Underlying causes and long-term survival in patients with initially unexplained cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies of the prognosis of patients with heart failure due to cardiomyopathy categorized patients according to whether they had ischemic or nonischemic disease. The prognostic value of identifying more specific underlying causes of cardiomyopathy is unknown. METHODS: We evaluated the outcomes of 1230 patients with cardiomyopathy. The patients were grouped into the following categories according to underlying cause: idiopathic cardiomyopathy (616 patients), peripartum cardiomyopathy (51); and cardiomyopathy due to myocarditis (111), ischemic heart disease (91), infiltrative myocardial disease (59), hypertension (49), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection (45), connective-tissue disease (39), substance abuse (37), therapy with doxorubicin (15), and other causes (117). Cox proportional-hazards analysis was used to assess the association between the underlying cause of cardiomyopathy and survival. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 4.4 years, 417 patients died and 57 underwent cardiac transplantation. As compared with the patients with idiopathic cardiomyopathy, the patients with peripartum cardiomyopathy had better survival (adjusted hazard ratio for death, 0.31; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.09 to 0.98), and survival was significantly worse among the patients with cardiomyopathy due to infiltrative myocardial disease (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.40; 95 percent confidence interval, 3.04 to 6.39), HIV infection (adjusted hazard ratio, 5.86; 95 percent confidence interval, 3.92 to 8.77), therapy with doxorubicin (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.46; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.67 to 7.18), and ischemic heart disease (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.52; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.07 to 2.17). CONCLUSIONS: The underlying cause of heart failure has prognostic value in patients with unexplained cardiomyopathy. Patients with peripartum cardiomyopathy appear to have a better prognosis than those with other forms of cardiomyopathy. Patients with cardiomyopathy due to infiltrative myocardial diseases, HIV infection, or doxorubicin therapy have an especially poor prognosis.

Detection of HIV DNA in cervical and vaginal secretions. Prevalence and correlates among women in Nairobi, Kenya.

OBJECTIVE: Factors that influence heterosexual transmission of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), including sexually transmitted diseases, contraceptive practices, sexual practices, HIV-related immunosuppression, and presence of cervical ectopy and the penile foreskin, have been identified through cross-sectional and prospective cohort epidemiological studies. To more directly characterize factors that influence infectivity, we conducted a study of HIV shedding from the genital tract in women. DESIGN: Ninety-seven HIV-seropositive women attending a sexually transmitted disease clinic in Nairobi, Kenya, completed a questionnaire and underwent a physical examination and an evaluation for sexually transmitted diseases. Cervical and vaginal secretions were obtained for HIV DNA detection using polymerase chain reaction amplification. RESULTS: Human immunodeficiency virus DNA was detected by polymerase chain reaction in 28 (33%) of 84 cervical samples and 13 (17%) of 77 vaginal samples. The prevalence of HIV was higher in specimens from the endocervix than from the vaginal wall (P = .002), and there was no correlation between presence of virus at the two sites. After adjusting for age, cervical HIV shedding was independently associated with oral contraceptive pill use (odds ratio [OR], 11.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.7 to 77.6), cervical mucopus (OR, 6.2; 95% CI, 0.9 to 41.4; P = .05), cervical ectopy (OR, 5.0; 95% CI, 1.5 to 16.9), and pregnancy (OR, 4.5; 95% CI, 1.2 to 16.3). CONCLUSIONS: Human immunodeficiency virus was detected in one third of cervical samples and one sixth of vaginal samples. The presence of HIV DNA in cervical secretions was significantly associated with oral contraceptive pill use, cervical ectopy, and pregnancy. There was a marginally significant association with cervical mucopus. The identification of factors that increase the infectivity of women suggests potential strategies for reducing heterosexual transmission of HIV.

Association of cervical ectopy with heterosexual transmission of human immunodeficiency virus: results of a study of couples in Nairobi, Kenya.

To identify risk factors involved in heterosexual transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), a cross-sectional study of HIV-seropositive men and their spouses was conducted in Nairobi, Kenya. Of 70 spouses, 40 (57%) were seropositive and 30 (43%) were seronegative for HIV. In univariate analysis, the presence of cervical ectopy (odds ratio, 4.7; P = .006) was the only statistically significant variable associated with HIV infection in women. After controlling for possible confounding variables using multivariate logistic regression analysis, the presence of cervical ectopy (odds ratio, 5.0; P = .007) remained the only independent predictor of HIV seropositivity. These findings suggest that cervical ectopy may be a newly identified risk factor for heterosexual transmission of HIV.