ABSTRACT
Autistic children vary in symptoms, co-morbidities, and response to interventions. This study aimed to identify clusters of autistic children with a distinct pattern of attaining early developmental milestones (EDMs). The clustering of 5836 autistic children was based on the attainment of 43 gross motor, fine motor, language, and social developmental milestones during the first 3 years of life as recorded in baby wellness visits. K-means cluster analysis detected four EDM clusters: mild (n = 1686); moderate (n = 1691); severe (n = 2265); and global (n = 194). The most prominent cluster differences were in the language domain. The global cluster showed earlier and greater developmental delay across domains, unique early gross motor delays, and more were born preterm via cesarean section. The severe cluster had poor language development prominently in the second year of life, and later fine motor delays. Moderate cluster had mainly language delays in the third year of life. The mild cluster mostly passed milestones. EDM clusters differed demographically, with higher socioeconomic status in mild cluster and lowest in global cluster. However, the severe cluster had more immigrant and non-Jewish mothers followed by the moderate cluster. The rates of parental concerns and provider developmental referrals were significantly higher in the global, followed by the severe, moderate, and mild EDM clusters. Autistic children's language and motor delay in the first 3 years can be grouped by common magnitude and onset profiles as distinct groups that may link to specific etiologies (like prematurity or genetics) and specific intervention programs. Early autism screening should be tailored to these different developmental profiles.
ABSTRACT
LAY ABSTRACT: Timely identification of autism spectrum conditions is a necessity to enable children to receive the most benefit from early interventions. Emerging technological advancements provide avenues for detecting subtle, early indicators of autism from routinely collected health information. This study tested a model that provides a likelihood score for autism diagnosis from baby wellness visit records collected during the first 2 years of life. It included records of 591,989 non-autistic children and 12,846 children with autism. The model identified two-thirds of the autism spectrum condition group (boys 63% and girls 66%). Sex-specific models had several predictive features in common. These included language development, fine motor skills, and social milestones from visits at 12-24 months, mother's age, and lower initial growth but higher last growth measurements. Parental concerns about development or hearing impairment were other predictors. The models differed in other growth measurements and birth parameters. These models can support the detection of early signs of autism in girls and boys by using information routinely recorded during the first 2 years of life.
