Ultrafast spin transfer and its impact on the electronic structure.

Optically induced intersite spin transfer (OISTR) promises manipulation of spin systems within the ultimate time limit of laser excitation. Following its prediction, signatures of ultrafast spin transfer between oppositely aligned spin sublattices have been observed in magnetic alloys and multilayers. However, it is known neither from theory nor from experiment whether the band structure immediately follows the ultrafast change in spin polarization or whether the exchange split bands remain rigid. We show that ultrafast spin transfer occurs even in ferromagnetic gadolinium metal. Charge transfer between localized surface and extended valence-band states leads to a decrease of the surface spin polarization. This synchronously alters the exchange splitting of the bulk valence bands during laser excitation. Moreover, the onset of demagnetization can be tuned by over 200 fs by changing the temperature-dependent spin mixing. Our results show a promising route to ultrafast control of the magnetization, widening the impact and applicability of OISTR.

Access to the full three-dimensional Brillouin zone with time resolution, using a new tool for pump-probe angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy.

Here, we report the first time- and angle-resolved photoemission spectroscopy (TR-ARPES) with the new Fermiologics "FeSuMa" analyzer. The new experimental setup has been commissioned at the Artemis laboratory of the UK Central Laser Facility. We explain here some of the advantages of the FeSuMa for TR-ARPES and discuss how its capabilities relate to those of hemispherical analyzers and momentum microscopes. We have integrated the FeSuMa into an optimized pump-probe beamline that permits photon-energy (i.e., kz)-dependent scanning, using probe energies generated from high harmonics in a gas jet. The advantages of using the FeSuMa in this situation include the possibility of taking advantage of its "fisheye" mode of operation.

Patient-Informed Value Elements in Cost-Effectiveness Analyses of Major Depressive Disorder Treatment: A Literature Review and Synthesis.

OBJECTIVES: Prior work identified 6 key value elements (attributes of treatment and desired outcomes) for individuals living with major depressive disorder (MDD) in managing their condition: mode of treatment, time to treatment helpfulness, MDD relief, quality of work, interaction with others, and affordability. The objective of our study was to identify whether previous cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) for MDD treatment addressed any of these value elements. A secondary objective was to identify whether any study engaged patients, family members, and caregivers in the model development process. METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature review to identify published model-based CEAs. We compared the elements of the published studies with the MDD patient value elements elicited in prior work to identify gaps and areas for future research. RESULTS: Of 86 published CEAs, we found that 7 included patient out-of-pocket costs, and 32 included measures of productivity, which were both priorities for individuals with MDD. We found that only 2 studies elicited measures from patients for their model, and 2 studies engaged patients in the modeling process. CONCLUSIONS: Published CEA models for MDD treatment do not regularly include value elements that are a priority for this patient population nor do they include patients in their modeling process. Flexible models that can accommodate elements consistent with patient experience are needed, and a multistakeholder engagement approach would help accomplish this.

Direct Observation of a Roaming Intermediate and Its Dynamics.

Chemical reactions are often characterized by their transition state, which defines the critical geometry the molecule must pass through to move from reactants to products. Roaming provides an alternative picture, where in a dissociation reaction, the bond breaking is frustrated and a loosely bound intermediate is formed. Following bond breaking, the two partners are seen to roam around each other at distances of several Ångstroms, forming a loosely bound, and structurally ill-defined, intermediate that can subsequently lead to reactive or unreactive collisions. Here, we present a direct and time-resolved experimental measurement of roaming. By measuring the photoelectron spectrum of UV-excited acetaldehyde with a femtosecond extreme ultraviolet pulse, we captured spectral signatures of all of the key reactive structures, including that of the roaming intermediate. This provided a direct experimental measurement of the roaming process and allowed us to identify the time scales by which the roaming intermediate is formed and removed and the electronic potential surfaces upon which roaming proceeds.

Understanding the Impacts of COVID Policy Changes on Access to Needed Supports for Families With Children Receiving Medicaid HCBS Waiver Services.

The COVID-19 pandemic necessitated rapid policy changes to address new demands on disability service systems. A statewide survey of families of people who received Medicaid funded home- and community-based (HCBS) long-term services and supports (LTSS) in one Midwestern state was conducted to understand (1) utilization of services allowed under the policy change, (2) family's experiences if their family member with a disability accessed the services, and (3) family's perspectives on the need for ongoing changes in the future. Overall, the results suggest that a subset of families took advantage of flexibilities introduced into service delivery models during the pandemic, and the changes-when accessed-addressed important needs that a large majority of families that accessed the services hoped would be sustained in the future.

Real-world treatment modalities, health care resource utilization, and costs among commercially insured patients with newly diagnosed major depressive disorder in the United States.

BACKGROUND: In the United States, major depressive disorder (MDD) is one of the most prevalent mental health disorders. Treatment guidelines for MDD recommend pharmacologic and nonpharmacologic therapies tailored to the patient's disease severity, level of function, and comorbid health conditions. While previous studies examined real-world pharmacologic treatment patterns and costs among patients with MDD, few have examined the use of nonpharmacologic treatments and their association with health care resource utilization (HCRU) and cost. OBJECTIVE: To describe prevalence and associations between patient/provider characteristics and treatment modality and characterize HCRU and cost by treatment modality for patients with newly diagnosed MDD. METHODS: Commercially insured US patients, aged 18-62 years with newly diagnosed MDD between January 1, 2017, and September 30, 2019, were retrospectively identified from the Healthcare Integrated Research Database. Eligible patients were continuously enrolled in the health plan for 1 year before and 2 years after the first MDD diagnosis (index date). Those with co-occurring schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, postpartum depression, substance use disorder, and any prior MDD treatments were excluded. Treatment modalities assessed in the 2-year post-index period included antidepressant only (Rx-only), nonpharmacologic only (non-Rx-only), both antidepressant and nonpharmacologic (combination), and no treatment. HCRU and costs were assessed in the 2-year post-index period by treatment modality. Regression models identified associations between patient/provider characteristics and treatment modality, and the relationship between treatment modality and MDD severity changes. RESULTS: In total, 12,657 patients were included (mean age: 36 years; 60% female). During follow-up, 34% of patients received Rx-only, 25% received non-Rx-only, 28% received combination, and 13% received no treatment. MDD severity at diagnosis (26% mild, 54% moderate, 20% severe) was available for 51% of patients. Post-index inpatient hospitalizations were 11% for those with Rx-only, 10% for non-Rx-only, 16% for combination, and 29% for no treatment, whereas all-cause mean monthly total costs were $792, $633, $786, and $1,292, respectively. In multinomial logistic regression, age, sex, geographic region and urbanicity of patient residence, socioeconomic status, diagnosing provider specialty, and initial diagnosis location were significantly associated (P < 0.05) with treatment modality. In multivariable logistic regression, recipients of Rx-only (odds ratio = 2.03, P < 0.01) or combination (odds ratio = 3.26, P < 0.01) had higher odds of improving MDD severity than patients who received no treatment. CONCLUSIONS: In this real-world sample of commercially insured patients, we observed variations in outcomes by treatment modality and an association between treatment modality and disease severity. Further research is needed to explore the underlying causal relationships between treatment modality and patient outcomes. Study Registration: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/YQ6B3 DISCLOSURES: Dr Grabner is an employee of Carelon Research, which received funding from the Innovation and Value Initiative for the conduct of the study on which this manuscript is based. Ms Pizzicato and Mr Yang were employees of Carelon Research at the time the study was conducted. Dr Grabner is a shareholder of Elevance Health. Drs Xie and Chapman are employees of the Innovation and Value Initiative.

FDA regulations and prescription digital therapeutics: Evolving with the technologies they regulate.

Technological progress in digital therapeutics-and, in particular prescription digital therapeutics (PDTs)-has outpaced the processes that the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) uses to regulate such products. Digital therapeutics have entered the health care ecosystem so rapidly that substantial misunderstandings exist about how they are evaluated and regulated by the FDA. This review briefly explains the relevant regulatory history of software as medical devices (SaMDs) and reviews the current regulatory landscape in which prescription and non-prescription digital therapeutics are developed and approved for use. These are important issues because PDTs, and digital therapeutics in general, are an explosively growing field in medicine and offer many advantages over conventional face-to-face treatments for the behavioral dimensions of a wide range of conditions and disease states. By allowing access to evidence-based therapies remotely and privately, digital therapeutics can reduce existing disparities in care and improve health equity. But clinicians, payers, and other healthcare stakeholders must appreciate the rigor of the regulatory frameworks within which PDTs are approved for use.

Identifying the mechanism of missingness for unspecified diabetic retinopathy disease severity in the electronic health record: an IRIS® Registry analysis.

Observational studies of diabetic retinopathy (DR) using electronic health record data often determine disease severity using International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes. We investigated the mechanism of missingness for DR severity based on ICD coding using the American Academy of Ophthalmology IRIS® Registry. We included all patient encounters in the registry with a DR ICD-9 or ICD-10 code between January 1, 2014 and June 30, 2021. Demographic, clinical, and practice-level characteristics were compared between encounters with specified and unspecified disease severity. Practices were divided into quartiles based on the proportion of clinical encounters with unspecified DR severity. Encounters with unspecified disease severity were associated with significantly older patient age, better visual acuity, and lower utilization of ophthalmic procedures. Higher volume practices and retina specialist practices had lower proportions of clinical encounters with unspecified disease severity. Results strongly suggest that DR disease severity related to ICD coding is missing not at random.

Treatment goals for rheumatoid arthritis: patient engagement and goal collection.

Aim: We developed the Patient-Engaged Health Technology Assessment strategy for survey-based goal collection from patients to yield patient-important outcomes suitable for use in multi-criteria decision analysis. Methods: Rheumatoid arthritis patients were recruited from online patient networks for proof-of-concept testing of goal collection and prioritization using a survey. A Project Steering Committee and Expert Panel rated the feasibility of scaling to larger samples. Results: Survey respondents (n = 47) completed the goal collection exercise. Finding effective treatments was rated by respondents as the most important goal, and reducing stiffness was rated as the least important. Feedback from our steering committee and expert panel support the approach's feasibility for goal identification and ranking. Conclusion: Goals relevant for treatment evaluation can be identified and rated for importance by patients to permit wide input from patients with lived experience of disease.

Impacts of the Certified Community Behavioral Health Clinic Demonstration on Emergency Department Visits and Hospitalizations.

OBJECTIVE: The Certified Community Behavioral Health Clinic (CCBHC) demonstration is designed to increase access to comprehensive ambulatory care and crisis services, which may reduce emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations. This study examined whether the demonstration had an impact on ED visits and hospitalizations in Missouri, Oklahoma, and Pennsylvania. METHODS: This difference-in-differences analysis used Medicaid claims data from 2015 to 2019 to examine service use during a 12-month baseline period and the first 24 months of the demonstration for beneficiaries who received care from CCBHCs and beneficiaries who received care from other behavioral health clinics in the same state, representing care as usual. Propensity score methods were used to develop treatment and comparison groups with similar characteristics. RESULTS: In Pennsylvania and Oklahoma, beneficiaries who received care from CCBHCs had a statistically significant reduction in the average number of behavioral health ED visits, relative to the comparison group (13% and 11% reductions, respectively); no impact on ED visits in Missouri was observed. The demonstration was associated with a statistically significant reduction in all-cause hospitalizations in Oklahoma, when the analysis used a 2-year rather than a 1-year baseline period, and also in Pennsylvania, when hospitalizations were truncated at the 98th percentile to exclude beneficiaries with outlier hospitalization rates. CONCLUSIONS: The CCBHC demonstration reduced behavioral health ED visits in two states, and the study also revealed some evidence of reductions in hospitalizations.

Cost-Effectiveness of Nadofaragene Firadenovec and Pembrolizumab in Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Immunotherapy Unresponsive Non-Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: Nadofaragene firadenovec is a gene therapy for bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG)-unresponsive non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) undergoing Food and Drug Administration review. Pembrolizumab is approved for treating patients with BCG-unresponsive NMIBC with carcinoma in situ (CIS). We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of these treatments compared with a hypothetical therapeutic alternative, at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150 000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, in CIS and non-CIS BCG-unresponsive NMIBC populations. METHODS: We developed a Markov cohort simulation model with a 3-month cycle length and lifetime horizon to estimate the total costs, QALYs, and cost per additional QALY from the health sector perspective. Clinical inputs were informed by results of single-arm clinical trials evaluating the treatments, and systematic literature reviews were conducted to obtain other model inputs. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess uncertainty in model results. RESULTS: Nadofaragene firadenovec, at a placeholder price 10% higher than the price of pembrolizumab, had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $263 000 and $145 000 per QALY gained in CIS and non-CIS populations, respectively. Pembrolizumab had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $168 000 per QALY gained for CIS. A 5.4% reduction in pembrolizumab's price would make it cost-effective. The model was sensitive to many inputs, especially to the probabilities of disease progression, initial treatment response and durability, and drug price. CONCLUSIONS: The cost-effectiveness of nadofaragene firadenovec will depend upon its price. Pembrolizumab, although not cost-effective in our base-case analysis, is an important alternative in this population with an unmet medical need. Comparative trials of these treatments are warranted to better estimate cost-effectiveness.

Preferences for Treatments for Major Depressive Disorder: Formative Qualitative Research Using the Patient Experience.

OBJECTIVES: The goals of this formative research are to elicit attributes of treatment and desired outcomes that are important to individuals with major depressive disorder (MDD), to develop a stated preference instrument, and to pre-test the instrument. METHODS: A three-phase survey study design elicited the patient's journey with MDD to design and pre-test the discrete choice experiment (DCE) instrument. Participants were 20 adults aged ≥ 18 with MDD who did not also have bipolar disorder or post-partum depression. We engaged patient advocates and a multi-disciplinary stakeholder advisory group to select and refine attributes for inclusion in a DCE instrument. The DCE was incorporated into a survey that also collected depression treatment and management and sociodemographic characteristics. The DCE was pre-tested with ten adults with MDD. RESULTS: Six attributes were included in the DCE: mode of treatment (medicine only, psychotherapy only, all modalities including brain stimulation), time to treatment effect (6, 9, 12 weeks), days of hopefulness (2, 4, 6 days/week), effect on productivity (40%, 60%, 90% increase), relations with others (strained, improved, no impact), and out-of-pocket costs ($30, $60, $90/month). The DCE test led to the refinement of mode of treatment (medicine, medicine and psychotherapy, and all modalities); time to treatment effect (4, 6, 9 weeks); monthly out-of-pocket costs ($30, $90, $270). CONCLUSIONS: MDD treatment preferences revealed trade-offs among mode of treatment, time to treatment effect, functional outcomes, and cost. The findings demonstrate the potential for meaningfully incorporating the patient experience in preference measures.

Assessment of Inhaled Treprostinil Palmitil, Inhaled and Intravenous Treprostinil, and Oral Selexipag in a Sugen/Hypoxia Rat Model of Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

Treprostinil palmitil (TP), a long-acting inhaled pulmonary vasodilator prodrug of treprostinil (TRE), has beneficial effects in a Sugen5416/hypoxia (Su/Hx) rat model of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) that compare favorably to the oral phosphodiesterase 5 inhibitor (PDE5) sildenafil. In this study in male Sprague-Dawley rats, a dry powder formulation of TP (TPIP) was compared with inhaled and intravenous TRE and oral selexipag to evaluate inhibition of hemodynamic and pathologic changes in the lungs and heart induced by Su/Hx challenge. Su (20 mg/kg) was injected subcutaneously followed by 3 weeks of Hx (10% O2/balance N2) and then initiation of test article administration over 5 weeks with room air breathing. Hemodynamics and histopathology were measured at the end of the study. Su/Hx challenge approximately doubled the mean pulmonary arterial blood pressure (mPAP) and the Fulton index, decreased cardiac output (CO), doubled the wall thickness and muscularization of the small (10-50 µm) and medium (51-100 µm) sized pulmonary arteries, and increased the percentage of obliterated pulmonary blood vessels. Even though inhaled TRE (65 µg/kg, 4× daily), intravenous TRE (810 ng/kg/min), and oral selexipag (30 mg/kg, twice daily) provided some beneficial effects against the Su/Hx challenge, the overall benefit was generally greater with TPIP at high dose (117 µg/kg, once daily). These results demonstrate that TPIP compares favorably to inhaled and intravenous TRE and oral selexipag with respect to inhibition of the pathophysiological changes induced by Su/Hx challenge in rats. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Treprostinil palmitil (TP) is a long-acting pulmonary vasodilator prodrug of treprostinil (TRE) formulated for inhaled administration by dry powder [treprostinil palmitil inhalation powder (TPIP)]. Comparison of the activity of TPIP, inhaled and intravenous TRE, and oral selexipag in a Sugen5416/hypoxia (Su/Hx) rat model of pulmonary arterial hypertension demonstrated that each of these drugs exert protection against the hemodynamic and histopathological changes induced by the Su/Hx challenge, with the greatest effect on these changes produced by TPIP.

Deep Denoising of Raw Biomedical Knowledge Graph From COVID-19 Literature, LitCovid, and Pubtator: Framework Development and Validation.

BACKGROUND: Multiple types of biomedical associations of knowledge graphs, including COVID-19-related ones, are constructed based on co-occurring biomedical entities retrieved from recent literature. However, the applications derived from these raw graphs (eg, association predictions among genes, drugs, and diseases) have a high probability of false-positive predictions as co-occurrences in the literature do not always mean there is a true biomedical association between two entities. OBJECTIVE: Data quality plays an important role in training deep neural network models; however, most of the current work in this area has been focused on improving a model's performance with the assumption that the preprocessed data are clean. Here, we studied how to remove noise from raw knowledge graphs with limited labeled information. METHODS: The proposed framework used generative-based deep neural networks to generate a graph that can distinguish the unknown associations in the raw training graph. Two generative adversarial network models, NetGAN and Cross-Entropy Low-rank Logits (CELL), were adopted for the edge classification (ie, link prediction), leveraging unlabeled link information based on a real knowledge graph built from LitCovid and Pubtator. RESULTS: The performance of link prediction, especially in the extreme case of training data versus test data at a ratio of 1:9, demonstrated that the proposed method still achieved favorable results (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve >0.8 for the synthetic data set and 0.7 for the real data set), despite the limited amount of testing data available. CONCLUSIONS: Our preliminary findings showed the proposed framework achieved promising results for removing noise during data preprocessing of the biomedical knowledge graph, potentially improving the performance of downstream applications by providing cleaner data.

The Cost-Effectiveness of Belimumab and Voclosporin for Patients with Lupus Nephritis in the United States.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Despite existing therapies, people with lupus nephritis progress to kidney failure and have reduced life expectancy. Belimumab and voclosporin are two new disease-modifying therapies recently approved for the treatment of lupus nephritis. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: A de novo economic model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of these therapies, including the following health states: "complete response," "partial response," and "active disease" defined by eGFR and proteinuria changes, kidney failure, and death. Short-term data and mean cohort characteristics were sourced from pivotal clinical trials of belimumab (the Belimumab International Study in Lupus Nephritis) and voclosporin (the Aurinia Urinary Protection Reduction Active-Lupus with Voclosporin trial and Aurinia Renal Response in Active Lupus With Voclosporin). Risk of mortality and kidney failure were on the basis of survival modeling using published Kaplan-Meier data. Each drug was compared with the standard of care as represented by the comparator arm in its respective pivotal trial(s) using US health care sector perspective, with a societal perspective also explored. RESULTS: In the health care perspective probabilistic analysis, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for belimumab compared with its control arm was estimated to be approximately $95,000 per quality-adjusted life year. The corresponding incremental ratio for voclosporin compared with its control arm was approximately $150,000 per quality-adjusted life year. Compared with their respective standard care arms, the probabilities of belimumab and voclosporin being cost effective at a threshold of $150,000 per quality-adjusted life year were 69% and 49%, respectively. Cost-effectiveness was dependent on assumptions made regarding survival in response states, costs and utilities in active disease, and the utilities in response states. In the analysis from a societal perspective, the incremental ratio for belimumab was estimated to be approximately $66,000 per quality-adjusted life year, and the incremental ratio for voclosporin was estimated to be approximately $133,000 per quality-adjusted life year. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with their respective standard care arms, belimumab but not voclosporin met willingness-to-pay thresholds of $100,000 per quality-adjusted life year. Despite potential clinical superiority in the informing trials, there remains high uncertainty around the cost-effectiveness of voclosporin.

Treprostinil palmitil inhibits the hemodynamic and histopathological changes in the pulmonary vasculature and heart in an animal model of pulmonary arterial hypertension.

Treprostinil palmitil (TP) is a long-acting inhaled pulmonary vasodilator prodrug of treprostinil (TRE). In this study, TP was delivered by inhalation (treprostinil palmitil inhalation suspension, TPIS) in a rat Sugen 5416 (Su)/hypoxia (Hx) model of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) to evaluate its effects on hemodynamics, pulmonary vascular remodeling, and cardiac performance and histopathology. Male Sprague-Dawley rats received Su (20 mg/kg, s.c), three weeks of Hx (10% O2) and 5 or 10 weeks of normoxia (Nx). TPIS was given during the 5-10 week Nx period after the Su/Hx challenge. Su/Hx increased the mean pulmonary arterial blood pressure (mPAP) and right heart size (Fulton index), reduced cardiac output (CO), stroke volume (SV) and heart rate (HR), and increased the thickness and muscularization of the pulmonary arteries along with obliteration of small pulmonary vessels. In both the 8- and 13-week experiments, TPIS at inhaled doses ranging from 39.6 to 134.1 µg/kg, QD, dose-dependently improved pulmonary vascular hemodynamics, reduced the increase in right heart size, enhanced cardiac performance, and attenuated most of the histological changes induced by the Su/Hx challenge. The PDE5 inhibitor sildenafil, administered at an oral dose of 50 mg/kg, BID for 10 weeks, was not as effective as TPIS. These results in Su/Hx challenged rats demonstrate that inhaled TPIS may have superior effects to oral sildenafil. We speculate that the improvement of the pathobiology in this PAH model induced by TPIS involves effects on pulmonary vascular remodeling due to the local effects of TRE in the lungs.

Straight from the horse's mouth: Increasing self-report in mental health assessment in individuals with intellectual disability.

BACKGROUND: Mental health conditions are common among individuals with intellectual disability. Under recognition of mental health disorders leading to unmet treatment needs is common in this population. This article addresses one major contributing factor, the lack of cognitively accessible self-report measures for individuals with intellectual disability. METHOD: In this literature-informed overview of the state of the field, we discuss the need for, and complexities of, including individuals with intellectual disability in mental health assessments. RESULTS: With appropriate supports, many individuals with intellectual disability can respond to mental health questions. We discuss evidence-based strategies to make mental health assessments more accessible. CONCLUSION: We highlight the need to engage individuals with intellectual disability to provide first-hand information about their health and well-being. New instruments and research procedures should be developed in partnership with individuals with intellectual disability. Self-report may be essential to advancing the science of mental health research.

Does Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Overvalue Potential Cures? Exploring Alternative Methods for Applying a "Shared Savings" Approach to Cost Offsets.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate alternative methods to calculate and/or attribute economic surplus in the cost-effectiveness analysis of single or short-term therapies. METHODS: We performed a systematic literature review of articles describing alternative methods for cost-effectiveness analysis of potentially curative therapies whose assessment using traditional methods may suggest unaffordable valuations owing to the magnitude of estimated long-term quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gains or cost offsets. Through internal deliberation and discussion with staff at the Health Technology Assessment bodies in England and Canada, we developed the following 3 alternative methods for further evaluation: (1) capping annual costs in the comparator arm at $150 000 per year; (2) "sharing" the economic surplus with the health sector by apportioning only 50% of cost offsets or 50% of cost offsets and QALY gains to the value of the therapy; and (3) crediting the therapy with only 12 years of the average annual cost offsets or cost offsets and QALY gains over the lifetime horizon. The impact of each alternative method was evaluated by applying it in an economic model of 3 hypothetical condition-treatment scenarios meant to reflect a diversity of chronicity and background healthcare costs. RESULTS: The alternative with greatest impact on threshold price for the fatal pediatric condition spinal muscular atrophy type 1 was the 12-year cutoff scenario. For a hypothetical one-time treatment for hemophilia A, capping cost offsets at $150 000 per year had the greatest impact. For chimeric antigen receptor T-cell treatment of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, capping cost offsets or using 12-year threshold had little impact, whereas 50% sharing of surplus including QALY gains and cost offsets greatly reduced threshold pricing. CONCLUSIONS: Health Technology Assessment bodies and policy makers will wrestle with how to evaluate single or short-term potentially curative therapies and establish pricing and payment mechanisms to ensure sustainability. Scenario analyses using alternative methods for calculating and apportioning economic surplus can provide starkly different assessment results. These methods may stimulate important societal dialogue on fair pricing for these novel treatments.