ABSTRACT
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2023.100733.].
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (ASAH) is a complex disease with higher incidence in women compared to men and in Japan compared to other countries. It was hypothesized that ASAH is consistent with a multistep model of disease. The following assessments were made: (1) the number of steps needed for the disease to occur and (2) whether this number may be different in female versus male and in Japanese versus non-Japanese patients. METHODS: Incidence data were generated from a meta-analysis on ASAH incidence until 2017, which was supplemented with a literature search from 2017 to April 2023. Age- and sex-adjusted incidences per 10-year age groups were calculated and the logarithm of age-specific incidence against the logarithm of age was regressed with least-squares regression. RESULTS: In 2317 ASAH patients a linear relationship between logarithm of incidence and logarithm of age was found with a slope estimate of 3.13 (95% confidence interval 2.60-3.65), consistent with a four-step process. Similar estimates were found for female, male, Japanese and non-Japanese patients. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that ASAH is a four-step process, also in subgroups with higher ASAH incidence. Elucidation of the exact nature of these steps can provide important clues for identification of disease mechanisms underlying ASAH.
Subject(s)
Intracranial Aneurysm , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage , Humans , Male , Female , Subarachnoid Hemorrhage/epidemiology , Incidence , Japan/epidemiologyABSTRACT
Background: Field triage is critical in injury patients as the appropriate transport of patients to trauma centers is directly associated with clinical outcomes. Several prehospital triage scores have been developed in Western and European cohorts; however, their validity and applicability in Asia remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate an interpretable field triage scoring systems based on a multinational trauma registry in Asia. Methods: This retrospective and multinational cohort study included all adult transferred injury patients from Korea, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Taiwan between 2016 and 2018. The outcome of interest was a death in the emergency department (ED) after the patients' ED visit. Using these results, we developed the interpretable field triage score with the Korea registry using an interpretable machine learning framework and validated the score externally. The performance of each country's score was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Furthermore, a website for real-world application was developed using R Shiny. Findings: The study population included 26,294, 9404, 673 and 826 transferred injury patients between 2016 and 2018 from Korea, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Taiwan, respectively. The corresponding rates of a death in the ED were 0.30%, 0.60%, 4.0%, and 4.6% respectively. Age and vital sign were found to be the significant variables for predicting mortality. External validation showed the accuracy of the model with an AUROC of 0.756-0.850. Interpretation: The Grade for Interpretable Field Triage (GIFT) score is an interpretable and practical tool to predict mortality in field triage for trauma. Funding: This research was supported by a grant of the Korea Health Technology R&D Project through the Korea Health Industry Development Institute (KHIDI), funded by the Ministry of Health & Welfare, Republic of Korea (Grant Number: HI19C1328).
ABSTRACT
Importance: Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) from ruptured intracranial aneurysms is a subset of stroke with high fatality and morbidity. Better understanding of a change in incidence over time and of factors associated with this change could facilitate primary prevention. Objective: To assess worldwide SAH incidence according to region, age, sex, time period, blood pressure, and smoking prevalence. Data Sources: We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase for studies on SAH incidence published between January 1960 and March 2017. Worldwide blood pressure and smoking prevalence data were extracted from the Noncommunicable Disease Risk Factor and Global Burden of Disease data sets. Study Selection: Population-based studies with prospective designs representative of the entire study population according to predefined criteria. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Two reviewers independently extracted data according to PRISMA guidelines. Incidence of SAH was calculated per 100â¯000 person-years, and risk ratios (RRs) including 95% CIs were calculated with multivariable random-effects binomial regression. The association of SAH incidence with blood pressure and smoking prevalence was assessed with linear regression. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incidence of SAH. Results: A total of 75 studies from 32 countries were included. These studies comprised 8176 patients with SAH were studied over 67â¯746â¯051 person-years. Overall crude SAH incidence across all midyears was 7.9 (95% CI, 6.9-9.0) per 100â¯000 person-years; the RR for women was 1.3 (95% CI, 0.98-1.7). Compared with men aged 45 to 54 years, the RR in Japanese women older than 75 years was 2.5 (95% CI, 1.8-3.4) and in European women older than 75 years was 1.5 (95% CI, 0.9-2.5). Global SAH incidence declined from 10.2 (95% CI, 8.4-12.5) per 100â¯000 person-years in 1980 to 6.1 (95% CI, 4.9-7.5) in 2010 or by 1.7% (95% CI, 0.6-2.8) annually between 1955 and 2014. Incidence of SAH declined between 1980 and 2010 by 40.6% in Europe, 46.2% in Asia, and 14.0% in North America and increased by 59.1% in Japan. The global SAH incidence declined with every millimeter of mercury decrease in systolic blood pressure by 7.1% (95% CI, 5.8-8.4) and with every percentage decrease in smoking prevalence by 2.4% (95% CI, 1.6-3.3). Conclusions and Relevance: Worldwide SAH incidence and its decline show large regional differences and parallel the decrease in blood pressure and smoking prevalence. Understanding determinants for regional differences and further reducing blood pressure and smoking prevalence may yield a diminished SAH burden.
