphisms with risks of cardiovascular disease are inconsistent. This study investigated whether the CETP gene I405V and Taq1B polymorphisms modified subclinical atherosclerosis in an asymptomatic Brazilian population sample. METHODS: The polymorphisms were analyzed using polymerase chain reaction in 207 adult volunteers. Serum lipid profiles, oxLDL Ab titers, C-reactive protein and tumor necrosis factor-α concentrations and CETP and phospholipid transfer protein (PLTP) activities were determined, and common carotid artery intima-media thickness (cIMT) was measured using ultrasonography. RESULTS: No differences in cIMT were observed between the presence or absence of the minor B2 and V alleles in either polymorphism. However, inverse correlations between mean cIMT and CETP activity in the presence of these polymorphisms were observed, and positive correlations of these polymorphisms with PLTP activity and oxLDL Ab titers were identified. Moreover, logistic multivariate analysis revealed that the presence of the B2 allele was associated with a 5.1-fold (CI 95%, OR: 1.26 - 21.06) increased risk for cIMT, which was equal and above the 66th percentile and positively interacted with age. However, no associations with the V allele or CETP and PLTP activities were observed. CONCLUSIONS: None of the studied parameters, including CETP activity, explained the different relationships between these polymorphisms and cIMT, suggesting that other non-determined factors were affected by the genotypes and related to carotid atherosclerotic disease.


Subject(s)
Carotid Artery Diseases/genetics , Cholesterol Ester Transfer Proteins/genetics , Polymorphism, Genetic , Adult , Aged , Autoantibodies/blood , Brazil , C-Reactive Protein/metabolism , Carotid Artery Diseases/blood , Carotid Artery Diseases/diagnostic imaging , Carotid Artery Diseases/immunology , Carotid Intima-Media Thickness , Cholesterol Ester Transfer Proteins/blood , Female , Gene Frequency , Humans , Lipids/blood , Lipoproteins, LDL/blood , Lipoproteins, LDL/immunology , Male , Middle Aged , Phospholipid Transfer Proteins/blood , Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/blood , Young Adult
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