Need for a Cardiogenic Shock Team Collaborative-Promoting a Team-Based Model of Care to Improve Outcomes and Identify Best Practices.

Cardiogenic shock continues to carry a high mortality rate despite contemporary care, with no breakthrough therapies shown to improve survival over the past few decades. It is a time-sensitive condition that commonly results in cardiovascular complications and multisystem organ failure, necessitating multidisciplinary expertise. Managing patients with cardiogenic shock remains challenging even in well-resourced settings, and an important subgroup of patients may require cardiac replacement therapy. As a result, the idea of leveraging the collective cognitive and procedural proficiencies of multiple providers in a collaborative, team-based approach to care (the "shock team") has been advocated by professional societies and implemented at select high-volume clinical centers. A slowly maturing evidence base has suggested that cardiogenic shock teams may improve patient outcomes. Although several registries exist that are beginning to inform care, particularly around therapeutic strategies of pharmacologic and mechanical circulatory support, none of these are currently focused on the shock team approach, multispecialty partnership, education, or process improvement. We propose the creation of a Cardiogenic Shock Team Collaborative-akin to the successful Pulmonary Embolism Response Team Consortium-with a goal to promote sharing of care protocols, education of stakeholders, and discovery of how process and performance may influence patient outcomes, quality, resource consumption, and costs of care.

Factors Impacting Physician Prognostic Accuracy in Heart Failure Patients With Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: A recent study showed that the accuracy of heart failure (HF) cardiologists and family doctors to predict mortality in outpatients with HF proved suboptimal, performing less well than models. OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to evaluate patient and physician factors associated with physician accuracy. METHODS: The authors included outpatients with HF from 11 HF clinics. Family doctors and HF cardiologists estimated patient 1-year mortality. They calculated predicted mortality using the Seattle HF Model and followed patients for 1 year to record mortality (or urgent heart transplant or ventricular assist device implant as mortality-equivalent events). Using multivariable logistic regression, the authors evaluated associations among physician experience and confidence in estimates, duration of patient-physician relationship, patient-physician sex concordance, patient race, and predicted risk, with concordant results between physician and model predictions. RESULTS: Among 1,643 patients, 1-year event rate was 10% (95% CI: 8%-12%). One-half of the estimates showed discrepant results between model and physician predictions, mainly owing to physician risk overestimation. Discrepancies were more frequent with increasing patient risk from 38% in low-risk to ∼75% in high-risk patients. When making predictions on male patients, female HF cardiologists were 26% more likely to have discrepant predictions (OR: 0.74; 95% CI: 0.58-0.94). HF cardiologist estimates in Black patients were 33% more likely to be discrepant (OR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.45-0.99). Low confidence in predictions was associated with discrepancy. Analyses restricted to high-confidence estimates showed inferior calibration to the model, with risk overestimation across risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: Discrepant physician and model predictions were more frequent in cases with perceived increased risk. Model predictions outperform physicians even when they are confident in their predictions. (Predicted Prognosis in Heart Failure [INTUITION]; NCT04009798).

Enhancing the Prediction of Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy Using Intravascular Ultrasound and Machine Learning: A Proof of Concept.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) is the leading cause of late graft dysfunction in heart transplantation. Building on previous unsupervised learning models, we sought to identify CAV clusters using serial maximal intimal thickness and baseline clinical risk factors to predict the development of early CAV. METHODS: This is a single-center retrospective study including adult heart transplantation recipients. A latent class mixed-effects model was used to identify patient clusters with similar trajectories of maximal intimal thickness posttransplant and pretransplant covariates associated with each cluster. RESULTS: Among 186 heart transplantation recipients, we identified 4 patient phenotypes: very low, low, moderate, and high risk. The 5-year risk (95% CI) of the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation-defined CAV in the high, moderate, low, and very low risk groups was 49.1% (35.2%-68.5%), 23.4% (13.3%-41.2%), 5.0% (1.3%-19.6%), and 0%, respectively. Only patients in the moderate to high risk cluster developed the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation CAV 2-3 at 5 years (P=0.02). Of the 4 groups, the low risk group had significantly younger female recipients, shorter ischemic time, and younger female donors compared with the high risk group. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 4 clusters characterized by distinct maximal intimal thickness trajectories. These clusters were shown to discriminate against the development of angiographic CAV. This approach allows for the personalization of surveillance and CAV-directed treatment before the development of angiographically apparent disease.

Heart failure related cardiogenic shock: An ISHLT consensus conference content summary.

In recent years, there have been significant advancements in the understanding, risk-stratification, and treatment of cardiogenic shock (CS). Despite improved pharmacologic and device-based therapies for CS, short-term mortality remains as high as 50%. Most recent efforts in research have focused on CS related to acute myocardial infarction, even though heart failure related CS (HF-CS) accounts for >50% of CS cases. There is a paucity of high-quality evidence to support standardized clinical practices in approach to HF-CS. In addition, there is an unmet need to identify disease-specific diagnostic and risk-stratification strategies upon admission, which might ultimately guide the choice of therapies, and thereby improve outcomes and optimize resource allocation. The heterogeneity in defining CS, patient phenotypes, treatment goals and therapies has resulted in difficulty comparing published reports and standardized treatment algorithms. An International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) consensus conference was organized to better define, diagnose, and manage HF-CS. There were 54 participants (advanced heart failure and interventional cardiologists, cardiothoracic surgeons, critical care cardiologists, intensivists, pharmacists, and allied health professionals), with vast clinical and published experience in CS, representing 42 centers worldwide. State-of-the-art HF-CS presentations occurred with subsequent breakout sessions planned in an attempt to reach consensus on various issues, including but not limited to models of CS care delivery, patient presentations in HF-CS, and strategies in HF-CS management. This consensus report summarizes the contemporary literature review on HF-CS presented in the first half of the conference (part 1), while the accompanying document (part 2) covers the breakout sessions where the previously agreed upon clinical issues were discussed with an aim to get to a consensus.

Consensus statements from the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation consensus conference: Heart failure-related cardiogenic shock.

The last decade has brought tremendous interest in the problem of cardiogenic shock. However, the mortality rate of this syndrome approaches 50%, and other than prompt myocardial revascularization, there have been no treatments proven to improve the survival of these patients. The bulk of studies have been in patients with acute myocardial infarction, and there is little evidence to guide the clinician in those patients with heart failure cardiogenic shock (HF-CS). An International Society for Heart and Lung Transplant consensus conference was organized to better define, diagnose, and manage HF-CS. There were 54 participants (advanced heart failure and interventional cardiologists, cardiothoracic surgeons, critical care cardiologists, intensivists, pharmacists, and allied health professionals) with vast clinical and published experience in CS, representing 42 centers worldwide. This consensus report summarizes the results of a premeeting survey answered by participants and the breakout sessions where predefined clinical issues were discussed to achieve consensus in the absence of robust data. Key issues discussed include systems for CS management, including the "hub-and-spoke" model vs a tier-based network, minimum levels of data to communicate when considering transfer, disciplines that should be involved in a "shock team," goals for mechanical circulatory support device selection, and optimal flow on such devices. Overall, the document provides expert consensus on some important issues facing practitioners managing HF-CS. It is hoped that this will clarify areas where consensus has been reached and stimulate future research and registries to provide insight regarding other crucial knowledge gaps.

Cardiac PET Myocardial Blood Flow Quantification Assessment of Early Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy.

BACKGROUND: Positron emission tomography (PET) has demonstrated utility for diagnostic and prognostic assessment of cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) but has not been evaluated in the first year after transplant. OBJECTIVES: The authors sought to evaluate CAV at 1 year by PET myocardial blood flow (MBF) quantification. METHODS: Adults at 2 institutions enrolled between January 2018 and March 2021 underwent prospective 3-month (baseline) and 12-month (follow-up) post-transplant PET, endomyocardial biopsy, and intravascular ultrasound examination. Epicardial CAV was assessed by intravascular ultrasound percent intimal volume (PIV) and microvascular CAV by endomyocardial biopsy. RESULTS: A total of 136 PET studies from 74 patients were analyzed. At 12 months, median PIV increased 5.6% (95% CI: 3.6%-7.1%) with no change in microvascular CAV incidence (baseline: 31% vs follow-up: 38%; P = 0.406) and persistent microvascular disease in 13% of patients. Median capillary density increased 30 capillaries/mm2 (95% CI: -6 to 79 capillaries/mm2). PET myocardial flow reserve (2.5 ± 0.7 vs 2.9 ± 0.8; P = 0.001) and stress MBF (2.7 ± 0.6 vs 2.9 ± 0.6; P = 0.008) increased, and coronary vascular resistance (CVR) (49 ± 13 vs 47 ± 11; P = 0.214) was unchanged. At 12 months, PET and PIV had modest correlation (stress MBF: r = -0.35; CVR: r = 0.33), with lower stress MBF and higher CVR across increasing PIV tertiles (all P < 0.05). Receiver-operating characteristic curves for CAV defined by upper-tertile PIV showed areas under the curve of 0.74 for stress MBF and 0.73 for CVR. CONCLUSIONS: The 1-year post-transplant PET MBF is associated with epicardial CAV, supporting potential use for early noninvasive CAV assessment. (Early Post Transplant Cardiac Allograft Vasculopahty [ECAV]; NCT03217786).

Predicting 1-Year Mortality in Outpatients With Heart Failure With Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction: Do Empiric Models Outperform Physician Intuitive Estimates? A Multicenter Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Many studies have demonstrated that physicians often err in estimating patient prognosis. No studies have directly compared physician to model predictive performance in heart failure (HF). We aimed to compare the accuracy of physician versus model predictions of 1-year mortality. METHODS: This multicenter prospective cohort study on 11 HF clinics in 5 provinces in Canada included consecutive consented outpatients with HF with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (<40%). By collecting clinical data, we calculated predicted 1-year mortality using the Seattle HF Model (SHFM), the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic HF score, and the HF Meta-Score. HF cardiologists and family doctors, blinded to model predictions, estimated patient 1-year mortality. During 1-year follow-up, we recorded the composite end point of mortality, urgent ventricular assist device implant, or heart transplant. We compared physicians and model discrimination (C statistic), calibration (observed versus predicted event rate), and risk reclassification. RESULTS: The study included 1643 patients with ambulatory HF with a mean age of 65 years, 24% female, and mean left ventricular ejection fraction of 28%. Over 1-year follow-up, 9% had an event. The SHFM had the best discrimination (SHFM C statistic 0.76; HF Meta-Score 0.73; Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure 0.70) and calibration. Physicians' discrimination differed little (0.75 for HF cardiologists and 0.73 for family doctors) but both physician groups substantially overestimated risk by >10% in both low- and high-risk patients (poor calibration). In risk reclassification analysis, among patients without events, the SHFM better classified 51% in comparison to HF cardiologists and 43% in comparison to family doctors. In patients with events, the SHFM erroneously assigned lower risk to 44% in comparison to HF cardiologists and 34% in comparison to family doctors. CONCLUSIONS: Family doctors and HF cardiologists showed adequate risk discrimination, with however substantial overestimation of absolute risk. Predictive models showed higher accuracy. Incorporating models in family and HF cardiology practices may improve patient care and resource use in HF with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT04009798.

Fibrotic Plaque and Microvascular Dysfunction Predict Early Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy Progression After Heart Transplantation: The Early Post Transplant Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy Study.

BACKGROUND: Early cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) prognostication is needed to improve long-term outcomes after heart transplantation. We characterized first year posttransplant coronary anatomic-physiologic alterations to determine predictors of early CAV progression. METHODS: Heart transplant recipients at 2 institutions (enrolled January 2018 to March 2021) underwent prospective evaluation 3 and 12-month posttransplant with angiography and left anterior descending artery intravascular ultrasound, optical coherence tomography, fractional flow reserve, coronary flow reserve, and index of microcirculatory resistance measurements. CAV progression was assessed by intravascular ultrasound change in percentage intimal volume from baseline to 12-month follow-up. RESULTS: Eighty-two patients (mean age, 51 years; 60% men) completed evaluation at mean 13.8 and 56.3 weeks posttransplant. Donor atherosclerosis (baseline intravascular ultrasound maximal intimal thickness, ≥0.5 mm) was evident in 50%. De novo (follow-up maximal intimal thickness, ≥0.5 mm) and rapidly progressive CAV (maximal intimal thickness, ≥0.5-mm increase from baseline) developed in 24% and 13%, respectively. On optical coherence tomography, baseline to follow-up median intimal volume increased 42% (0.58 mm3/mm), percentage intimal volume increased 44% (4.6%), vessel volume decreased 4% (-0.50 mm3/mm) and lumen volume decreased 9% (-1.02 mm3/mm); P<0.05 for all. Fibrotic plaque was the predominant morphology: baseline, 29% and follow-up, 50%. Coronary physiology was abnormal in 41% at baseline and 45% at follow-up, with 1 in 5 patients having microvascular dysfunction (index of microcirculatory resistance, ≥25). On multivariable linear regression analysis, recipient male sex, fibrotic plaque, and index of microcirculatory resistance were independent predictors of coronary disease progression. CONCLUSIONS: Fibrotic plaque on optical coherence tomography and index of microcirculatory resistance early posttransplant predict CAV progression in the first year of transplantation. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT03217786.

The COVID-19 Pandemic and Adult Cardiac Transplantation: Impact, Interventions, and Implications.

In this review, we provide a comprehensive overview of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on adult heart transplantation. We highlight the decline in the number of adult transplantations performed throughout the pandemic as a consequence of restrictions imposed on individual programs and hospitals. There were challenges to maintaining cardiac transplant activity at multiple levels, including organ donation in intensive care units, logistical difficulties with organ procurement, and rapidly changing resource considerations at health system and jurisdictional levels. We also review the impact of COVID-19 on cardiac transplant recipients. Despite the high rates of morbidity and mortality observed during the initial phases of the pandemic among heart transplant patients infected with COVID-19, the availability of effective vaccines, pre-exposure prophylaxis, and specific antiviral therapies have drastically improved outcomes over time. Vaccines have proven to be safe and effective in reducing infections and illness severity, but specific considerations in the immunocompromised solid organ transplant population apply, including the need for additional booster doses to achieve sufficient immunisation. We further outline the strong rationale for vaccination before transplantation wherever possible. Finally, the COVID-19 response created a number of barriers to safe and efficient post-transplantation care. Given the need for frequent evaluation and monitoring, especially in the first several months after cardiac transplantation, the pandemic provided the impetus to improve virtual care delivery and explore noninvasive rejection surveillance through gene expression profiling. We hope that lessons learned will allow us to prepare and pivot effectively during future pandemics and health care emergencies.

Case Report: Severe Peripartum Cardiac Disease in Myotonic Dystrophy Type 1.

Background: Myotonic dystrophy type 1 (DM1) is a hereditary muscular dystrophy affecting ∼2.1-14.3/100,000 adults. Cardiac manifestations of DM1 include conduction disorders and rarely cardiomyopathies. DM1 increases the risk of obstetric complications, however, little is known about the relationship between pregnancy and cardiomyopathy in DM1 due to disease rarity. Case: A 23-year-old with DM1 developed cardiomyopathy during pregnancy. Despite initial medical stabilization, she subsequently developed multiple spontaneous coronary artery dissections postpartum, worsening cardiomyopathy and multiorgan failure. She died 5 months postpartum. Conclusion: Though cardiomyopathy and arterial dissection are both known complications of pregnancy, this case suggests individuals with myotonic dystrophy type 1 may be at heightened risk for cardiac disease during the peripartum period. Physicians caring for women with suspected or proven DM1 should offer counseling and be alerted to the risk of cardiac complications with pregnancy and in the peripartum period. Pregnant and peripartum women with DM1 are likely to benefit from more frequent assessments of cardiac function including echocardiograms and early institution of heart failure management protocols when symptoms of cardiomyopathy present.

Prognostic utility of longitudinal quantification of PET myocardial blood flow early post heart transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial blood flow (MBF) quantification by Rubidium-82 positron emission tomography (PET) has shown promise for cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) surveillance and risk stratification post heart transplantation. The objective was to determine the prognostic value of serial PET performed early post transplantation. METHODS AND RESULT: Heart transplant (HT) recipients at the University of Ottawa Heart Institute with 2 PET examinations (PET1 = baseline, PET2 = follow-up) within 6 years of transplant were included in the study. Evaluation of PET flow quantification included stress MBF, coronary vascular resistance (CVR), and myocardial flow reserve (MFR). The primary composite outcome was all-cause death, re-transplant, myocardial infarction, revascularization, allograft dysfunction, cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV), or heart failure hospitalization. A total of 121 patients were evaluated (79% male, mean age 56 ± 11 years) with consecutive scans performed at mean 1.4 ± 0.7 and 2.6 ± 1.0 years post HT for PET1 and PET2, respectively. Over a mean follow-up of 3.0 (IQR 1.8, 4.6) years, 26 (22%) patients developed the primary outcome: 1 death, 11 new or progressive angiographic CAV, 2 percutaneous coronary interventions, 12 allograft dysfunction. Unadjusted Cox analysis showed a significant reduction in event-free survival in patients with PET1 stress MBF < 2.1 (HR: 2.43, 95% CI 1.11-5.29 P = 0.047) and persistent abnormal PET1 to PET2 CVR > 76 (HR: 2.19, 95% CI 0.87-5.51 P = 0.045). There was no association between MFR and outcomes. CONCLUSION: Low-stress MBF and persistent increased CVR on serial PET imaging early post HT are associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Early post-transplant and longitudinal assessment by PET may identify at-risk patients for increased surveillance post HT.

Contemporary Management of Cardiogenic Shock: A RAND Appropriateness Panel Approach.

BACKGROUND: Current practice in cardiogenic shock is guided by expert opinion in guidelines and scientific statements from professional societies with limited high quality randomized trial data to inform optimal patient management. An international panel conducted a modified Delphi process with the intent of identifying aspects of cardiogenic shock care where there was uncertainty regarding optimal patient management. METHODS: An 18-person multidisciplinary panel comprising international experts was convened. A modified RAND/University of California Los Angeles appropriateness methodology was used. A survey comprising 70 statements was completed. Participants anonymously rated the appropriateness of each statement on a scale of 1 to 9: 1 to 3 inappropriate, 4 to 6 uncertain, and 7 to 9 appropriate. A summary of the results was discussed as a group, and the survey was iterated and completed again before final analysis. RESULTS: There was broad alignment with current international guidelines and consensus statements. Overall, 44 statements were rated as appropriate, 19 as uncertain, and 7 as inappropriate. There was no disagreement with a disagreement index <1 for all statements. Routine fluid administration was deemed to be inappropriate. Areas of uncertainty focused panel on pre-PCI interventions, the use of right heart catheterization to guide management, routine use of left ventricular unloading strategies, and markers of futility when considering escalation to mechanical circulatory support. CONCLUSIONS: While there was broad alignment with current guidance, an expert panel found several aspects of care where there was clinical equipoise, further highlighting the need for randomized controlled trials to better guide patient management and decision making in cardiogenic shock.

Cardiac allograft vasculopathy: current review and future research directions.

Cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) is a pathologic immune-mediated remodelling of the vasculature in transplanted hearts and, by impairing perfusion, is the major cause of late graft loss. Although best understood following cardiac transplantation, similar forms of allograft vasculopathy occur in other vascularized organ grafts and some features of CAV may be shared with other immune-mediated vasculopathies. Here, we describe the incidence and diagnosis, the nature of the vascular remodelling, immune and non-immune contributions to pathogenesis, current therapies, and future areas of research in CAV.

PET Assessment of Cardiac Allograft Vasculopathy.

Heart transplantation is an effective and life-saving therapy for patients with end-stage heart disease. Cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) is a frequent complication after heart transplantation and a leading cause of graft failure and death. The diffuse involvement of the coronary macro- and microvasculature in CAV poses significant challenges for noninvasive imaging surveillance techniques that depend on regional differences in myocardial perfusion or contractility to detect abnormalities. Recent imaging and transplantation guidelines recommend cardiac PET for CAV evaluation. Current evidence demonstrates high diagnostic accuracy of PET myocardial blood flow and myocardial flow reserve quantification for CAV as well as utility for post-transplant patient risk stratification. Multicenter prospective studies are needed to determine optimal PET measures and to define thresholds for diagnostic and prognostic assessment of CAV.