ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Chronic antibody-mediated rejection is an important cause of late graft failure. Developing an early marker of the disease may allow diagnosis and treatment before irreversible graft damage has occurred. The aim of this study was to assess whether, on electron microscopy examination, peritubular capillary (PTC) basement membrane multilayering precedes and predicts the development of transplant glomerulopathy (TG). METHODS: We used a vintage matched case-control method. Sixteen case-control pairs were created among all renal transplant patients from October 2005. Cases were patients who developed TG, and controls were patients with a late (>36 months) posttransplant (indication or surveillance) biopsy without TG. Electron microscopy was carried out on a biopsy taken earlier in the posttransplantation period for both cases and controls. RESULTS: For every additional PTC of 25 examined with three or more layers in the early biopsy, the risk of having TG in the later biopsy was increased by 1.4-fold (95% confidence interval, 1.1-1.9; P=0.015). For every PTC of 25 with five or more layers, the risk was increased by 1.6-fold (95% confidence interval, 1.0-2.7; P=0.063). Thus, the risk of future TG increased substantially with every additional PTC of 25 showing multilayering in the early biopsy. CONCLUSIONS: Peritubular capillary basement membrane multilayering on electron microscopy is a useful marker of early chronic antibody-mediated damage, and information can be obtained by assessing PTC with three to four layers of basement membrane in addition to those with five or more layers. This finding must be validated in a prospective study.
