Nomogram for predicting survival after first-line anti-PD-1-based immunotherapy in unresectable stage IV melanoma: a multicenter international study.

BACKGROUND: The introduction of anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) immunotherapy has revolutionized the treatment landscape for melanoma, enhancing both response rates and survival outcomes in patients with advanced stages of the disease. Despite these remarkable advances, a noteworthy subset of patients (40%-60%) does not derive advantage from this therapeutic approach. This study aims to identify key predictive factors and create a user-friendly predictive nomogram for stage IV melanoma patients receiving first-line anti-PD-1-based immunotherapy, improving treatment decisions. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, we included patients with unresectable stage IV melanoma who received first-line treatment with either anti-PD-1 monotherapy or anti-PD-1 plus anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte associated protein 4 between 2014 and 2018. We documented clinicopathological features and blood markers upon therapy initiation. By employing the random survival forest model and backward variable selection of the Cox model, we identified variables associated with progression-free survival (PFS) after the first-line anti-PD-1-based treatment. We developed and validated a predictive nomogram for PFS utilizing the identified variables. We assessed calibration and discrimination performance metrics as part of the evaluation process. RESULTS: The study involved 719 patients, divided into a training cohort of 405 (56%) patients and a validation cohort of 314 (44%) patients. We combined findings from the random survival forest and the Cox model to create a nomogram that incorporates the following factors: lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), S100, melanoma subtype, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), body mass index, type of immune checkpoint inhibitor, and presence of liver or brain metastasis. The resultant model had a C-index of 0.67 in the training cohort and 0.66 in the validation cohort. Performance remained in different patient subgroups. Calibration analysis revealed a favorable correlation between predicted and actual PFS rates. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated a predictive nomogram for long-term PFS in patients with unresectable stage IV melanoma undergoing first-line anti-PD-1-based immunotherapy.

Paraoxonase-1: Characteristics and Role in Atherosclerosis and Carotid Artery Disease.

Paraoxonase-1 (PON-1) is a calcium-dependent enzyme that is synthesized in the liver and then secreted in blood where it is bound to high density lipoprotein (HDL). PON-1 is a hydrolase with a wide range of substrates, including lipid peroxides. It is considered responsible for many of the antiatherogenic properties of HDL. PON-1 prevents low density lipoprotein (LDL) oxidation, a process that is considered to contribute to the initiation and development of atherosclerosis. PON-1 activity and levels are influenced by gene polymorphisms; of the 2 common variants, one is in position 192 (Q192R) and one in position 55 (M55L). Also, many drugs affect PON-1 activity. The role of PON-1 in carotid atherosclerosis is inconsistent. Some studies show an association of PON-1 polymorphisms with carotid plaque formation, whereas others do not. The aim of this review is to summarize the characteristics of PON-1, its interactions with drugs and its role in atherosclerosis and especially its relationship with carotid artery disease.