CT radiomics based on the peritumoral adipose region of gastric adenocarcinoma for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis.

PURPOSE: To construct and validate CT radiomics model based on the peritumoral adipose region of gastric adenocarcinoma to preoperatively predict lymph node metastasis (LNM). METHODS AND METHODS: 293 consecutive gastric adenocarcinoma patients receiving radical gastrectomy with lymph node dissection in two medical institutions were stratified into a development set (from Institution A, n = 237), and an external validation set (from Institution B, n = 56). Volume of interest of peritumoral adipose region was segmented on preoperative portal-phase CT images. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method and stepwise logistic regression were used to select features and build radiomics models. Manual classification was performed according to routine CT characteristics. A classifier incorporating the radiomics score and CT characteristics was developed for predicting LNM. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to show discrimination between tumors with and without LNM, and the calibration curves and Brier score were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy. Violin plots were used to show the distribution of radiomics score. RESULTS: AUC values of radiomics model to predict LNM were 0.938, 0.905, and 0.872 in the training, internal test, and external validation sets, respectively, higher than that of manual classification (0.674, all P values < 0.01). The radiomics score of the positive LNM group were higher than that of the negative group in all sets (both P-values < 0.001). The classifier showed no improved predictive power compared with the radiomics signature alone with AUC values of 0.916 and 0.872 in the development and external validation sets, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that radiomics score was an independent predictor. CONCLUSIONS: Radiomics model based on peritumoral adipose region could be a useful approach for preoperative LNM prediction in gastric adenocarcinoma.

Computed tomography-based nomogram of Siewert type II/III adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction to predict response to docetaxel, oxaliplatin and S-1.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has become the standard care for advanced adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG), although a part of the patients cannot benefit from NAC. There are no models based on baseline computed tomography (CT) to predict response of Siewert type II or III AEG to NAC with docetaxel, oxaliplatin and S-1 (DOS). AIM: To develop a CT-based nomogram to predict response of Siewert type II/III AEG to NAC with DOS. METHODS: One hundred and twenty-eight consecutive patients with confirmed Siewert type II/III AEG underwent CT before and after three cycles of NAC with DOS, and were randomly and consecutively assigned to the training cohort (TC) (n = 94) and the validation cohort (VC) (n = 34). Therapeutic effect was assessed by disease-control rate and progressive disease according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1) criteria. Possible prognostic factors associated with responses after DOS treatment including Siewert classification, gross tumor volume (GTV), and cT and cN stages were evaluated using pretherapeutic CT data in addition to sex and age. Univariate and multivariate analyses of CT and clinical features in the TC were performed to determine independent factors associated with response to DOS. A nomogram was established based on independent factors to predict the response. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated by Concordance index (C-index), calibration and receiver operating characteristics curve in the TC and VC. RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed that Siewert type (52/55 vs 29/39, P = 0.005), pretherapeutic cT stage (57/62 vs 24/32, P = 0.028), GTV (47.3 ± 27.4 vs 73.2 ± 54.3, P = 0.040) were significantly associated with response to DOS in the TC. Multivariate analysis of the TC also showed that the pretherapeutic cT stage, GTV and Siewert type were independent predictive factors related to response to DOS (odds ratio = 4.631, 1.027 and 7.639, respectively; all P < 0.05). The nomogram developed with these independent factors showed an excellent performance to predict response to DOS in the TC and VC (C-index: 0.838 and 0.824), with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.838 and 0.824, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the practical and predicted response to DOS effectively coincided. CONCLUSION: A novel nomogram developed with pretherapeutic cT stage, GTV and Siewert type predicted the response of Siewert type II/III AEG to NAC with DOS.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of MRI Radiomics for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The prediction power of MRI radiomics for microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prediction performance of MRI radiomics for MVI in HCC. METHODS: Original studies focusing on preoperative prediction performance of MRI radiomics for MVI in HCC, were systematically searched from databases of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library. Radiomics quality score (RQS) and risk of bias of involved studies were evaluated. Meta-analysis was carried out to demonstrate the value of MRI radiomics for MVI prediction in HCC. Influencing factors of the prediction performance of MRI radiomics were identified by subgroup analyses. RESULTS: 13 studies classified as type 2a or above according to the Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis statement were eligible for this systematic review and meta-analysis. The studies achieved an average RQS of 14 (ranging from 11 to 17), accounting for 38.9% of the total points. MRI radiomics achieved a pooled sensitivity of 0.82 (95%CI: 0.78 - 0.86), specificity of 0.79 (95%CI: 0.76 - 0.83) and area under the summary receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.88 (95%CI: 0.84 - 0.91) to predict MVI in HCC. Radiomics models combined with clinical features achieved superior performances compared to models without the combination (AUC: 0.90 vs 0.85, P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: MRI radiomics has the potential for preoperative prediction of MVI in HCC. Further studies with high methodological quality should be designed to improve the reliability and reproducibility of the radiomics models for clinical application. The systematic review and meta-analysis was registered prospectively in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (No. CRD42022333822).

Contrast-enhanced CT radiomics features to preoperatively identify differences between tumor and proximal tumor-adjacent and tumor-distant tissues of resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Esophagectomy is the main treatment for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and patients with histopathologically negative margins still have a relatively higher recurrence rate. Contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) radiomics might noninvasively obtain potential information about the internal heterogeneity of ESCC and its adjacent tissues. This study aimed to develop CECT radiomics models to preoperatively identify the differences between tumor and proximal tumor-adjacent and tumor-distant tissues in ESCC to potentially reduce tumor recurrence. METHODS: A total of 529 consecutive patients with ESCC from Centers A (n = 447) and B (n = 82) undergoing preoperative CECT were retrospectively enrolled in this study. Radiomics features of the tumor, proximal tumor-adjacent (PTA) and proximal tumor-distant (PTD) tissues were individually extracted by delineating the corresponding region of interest (ROI) on CECT and applying the 3D-Slicer radiomics module. Patients with pairwise tissues (ESCC vs. PTA, ESCC vs. PTD, and PTA vs. PTD) from Center A were randomly assigned to the training cohort (TC, n = 313) and internal validation cohort (IVC, n = 134). Univariate analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator were used to select the core radiomics features, and logistic regression was performed to develop radiomics models to differentiate individual pairwise tissues in TC, validated in IVC and the external validation cohort (EVC) from Center B. Diagnostic performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) and accuracy. RESULTS: With the chosen 20, 19 and 5 core radiomics features in TC, 3 individual radiomics models were developed, which exhibited excellent ability to differentiate the tumor from PTA tissue (AUC: 0.965; accuracy: 0.965), the tumor from PTD tissue (AUC: 0.991; accuracy: 0.958), and PTA from PTD tissue (AUC: 0.870; accuracy: 0.848), respectively. In IVC and EVC, the models also showed good performance in differentiating the tumor from PTA tissue (AUCs: 0.956 and 0.962; accuracy: 0.956 and 0.937), the tumor from PTD tissue (AUCs: 0.990 and 0.974; accuracy: 0.952 and 0.970), and PTA from PTD tissue (AUCs: 0.806 and 0.786; accuracy: 0.760 and 0.786), respectively. CONCLUSION: CECT radiomics models could differentiate the tumor from PTA tissue, the tumor from PTD tissue, and PTA from PTD tissue in ESCC.

Preoperative CT radiomics of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and lymph node to predict nodal disease with a high diagnostic capability.

PURPOSE: To develop CT radiomics models of resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and lymph node (LN) to preoperatively identify LN+. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 299 consecutive patients with ESCC were enrolled in the study, 140 of whom were LN+ and 159 were LN-. Of the 299 patients, 249 (from the same hospital) were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 174) and a test cohort (n = 75). The remaining 50 patients, from a second hospital, were assigned to an external validation cohort. In the training cohort, preoperative contrast-enhanced CT radiomics features of ESCC and LN were extracted, then integrated with clinical features to develop three models: ESCC, LN and combined. The performance of these models was assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and F-1 score, which were validated in both the test cohort and external validation cohort. RESULTS: An ESCC model was developed for the training cohort utilizing the 8 tumor radiomics features, and an LN model was constructed using 9 nodal radiomics features. A combined model was constructed using both ESCC and LN extracted features, in addition to cT stage and LN+ distribution. This combined model had the highest predictive ability among the three models in the training cohort (AUC = 0.948, F1-score = 0.878). The predictive ability was validated in both the test and external validation cohorts (AUC = 0.885 and 0.867, F1-score = 0.816 and 0.773, respectively). CONCLUSION: To preoperatively determine LN+, the combined model is superior to models of ESCC and LN alone.

An improved model based on quantitative features of right liver lobe, maximum varices, and portal vein system measured on magnetic resonance imaging to predict oesophagogastric variceal haemorrhage secondary to hepatitis B-related cirrhosis.

Background: In patients with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis, it is important to predict those at high-risk of oesophagogastric variceal haemorrhage (OVH) to decide upon prophylactic treatment. Our published model developed with right liver lobe volume and diameters of portal vein system did not incorporate maximum variceal size as a factor. This study thus aimed to develop an improved model based on right liver lobe volume, diameters of maximum oesophagogastric varices (OV) and portal vein system obtained at magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to predict OVH. Methods: Two hundred and thirty consecutive individuals with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis undergoing abdominal enhanced MRI were randomly grouped into training (n=160) and validation sets (n=70). OVH was confirmed in 51 and 23 participants in the training and validation sets during 2-year follow-up period, respectively. Spleen, total liver, right lobe, caudate lobe, left lateral lobe, and left medial lobe volumes, together with diameters of maximum OV and portal venous system were measured on MRI. In the training set, univariate analyses and binary logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine independent predictors. The performance of the model for predicting OVH constructed based on independent predictors from the training set was evaluated with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and validated in the validation set. Results: The model for predicting OVH was established based on right liver lobe volume and diameters of the maximum OV, left gastric vein, and portal vein [odds ratio (OR) =0.991, 2.462, 1.434, and 1.582, respectively; all P values <0.05]. The logistic regression model equation [-0.009 × right liver lobe volume + 0.901 × maximum OV diameter (MOVD) + 0.361 × left gastric vein diameter (LGVD) + 0.459 × portal vein diameter (PVD) - 7.842] with a cutoff value of -0.656 for predicting OVH obtained excellent performance with an area under ROC curve (AUC) of 0.924 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.878-0.971]. The Delong test showed negative statistical difference in the model performance between the training and validation sets, with a P value >0.99. Conclusions: The model could help well screen those patients at high risk of OVH for timely intervention and avoiding the fatal complications.

A novel quantitative model based on gross tumor volume corresponding to anatomical distribution measured with multidetector computed tomography to determine the resectability of non­distant metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

It is important to accurately determine the resectability of thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) for treatment decision-making. Previous studies have revealed that the CT-derived gross tumor volume (GTV) is associated with the staging of ESCC. The present study aimed to explore whether the anatomical distribution-based GTV of non-distant metastatic thoracic ESCC measured using multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) could quantitatively determine the resectability. For this purpose, 473 consecutive patients with biopsy-confirmed non-distant metastatic thoracic ESCC who underwent contrast-enhanced CT were randomly divided into a training cohort (TC; 376 patients) and validation cohort (VC; 97 patients). GTV was retrospectively measured using MDCT. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the determinants of the resectability of ESCC in the TC. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to clarify whether anatomical distribution-based GTV could help quantitatively determinate resectability. Unweighted Cohen's Kappa tests in VC were used to assess the performance of the previous models. Univariate analysis demonstrated that sex, anatomic distribution, cT stage, cN stage and GTV were related to the resectability of ESCC in the TC (all P<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that GTV [P<0.001; odds ratio (OR) 1.158] and anatomic distribution (P=0.027; OR, 1.924) were independent determinants of resectability. ROC analysis revealed that the GTV cut-offs for the determination of the resectability of the upper, middle and lower thoracic portions were 23.57, 22.89 and 22.58 cm3, respectively, with areas under the ROC curves of >0.9. Unweighted Cohen's Kappa tests revealed an excellent performance of the ROC models in the upper, middle and lower thoracic portions with Cohen k-values of 0.913, 0.879 and 0.871, respectively. On the whole, the present study demonstrated that GTV and the anatomic distribution of non-distant metastatic thoracic ESCC may be independent determinants of resectability, and anatomical distribution-based GTV can effectively be used to quantitatively determine resectability.

Association of radiotherapy with thoracic vertebral fractures in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A retrospective cohort study.

To investigate the association between radiotherapy (RT) and thoracic vertebral fractures in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and explore the risk factors of thoracic vertebral fracture in ESCC who underwent RT. This retrospective cohort study including 602 consecutive ESCC patients examined the association between RT and thoracic vertebral fractures using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models and relevant risk factors of thoracic vertebral fractures based on clinical and RT parameters in patients with ESCC. Followed for a median follow-up of 24 months, 54 patients had thoracic vertebral fractures. The multivariable analysis revealed RT as an independent risk factor after adjusting for clinical risk factors. Univariable analyses associated a 5-Gy increase in vertebral dose to single vertebrae and a 1-time increase in RT fraction with higher risk of vertebral fracture. Adding RT factors (vertebral dose and fraction) and mean vertebral hounsfield unit to the Cox models containing conventional clinical risk factors significantly improved the χ2 value for predicting vertebral fractures (all P < .001). This study revealed RT, as well as increased vertebral dose and RT fractions, as a significant, consistent, and strong vertebral fracture predictor in ESCC. Combined vertebral dose, RT fractions, and vertebral hounsfield unit provided optimal risk stratification for ESCC patients.

A CT-based novel model to predict pathological complete response of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma to neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade in combination with chemotherapy.

PURPOSE: To develop a novel CT-based model to predict pathological complete response (pCR) of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) to neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade in combination with chemotherapy. METHODS: 117 consecutive patients with locally advanced ESCC were stratified into training cohort (n = 82) and validation cohort (n = 35). All patients underwent non-contrast and contrast-enhanced thoracic and upper abdominal CT before neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade in combination with chemotherapy (CTpre), and after two cycles of the therapy before esophagectomy (CTpost), respectively. Univariate analyses and binary logistic regression analyses of ESCC quantitative and qualitative CT features were performed to determine independent predictors of pCR. Prediction performance of the model developed with independent predictors from training cohort was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and validated by Kappa test in validation cohort. RESULTS: In training cohort, the difference in CT attenuation between tumor and background normal esophageal wall obtained from CTpre (ΔTNpre), tumoral increased CT attenuation after contrast-enhanced scan from CTpost images (ΔTpost) and gross tumor volume (GTV) from CTpre were independent predictors of pCR (odds ratio = 1.128 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.997-1.277), 1.113 (95%CI: 0.965-1.239) and 1.133 (95%CI: 1.043-1.231), respectively, all P-values < 0.05). Logistic regression model equation (0.121 × ΔTNpre + 0.107 × ΔTpost + 0.125 × GTV - 9.856) to predict pCR showed the best performance with an area under the ROC of 0.876, compared with each independent predictor. The good performance was confirmed by the Kappa test (K-value = 0.796) in validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: This novel model can be reliable to predict pCR to neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade in combination with chemotherapy in locally advanced ESCC.

CT radiomics for prediction of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

The power of computed tomography (CT) radiomics for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) demonstrated in current research is variable. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to evaluate the value of CT radiomics for MVI prediction in HCC, and to investigate the methodologic quality in the workflow of radiomics research. Databases of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were systematically searched. The methodologic quality of included studies was assessed. Validation data from studies with Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement type 2a or above were extracted for meta-analysis. Eleven studies were included, among which nine were eligible for meta-analysis. Radiomics quality scores of the enrolled eleven studies varied from 6 to 17, accounting for 16.7%-47.2% of the total points, with an average score of 14. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and Area Under the summary receiver operator Characteristic Curve (AUC) were 0.82 (95% CI 0.77-0.86), 0.79 (95% CI 0.75-0.83), and 0.87 (95% CI 0.84-0.91) for the predictive performance of CT radiomics, respectively. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses showed radiomics model based on 3D tumor segmentation, and deep learning model achieved superior performances compared to 2D segmentation and non-deep learning model, respectively (AUC: 0.93 vs. 0.83, and 0.97 vs. 0.83, respectively). This study proves that CT radiomics could predict MVI in HCC. The heterogeneity of the included studies precludes a definition of the role of CT radiomics in predicting MVI, but methodology warrants uniformization in the radiology community regarding radiomics in HCC.

Renal ectopic lipid deposition in rats with early-stage diabetic nephropathy evaluated by the MR mDixon-Quant technique: association with the expression of SREBP-1 and PPARα in renal tissue.

Background: Renal ectopic lipid deposition (ELD) plays a significant role in the development of diabetic nephropathy (DN). This study aimed to use the magnetic resonance (MR) mDixon-Quant technique to evaluate renal ELD and its association with the expression of sterol regulatory element binding protein 1 (SREBP-1) and peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor alpha (PPARα) in renal tissue. Methods: Seventy male Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats were randomly divided into experimental (n=50) and control groups (n=20). A high-fat diet combined with low-dose streptozotocin (STZ) was administered to the experimental group to establish a type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) model. The rats received renal mDixon-Quant scans and blood lipid and histopathological examinations in batches after the T2DM model was established. According to the histopathological findings, the included rats were stratified into control and early DN groups. Renal fat fraction (FF), blood lipid level, the ratio of the integrated optical density of intracellular lipid droplets and the total area of all the cells (IOD/TAC), and the expression of SREBP-1 and PPARɑ in renal tissue were analyzed. Results: Compared to the controls, renal FF, IOD/TAC, the expression of SREBP-1 in renal tissue, and serum total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) levels were higher in the early DN group, while the expression of PPARɑ in renal tissue and the high-density lipoprotein (HDL) level were lower (all P values <0.001). Renal FF gradually increased with the progression of disease [r=0.810 (95% CI: 0.675-0.928), P<0.001]. Positive correlations between renal FF and each of the following: TC, TG, LDL, IOD/TAC, and the expression of SREBP-1 [r=0.479 (95% CI: 0.353-0.640, P=0.012), 0.576 (95% CI: 0.283-0.842, P=0.002), 0.441 (95% CI: 0.305-0.606, P=0.021), 0.911 (95% CI: 0.809-0.964, P<0.001) and 0.800 (95% CI: 0.640-0.910, P<0.001), respectively] and negative correlations between renal FF and each of the following: HDL and the expression of PPARɑ [r=-0.611 (95% CI: -0.809 to -0.469, P=0.001) and -0.748 (95% CI: -0.886 to -0.585, P<0.001), respectively] were found. Conclusions: Renal lipid deposition evaluated by the MR mDixon-Quant technique is associated with the blood lipid level, histological fat quantification, and the expression of SREBP-1 and PPARɑ in renal tissue. The renal FF value might serve as a biomarker for better understanding of renal lipid metabolism in early-stage DN.

Whole-tumor histogram analysis of apparent diffusion coefficients for predicting lymphovascular space invasion in stage IB-IIA cervical cancer.

Objectives: To investigate the value of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) histogram analysis based on whole tumor volume for the preoperative prediction of lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) in patients with stage IB-IIA cervical cancer. Methods: Fifty consecutive patients with stage IB-IIA cervical cancer were stratified into LVSI-positive (n = 24) and LVSI-negative (n = 26) groups according to the postoperative pathology. All patients underwent pelvic 3.0T diffusion-weighted imaging with b-values of 50 and 800 s/mm2 preoperatively. Whole-tumor ADC histogram analysis was performed. Differences in the clinical characteristics, conventional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features, and ADC histogram parameters between the two groups were analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of ADC histogram parameters in predicting LVSI. Results: ADCmax, ADCrange, ADC90, ADC95, and ADC99 were significantly lower in the LVSI-positive group than in the LVSI-negative group (all P-values < 0.05), whereas no significant differences were reported for the remaining ADC parameters, clinical characteristics, and conventional MRI features between the groups (all P-values > 0.05). For predicting LVSI in stage IB-IIA cervical cancer, a cutoff ADCmax of 1.75×10-3 mm2/s achieved the largest area under ROC curve (Az) of 0.750, followed by a cutoff ADCrange of 1.36×10-3 mm2/s and ADC99 of 1.75×10-3 mm2/s (Az = 0.748 and 0.729, respectively), and the cutoff ADC90 and ADC95 achieved an Az of <0.70. Conclusion: Whole-tumor ADC histogram analysis has potential value for preoperative prediction of LVSI in patients with stage IB-IIA cervical cancer. ADCmax, ADCrange, and ADC99 are promising prediction parameters.

A novel model based on liver/spleen volumes and portal vein diameter on MRI to predict variceal bleeding in HBV cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a novel logistic regression model based on liver/spleen volumes and portal vein diameter measured on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for predicting oesophagogastric variceal bleeding (OVB) secondary to HBV cirrhosis. METHODS: One hundred eighty-five consecutive cirrhotic patients with hepatitis B undergoing abdominal contrast-enhanced MRI were randomly divided into training cohort (n = 130) and validation cohort (n = 55). Spleen volume, total liver volume, four liver lobe volumes, and diameters of portal venous system were measured on MRI. Ratios of spleen volume to total liver and to individual liver lobe volumes were calculated. In training cohort, univariate analyses and binary logistic regression analyses were to determine independent predictors. Performance of the model for predicting OVB constructed based on independent predictors from training cohort was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and was validated by Kappa test in validation cohort. RESULTS: OVB occurred in 42 and 18 individuals in training and validation cohorts during the 2 years' follow-up, respectively. An OVB prediction model was constructed based on the independent predictors including right liver lobe volume (RV), left gastric vein diameter (LGVD) and portal vein diameter (PVD) (odds ratio = 0.993, 2.202 and 1.613, respectively; p-values < 0.001 for all). The logistic regression model equation (-0.007 × RV + 0.79 × LGVD + 0.478 × PVD-6.73) for predicting OVB obtained excellent performance with an area under ROC curve of 0.907. The excellent performance was confirmed by Kappa test with K-value of 0.802 in validation cohort. CONCLUSION: The novel logistic regression model can be reliable for predicting OVB. KEY POINTS: • Patients with oesophagogastric variceal bleeding are mainly characterized by decreased right lobe volume, and increased spleen volume and diameters of portal vein system. • The right liver lobe volume, left gastric vein diameter and portal vein diameter are the independent predictors of oesophagogastric variceal bleeding. • The novel model developed based on the independent predictors performed well in predicting oesophagogastric variceal bleeding with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.907.

CT radiomics for prediction of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract The power of computed tomography (CT) radiomics for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) demonstrated in current research is variable. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to evaluate the value of CT radiomics for MVI prediction in HCC, and to investigate the methodologic quality in the workflow of radiomics research. Databases of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were systematically searched. The methodologic quality of included studies was assessed. Validation data from studies with Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement type 2a or above were extracted for meta-analysis. Eleven studies were included, among which nine were eligible for meta-analysis. Radiomics quality scores of the enrolled eleven studies varied from 6 to 17, accounting for 16.7%-47.2% of the total points, with an average score of 14. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and Area Under the summary receiver operator Characteristic Curve (AUC) were 0.82 (95% CI 0.77-0.86), 0.79 (95% CI 0.75-0.83), and 0.87 (95% CI 0.84-0.91) for the predictive performance of CT radiomics, respectively. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses showed radiomics model based on 3D tumor segmentation, and deep learning model achieved superior performances compared to 2D segmentation and non-deep learning model, respectively (AUC: 0.93 vs. 0.83, and 0.97 vs. 0.83, respectively). This study proves that CT radiomics could predict MVI in HCC. The heterogeneity of the included studies precludes a definition of the role of CT radiomics in predicting MVI, but methodology warrants uniformization in the radiology community regarding radiomics in HCC.

Gross tumor volume of adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction corresponding to cT and cN stages measured with computed tomography to quantitatively determine resectabiliy: A case control study.

Purpose: To determine whether gross tumor volume (GTV) of adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG) corresponding to cT and cN stages measured on CT could help quantitatively determine resectability. Materials and methods: 343 consecutive patients with AEG, including 279 and 64 randomly enrolled in training cohort (TC) and validation cohort (VC), respectively, underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced CT. Univariate and multivariate analyses for TC were performed to determine factors associated with resectability. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were to determine if GTV corresponding to cT and cN stages could help determine resectability. For VC, Cohen's Kappa tests were to assess performances of the ROC models. Results: cT stage, cN stage and GTV were independently associated with resectability of AEG with odds ratios of 4.715, 4.534 and 1.107, respectively. For differentiating resectable and unresectable AEG, ROC analyses showed that cutoff GTV of 32.77 cm3 in stage cT1-4N0-3 with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.901. Particularly, cutoffs of 27.67 and 32.77 cm3 in stages cT3 and cT4 obtained AUC values of 0.860 and 0.890, respectively; and cutoffs of 27.09, 33.32 and 37.39 cm3 in stages cN1, cN2 and cN3 obtained AUC values of 0.852, 0.821 and 0.902, respectively. In VC, Cohen's Kappa tests verified that the ROC models had good performance in distinguishing between resectable and unresectable AEG (all Cohen's K values > 0.72). Conclusions: GTV, cT and cN stages could be independent determinants of resectability of AEG. And GTV corresponding to cT and cN stages can help quantitatively determine resectability.

Radiomics models based on multi-sequence MRI for preoperative evaluation of MUC4 status in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: a preliminary study.

Background: Mucin 4 (MUC4) overexpression promotes tumorigenesis and increases the aggressiveness of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). To date, no study has reported the association between radiomics and MUC4 expression in PDAC. Thus, we aimed to explore the utility of radiomics based on multi-sequence magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to predict the status of MUC4 expression in PDAC preoperatively. Methods: This retrospective study included 52 patients with PDAC who underwent MRI. The patients were divided into two groups based on MUC4 expression status. Two feature sets were extracted from the arterial and portal phases (PPs) of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI). Univariate analysis, minimum redundancy maximum relevance (MRMR), and principal component analysis (PCA) were performed for the feature selection of each dataset, and features with a cumulative variance of 90% were selected to develop radiomics models. Clinical characteristics were gathered to develop a clinical model. The selected radiomics features and clinical characteristics were modeled by multivariable logistic regression. The combined model integrated radiomics features from different selected data sets and clinical characteristics. The classification metrics were applied to assess the discriminatory power of the models. Results: There were 22 PDACs with a high expression of MUC4 and 30 PDACs with a low expression of MUC4. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) values of the arterial phase (AP) model, the PP model, and the combined model were 0.732 (0.591-0.872), 0.709 (0.569-0.849), and 0.861 (0.760-0.961), respectively. The AUC of the clinical model was 0.666 (0.600-0.682). The combined model that was constructed outperformed the AP, the PP, and the clinical models (P<0.05, although no statistical significance was observed in the combined model vs. AP model). Conclusions: Radiomics models based on multi-sequence MRI have the potential to predict MUC4 expression levels in PDAC.

A quantitative model based on gross tumor volume of gastric adenocarcinoma corresponding to N-stage measured at multidetector computed tomography for preoperative determination of resectability: A case control study.

Purpose: To develop and validate a quantitative model based on gross tumor volume (GTV) of gastric adenocarcinoma (GA) corresponding to N-stage measured at multidetector computed tomography (CT) for preoperative determination of resectability. Materials and methods: 493 consecutive patients with confirmed GA undergoing contrast-enhanced CT two weeks before treatments were randomly enrolled into the training cohort (TC, n = 271), internal validation cohort (IVC, n = 107) and external validation cohort (EVC, n = 115). GTV was measured on CT by multiplying sums of all tumor areas by section thickness. In TC, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to select factors associated with resectability. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was to determine if N-stage based GTV could identify resectability. In IVC and EVC, unweighted Cohen's Kappa tests were to evaluate performances of the ROC models. Results: According to univariate analysis, age, cT stage, cN stage and GTV were related to resectability in TC (all P-values < 0.05), and multivariate analysis suggested that cN stage and GTV were independent risk factors with odds ratios of 1.594 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.105-2.301) and 1.055 (95%CI: 1.035-1.076), respectively. ROC analysis in TC revealed the cutoffs of 21.81, 21.70 and 36.93 cm3 to differentiate between resectable and unresectable cancers in stages cN0-3, cN2 and cN3 with areas under the curves of more than 0.8, respectively, which was validated in IVC and EVC with average Cohen k-values of more than 0.72. Conclusions: GTV and cN stage can be independent risk factors of unresectable GA, and N-stage based GTV can help determine resectability.

Combinations of liver lobe and spleen volumes obtained on magnetic resonance imaging to predict esophagogastric variceal bleeding in hepatitis B-related cirrhotic patients: A prospective cohort study.

To evaluate whether combinations of liver lobe and spleen volumes obtained on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) could predict esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EVB) in hepatitis B-related cirrhotic patients. Ninety-six consecutive patients with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis underwent upper abdominal contrast-enhanced MRI within 1 week after initial hospitalization, and grouped based on outcomes of EVB during the 2 years' follow-up after being discharged. Total liver volume (TLV), spleen volume (SV) and 4 liver lobe volumes including right lobe volume (RV), left medial lobe volume (LMV), left lateral lobe volume (LLV), and caudate lobe volume (CV) were measured on MRI. Percentages of individual liver lobe volumes in TLV (including RV/TLV, LMV/TLV, LLV/TLV, and CV/TLV), ratios of SV to individual liver lobe volumes (including SV/RV, SV/LMV, SV/LLV, and SV/CV), and SV/TLV were statistically analyzed to predict EVB. Patients with EVB had lower RV than without EVB (P value = .001), whereas no differences in LMV, LLV, CV, and TLV were found (P values >.05 for all). Among percentages of individual liver lobe volumes in TLV, RV/TLV was lower whereas LMV/TLV and LLV/TLV were greater in patients with EVB than without EVB (P values <.05 for all). SV, ratios of SV to individual liver lobe volumes, and SV/TLV in patients with EVB were larger than without EVB (P values <.05 for all). Among parameters with difference between patients with and without EVB, SV/RV could best predict EVB with an area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.84. SV/RV could best predict EVB in hepatitis B-related cirrhotic patients.

Apparent diffusion coefficient derived from diffusion-weighted imaging to differentiate between tumor, tumor-adjacent and tumor-distant tissues in resectable rectal adenocarcinoma.

PURPOSE: To evaluate feasibility of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) at different b-values to differentiate between tumor, tumor-adjacent and tumor-distant tissues in rectal adenocarcinoma (RA). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Seventy consecutive patients with RA undergoing preoperative diffusion-weighted imaging were retrospectively enrolled. ADCs of tumor, proximal tumor-adjacent tissue (PTA) and tumor-distant tissue (PTD), and distal tumor-adjacent tissue (DTA) and tumor-distant tissue (DTD) were calculated with b-values of 0 and 800 sec/mm2, 0 and 1000 sec/mm2, 0 and 1500 sec/mm2, and multiple b-values of 0, 50, 100, 800, 1000 and 1500 sec/mm2. Statistical analysis was performed to determine feasibility of ADC to differentiate between pairwise tissues. RESULTS: Mean ADC of tumor was lower than those of PTA, PTD, DTA and DTD; and mean ADCs of PTA and DTA were lower than those of PTD and DTD at all b-values, respectively (all P-values < 0.001). ADC cut-offs of 1.089 × 10-3 mm2/sec (b = 0, 1000 sec/mm2) or 1.215 × 10-3 mm2/sec (b = 0, 800 sec/mm2), and 1.142 × 10-3 mm2/sec (b = 0, 1000 sec/mm2) or 0.995 × 10-3 mm2/sec (b = 0, 1500 sec/mm2) achieved excellent performance in differentiating tumor from PTA or PTD, and tumor from DTA or DTD (area under receiver operating characteristic curves [AUCs]: 0.813 or 0.952, and 0.970 or 0.996), respectively. ADC cut-offs of 1.625 × 10-3 mm2/sec (b = 0, 800 sec/mm2), and 1.165 × 10-3 mm2/sec (b = 0, 1500 sec/mm2) could differentiate PTA from PTD, and DTA from DTD (AUCs: 0.709 and 0.673), respectively. CONCLUSION: ADC can help differentiate between tumor, tumor-adjacent and tumor-distant tissues in RA.

Forensic age prediction and age classification for critical age thresholds via 3.0T magnetic resonance imaging of the knee in the Chinese Han population.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the performance of knee MRI for forensic age prediction and classification for 12-, 14-, 16-, and 18-year thresholds. METHODS: The ossification stages of distal femoral epiphyses and proximal tibial epiphyses were assessed using an integrated staging system by Schmeling et al. and Kellinghaus et al. for knee 3.0T MRI with T1-weighted turbo spin-echo (T1-TSE) in sagittal orientation among 852 Chinese Han individuals (483 males and 369 females) aged 7-30 years. Regression models for age prediction were constructed and their performances were evaluated based on mean absolute deviation (MAD) values. In addition, the performances of age classification were assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses. RESULTS: The intra- and inter-observer agreement levels were very good (κ > 0.80). The complete fusion of those two types of epiphyses took place before 18.0 years in our study participants. The minimum MAD values were 2.51 years (distal femur) and 2.69 years (proximal tibia) in males, and 2.75 years (distal femur) and 2.87 years (proximal tibia) in females. The specificity values of constructed prediction models were all above 90% for the 12-, 14-, and 16-year thresholds, compared to the 74.8-84.6% for the 18-year threshold. Better performances of age prediction and classification were observed in males by distal femoral epiphyses. CONCLUSIONS: Ossification stages via 3.0T MRI of the knee with T1-TSE sequence using an integrated staging system could be a reliable noninvasive method for age prediction or for age classification for 12-, 14-, and 16-year thresholds, especially in males by distal femoral epiphyses. However, assessments based on the full bony fusion of the distal femoral epiphysis and proximal tibial epiphysis seemed not reliable for age classification for the 18-year threshold in the Chinese Han population.