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1.
Infect Med (Beijing) ; 2(1): 1-10, 2023 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38013778

ABSTRACT

Background: COVID-19 outbreaks in residential care homes for the elderly (RCHEs) and for persons with disability (RCHDs) have caused significant morbidity and mortality during 5th epidemic in Hong Kong. This article reviewed COVID-19 outbreaks situation and estimated the effectiveness of receiving at least two-dose of COVID-19 vaccine in preventing severe outcomes. Methods: To estimate attack rates and vaccination coverage, documentation on COVID-19 infection and their vaccination records of residential care homes (RCH) residents reported between December 31, 2021 and May 31, 2022 were reviewed, and infected cases were follow-up for 4 weeks for severe outcomes or death. Correlation between vaccination coverage against attack rate by types of homes was examined. Infected RCH residents with available information were included in the analysis of vaccine effectiveness against severe outcomes and death. Results: COVID-19 vaccination coverage was low in RCHDs (median 0.46, IQR: 0.24-0.76) and very low in RCHEs (median 0.08, IQR: 0.00-0.19). Higher attack rates were recorded among RCHE residents (median 0.84, IQR: 0.64-0.93) and higher case fatality rate (CFR: 28.1%) than in RCHDs (median 0.58, IQR: 0.31-0.84; CFR: 3.9%). The attack rate decreased when vaccination coverage increased for both RCHEs (ρ = -0.131, p < 0.001) and RCHDs (ρ = -0.333, p < 0.001). Comparing with infected residents who were unvaccinated/vaccinated with one-dose, receiving at least two-dose was estimated to be effective in reducing severe outcomes in 31% and 36% of infected RCHE and RCHD residents respectively; with greater reduction in mortality among RCHD than RCHE residents (54% and 38%, respectively). Vaccine effectiveness of two-dose of BNT162b2 against severe outcomes and death are higher than that of CoronaVac. Conclusions: Increasing COVID-19 vaccination could have significant impact on reducing the risk of COVID-19 outbreaks in RCHs. At least two-dose of COVID-19 vaccine is still effective in reducing severe outcomes and death among infected residents in RCHs during Omicron epidemic.

2.
J Hazard Mater ; 430: 128504, 2022 05 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35739650

ABSTRACT

Airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2 has been increasingly recognized in the outbreak of COVID-19, especially with the Omicron variant. We investigated an outbreak due to Omicron variant in a restaurant. Besides epidemiological and phylogenetic analyses, the secondary attack rates of customers of restaurant-related COVID-19 outbreak before (Outbreak R1) and after enhancement of indoor air dilution (Outbreak R2) were compared. On 27th December 2021, an index case stayed in restaurant R2 for 98 min. Except for 1 sitting in the same table, six other secondary cases sat in 3 corners at 3 different zones, which were served by different staff. The median exposure time was 34 min (range: 19-98 min). All 7 secondary cases were phylogenetically related to the index. Smoke test demonstrated that the airflow direction may explain the distribution of secondary cases. Compared with an earlier COVID-19 outbreak in another restaurant R1 (19th February 2021), which occurred prior to the mandatory enhancement of indoor air dilution, the secondary attack rate among customers in R2 was significantly lower than that in R1 (3.4%, 7/207 vs 28.9%, 22/76, p<0.001). Enhancement of indoor air dilution through ventilation and installation of air purifier could minimize the risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the restaurants.


Subject(s)
Air Pollution, Indoor , COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Disease Outbreaks , Humans , Phylogeny , Restaurants , SARS-CoV-2/genetics
3.
IJID Reg ; 2: 16-24, 2022 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35721421

ABSTRACT

Background: The emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) variants posed considerable threats to the global public health. We reviewed the epidemiology of variant cases and control measures implemented in Hong Kong. Methods: The epidemiological characteristics and the temporal trend of the COVID-19 variant cases and local clusters in Hong Kong, and the corresponding public health control measures were reviewed. Results: Between December 2020 and June 2021, 393 variant cases were reported, including 153, 59 and 79 cases of Alpha, Beta and Delta variants with no Gamma variant. The vast majority (378, 96.2%) were imported cases. Since early June 2021, Delta variant had taken over Alpha as the dominant strain. Public health control measures, including risk-stratified quarantine and testing requirements for inbound travellers, banning of flights from extremely high-risk areas, enhanced contact tracing and quarantine, were implemented. Among the 3 clusters involving local transmissions, 2 were linked to imported cases while the source of the remaining one was unknown. Discussion: Amid the global surges of COVID-19 variants, Hong Kong had continued to limit and prevent the occurrence of community-wide outbreak. Ongoing control strategies should be constantly reviewed and adjusted in response to the global and local COVID-19 situation.

4.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 17: 100281, 2021 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34611629

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Global dissemination of SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern (VOCs) remains a concern. The aim of this study is to describe how mass testing and phylogenetic analysis successfully prevented local transmission of SARS-CoV-2 VOC in a densely populated city with low herd immunity for COVID-19. METHODS: In this descriptive study, we conducted contact tracing, quarantine, and mass testing of the potentially exposed contacts with the index case. Epidemiological investigation and phylogeographic analysis were performed. FINDINGS: Among 11,818 laboratory confirmed cases of COVID-19 diagnosed till 13th May 2021 in Hong Kong, SARS-CoV-2 VOCs were found in 271 (2.3%) cases. Except for 10 locally acquired secondary cases, all SARS-CoV-2 VOCs were imported or acquired in quarantine hotels. The index case of this SARS-CoV-2 VOC B.1.351 epidemic, an inbound traveler with asymptomatic infection, was diagnosed 9 days after completing 21 days of quarantine. Contact tracing of 163 contacts in household, hotel, and residential building only revealed 1 (0.6%) secondary case. A symptomatic foreign domestic helper (FDH) without apparent epidemiological link but infected by virus with identical genome sequence was subsequently confirmed. Mass testing of 0.34 million FDHs identified two more cases which were phylogenetically linked. A total of 10 secondary cases were identified that were related to two household gatherings. The clinical attack rate of household close contact was significantly higher than non-household exposure during quarantine (7/25, 28% vs 0/2051, 0%; p<0.001). INTERPRETATION: The rising epidemic of SARS-CoV-2 VOC transmission could be successfully controlled by contact tracing, quarantine, and rapid genome sequencing complemented by mass testing. FUNDING: Health and Medical Research Fund Commissioned Research on Control of Infectious Disease (see acknowledgments for full list).

6.
Vaccine ; 39(25): 3372-3378, 2021 06 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34016472

ABSTRACT

Effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccine (SIV) varies with the degree of matching with the vaccine and circulating viruses. We continued our SIV effectiveness against medically-attended influenza-like illness (ILI) under the Department of Health Hong Kong's sentinel private medical practitioners (PMP) network, using the test-negative case-control design, for the 2018/19 and 2019/20 season. In addition, we studied the potential interference between SIV and ILI caused by non-influenza respiratory viruses (NIRV) based on data collated from 2017/18 to 2019/20 seasons. 3404 patients were analysed. Across the 2017/18 to 2019/20 seasons, the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of SIV was 44% (95% CI 30-56%) against pan-negative controls, 57% (95%CI. 42-68%) against NIRV controls and 50% (95%CI 38-59%) against both. SIV was moderately effective against medically-attended ILI caused by influenza A/B in both 2018/19 and 2019/20 winter seasons (53.2% (95%CI 36.7-65.5%) and 41.8% (95%CI 6.3-64.1%), respectively). The VE against the main circulating subtype, influenza A(H1), was higher for the 2018/19 season (57.2% (95%CI 39.8-69.9%), compared to 34.6% (95%CI -9.6-61.4%) in the 2019/20 season). When compared to pan negative controls, those with single NIRV infections were similarly likely to have received SIV (OR 1.05 (95%CI 0.72-1.54) within the influenza season; OR 0.97 (95%CI 0.73-1.29) when including non-influenza seasons). Analyses by type of virus showed no increased risk of SIV identified among those with single infections of EV/RV, HMPV and parainfluenza but a 2-fold increased risk was shown for those with single infections of adenovirus and parainfluenza virus (adenovirus: OR 2.54 (95%CI 1.24-5.14) within influenza season and OR 1.78 (95%CI 1.01-3.09) for the whole period; parainfluenza virus: OR 2.01 (95%CI 1.22-3.29) within influenza season and OR 1.89 (95%CI 1.29-2.76) for the whole period). SIV programme and surveillance of influenza and NIRV, including SARS-CoV-2, should continue during the COVID-19 pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza Vaccines , Influenza, Human , Case-Control Studies , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Pandemics , Primary Health Care , SARS-CoV-2 , Seasons , Vaccination
7.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 26(8): 1695-1702, 2020 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32687025

ABSTRACT

We reviewed findings of clinical, epidemiologic, and environmental investigations for 288 confirmed case-patients with Legionnaires' disease reported in Hong Kong, China, during January 2005-December 2015. We found that chronic renal failure/impairment (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 4.09), chronic pulmonary diseases (aOR 3.22), malignancy (aOR 3.04), and heart diseases (aOR 2.15) were independently associated with a higher risk for severe Legionnaires' disease. However, patients with hyperlipidemia had a lower risk for severe outcome (aOR 0.17). Legionella positivity rate was 22% for 1,904 water samples collected. We found a higher positivity rate in summer months (28%-30%), which corroborated with months of highest rainfalls. Our novel finding that Legionnaires' disease patients with hyperlipidemia had a lower risk for severe outcome deserves further study to confirm the observation and ascertain the underlying reason.


Subject(s)
Legionella pneumophila , Legionella , Legionnaires' Disease , China/epidemiology , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Legionnaires' Disease/epidemiology , Water Microbiology
8.
Int J Infect Dis ; 98: 51-58, 2020 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32579906

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Hong Kong, a Special Administrative Region of China, recorded its first confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) case on 23 January 2020. We reviewed the case epidemiology and the various public health measures implemented from January to May 2020. METHODS: The epidemiological and clinical characteristics of the cases recorded in different phases of the epidemic were described and compared, and the effectiveness of the public health measures implemented were reviewed using the changes in the daily number of confirmed cases and the interval from symptom onset to hospital admission. RESULTS: Between January and May 2020, 1084 confirmed COVID-19 cases were reported, about 70% of which had a history of travel during the incubation period. The case fatality ratio was 0.4%. The local epidemic progressed through four phases: (1) preparedness and imported infection from mainland China, (2) local transmission, (3) imported infection from overseas countries associated with local transmission, and (4) controlled imported infection with limited local transmission, with an eventual reduction of the daily case number and minimization of the onset-to-admission interval. Various public health measures, including enhanced surveillance, border control, and social distancing, were introduced in phases in response to the prevailing local and global situations. DISCUSSION: The overall containment strategy in Hong Kong led to a stabilization of the number of cases and the absence of a community-wide outbreak during the 4.5 m after the first case was reported. This strategy of containment might serve as an example for future planning of preparedness and response against novel infectious agents.


Subject(s)
Betacoronavirus , Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , COVID-19 , Child , Child, Preschool , Communicable Diseases, Imported , Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control , Female , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Hospitalization , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Middle Aged , Pandemics , Public Health , SARS-CoV-2 , Travel , Travel-Related Illness , Young Adult
9.
Western Pac Surveill Response J ; 11(4): 36-40, 2020.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34046240

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: An outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was first reported in Wuhan, China, in December 2019, with subsequent spread around the world. Hong Kong Special Administrative Region SAR (China) recorded its first confirmed cases on 23 January 2020. In this report, we describe a family cluster of 12 confirmed cases, with two additional confirmed cases from secondary transmission. METHODS: We reported the epidemiological, clinical and laboratory findings of the family cluster, as well as the public health measures instituted. RESULTS: All 12 confirmed COVID-19 cases were among the 19 attendees of a three-hour Chinese New Year family dinner consisting of hotpot and barbecue dishes. Environmental sampling of the gathering venue was negative. Two additional confirmed cases, who were co-workers of two confirmed cases, were later identified, indicating secondary transmission. Contact tracing, quarantine and environmental disinfection were instituted to contain further spread. DISCUSSION: Our findings were highly suggestive of a superspreading event during the family gathering. The source was likely one of the cases during the pre-symptomatic phase. The event attested to the high infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 through human-to-human transmission from social activities and argued for the necessity of social distancing in curtailing the disease spread.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/transmission , Disease Outbreaks , Family , Holidays , Physical Distancing , Social Behavior , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , COVID-19/virology , China , Contact Tracing , Disinfection , Hong Kong , Humans , Middle Aged , Pandemics , Public Health , Quarantine , SARS-CoV-2 , Young Adult
10.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 16(3): 499-505, 2020 03 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31642729

ABSTRACT

In Hong Kong, universal varicella vaccination was introduced in July 2014 with a two-dose schedule but the vaccines had been available in the private market since 1996. With data from varicella notification and surveys on immunization coverage, we used the screening method to estimate dose-specific varicella vaccine effectiveness (VE) among preschool children in Hong Kong before universal vaccination. We estimated the VE of one- and two-dose varicella vaccination against all notified varicella as 69.4% (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 69.5-71.2) and 93.4% (95% CI 91.7-94.7), respectively. We found that VE did not decrease with time since receipt. Varicella vaccine was more effective against complications (85.4% [95% CI 48.8-95.8] for one dose and 100% [95% CI -Inf to 100] for two doses) and against hospital admission (75.2% [95% CI 53.4-86.8] for one dose and 93.1% [95% CI 47.1-99.1] for two doses). Lower protection of one-dose varicella vaccine resulted in breakthrough varicella. Under universal vaccination, second-dose varicella vaccine (given as combined measles, mumps, rubella and varicella vaccine) was first scheduled for children when they reach primary one (about 6 years of age) and was recently advanced to 18 months of age. Shortening the interval between the first dose and second dose of varicella vaccination should reduce breakthrough varicella and outbreaks in preschool.


Subject(s)
Chickenpox , Mumps , Chickenpox/epidemiology , Chickenpox/prevention & control , Chickenpox Vaccine , Child, Preschool , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Immunization Schedule , Infant , Measles-Mumps-Rubella Vaccine , Vaccination , Vaccines, Combined
11.
Article in English | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-877113

ABSTRACT

Introduction@#Hong Kong SAR (China) achieved measles elimination status in 2016, and the incidence of measles infection had been low over the past few years. However, the Centre for Health Protection (CHP) at the Department of Health was notified on 22 March 2019 of an outbreak of three cases of measles infection among workers at the Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA).@*Methods@#We reviewed notifications of measles received by CHP from 1 January to 17 May 2019. We defined a confirmed case of measles as having laboratory evidence of measles infection. All confirmed cases among airport workers or those with epidemiological information suggesting they had been infected by contact with airport workers were included in the review. We described the epidemiological features and reviewed the control measures against the outbreak.@*Results@#We identified 33 cases, 29 of which were among airport workers. They comprised 22 men and 11 women, aged 20–49 years (median 25 years). The majority of people with confirmed measles presented with fever and rash. All required hospitalization. None developed complications. Control measures, including enhanced environmental hygiene and improved ventilation at HKIA and vaccinations for the airport community, were implemented.@*Discussion@#Early recognition of the outbreak and prompt control measures, especially targeted vaccination of the exposed population, effectively controlled the outbreak in just two weeks.

12.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 40(12): 1407-1415, 2019 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31587686

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To report an outbreak of measles with epidemiological link between Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA) and a hospital. METHODS: Epidemiological investigations, patients' measles serology, and phylogenetic analysis of the hemagglutinin (H) and nucleoprotein (N) genes of measles virus isolates were conducted. RESULTS: In total, 29 HKIA staff of diverse ranks and working locations were infected with measles within 1 month. Significantly fewer affected staff had history of travel than non-HKIA-related measles patients [10 of 29 (34.5%) vs 28 of 35 (80%); P < .01]. Of 9 airport staff who could recall detailed exposure history, 6 (66.7%) had visited self-service food premises at HKIA during the incubation period, where food trays, as observed during the epidemiological field investigation, were not washed after use. Furthermore, 1 airport baggage handler who was admitted to hospital A before rash onset infected 2 healthcare workers (HCWs) known to have 2 doses of MMR vaccination with positive measles IgG and lower viral loads in respiratory specimens. Infections in these 2 HCWs warranted contact tracing of another 168 persons (97 patients and 71 HCWs). Phylogenetic comparison of H and N gene sequences confirmed the clonality of outbreak strains. CONCLUSION: Despite good herd immunity with overall seroprevalence of >95% against measles, major outbreaks of measles occurred among HKIA staff having daily contact with many international pssengers. Lessons from severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and measles outbreaks suggested that an airport can be a strategic epidemic center. Pre-exanthem transmission of measles from airport staff to HCWs with secondary vaccine failure poses a grave challenge to hospital infection control.


Subject(s)
Airports , Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data , Health Personnel , Immunization, Secondary , Measles-Mumps-Rubella Vaccine/administration & dosage , Measles/epidemiology , Adult , Female , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Male , Measles/prevention & control , Measles virus , Middle Aged , Phylogeny , Seroepidemiologic Studies , Treatment Failure
13.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 15(1): 97-101, 2019.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30148689

ABSTRACT

The 2017/18 winter influenza season in Hong Kong started in early January 2018, predominated by influenza B/Yamagata. We collaborated with private medical practitioners of our sentinel surveillance system to collect respiratory specimens and clinical information from patients with influenza-like illness for estimation of the influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) using the test-negative case-control design. We found that the overall VE was 59.1% (95%CI 41.1 to 71.8%) against all influenza and 53.5% (95%CI 35.4 to 74.6%) against influenza B. Seasonal influenza vaccine provided moderate to good protection against laboratory-confirmed influenza infection at primary care level in Hong Kong in the 2017/18 winter influenza season.


Subject(s)
Influenza Vaccines/immunology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Primary Health Care , Vaccine Potency , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Case-Control Studies , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Hospitalization , Humans , Infant , Influenza Vaccines/administration & dosage , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Sentinel Surveillance , Vaccination/statistics & numerical data , Young Adult
15.
J Microbiol Immunol Infect ; 50(2): 183-188, 2017 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26220305

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: We conducted a case series study to review the epidemiology of human influenza A(H7N9) infection reported in Hong Kong. METHODS: We reviewed case records of confirmed human cases of influenza A(H7N9) infection reported in Hong Kong in the 2013-2014 winter season. We compared the median viral shedding duration and interval from illness onset to initiation of oseltamivir treatment between severe and mild cases. We estimated the incubation period of influenza A(H7N9) virus from cases with a single known date of poultry exposure. RESULTS: A total of 10 cases were reported and all were imported infection from Mainland China. Four patients died and the cause of death was related to influenza A(H7N9) infection in two patients. The median interval from illness onset to initiation of oseltamivir treatment for the severe cases (4.5 days) was significantly longer than the mild cases (2 days; p = 0.025). Severe cases had a significantly longer viral shedding duration than mild cases (p = 0.028). The median incubation period for cases with a single known exposure date was 4 days. Nasopharyngeal aspirate taken from the 88 close contacts of the 10 patients all tested negative for influenza A virus using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. CONCLUSION: Delayed administration of antiviral treatment may be associated with a more severe illness for influenza A(H7N9) infection. Despite our aggressive contact tracing policy with laboratory testing of all close contacts, no secondary case was identified which implied that the potential of human-to-human transmission of the circulating influenza A(H7N9) virus remains low.


Subject(s)
Influenza A Virus, H7N9 Subtype/isolation & purification , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/virology , Adolescent , Adult , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Animals , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Child , Child, Preschool , Disease Outbreaks , Female , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Infant , Influenza A Virus, H7N9 Subtype/genetics , Influenza in Birds/epidemiology , Influenza in Birds/transmission , Influenza, Human/drug therapy , Influenza, Human/transmission , Male , Middle Aged , Oseltamivir/therapeutic use , Poultry/virology , Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction/methods , Seasons , Virus Shedding , Young Adult , Zoonoses/epidemiology
16.
Article in English | WPRIM (Western Pacific) | ID: wpr-6744

ABSTRACT

Background:In November 2012, an outbreak of community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (CA-MRSA) skin and soft tissue infections affecting students at a boarding school in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (China) was detected.Methods:A case was defined as any student or staff notified with MRSA infection from 25 October 2012 to 5 July 2013 with the clinical isolate being of staphylococcal cassette chromosome mec type IV or V and positive for Panton-Valentine leukocidin gene. We conducted field investigations, advised on control measures and enhanced surveillance for skin and soft tissue infections at the school. Decolonization therapies were offered to all cases and contacts, and carrier screening was conducted.Results:There were five cases; two (40%) were hospitalized and three (60%) required surgical treatments. Initial screening comprised 240 students and 81 staff members. Overall, four cases (80%) plus eight other students (3.3%) were carriers, with eight of 12 (66.7%) from the same dormitory. All staff members screened negative. After intensified control measures, the number of students screened positive for CA-MRSA decreased from nine to one with no more cases identified in the school.Conclusion:Identification of carriers, decolonization therapy, monitoring of cases and contacts and strengthening of environmental and personal hygiene were control measures that helped contain this CA-MRSA outbreak in a boarding school in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (China).

17.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 19(9)2013.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23968983

ABSTRACT

In response to several influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 infections that developed in passengers after they traveled on the same 2 flights from New York, New York, USA, to Hong Kong, China, to Fuzhou, China, we assessed transmission of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus on these flights. We defined a case of infection as onset of fever and respiratory symptoms and detection of virus by PCR in a passenger or crew member of either flight. Illness developed only in passengers who traveled on the New York to Hong Kong flight. We compared exposures of 9 case-passengers with those of 32 asymptomatic control-passengers. None of the 9 case-passengers, compared with 47% (15/32) of control-passengers, wore a face mask for the entire flight (odds ratio 0, 95% CI 0-0.71). The source case-passenger was not identified. Wearing a face mask was a protective factor against influenza infection. We recommend a more comprehensive intervention study to accurately estimate this effect.


Subject(s)
Aircraft , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Masks , Travel , Adolescent , Adult , Case-Control Studies , Child , Communicable Disease Control/methods , Disease Outbreaks , Female , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Retrospective Studies , Young Adult
20.
J Infect Dis ; 206(12): 1862-71, 2012 Dec 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23045622

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although deaths associated with laboratory-confirmed influenza virus infections are rare, the excess mortality burden of influenza estimated from statistical models may more reliably quantify the impact of influenza in a population. METHODS: We applied age-specific multiple linear regression models to all-cause and cause-specific mortality rates in Hong Kong from 1998 through 2009. The differences between estimated mortality rates in the presence or absence of recorded influenza activity were used to estimate influenza-associated excess mortality. RESULTS: The annual influenza-associated all-cause excess mortality rate was 11.1 (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.2-14.6) per 100,000 person-years. We estimated an average of 751 (95% CI, 488-990) excess deaths associated with influenza annually from 1998 through 2009, with 95% of the excess deaths occurring in persons aged ≥65 years. Most of the influenza-associated excess deaths were from respiratory (53%) and cardiovascular (18%) causes. Influenza A(H3N2) epidemics were associated with more excess deaths than influenza A(H1N1) or B during the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza was associated with a substantial number of excess deaths each year, mainly among the elderly, in Hong Kong in the past decade. The influenza-associated excess mortality rates were generally similar in Hong Kong and the United States.


Subject(s)
Influenza A virus/pathogenicity , Influenza B virus/pathogenicity , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/mortality , Mortality/trends , Adolescent , Adult , Age Factors , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Hong Kong/epidemiology , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Influenza A virus/isolation & purification , Influenza B virus/isolation & purification , Influenza, Human/virology , Male , Middle Aged , United States/epidemiology , Young Adult
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