Undernotification and underreporting of tuberculosis in Zambia: a national data quality assessment.

BACKGROUND: Despite national implementation of several high impact interventions and innovations to bolster tuberculosis (TB) detection and improve quality of TB services in Zambia, notifications have been declining since 2004. A countrywide data quality assessment (DQA) of Zambia's National TB and Leprosy Programme (NTLP) was undertaken to quantify the degree to which undernotification and underreporting of TB notifications may be occurring. METHODS: The NTLP conducted a retrospective DQA of health facilities in high burden districts in all ten Zambian provinces. Multiple routine programmatic data sources were triangulated through a multi-step verification process to enumerate the total number of unique TB patients diagnosed between 1st January and 31st August 2019; both bacteriologically confirmed and clinically diagnosed TB patients were included. Undernotification was defined as the number of TB patients identified through the DQA that were not documented in facility treatment registers, while underreporting was defined as the number of notified TB cases not reported to the NTLP. RESULTS: Overall, 265 health facilities across 55 districts were assessed from which 28,402 TB patients were identified; 94.5% of TB patients were ≥ 15 years old, 65.1% were male, 52.0% were HIV-positive, and 89.6% were a new/relapse case. Among all TB cases, 32.8% (95%CI: 32.2-33.3) were unnotified. Undernotification was associated with age ≥ 15 years old (adjusted prevalence odds ratio [aPOR] = 2.4 [95%CI: 2.0-2.9]), HIV-positive status (aPOR = 1.6 [95%CI: 1.5-1.8]), being a new/relapse TB case (aPOR = 17.5 [95%CI: 13.4-22.8]), being a clinically diagnosed TB case (aPOR = 4.2 [95%CI:3.8-4.6]), and being diagnosed at a hospital (range, aPOR = 1.5 [95%CI: 1.3-1.6] to 2.6 [95%CI: 2.3-2.9]). There was substantial heterogeneity in the proportion of unnotified TB cases by province (range, 18.2% to 43.6%). In a sub-analysis among 22,199 TB patients with further data available, 55.9% (95%CI: 55.2-56.6) were notified and reported to the NTLP, 32.8% (95%CI: 32.2-33.4) were unnotified, and 11.3% (95%CI: 10.9-11.7) went unreported to the NTLP. CONCLUSIONS: The findings from Zambia's first countrywide TB programme DQA demonstrate substantial undernotification and underreporting of TB cases across all provinces. This underscores the urgent need to implement a robust and integrated data management system to facilitate timely registration and reporting of all TB patients who are diagnosed and treated.

Insulin Resistance is Associated with Higher Plasma Viral Load Among HIV-Positive Adults Receiving Longer-Term (1 Year) Combination Antiretroviral Therapy (ART).

Background: As HIV-positive persons survive longer due to the success of combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) in decreasing mortality, the burden of non-communicable diseases including diabetes mellitus (DM) is anticipated to rise. HIV is characterized by systemic inflammations, markers of which decrease quickly following ART initiation, but typically do not completely normalize. Inflammation may be accompanied by insulin resistance (IR), and both are implicated in the pathogenesis of DM in HIV-positive individuals. Sub-Saharan Africa accounts for almost two-thirds of the global HIV burden but there are few reports of IR, DM and HIV in this region. We assessed the relationship between IR and viral suppression among HIV-positive adults in the Zambian national ART program. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional survey evaluating HIV-positive adults that had received first line ART (usually TDF/FTC/EFV) for 12 months (± 3 months). Twenty clinics were sampled systematically based on the random starting-point, sampling interval and cumulative population size. Eligible patients had plasma viral load (VL), fasting insulin, and glucose performed. Insulin resistance was determined using Homeostatic model assessment (HOMA). We determined proportions for each outcome using linearized standard error 95% confidence intervals and summary estimates. Viral suppression was defined according to the detection threshold of<20 copies/mL and treatment failure was defined as VL>1,000 copies/mL. Results: Of 473 patients enrolled, 46.8% were male and 53.2% were female. 142 (30%) [95% CI: 0.26-0.34] had IR. Among those with IR, 55 (38.7%) were male whereas 87 (61.3%) were female (p value=0.104). 19% of individuals with IR had treatment failure compared to 5.7% without IR (p value<0.0001). 427 (90.3%) participants had treatment success (VL<1,000 copies/mL), and this was associated with a lower likelihood of IR (odds ratio (OR)=0.26 [0.14, 0.48], p value<0.0001). In addition, a significantly lower proportion of patients with IR were virologically suppressed at one-year compared to individuals without IR, 58% [0.54-0.70] versus 70% [0.65-0.75], respectively (p value=0.042). Conclusion: In Zambian adults on ART for a year, the development of insulin resistance was strongly associated with suboptimal HIV outcomes, specifically non-viral suppression and treatment failure. Further investigations are warranted to determine if this positive association between IR and VL is causally related, and if so in which direction.