Discordance between Remnant Cholesterol and Low-density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Predicts Cardiovascular Disease: the Kailuan Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that remnant cholesterol (RC) was associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). The study aim to identify the association of RC and the discordance between RC and lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with CVD. METHODS: Data was obtained from the Kailuan study. RC was calculated as the non high-density lipoprotein cholesterol minus LDL-C. Discordant RC and LDL-C were defined by percentile difference and clinical cutoff points. Cox proportional hazard models were used to explore the association of RC and the discordance between RC and LDL-C with CVD. RESULTS: Total of 96,769 participants were inclued, with the median age of 51.61 years, 79.56% of male. There was a significant association between RC levels and the risk of CVD, with an HR of 1.10 (95% CI, 1.08-1.13) in the continuous analysis. The discordantly high RC group had a significant increase in CVD, MI, and stroke risk, with HRs of 1.18 (95%CI, 1.10-1.26), 1.23 (1.06-1.43), and 1.15 (1.07-1.24), respectively. Compared to the group with low LDL-C and low RC, the group with low LDL-C and high RC had significantly higher incidences of CVD (HR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.26-1.40]), MI (HR, 1.59 [95% CI, 1.41-1.80]), and stroke (HR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.20-1.35]). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated levels of RC and discordantly high RC with LDL-C both were associated with the risk of CVD, MI, and stroke. These findings demonstrate the clinical significance of identifying residual risk related to RC.

Triglyceride levels and risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality in Chinese adults younger than 40 years old: a prospective cohort study.

Background: Data on the associations of triglyceride (TG) levels with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality mainly focused on the middle-aged or elderly population, with limited information available for younger adults. This study aimed to identify such associations among Chinese young adults. Methods: This study included Chinese adults younger than 40 years free of CVD, cancer, and lipid-lowering agents at baseline in the Kailuan study who were enrolled during 2006 through 2016. All participants were biennially followed up till December 2020. The enzymatic colorimetric method was used to measure baseline fasting TG. Participants were categorized into four groups by quartiles of TG, with the lowest quartile (Q1) as the reference group. The primary outcomes were CVD [composite of myocardial infarction (MI) and ischemic stroke] and all-cause mortality. CVD and mortality risks were estimated with Cox regression models. Results: A total of 43,882 participants were included. Their mean age was 30.6±5.56 years, and 80.2% were males. During a median follow-up of 11.2 years, 298 CVD events and 345 deaths occurred. The incidences of CVD and all-cause mortality were 0.67 and 0.76 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. Compared with individuals in the lowest quartile (Q1), participants in the highest quartile (Q4) showed a 126% higher risk of developing CVD [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.26; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.56 to 3.29; P=0.001] and a 61% higher risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.61; 95% CI: 1.14 to 2.28; P=0.007). In addition, analyses of CVD subtypes showed that adjusted HRs (Q4 vs. Q1) were 3.25 (95% CI: 1.33 to 7.97; P=0.01) for MI, and 1.88 (95% CI: 1.16 to 3.04; P=0.01) for ischemic stroke. Conclusions: Among Chinese young adults, elevated fasting TG levels were associated with increased CVD and all-cause mortality risks.

Association of Life's Essential 8 with all-cause mortality and risk of cancer: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: No study has concentrated on the association of LE8 with cancer risk and death. We aim to examine the association of LE8 with death and cancer. METHODS: A total of 94733 adults aged 51.42 ± 12.46 years and 77551 participants aged 54.09±12.06 years were enrolled in longitudinal and trajectory analysis respectively. Baseline LE8 was divided into three groups based on the American Heart Association criteria and three trajectory patterns by latent mixture models. We reviewed medical records and clinical examinations to confirm incident cancer during the period from 2006 to 2020. Death information was collected from provincial vital statistics offices. Cox models were used. RESULTS: 12807 all-cause deaths and 5060 cancers were documented during a 14-year follow-up. Relative to participants with high LE8 at baseline, participants with lower levels of LE8 have a significantly increased risk of mortality and incident cancer. All these risks have an increasing trend with LE8 level decreasing. Meanwhile, the trajectory analysis recorded 7483 all-cause deaths and 3037 incident cancers after approximately 10 years. The associations of LE8 with death and cancer were identical to the longitudinal study. In the subtype cancer analysis, LE8 has a strong effect on colorectal cancer risk. Moreover, the cut point is 56.67 in the association between LE8 and death, while the cut point altered to 64.79 in the association between LE8 and incident cancers. These associations were enhanced among younger adults. CONCLUSIONS: There was a significant association of LE8 with death and cancer risk, especially for the young population.

Hippocampal volume mediates the association of arterial stiffness with cognitive impairment in adult population.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association of arterial stiffness with brain perfusion, brain tissue volume and cognitive impairment in the general adult population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective study included 1488 adult participants (age range: 22.8-83.9 years) from the Kailuan study. All participants underwent brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (PWV) measurement, brain MRI, and Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA). The association of PWV with cerebral blood flow (CBF), brain tissue volume and MoCA score was investigated. Mediation analysis was used to determine whether CBF and brain tissue volume changes mediated the associations between PWV and MoCA score. RESULTS: A 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in PWV was associated with lower total brain CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.67 (-1.2 to -0.14)], total gray matter CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.7 [-1.27 to -0.13)], frontal lobe CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.59 (-1.17 to -0.01)], parietal lobe CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.8 (-1.43 to -0.18)], and temporal lobe CBF [ß (95% CI) -0.68 (-1.24 to -0.12)]. Negative associations were found for PWV and total brain volume [ß (95% CI) -4.8 (-7.61 to -1.99)] and hippocampus volume [ß (95% CI) -0.08 (-0.13 to -0.04)]. A 1 SD increase PWV was significantly associated with elevated odds of developing cognitive impairment [odds ratio (95% CI) 1.21 (1.01-1.45)]. Mediation analysis showed that hippocampal volume partially mediated the negative association between PWV and MoCA scores (proportion: 14.173%). CONCLUSION: High arterial stiffness was associated with decreased total and regional CBF, brain tissue volume, and cognitive impairment. Hippocampal volume partially mediated the effects of arterial stiffness on cognitive impairment.

Systolic blood pressure and risk of cardiovascular disease in normotensive diabetic adults: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Currently, the special blood pressure (BP) target for normotensive diabetic patients has not been recommended. We investigated the optimal systolic blood pressure (SBP) for lower cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in normotensive diabetic patients. METHODS: In this 12-year follow-up study using the participants of the Kailuan Study, we mainly compared which SBP, 90-119 mmHg or 120-129 mmHg, had a lower risk of occurrence of CVD (stroke and myocardial infarction) in the 3072 normotensive diabetic participants and 21,532 normotensive and non-diabetic participants, respectively. The SBP was expressed as a mean time-weighted cumulative (MTWC) SBP, calculated from the multiple measurements of SBP during the follow-up. Multivariate competing risk regression analyses were used for the analysis. RESULTS: We found that in normotensive diabetic participants, MTWC SBP of 120-129 mmHg was associated with a lower risk of CVD (HR = 0.69 [0.50-0.95]), myocardial infarction (HR = 0.48 [0.24-0.96]), and trending towards lower risk of stroke (HR = 0.80 [0.55-1.16]), compared to MTWC SBP of 90-119 mmHg. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the relationship between low SBP and increased CVD risk. Whereas, in the normotensive and non-diabetic participants, MTWC SBP of 90-119 mmHg vs 120-129 mmHg did not exhibit any difference in the risk of CVD occurrence (HR = 0.99 [0.83-1.18]). CONCLUSIONS: The higher level of SBP in normotensive diabetic patients is especially associated with a lower risk of CVD occurrence.

Cumulative remnant cholesterol burden increases the risk of cardiovascular disease among young adults.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown that remnant cholesterol (RC) was associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) among middle-aged or older adults. However, lack of evidence on long-term exposures to RC and their role in CVD risk among young adults. We thus aimed to explore the association between cumulative RC burden and CVD in young adults. METHODS: We enrolled participants younger than 45 years free of CVD history in the Kailuan Study who completed the first three health examinations from 2006 to 2010. Cumulative RC burden included cumulative RC burden score, time-weighted cumulative RC, exposure duration of high RC, and time course of RC accumulation. The outcome was the incidence of CVD. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) between cumulative RC burden and CVD risk. RESULTS: A total of 15,219 participants were included (73.70% male, median age 39.13 years). During a median follow-up duration of 8.71 years (interquartile range: 8.4-9.15 years), 502 individuals developed CVD. After adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, highest risk of CVD was observed in participants with the highest cumulative RC burden score (HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.29-2.12), the highest quartile time-weighted cumulative RC (HR,1.50; 95% CI, 1.15-1.96), the longest exposure duration of high RC (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.21-2.42), and those with cumulative RC burden and positive slope (HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.35-2.36). CONCLUSIONS: Cumulative RC burden increased the risk of CVD among young adults, suggesting that maintaining low RC levels throughout young adulthood may minimize CVD risk.

Gender disparities in all-cause mortality among individuals with early-onset cardiovascular diseases.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Gender disparities in mortality among individuals with early-onset cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain uncertain. This study aimed to investigate gender differences in all-cause mortality and identify influencing factors. METHODS: Data extracted from the Kailuan Study, a prospective cohort study initiated in 2006, were analyzed. A total of 2,829 participants with early-onset CVD were included. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for gender disparities in all-cause mortality, adjusting for various factors. RESULTS: Males experienced a median follow-up duration of 7.54 years with 276 recorded deaths, and females had a median follow-up of 6.45 years with 105 recorded deaths. Gender disparities in all-cause mortality were observed, with men experiencing a higher all-cause mortality risk compared to women (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.92) in the fully adjusted model. Both in men and women with early-onset CVD, elevated hs-CRP levels and an eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m2 notably escalated the risk of all-cause mortality. Furthermore, the utilization of antiplatelet agents and successful blood glucose control might mitigate the risk of all-cause mortality. Smoking and eGFR decline modified the association between gender and all-cause death, women were more vulnerable to tobacco consumption and kidney misfunctioning than men (P-interaction = 0.019). CONCLUSION: The study highlights gender disparities in all-cause mortality among individuals with early-onset CVD, with men experiencing a higher risk of mortality compared to women. Addressing these disparities is important for improving outcomes in this population. Further research is needed to develop sex-specific interventions and strategies to reduce gender-related mortality disparities in early-onset CVD.

Longitudinal associations of skipping breakfast and night eating with 4-year changes in weight and waist circumference among Chinese adults.

BACKGROUND: The longitudinal association between specific eating behaviors, such as skipping breakfast and night eating, and changes in weight and waist circumference (WC) has been understudied. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether skipping breakfast and night eating were individually or jointly associated with the annual changes in weight and WC. METHODS: In the current longitudinal study, included were 48,150 Chinese adults (mean age: 50.1 ± 13.9 y) who were free of diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, and cancer in 2014, when data on dietary intake and the presence of night-eating behavior and skipping breakfast were collected via questionnaires. Weight and WC were measured repeatedly in 2014, 2016 and 2018. The associations between night eating and/or skipping breakfast and annual changes in weight and WC were evaluated using the generalized estimating equation models, adjusting for age, gender, total energy, diet quality and other potential confounders. RESULTS: During 4-years of follow-up, among people who had both two unhealthy eating behaviors, the mean difference in annual weight change was 0.53 kg (95% confidence interval[CI]: 0.43 kg, 0.63 kg) and 0.41 cm (95%CI: 0.27 cm, 0.55 cm) in annual WC change, compared with participants without either behaviors. The associations of eating behaviors and change in weight and WC were more pronounced in participants with higher baseline body mass index, relative to their counterparts. Similarly, the associations between these eating behaviors and WC change were stronger in those with poorer diet quality, relative to those with better diet quality. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with frequent skipping breakfast and/or night eating experienced faster gains in weight and WC, even after adjusting for diet quality and energy intake.

Higher serum alanine aminotransferase levels and the incidence of hypertension: The Kailuan cohort study.

Objective: The association between serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) concentrations and the incidence of hypertension remains unclear. To explore the association between serum ALT levels and the risk of incident hypertension based on the Kailuan cohort study. Methods: People who had participated in health check-ups in 2006-2007 without hypertension, cardiovascular, or liver diseases were enrolled and received follow-ups every two years until December 2017. Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure/diastolic blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg or using anti-hypertensive medication. A multivariable-adjusted Cox regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CIs). Results: During 10.5 years of follow-up, 24,023 (50.7 %) participants were diagnosed with hypertension. The HR of incident hypertension was 1.02 (95 % CI=1.01-1.03) for each 10 U/L increment of ALT concentrations. Participants with elevated ALT levels (>40 U/L) had an increased incidence of hypertension by 7 % (HR =1.07; 95 % CI=1.01-1.13). Besides, the HR was 1.10 (95 % CI=1.06-1.15), 1.13 (95 % CI=1.08-1.18), and 1.22 (95 % CI=1.16-1.30) (P for trend <0.001) in (10-20], (20-30], and (30-40] groups, compared with ≤10 U/L group. In addition, participants whose ALT levels decreased to the normal range at the first follow-up had a 23 % lower incidence of hypertension than those with elevated ALT levels at baseline and the first follow-up. Conclusion: People with higher serum ALT levels may have an increased risk of incident hypertension and thus may benefit from heightened surveillance for hypertension and lifestyle interventions to reduce the risk of hypertension.

Cost-Effectiveness of a Workplace-Based Hypertension Management Program in Real-World Practice in the Kailuan Study.

BACKGROUND: In 2009, a workplace-based hypertension management program was launched among men with hypertension in the Kailuan study. This program involved monitoring blood pressure semimonthly, providing free antihypertensive medications, and offering personalized health consultations. However, the cost-effectiveness of this program remains unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: This analysis included 12 240 participants, with 6120 in each of the management and control groups. Using a microsimulation model derived from 10-year follow-up data, we estimated costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), life-years, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for workplace-based management compared with routine care in both the study period and over a lifetime. Analyses are conducted from the societal perspective. Over the 10-year follow-up, patients in the management group experienced an average gain of 0.06 QALYs with associated incremental costs of $633.17 (4366.85 RMB). Projecting over a lifetime, the management group was estimated to increase by 0.88 QALYs or 0.92 life-years compared with the control group, with an incremental cost of $1638.64 (11 301.37 RMB). This results in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $1855.47 per QALY gained and $1780.27 per life-year gained, respectively, when comparing workplace-based management with routine care. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, with a threshold willingness-to-pay of $30 765 per QALY (3 times 2019 gross domestic product per capita), the management group showed a 100% likelihood of being cost-effective in 10 000 samples. CONCLUSIONS: Workplace-based management, compared with routine care for Chinese men with hypertension, could be cost-effective both during the study period and over a lifetime, and might be considered in working populations in China and elsewhere.

Changes in Life's Essential 8 and risk of cardiovascular disease in Chinese people.

BACKGROUND: The American Heart Association recently released an updated algorithm for evaluating cardiovascular health-Life's Essential 8 (LE8). However, the associations between changes in LE8 score over time and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) remain unclear. METHODS: We investigated associations between 6-year changes (2006-12) in LE8 score and risk of subsequent CVD events (2012-20) among 53 363 Chinese men and women from the Kailuan Study, who were free from CVD in 2012. The LE8 score was calculated based on eight components: diet quality, physical activity, smoking status, sleep health, body mass index, blood lipids, blood glucose and blood pressure. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional-hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: We documented 4281 incident CVD cases during a median of 7.7 years of follow-up. Compared with participants whose LE8 scores remained stable in a 6-year period, those with the large increases of LE8 score over the 6-year period had a lower risk of CVD, heart disease and stroke in the subsequent 8 years [HRs and 95% CIs: 0.67 (0.64, 0.70) for CVD, 0.65 (0.61, 0.69) for heart disease, 0.71 (0.67, 0.76) for stroke, all Ptrend < 0.001]. Conversely, those with the large decreases of LE8 score had 47%, 51% and 41% higher risk for CVD, heart disease and stroke, respectively. These associations were consistent across the subgroups stratified by risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Improving LE8 score in a short- and moderate-term was associated with a lower CVD risk, whereas decreased LE8 score over time was associated with a higher risk.

Serum uric acid is associated with midbrain enlarged perivascular spaces: Results from Multi-modality Medical imaging sTudy bAsed on KaiLuan Study (META-KLS).

BACKGROUND: Serum uric acid (SUA) is a major cause of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Whether and to what extent the excess risk of enlarged perivascular spaces (EPVS) conferred by SUA is unknown. The study was conducted to investigate the association between SUA and EPVS in different brain regions. METHODS: Data are from Multi-modality medical imaging study based on Kailuan study (META-KLS) in this cross-sectional study. Participants were divided into five groups based on SUA levels, and EPVS in basal ganglia (BG), centrum semiovale (CSO) and midbrain (MB) was systematically assessed and divided into Low and High group. Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for high EPVS outcomes were estimated using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to further investigate dose-response relationship. RESULTS: A total of 1014 participants aged 25-83 years from 11 centers were enrolled in the study. In the multivariable-adjusted model, SUA, as an independent risk factor, correlated positively with high degree of MB-EPVS (OR, 1.002; 95% CI, 1.000 to 1.004; p = 0.023) in general population. In addition, RCS further demonstrated the linear association between SUA and MB-EPVS (p = 0.072). No association was found between SUA and BG-EPVS or CSO-EPVS. CONCLUSION: SUA was an independent risk factor of MB-EPVS. High SUA levels were more predictive of increased risk occurrence of high degree of MB-EPVS, supporting a linear association between SUA and MB-EPVS and further indicating that SUA may play an important role in cerebral small vessel disease. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The KaiLuan Study and META-KLS were registered online (ChiCTR2000029767 on chictr.org.cn and NCT05453877 on Clinicaltrials.gov, respectively).

Association of the triglyceride-glucose index with early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events and all-cause mortality: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The association between the triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and the risk of early-onset atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events or all-cause mortality in young and middle-aged people is not fully elucidated. METHODS: The present study included 64,489 young and middle-aged people who participated in the 2006 Kailuan Study physical examination. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline curves were used to assess the association of TyG index with early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median of 11-year follow-up, 1984 (3.08%) participants experienced at least one ASCVD event and 1,392 (2.16%) participants experienced all-cause death. A higher TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of early-onset ASCVD events (HR: 1.61, 95% CI 1.38-1.89) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.39, 95% CI 1.17-1.65), respectively. For each unit increase in TyG index, the risk of early-onset ASCVD events increased by 20%. In addition, there was a non-linear association between the TyG index and early-onset ASCVD events (P for non-linear < 0.01), and a linear association between TyG index and all-cause mortality (P for non-linear = 0.476). CONCLUSIONS: A higher TyG index is significantly associated with an increased incidence of early-onset ASCVD events and all-cause mortality in a young and middle-aged population from North China.

Association between Body Mass Index and Brain Health in Adults: A 16-Year Population-Based Cohort and Mendelian Randomization Study.

Background: The cumulative effect of body mass index (BMI) on brain health remains ill-defined. The effects of overweight on brain health across different age groups need clarification. We analyzed the effect of cumulative BMI on neuroimaging features of brain health in adults of different ages. Methods: This study was based on a multicenter, community-based cohort study. We modeled the trajectories of BMI over 16 years to evaluate cumulative exposure. Multimodality neuroimaging data were collected once for volumetric measurements of the brain macrostructure, white matter hyperintensity (WMH), and brain microstructure. We used a generalized linear model to evaluate the association between cumulative BMI and neuroimaging features. Two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis was performed using summary level of BMI genetic data from 681,275 individuals and neuroimaging genetic data from 33,224 individuals to analyze the causal relationships. Results: Clinical and neuroimaging data were obtained from 1,074 adults (25 to 83 years). For adults aged under 45 years, brain volume differences in participants with a cumulative BMI of >26.2 kg/m2 corresponded to 12.0 years [95% confidence interval (CI), 3.0 to 20.0] of brain aging. Differences in WMH were statistically substantial for participants aged over 60 years, with a 6.0-ml (95% CI, 1.5 to 10.5) larger volume. Genetic analysis indicated causal relationships between high BMI and smaller gray matter and higher fractional anisotropy in projection fibers. Conclusion: High cumulative BMI is associated with smaller brain volume, larger volume of white matter lesions, and abnormal microstructural integrity. Adults younger than 45 years are suggested to maintain their BMI below 26.2 kg/m2 for better brain health. Trial Registration: This study was registered on clinicaltrials.gov (Clinical Indicators and Brain Image Data: A Cohort Study Based on Kailuan Cohort; No. NCT05453877; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05453877).

The combination of high uric acid and high C-reactive protein increased the risk of cardiovascular disease: A 15-year prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Uric acid (UA) and C-reactive protein (CRP) may interact synergistically to accelerate the initiation and progression of cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study investigated the effects of a combination of high UA and high CRP on the risks of CVD. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 90,270 participants recruited from the Kailuan study were included, who were divided into four groups according to the presence/absence of hyperuricemia and inflammation. Cox regression was applied to evaluate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of CVD. C-statistics, net classification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to compare the incremental predictive of UA, CRP, and their combined effects on CVD. Mediation analysis was to explore the impact of CRP on the association between UA and CVD. Over a median follow-up of 14.95 years, we identified 11398 incident CVD cases. Compared to the low UA/low CRP group, the high UA/low CRP, low UA/high CRP and high UA/high CRP groups showed progressively higher risks of CVD, HR (95% CI): 1.18(1.10-1.27), 1.27(1.21-1.33) and 1.50 (1.33-1.69), respectively. The incorporation of UA and CRP into the traditional China-PAR model led to improvement in the C-statistic, NRI, and IDI, and was better than incorporation of either UA or CRP alone. Mediation analysis showed that CRP mediated the association between UA and CVD, accounting for 11.57% of the total effects. CONCLUSIONS: High UA/high CRP is associated with increased risks of CVD. Incorporation of both UA and CRP provided additional value for risk stratification.

Trajectories of Body Mass Index and Waist Circumference in Relation to the Risk of Cardiac Arrhythmia: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the current study was to explore the trajectories, variabilities, and cumulative exposures of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) with cardiac arrhythmia (CA) risks. METHODS: In total, 35,739 adults from the Kailuan study were included. BMI and WC were measured repeatedly during the 2006-2010 waves. CA was identified via electrocardiogram diagnosis. BMI and WC trajectories were fitted using a group-based trajectory model. The associations were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: We identified four stable trajectories for BMI and WC, respectively. Neither the BMI trajectories nor the baseline BMI values were associated with the risk of CA. Compared to the low-stable WC group, participants in the high-stable WC group had a higher risk of CA (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06, 1.86). Interestingly, the cumulative exposures of BMI and WC instead of their variabilities were associated with the risk of CA. In the stratified analyses, the positive associations of the high-stable WC group with the risk of CA were found in females only (HR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.02, 3.83). CONCLUSIONS: A high-stable WC trajectory is associated with a higher risk of CA among Chinese female adults, underscoring the potential of WC rather than BMI to identify adults who are at risk.

Sex and Age Differences in the Association Between Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease and Heart Failure: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a risk factor for heart failure (HF) occurrence, but it remains unclear whether the association between MAFLD and HF differs in different sexes and ages. METHODS: A total of 96 576 participants of Kailuan Study were included. MAFLD was defined as presence of hepatic steatosis and metabolic dysfunction and classified as mild and significant by ultrasound. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated by Cox regression models. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 14.0 years, 2939 participants developed HF. Adjusting for confounding factors, mild-MAFLD (HR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.16-1.39]) and significant-MAFLD (HR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.31-1.63]) were associated with a higher risk of HF in all participants, and the risk differed by sex (Pinteraction<0.05) and age (Pinteraction<0.001). Compared with non-MAFLD participants, in women, significant-MAFLD was associated with an 84% (HR, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.43-2.37]) increased risk of HF; however, in men, the risk was 36% (HR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.20-1.53]). In participants under 45 years, mild-MAFLD and significant-MAFLD had a 55% (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.07-2.25]) and 172% (HR, 2.72 [95% CI, 1.87-3.97]) increased risk of HF; however, in participants over 65 years, even significant-MAFLD did not associate with a higher risk of HF (HR, 1.11 [95% CI, 0.92-1.34]). Afterwards, we stratified all participants by both sex and age and found that the risk of MAFLD-associated HF decreased with age in men (Pinteraction<0.05) and women (Pinteraction<0.05), but the sex difference in this risk was only present in participants younger than 45 years (Pinteraction<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: MAFLD greatly increased the risk of HF in women, especially young women. With increasing age, MAFLD-related risk of HF decreased and the difference between men and women disappeared.

Changes in baPWV and the risk of clinical outcomes: a cohort study of Chinese community-based population.

It has not been fully investigated whether improved arterial stiffness (AS) can reduce the clinical outcomes risk in community population-based study. In this prospective study, a total of 5247 individuals with abnormal AS (at baseline) and repeated brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurement before 2018 years were enrolled from the Kailuan Study. According the second baPWV measurement, we divided the participants into two groups, improved AS (defined as transfer elevated AS status to normal) and persistent AS (defined as maintaining elevated AS status). The outcome was a composite event of stroke, myocardial infraction, and all-cause mortality. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to examine the association between AS status at the follow-up and the subsequent outcome. During a median of 5.2 years follow-up, we observed 413 end point events. After adjusted for potential confounders, comparing with the persistent AS group, individuals in the improved AS group had a 43% (hazard ratio [HR], 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35-0.94) decreased the risk of the primary composite events. We also found a baPWV decrease of 1 m/s was associated with a 3% decreased risk (HR, 0.97; 95% CI 0.94-0.99) for primary composite events. We further demonstrated that younger than 60 years, non-smoker, non-hypertension, and non-diabetes were associated with improved the AS status. In conclusion, improving AS status may reduce the risk of clinical events. In the future, more research should be performed to explore the target for improving the AS status.

Temporal relationship between inflammation and metabolic disorders and their impact on cancer risk.

Background: Inflammation and metabolic disorders are closely associated with cancer. Whether inflammation leads to metabolic disorders or vice versa during cancer initiation remains unclear. In this study, we explored this temporal relationship and the co-exposure effect on cancer risk. Methods: This prospective study had two phases. Initially, we examined the temporal relationship between inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CRP)) and metabolic disorders (metabolic syndrome severity Z-score (MetS-Z)) using a 3.98-year survey and cross-lagged analysis. Subsequently, we assessed the connection of co-exposure to inflammation and metabolic disorders, and the risks of overall cancer, as well as specific obesity-related, non-obesity-related, digestive system, lung, and other cancers using an 11.04-year survey and Cox proportional hazard models. Results: The cross-lagged analysis revealed that the path coefficient from baseline CRP to follow-up MetS-Z (ß2 = 0.032; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.026, 0.046) was more significant than the path coefficient from baseline MetS-Z to follow-up CRP (ß1 = 0.009; 95% CI = -0.001, 0.019). During the follow-up, 2304 cases of cancer occurred. Compared with the risk of cancer of patients with low average cumulative CRP and MetS-Z, patients with high value had a significantly increased risk (hazard ratio = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.30, 1.83). The mediation analysis showed that MetS-Z mediated the association between CRP levels and overall cancer (12.67%), digestive system cancer (10.16%), and obesity-related cancer risk (13.87%). Conclusions: Inflammation had a greater impact on metabolic disorders than vice versa. Co-exposure to inflammation and metabolic disorders significantly increased the risk of cancer, particularly digestive system and obesity-related cancers. Registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR-TNRC-11001489.