Development and validation of a nomogram to predict overall survival in patients with incidental gallbladder cancer: A retrospective cohort study.

Objective: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a nomogram to predict the overall survival of incidental gallbladder cancer. Methods: A total of 383 eligible patients with incidental gallbladder cancer diagnosed in Shanghai Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital from 2011 to 2021 were retrospectively included. They were randomly divided into a training cohort (70%) and a validation cohort (30%). Univariate and multivariate analyses and the Akaike information criterion were used to identify variables independently associated with overall survival. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to construct the nomogram. The C-index, area under time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves were used to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of the nomogram. Results: T stage, N metastasis, peritoneal metastasis, reresection and histology were independent prognostic factors for overall survival. Based on these predictors, a nomogram was successfully established. The C-index of the nomogram in the training cohort and validation cohort was 0.76 and 0.814, respectively. The AUCs of the nomogram in the training cohort were 0.8, 0.819 and 0.815 for predicting OS at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively, while the AUCs of the nomogram in the validation cohort were 0.846, 0.845 and 0.902 for predicting OS at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively. Compared with the 8th AJCC staging system, the AUCs of the nomogram in the present study showed a better discriminative ability. Calibration curves for the training and validation cohorts showed excellent agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes at 1, 3 and 5 years. Conclusions: The nomogram in this study showed excellent discrimination and calibration in predicting overall survival in patients with incidental gallbladder cancer. It is useful for physicians to obtain accurate long-term survival information and to help them make optimal treatment and follow-up decisions.

Transarterial chemoembolization versus percutaneous microwave coagulation therapy for recurrent unresectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: Development of a prognostic nomogram.

BACKGROUND: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and percutaneous microwave coagulation therapy (PMCT) are commonly used to treat intrahepatic recurrent liver cancers. However, there is no information regarding their effectiveness in patients with recurrent intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after resection. METHODS: A total of 275 patients with localized recurrent ICC who received either TACE (n = 183) or PMCT (n = 92) were studied. A propensity score matching analysis was performed to compare prognostic impact of TACE and PMCT. Prognostic factors for TACE and PMCT were identified respectively. Predictive nomograms for each TACE and PMCT were developed using the Cox independent prognostic factors and were validated in independent patient groups by receiver operating characteristic curves and area under curve values. RESULTS: Both TACE and PMCT provided curativeness in partial patients (5-year overall survival: 21.4% and 6.1%, respectively), but TACE provided better survival benefit in both overall patients (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.50-0.97; P = 0.034) and propensity score matching analysis (HR = 0.69; 95% CI: 0.47-0.98; P = 0.041). Independent prognostic factors for TACE were tumor size >5 cm, poor differentiation, and major resection, whereas poor differentiation, hepatitis B virus infection, cholelithiasis, and lymph node metastasis were identified for PMCT. Both predictive nomograms for TACE and PMCT were validated to be effective with area under curve values of 0.77 and 0.70, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: TACE provided better survival benefits compared to PMCT. However, there was a disparity in prognostic factors, suggesting evaluation of the two nomograms may be supportive in modality selection. Further prospective validation studies are required for the results to be applied in clinical medicine.

Tumor suppressor LKB1 inhibits the progression of gallbladder carcinoma and predicts the prognosis of patients with this malignancy.

Gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) represents the most common fatal tumors of the biliary tract. The 3-year or 5-year survival rate for patients with this disease are 30 and 5%, respectively. Liver kinase B1 (LKB1), a primary upstream kinase of adenosine monophosphate-activated protein kinase (AMPK) necessary for maintaining cell metabolism and energy homeostasis, has been found to be an important tumor suppressor gene in recent years, and its inactivation has also found to be closely associated with tumor growth, metastasis and cancer stem cell (CSC) proliferation. Nevertheless, the function of LKB1 in GBC remains unclear. In this study, we found that the expression of LKB1 in GBC tissues was decreased compared with that in non-cancerous tissues. LKB1 overexpression suppressed the proliferation, metastasis and expansion of GBC CSCs. Mechanically, LKB1 suppressed GBC cell progression via the JAK/signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3) pathway. The use of the JAK2 inhibitor, AZD­1480, attenuated the suppressive effects of LKB1 overexpression on the growth, metastasis and self-renewal ability of the GBC cells, which further demonstrated that JAK/STAT3 was involved in the LKB1-induced suppression of GBC cell growth, metastasis and self-renewal ability. More importantly, the decreased expression of LKB1 was a predictor of a poor prognosis of patients with GBC. On the whole, our data indicate that LKB1 inhibits GBC cell growth, metastasis and self-renewal ability by disrupting JAK/STAT3 signaling, and may thus prove to be a novel prognostic biomarker for patients with GBC.

Dynamic Change of Total Bilirubin after Portal Vein Embolization is Predictive of Major Complications and Posthepatectomy Mortality in Patients with Hilar Cholangiocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to evaluate the role of dynamic change in total bilirubin after portal vein embolization (PVE) in predicting major complications and 30-day mortality in patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma (HCCA). METHODS: Retrospective analysis of prospectively maintained data of 64 HCCA patients who underwent PVE before hepatectomy in our institution was used. Total bilirubin and other parameters were measured daily in peri-PVE period. The difference between them and the baseline value from days 0-5 to day -1 (∆D1) and days 5-14 to day -1 (∆D2) were calculated. The relationship between ∆D1 and ∆D2 of total bilirubin and major complications as well as 30-day mortality was analyzed. RESULTS: Out of 64 patients, 10 developed major complications (15.6 %) and 6 patients (9.3 %) had died within 30 days after surgery. The ∆D2 of total bilirubin after PVE was most significantly associated with major complications (P < 0.001) and 30-day mortality (P = 0.002). In addition, it was found to be an independent predictor of major complications after PVE (odds ratio (OR) = 1.050; 95 % CI 1.017-1.084). ASA >3 (OR = 12.048; 95 % CI 1.019-143.321), ∆D2 of total bilirubin (OR = 1.058; 95 % CI 1.007-1.112), and ∆D2 of prealbumin (OR = 0.975; 95 % CI 0.952-0.999) were associated with higher risk of 30-day mortality after PVE. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that ∆D2 of total bilirubin were better predictors than ∆D1 for major complications (AUC (∆D2) 0.817; P = 0.002 vs. AUC (∆D1) 0.769; P = 0.007) and 30-day mortality (ACU(∆D2) 0.868; P = 0.003 vs. AUC(∆D1) 0.721;P = 0.076). CONCLUSION: Patients with increased total bilirubin in 5-14 days after PVE may indicate a higher risk of major complications and 30-day mortality if the major hepatectomy were performed.

KAT5 silencing induces apoptosis of GBC-SD cells through p38MAPK-mediated upregulation of cleaved Casp9.

The poor overall prognosis of Gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) patients and the limited therapeutic regimens for these patients demonstrates the need for better therapeutic modalities, while the growing evidences have indicated that those genes contributed to epigenetic regulation may serve as therapeutic targets. The function of histone acetylation on growth and survival of GBC cells remains unknown. In present study, an RNAi screening of 16 genes involving histone acetyltransferases (HATs) was applied to GBC-SD cells and we found that KAT5 knockdown specifically inhibits the proliferation of GBC-SD cells by casp9-mediated apoptosis. Microarray data analysis showed that KAT5 RNAi may result in cleaved casp9 upregulation through p38MAPK activation in GBC-SD cells. The mRNA expression level of KAT5 was significantly upregulated in GBC tissues than in the adjacent normal tissues. In consistence with the mRNA level, the protein expression of KAT5 was markedly increased in tissues from patients with poor prognosis than those with good prognosis. These findings strongly indicated that KAT5 was implicated in GBC tumorigenesis and that its expression level was associated with the prognosis. Our work may also provide a potential therapeutic target for treatment of GBC patients.

Preoperative portal vein embolization for hilar cholangiocarcinoma--a comparative study.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Preoperative portal vein embolization (PVE) allows potentially curative hepatic resection to be carried out in patients with hepatobiliary malignancies who are otherwise not candidates for resection because of the small size of the future liver remnant (FLR). However, there have only been a few reports on PVE before hepatectomy for hilar cholangiocarcinoma due to the small number of patients who can be treated with radical surgery. METHODOLOGY: Between January 2007 and March 2009, 49 consecutive patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma who were planned to have hemi-hepatectomy/extended hemi-hepatectomy plus caudate lobe resection in our tertiary referral center were studied. The change in size of the FLR and the operative outcomes were compared between patients with or without PVE. RESULTS: All patients had liver dysfunction as a result of biliary obstruction due to hilar cholangiocarcinoma although they had all received percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage. PVE was used in 16 patients with an estimated FLR of <50%, while no PVE was carried out in 33 patients with an estimated FLR of >50%. Complications after PVE occurred in 3 patients (18.8%), which included bile leakage (n=1) and coil displacement (n=2). No complication precluded liver resection. The FLR to total liver volume (TLV) ratio at presentation was significantly smaller in patients who underwent PVE than those who did not undergo PVE (40.3 +/- 7.4% vs. 56.6 +/- 5.0%; p < 0.001). After PVE, the FLR to TLV ratio increased significantly (40.3 +/- 7.4% vs. 43.1 +/- 7.0%; p < 0.001) at a mean time of 14.2 +/- 3.5 days. The mean +/- S.D. increase in FLR was 4.6 +/- 3.0 cm3/day. At surgery, the FLR volume was still significantly smaller in the PVE group than the non-PVE (802 +/- 216 cm3 vs. 979 +/- 202 cm3; p = 0.007). In the PVE group, insufficient hypertrophy of the FRL prevented one patient from having surgery, while local tumor progression and peritoneal dissemination precluded hepatectomy in 2 more patients. Finally, 13 patients (81.3%) underwent radical surgery. The PVE group had similar complication and mortality rates compared with the non-PVE group (complication rate, 69.2% vs. 63.6%; mortality rate, 0.0% vs. 9.1%). The 1- and 2-year overall survivals for the PVE group (with intent-to-treat analysis), PVE group (radical surgery only) and the non-PVE group were 57.3% and 43.0%; 71.3% and 53.5%; 70.4% and 54.4%, respectively. There was no significant difference in the survival outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggested that PVE is a safe and efficacious procedure in inducing adequate hypertrophy of the FLR before major hepatic resection for hilar cholangiocarcinoma with obstructive jaundice which had been relieved by percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage.

A special growth manner of intrahepatic biliary cystadenoma.

We report a case of a 56-year-old woman with intrahepatic biliary cystadenoma (IBC) accompanying a tumor embolus in the extrahepatic bile duct, who was admitted to our department on October 13, 2008. Imaging showed an asymmetry dilation of the biliary tree, different bile signals in the biliary tree, a multiloculated lesion and an extrahepatic bile duct lesion with internal septation. A regular left hemihepatectomy en bloc was performed with resection of the entire tumor, during which a tumor embolus protruding into the extrahepatic bile duct and originating from biliary duct of segment 4 was revealed. Microscopically, the multiloculated tumor was confirmed to be a biliary cystadenoma with an epithelial lining composed of biliary-type cuboidal cells and surrounded by an ovarian-like stroma. An aggressive en bloc resection was recommended for the multiloculated lesion. Imaging workup, clinicians and surgeons need to be aware of this different presentation.

Surgical therapy for hiliar cholangiocarcinoma: analysis of 198 cases.

BACKGROUND: Carcinoma of the hepatic duct confluence is the most common site of bile duct malignancies. Although hilar cholangiocarcinoma has been characterized as a slow-growing and late metastasizing tumor, post-therapeutic prognosis has remained poor. The study was undertaken to analyze factors influencing the surgical curative effect of hilar cholangiocarcinoma. METHODS: A retrospective clinical analysis was made of 198 patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma who had been surgically treated at our hospital from 1997 to 2002. Jaundice (94.5%, 187 patients), pruritus (56.6%, 112) and abdominal pain (33.8%, 67) were the main symptoms. According to the Bismuth-Corlette classification, there were 14 type I patients, 19 type II patients, 12 type IIIa patients, 15 type IIIb patients, 112 type IV patients, and 26 unclassified patients. 144 patients received laparotomy, and 120 tumor resection including radical resection (59 patients) and palliative resection (61). Fifty-four patients were treated by endoscopic surgery and 16 patients by postoperative adjuvant radiation. RESULTS: Occupation, preoperative level of total serum bilirubin, operative procedure and postoperative adjuvant radiation affected postoperative survival of the patients. The postoperative survivals of endoscopic nose-biliary drainage (ENBD) group, endoscopic retrograde biliary drainage (ERBD) or endoscopic metal biliary endoprosthesis (EMBE) group, biliary exploration and drainage group, palliative resection group and radical resection group differed (chi2=87.0489, P<0.01). CONCLUSION: Early diagnosis and radical resection are important to improve the prognosis of hilar cholangiocarcinoma.

[Analysis of the relation between surgery and prognosis of hilar cholangiocarcinoma].

OBJECTIVE: To explore the prognosis factors of hilar cholangiocarcinoma, and investigate the relation between operative procedure and prognosis of it. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was investigated in 198 patients with hilar cholangiocarcinoma, who were treated in our hospital from December 1997 to December 2002. There were 117 males and 81 females. The age ranged from 27 to 81 years old with a mean of 56. Jaundice (94.5%), pruritus (56.6%) and abdominal pain (33.8%) were the main present symptoms. According to Bismuth-Corlette classification, there were 14 type I cases, 19 type II cases, 12 type IIIa cases, 15 type IIIb cases, 112 type IV cases and 26 unclassifiable cases. One hundred and forty four cases received open operative treatment, and the others only were treated with endoscopic approach (including ERBD or EMBE 21 cases, ENBD 31 cases) or percutaneous transhepatic cholangiodrainage (2 cases). Tumor resection was performed on 120 cases with a resection rate of 83.3%, included radical resection 59 cases (41.0%). Twenty-four cases underwent paunched biliary exploration and drainage. RESULTS: The Cox's regression model analysis showed that occupation, preoperative maximum total serum bilirubin level, operative procedure and postoperative adjuvant radiation affected postoperative survival significantly, but gender, age, choledocholithiasis, hepatitis, preoperative serum CA19-9 level, Bismuth-Corlette type, histopathologic grading and postoperative chemotherapy were not significant prognostic factors. The postoperative survival of biliary drainage group, palliative resection group and radical resection group, which statistically differed pairwise. Between ERBD or EMBE group and palliative resection group, there was no statistical difference. So was between ERBD or EMBE group and biliary drainage group, or between ENBD group and biliary drainage group. The survival differed statistically between ERBD or EMBE group and ENBD group. CONCLUSIONS: Operative procedure was the most important prognosic factor of hilar cholangiocarcinoma, radical resection still was the primary measure to cure and long term survival. For irresectable hilar cholangiocarcinoma, the effect of ERBD or EMBE could not be considered to be worse than that of open operative treatment.