Global epidemiology of alcohol-associated liver disease in adolescents and young adults.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The objective of the study was to analyse the prevalence, incidence, and death of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) among adolescents and young adults globally, continentally, and nationally, focusing on trends over time. METHODS: The study analysed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study between 2000 and 2019. It examined ALD's prevalence, incidence, and death in adolescents and young adults aged 15-29, segmented by region, nation, and sociodemographic index. The analysis utilised Joinpoint regression modelling to calculate the annual per cent change (APC) in the rate of these parameters over time. RESULTS: In 2019, there were 281,450 ALD prevalences, 18,930 incidences, and 3190 deaths among adolescents and young adults globally. From 2000 to 2019, the age-adjusted prevalence rate per 100,000 increased in the 25-29 age group (APC: +0.6%, p = 0.003), remained stable among ages 20-24 (p = 0.302) and ages 15-19 (p = 0.160). Prevalence increased significantly from age 15-19 to 20-24 (19-fold increase) and from age 20-24 to 25-29 (2.5-fold increase). ALD prevalence rates increased in all age groups in adolescents and young adults in Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean region. Around three-quarters of countries and territories experienced an increase in ALD incidence rates in young adults. CONCLUSION: Over two decades, the burden of ALD among adolescents and young adults has increased globally. The study emphasises the importance of public health policies aimed at reducing alcohol consumption and preventing ALD among younger populations.

Socio-economic association of alcohol use disorder and cardiovascular and alcohol-associated liver disease from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS: Alcohol use leads to disabilities and deaths worldwide. It not only harms the liver but also causes alcohol use disorder (AUD) and heart disease. Additionally, alcohol consumption contributes to health disparities among different socio-economic groups. METHODS: We estimated global and regional trends in the burden of AUD, liver disease, and cardiovascular disease from alcohol using the methodology of the Global Burden of Disease study. RESULTS: In 2019, the highest disability-adjusted life years rate per 100,000 population was due to AUD (207.31 [95% Uncertainty interval (UI) 163.71-261.66]), followed by alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) (133.31 [95% UI 112.68-156.17]). The prevalence rate decreased for AUD (APC [annual percentage change] -0.38%) and alcohol-induced cardiomyopathy (APC -1.85%) but increased for ALD (APC 0.44%) and liver cancer (APC 0.53%). Although the mortality rate for liver cancer from alcohol increased (APC 0.30%), mortality rates from other diseases decreased. Between 2010 and 2019, the burden of alcohol-associated complications increased in countries with low and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI), contributing more significantly to the global burden. CONCLUSION: The global burden of AUD, liver, and cardiovascular disease has been high and increasing over the past decade, particularly for liver complications. Lower SDI countries are contributing more to this global burden. There is a pressing need for effective strategies to address this escalating burden.

PNPLA3 risk allele is associated with risk of hepatocellular carcinoma but not decompensation in compensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: The PNPLA3-rs738409-G, TM6SF2-rs58542926-T, and HSD17B13-rs6834314-A polymorphisms have been associated with cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, and HCC. However, whether they remain associated with HCC and decompensation in people who already have cirrhosis remains unclear, which limits the clinical utility of genetics in risk stratification as HCC is uncommon in the absence of cirrhosis. We aimed to characterize the effects of PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotype on hepatic decompensation, HCC, and liver-related mortality or liver transplant in patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. METHODS: We conducted a single-center retrospective study of patients in the Michigan Genomics Initiative who underwent genotyping. The primary predictors were PNPLA3, TM6SF2, and HSD17B13 genotypes. Primary outcomes were either hepatic decompensation, HCC, or liver-related mortality/transplant. We conducted competing risk Fine-Gray analyses on our cohort. RESULTS: We identified 732 patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. During follow-up, 50% of patients developed decompensation, 13% developed HCC, 24% underwent liver transplant, and 27% died. PNPLA3-rs738409-G genotype was associated with risk of incident HCC: adjusted subhazard hazard ratio 2.42 (1.40-4.17), p=0.0015 for PNPLA3-rs738409-GG vs. PNPLA3-rs738409-CC genotype. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC was higher in PNPLA3-rs738409-GG carriers than PNPLA3-rs738409-CC/-CG carriers: 15.6% (9.0%-24.0%) vs. 7.4% (5.2%-10.0%), p<0.001. PNPLA3 genotype was not associated with decompensation or the combined outcome of liver-related mortality or liver transplant. TM6SF2 and HSD17B13 genotypes were not associated with decompensation or HCC. CONCLUSIONS: The PNPLA3-rs738409-G allele is associated with an increased risk of HCC among patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis. People with cirrhosis and PNPLA3-rs738409-GG genotype may warrant more intensive HCC surveillance.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the global burden of disease database 2019.

OBJECTIVE: The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms. METHODS: This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. RESULTS: The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million DALYs in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010-2019. More than half of countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change [APC] +0.87%, 95% confidence interval 0.70-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (APC +0.21%, 95% confidence interval 0.01-0.42%). Limitations of the GBD database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption. CONCLUSION: Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

Comparing serial and current liver stiffness measurements to predict decompensation in compensated advanced chronic liver disease patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The utility of serial liver stiffness measurements (LSM) to predict decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) remains unclear. We aimed to validate whether comparing serial LSM is superior to using the current LSM to predict liver-related events (LRE) in patients with cACLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In this retrospective analysis of an international registry, patients with cACLD and serial LSM were followed up until index LRE. We compared the performance of both the dynamic LSM changes and the current LSM in predicting LRE using Cox regression analysis, considering time zero of follow-up as the date of latest liver stiffness measurement. In all, 480 patients with cACLD with serial LSM were included from 5 countries. The commonest etiology of cACLD was viral (53%) and MASLD (34%). Over a median follow-up of 68 (IQR: 45 -92) months, 32% experienced a LSM decrease to levels below 10kPa (resolved cACLD) and 5.8% experienced LRE. Resolved cACLD were more likely to be nondiabetic and had better liver function. While a higher value of the current LSM was associated with higher LREs, LSM changes over time (LSM slope) were not associated with LRE. In multivariable Cox regression, neither the prior LSM nor the LSM slope added predictive value to latest liver stiffness measurement. CONCLUSIONS: Once the current LSM is known, previous LSM values do not add to the prediction of LREs in patients with cACLD.

Genetic risk accentuates dietary effects on hepatic steatosis, inflammation and fibrosis in a population-based cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Steatotic liver disease (SLD), characterized by elevated liver fat content (LFC), is influenced by genetics and diet. However, whether diet has a differential effect based on genetic risk is not well-characterized. We aimed to determine how genetic factors interact with diet to affect SLD in a large national biobank. METHODS: We included UK Biobank participants with dietary intake measured by 24-hour recall and genotyping. The primary predictors were dietary pattern, PNPLA3-rs738409-G, TM6SF2-rs58542926-T, a 16-variant hepatic steatosis polygenic risk score (PRS), and gene-environment interactions. The primary outcome was LFC, and secondary outcomes were iron-controlled T1 time (cT1, a measure of liver inflammation and fibrosis) and liver-related events/mortality. RESULTS: A total of 21,619 participants met inclusion criteria. In non-interaction models, Mediterranean diet and intake of fruit/vegetables/legumes and fish associated with lower LFC, while higher red/processed meat intake and all genetic predictors associated with higher LFC. In interaction models, all genetic predictors interacted with Mediterranean diet and fruit/vegetable/legume intake, while the steatosis PRS interacted with fish intake and the TM6SF2 genotype interacted with red/processed meat intake, to affect LFC. Dietary effects on LFC were up to 3.8-fold higher in PNPLA3-rs738409-GG vs. -CC individuals, and 1.4-3.0-fold higher in the top vs. bottom quartile of the steatosis PRS. Gene-diet interactions were stronger in participants with vs. without overweight. The steatosis PRS interacted with Mediterranean diet and fruit/vegetable/legume intake to affect cT1 and most dietary and genetic predictors associated with risk of liver-related events or mortality by age 70. CONCLUSIONS: Effects of diet on LFC and cT1 were markedly accentuated in patients at increased genetic risk for SLD, implying dietary interventions may be more impactful in these populations. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Genetic variants and diet both influence risk of hepatic steatosis, inflammation/fibrosis, and hepatic decompensation; however, how gene-diet interactions influence these outcomes has previously not been comprehensively characterized. We investigated this topic in the community-based UK Biobank and found that genetic risk and dietary quality interacted to influence hepatic steatosis and inflammation/fibrosis on liver MRI, so that the effects of diet were greater in people at elevated genetic risk. These results are relevant for patients and medical providers because they show that genetic risk is not fixed (i.e. modifiable factors can mitigate or exacerbate this risk) and realistic dietary changes may result in meaningful improvement in liver steatosis and inflammation/fibrosis. As genotyping becomes more routinely used in clinical practice, patients identified to be at high baseline genetic risk may benefit even more from intensive dietary counseling than those at lower risk, though future prospective studies are required.

Metabolic Syndrome and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in Premenopausal Women: Global Trends and Projections to 2040.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and related metabolic disorders in premenopausal women. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 2010 and 2019, global evaluations of prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and their age-standardized rate (ASR) were conducted for metabolic conditions such as MASLD, type 2 diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, hypertension (HTN), obesity, and polycystic ovarian syndrome. Subgroup assessments were conducted according to geographical regions and the sociodemographic index. The predictive models were established to estimate mortality and DALYs through 2040. RESULTS: In 2019, the most significant ASR of deaths was found in HTN (11.37; 9.52 to 13.45), followed by obesity (10.49; 7.57 to 13.64). In contrast, the greatest ASR of DALYs was attributed to obesity (816.13; 581.41 to 1073.32), followed by HTN (634.73; 536.75 to 744.77). The mortality rates for dyslipidemia (-0.55%) and HTN (-0.72%) have been decreasing over time, but there has been an increase in obesity (+0.58%), type 2 diabetes mellitus (+0.85%), and MASLD (+0.51%). Lower sociodemographic index countries exhibit a higher disability-to-prevalence ratio. In 2040, obesity is predicted to cause the most deaths (+41.59% from 2019). CONCLUSION: The escalating impact of metabolic syndrome, the rising trends in death rates linked to obesity, and the disparities based on region and socioeconomic status in premenopausal women underscore the alarming increase in the global burden of metabolic syndrome.

Global and regional burden of alcohol-associated liver disease and alcohol use disorder in the elderly.

Background & Aims: Alcohol-associated liver diseases (ALDs) and alcohol use disorder (AUD) pose a global health risk. AUD is underrecognized in the elderly, and the burden of AUD complications, including ALD, may increase with aging populations and rising alcohol intake. However, there is a lack of epidemiological evidence on AUD and ALD in the elderly. Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we analyzed the prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized rates (ASRs), and temporal change from 2000 to 2019 of ALD and AUD in the overall population and the elderly (65-89 years). The findings were categorized by sex, region, nation, and sociodemographic index. Results: The prevalence rates of ALD in the elderly were higher than those in adolescents and young adults, whereas AUD levels were lower than those in adolescents and young adults. In 2019, there were 9.39 million cases (8.69% of cases in the overall population) of AUD, 3.23 million cases (21.8% of cases in the overall population) of alcohol-associated cirrhosis, and 68,468 cases (51.27% of cases in the overall population) of liver cancer from alcohol among the elderly. ASRs of the prevalence of ALD and AUD in the elderly increased in most regions; on the contrary, ASRs of death and DALYs decreased in most regions. Nevertheless, ASRs of death and DALYs from liver cancer from alcohol increased in many areas. Conclusions: Our findings highlighted the increased prevalence of ALD in the elderly, with a burden of AUD comparable with that in the overall population. Public health strategies on ALD and AUD targeting the elderly are urgently needed. Impact and implications: The burden of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and alcohol use disorder (AUD) is increasing. Advances in healthcare and education have resulted in a remarkable spike in life expectancy and a consequential population aging. Nevertheless, little is known about the epidemiology of ALD and AUD in the elderly. Our study indicates the increasing burden of ALD and AUD in the elderly population, necessitating early detection, intervention, and tailored care to the unique needs and complexities faced by older individuals grappling with these conditions.

Disparities among ethnic groups in mortality and outcomes among adults with MASLD: A multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease and 10%-20% occurs in lean individuals. There is little data in the literature regarding outcomes in an ethnically-diverse patient populations with MASLD. Thus, we aim to investigate the natural history and ethnic disparities of MASLD patients in a diverse population, and stratified by body mass index categories. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective multicenter study on patients with MASLD at the Banner Health System from 2012 to 2022. Main outcomes included mortality and incidence of cirrhosis, cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus (DM), liver-related events (LREs), and cancer. We used competing risk and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis for outcome modelling. RESULTS: A total of 51 452 (cross-sectional cohort) and 37 027 (longitudinal cohort) patients were identified with 9.6% lean. The cohort was 63.33% European ancestry, 27.96% Hispanic ancestry, 3.45% African ancestry, and 2.31% Native American/Alaskan ancestry. Median follow-up was 45.8 months. After adjusting for confounders, compared to European individuals, Hispanic and Native American/Alaskan patients had higher prevalence of cirrhosis and DM, and individuals of Hispanic, African, and Native American/Alaskan ancestry had higher mortality and incidence of LREs and DM. Lean patients had higher mortality and incidence of LREs compared with non-lean patients. CONCLUSION: Native American/Alaskan, Hispanic, and African patients had higher mortality and incidence of LREs and DM compared with European patients. Further studies to explore the underlying disparities and intervention to prevent LREs in lean patients, particularly several ethnic groups, may improve clinical outcomes.

Comprehensive genetic study of the insulin resistance marker TG:HDL-C in the UK Biobank.

Insulin resistance (IR) is a well-established risk factor for metabolic disease. The ratio of triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG:HDL-C) is a surrogate marker of IR. We conducted a genome-wide association study of the TG:HDL-C ratio in 402,398 Europeans within the UK Biobank. We identified 369 independent SNPs, of which 114 had a false discovery rate-adjusted P value < 0.05 in other genome-wide studies of IR making them high-confidence IR-associated loci. Seventy-two of these 114 loci have not been previously associated with IR. These 114 loci cluster into five groups upon phenome-wide analysis and are enriched for candidate genes important in insulin signaling, adipocyte physiology and protein metabolism. We created a polygenic-risk score from the high-confidence IR-associated loci using 51,550 European individuals in the Michigan Genomics Initiative. We identified associations with diabetes, hyperglyceridemia, hypertension, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and ischemic heart disease. Collectively, this study provides insight into the genes, pathways, tissues and subtypes critical in IR.

Associations between metabolic hyperferritinaemia, fibrosis-promoting alleles and clinical outcomes in steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Ferritin has been investigated as a biomarker for liver fibrosis and iron in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). However, whether metabolic hyperferritinaemia predicts progression of liver disease remains unknown. In this study, we sought to understand associations between hyperferritinaemia and (1) adverse clinical outcomes and (2) common genetic variants related to iron metabolism and liver fibrosis. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of adults with MASLD seen at the University of Michigan Health System, where MASLD was defined by hepatic steatosis on imaging, biopsy or vibration-controlled transient elastography, plus metabolic risk factors in the absence of chronic liver diseases other than hemochromatosis. The primary predictor was serum ferritin level, which was dichotomized based on a cut-off of 300 or 450 mcg/L for women or men. Primary outcomes included (1) incident cirrhosis, liver-related events, congestive heart failure (CHF), and mortality and (2) distribution of common genetic variants associated with hepatic fibrosis and hereditary hemochromatosis. RESULTS: Of 7333 patients with MASLD, 1468 (20%) had elevated ferritin. In multivariate analysis, ferritinaemia was associated with increased mortality (HR 1.68 [1.35-2.09], p < .001) and incident liver-related events (HR 1.92 [1.11-3.32], p = .019). Furthermore, elevated ferritin was associated with carriage of cirrhosis-promoting alleles including PNPLA3-rs738409-G allele (p = .0068) and TM6SF2-rs58542926-T allele (p = 0.0083) but not with common HFE mutations. CONCLUSIONS: In MASLD patients, metabolic hyperferritinaemia was associated with increased mortality and higher incidence of liver-related events, and cirrhosis-promoting alleles but not with iron overload-promoting HFE mutations.

The Surreptitious Burden of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in the Elderly in the Asia-Pacific Region: An Insight from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) represents a significant health threat worldwide. The aging population and a rise in metabolic syndrome in Asia might influence the epidemiology of NAFLD among the elderly. However, there is a lack of understanding of the burden and recommendations for NAFLD in this group. Our study sought to investigate the trends in the NAFLD burden among the elderly in the Asia-Pacific region. We employed data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study for an in-depth analysis of the prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) along with age-standardized rate (ASR) associated with NAFLD in elderly populations (age 65-89 years) across the Asia-Pacific region, including the Southeast Asia (SEA) and Western Pacific (WP) regions, from 2010 to 2019. This study also examined the trends and disparities in NAFLD burden across different nations and sexes. In 2019, there were over 120 million cases of NAFLD in the elderly in the Asia-Pacific region. The ASR of prevalence was higher in SEA compared to WP (36,995.37 vs. 32,821.78 per 100,000). ASR of prevalence increased with annual percentage change (APC) +0.95% in the WP while it increased by +0.87% in SEA. During the study period, the ASR of DALYs decreased in SEA (APC -0.41%) but remained stable in the WP region. The burden of NAFLD in the elderly population in Asia-Pacific has increased, underscoring the timely intervention to tackle this high and rising burden.

Combination of Fibrosis-4, liver-stiffness measurement, and Fibroscan-AST score to predict liver-related outcomes in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

INTRODUCTION: Noninvasive tests, such as Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), liver-stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography, and Fibroscan-AST (FAST), are frequently used for risk stratification in NAFLD. The comparative performance of FIB-4 and LSM and FAST to predict clinical outcomes of patients with NAFLD remained unclear. We aim to evaluate the performance of FIB-4, LSM, and FAST scores to predict clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD. METHODS: We included consecutive adult patients with NAFLD with transient elastography performed between 2015 and 2022 from the United States and Singapore. Patients with NAFLD stratified based on baseline FIB-4, LSM, and FAST score were followed up until clinical outcomes notably liver-related events (LREs), LREs or death, death, and major adverse cardiac events. RESULTS: A total of 1262 patients with NAFLD (63% with obesity and 37% with diabetes) with vibration-controlled transient elastography were followed up for median 3.5 years. FIB-4 stratified patients with NAFLD into low-risk (<1.3), intermediate-risk (1.3-2.67), and high-risk (>2.67) in 59.4%, 31.5%, and 9.1%, respectively. No LRE occurred with baseline FIB-4 <1.3, regardless of LSM and FAST score. Higher FIB-4 was associated with a higher risk of LREs within each LSM category. FIB-4 had a higher area under the received operating characteristic curve than LSM or FAST score to predict LRE. CONCLUSIONS: In this multicenter international study, FIB-4 and LSM synergistically predicted the risk of LRE. In patients with FIB-4 <1.3, vibration-controlled transient elastography may incorrectly classify up to 10% of the patients as high risk. FIB-4 should be incorporated into risk stratification in NAFLD even among patients who underwent VCTE.

Genome-wide association meta-analysis identifies 17 loci associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common and partially heritable and has no effective treatments. We carried out a genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis of imaging (n = 66,814) and diagnostic code (3,584 cases versus 621,081 controls) measured NAFLD across diverse ancestries. We identified NAFLD-associated variants at torsin family 1 member B (TOR1B), fat mass and obesity associated (FTO), cordon-bleu WH2 repeat protein like 1 (COBLL1)/growth factor receptor-bound protein 14 (GRB14), insulin receptor (INSR), sterol regulatory element-binding transcription factor 1 (SREBF1) and patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 2 (PNPLA2), as well as validated NAFLD-associated variants at patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 (PNPLA3), transmembrane 6 superfamily 2 (TM6SF2), apolipoprotein E (APOE), glucokinase regulator (GCKR), tribbles homolog 1 (TRIB1), glycerol-3-phosphate acyltransferase (GPAM), mitochondrial amidoxime-reducing component 1 (MARC1), microsomal triglyceride transfer protein large subunit (MTTP), alcohol dehydrogenase 1B (ADH1B), transmembrane channel like 4 (TMC4)/membrane-bound O-acyltransferase domain containing 7 (MBOAT7) and receptor-type tyrosine-protein phosphatase δ (PTPRD). Implicated genes highlight mitochondrial, cholesterol and de novo lipogenesis as causally contributing to NAFLD predisposition. Phenome-wide association study (PheWAS) analyses suggest at least seven subtypes of NAFLD. Individuals in the top 10% and 1% of genetic risk have a 2.5-fold to 6-fold increased risk of NAFLD, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. These genetic variants identify subtypes of NAFLD, improve estimates of disease risk and can guide the development of targeted therapeutics.

Rising incidence and impact of early-onset colorectal cancer in the Asia-Pacific with higher mortality in females from Southeast Asia: a global burden analysis from 2010 to 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Early-onset colorectal cancer (CRC) is a growing global health concern, especially in the Asia-Pacific region. However, comprehensive research on this topic from the region is lacking. Our study aims to investigate trends in early-onset CRC in Asia over 10 years, filling this research gap. METHODS: This study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to assess temporal trends in early-onset CRC in the Asia-Pacific. The analysis included estimating annual frequencies and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of early-onset CRC incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by gender. RESULTS: The incidence of early-onset CRC significantly increased in both regions with higher increase and in the Western Pacific region. Notable increases were observed among males in the Western Pacific and females in Southeast Asia (SEA). Mortality rates remained stable in the Western Pacific but increased by 10.6% in SEA, especially among females. DALYs due to CRC also increased significantly in SEA, with a greater rise among females. The Western Pacific had the highest CRC incidence, and in SEA, the mortality rate was higher in females than males. CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals a substantial increase in early-onset CRC in the Asia-Pacific underscoring the urgency for effective interventions. Thus, a comprehensive approach comprising controlled risk reduction, health promotion to heightened disease awareness, and implementation of effective screening strategies should be executed timely to mitigate the burden of early-onset CRC.

A common variant that alters SUN1 degradation associates with hepatic steatosis and metabolic traits in multiple cohorts.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and its progressive form steatohepatitis (NASH), represent a genetically and phenotypically diverse entity for which there is no approved therapy, making it imperative to define the spectrum of pathways contributing to its pathogenesis. Rare variants in genes encoding nuclear envelope proteins cause lipodystrophy with early-onset NAFLD/NASH; we hypothesized that common variants in nuclear envelope-related genes might also contribute to hepatic steatosis and NAFLD. METHODS: Using hepatic steatosis as the outcome of interest, we performed an association meta-analysis of nuclear envelope-related coding variants in three large discovery cohorts (N >120,000 participants), followed by phenotype association studies in large validation cohorts (N >600,000) and functional testing of the top steatosis-associated variant in cell culture. RESULTS: A common protein-coding variant, rs6461378 (SUN1 H118Y), was the top steatosis-associated variant in our association meta-analysis (p <0.001). In ancestrally distinct validation cohorts, rs6461378 associated with histologic NAFLD and with NAFLD-related metabolic traits including increased serum fatty acids, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, and decreased HDL. SUN1 H118Y was subject to increased proteasomal degradation relative to wild-type SUN1 in cells, and SUN1 H118Y-expressing cells exhibited insulin resistance and increased lipid accumulation. CONCLUSIONS: Collectively, these data support a potential causal role for the common SUN1 variant rs6461378 in NAFLD and metabolic disease. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), with an estimated global prevalence of nearly 30%, is a growing cause of morbidity and mortality for which there is no approved pharmacologic therapy. Our data provide a rationale for broadening current concepts of NAFLD genetics and pathophysiology to include the nuclear envelope, and particularly Sad1 and UNC84 domain containing 1 (SUN1), as novel contributors to this common liver disease. Furthermore, if future studies confirm causality of the common SUN1 H118Y variant, it has the potential to become a broadly relevant therapeutic target in NAFLD and metabolic disease.

Effects of social determinants of health on mortality and incident liver-related events and cardiovascular disease in steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Social determinants of health (SDOH) are becoming increasingly recognised as mediators of human health. In the setting of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), most of the literature on SDOH relates to individual-level risk factors. However, there are very limited data on neighbourhood-level SDOH in MASLD. AIM: To assess whether SDOH impact fibrosis progression in patients who already have MASLD. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with MASLD seen at Michigan Medicine. The primary predictors were two neighbourhood-level SDOH, 'disadvantage' and 'affluence'. The primary outcomes were mortality, incident liver-related events (LREs) and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). We modelled these outcomes using Kaplan-Meier statistics for mortality and competing risk analyses for LREs and CVD, using a 1-year landmark. RESULTS: We included 15,904 patients with MASLD with median follow-up of 63 months. Higher affluence was associated with lower risk of overall mortality (hazard ratio 0.49 [0.37-0.66], p < 0.0001 for higher vs. lower quartile), LREs (subhazard ratio 0.60 [0.39-0.91], p = 0.02) and CVD (subhazard ratio 0.71 [0.57-0.88], p = 0.0018). Disadvantage was associated with higher mortality (hazard ratio 2.08 [95% confidence interval 1.54-2.81], p < 0.0001 for the highest vs. lowest quartile) and incident CVD (subhazard ratio 1.36 [95% confidence interval 1.10-1.68], p < 0.0001). These findings were robust across several sensitivity analyses. DISCUSSION: Neighbourhood-level SDOH are associated with mortality, incidence of LREs and incident CVD in patients with steatotic liver disease. Interventions aimed at disadvantaged neighbourhoods may improve clinical outcomes.