Infant heart transplantation: improved intermediate results.

OBJECTIVES: Our objectives were to (1) review our experience with heart transplants in infants (age < 6 months), (2) delineate risk factors for 30-day mortality, and (3) compare outcomes between our early and recent experience. METHODS: Records of all infants listed for transplantation in our center before September 1996 were analyzed. Early and recent comparisons were made between chronologic halves of the accrual period. Univariate analysis was used to analyze potential risk factors for 30-day mortality (categorical variables, Fisher's exact test; continuous variables, nonparametric Wilcoxon rank-sum test). Multivariable analysis included univariate variables with p values < or = 0.10. Actuarial survivals were estimated (Kaplan-Meier) and compared by the log-rank test. RESULTS: Fifty-one of the 60 infants listed for transplantation were operated on (waiting list mortality 15%). Thirty-day mortality was 18% overall, 30% in the first 3 years and 10% in the last 3 years (p = 0.07). Sepsis was the commonest cause of early death (4/9). Univariate analysis suggested four potential risk factors for early death: preoperative mechanical ventilation (p = 0.01), prior sternotomy (p = 0.002), preoperative inotropic drugs (p = 0.08), and warm ischemia time (p = 0.08). Multivariable analysis indicated that prior sternotomy (p = 0.01) was an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality. Actuarial survivals were 80%, 78%, and 70% at 1, 2, and 3 years, and these figures improved between early and recent groups (p = 0.05). Late deaths were most commonly due to acute rejection (3/5). CONCLUSIONS: Results of heart transplantation in infancy improve with experience. Prior sternotomy increases initial risk. Intermediate-term survival for infants with end-stage heart disease is excellent.

Early extubation following cardiac surgery in a veterans population.

BACKGROUND: Early tracheal extubation is an important component of the "fast track" cardiac surgery pathway. Factors associated with time to extubation in the Department of Veterans Affairs (DVA) population are unknown. The authors determined associations of preoperative risk and intraoperative clinical process variables with time to extubation in this population. METHODS: Three hundred four consecutive patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft, valve surgery, or both on a fast track clinical pathway between October 1, 1993 and September 30, 1995 at a university-affiliated DVA medical center were studied retrospectively. After univariate screening of a battery of preoperative risk and intraoperative clinical process variables, stepwise logistic regression was used to determine associations with tracheal extubation < or = 10 h (early) or > 10 h (late) after surgery. Postoperative lengths of stay, complications, and 30-day and 6-month mortality rates were compared between the two groups. RESULTS: One hundred forty-six patients (48.3%) were extubated early; one patient required emergent reintubation (0.7%). Of the preoperative risk variables considered, only age (odds ratio, 1.80 per 10-yr increment) and preoperative intraaortic balloon pump (odds ratio, 7.88) were multivariately associated with time to extubation (model R) ("late" association is indicated by an odds ratio >1.00; "early" association is indicated by an odds ratio <1.00). Entry of these risk variables into a second regression model, followed by univariately significant intraoperative clinical process variables, yielded the following associations (model R-P): age (odds ratio, 1.86 per 10-yr increment), sufentanil dose (odds ratio, 1.54 per 1-microg/kg increment), major inotrope use (odds ratio, 5.73), platelet transfusion (odds ratio, 10.03), use of an arterial graft (odds ratio, 0.32), and fentanyl dose (odds ratio, 1.45 per 10-microg/kg increment). Time of arrival in the intensive care unit after surgery was also significant (odds ratio, 1.42 per 1-h increment). Intraoperative clinical process variables added significantly to model performance (P < 0.001 by the likelihood ratio test). CONCLUSIONS: In this population, early tracheal extubation was accomplished in 48% of patients. Intraoperative clinical process variables are important factors to be considered in the timing of postoperative extubation after fast track cardiac surgery.

Long-term survival in spinal cord injury: a fifty year investigation.

The aims of this study were to examine long-term survival in a population-based sample of spinal cord injury (SCI) survivors in Great Britain, identify risk factors contributing to deaths and explore trends in cause of death over the decades following SCI. Current survival status was successfully identified in 92.3% of the study sample. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated and compared with a similar USA study. Relative risk ratio analysis showed that higher mortality risk was associated with higher neurologic level and completeness of spinal cord injury, older age at injury and earlier year of injury. For the entire fifty year time period, the leading cause of death was related to the respiratory system; urinary deaths ranked second followed by heart disease related deaths, but patterns in causes of death changed over time. In the early decades of injury, urinary deaths ranked first, heart disease deaths second and respiratory deaths third. In the last two decades of injury, respiratory deaths ranked first, heart related deaths were second, injury related deaths ranked third and urinary deaths fourth. This study also raises the question of examining alternative neurological groupings for future mortality risk analysis.

Evaluating neurological group homogeneity in assessing the mortality risk for people with spinal cord injuries.

A study of 3178 individuals injured in Britain between 1943 and 1990 and surviving the first year post-injury was conducted to evaluate the homogeneity of mortality risk ratios within groups based on varying degrees of neurological injury level and completeness of the injury. The study shows that it is less than optimal to combine individuals into neurological groupings of C1-C4 ABC, C5-C8 ABC and T1-S5 ABC since the risk ratios are not homogeneous within these groups. Similarly, combining individuals into neurological groupings of tetraplegia complete, tetraplegia incomplete, paraplegia complete and paraplegia incomplete may not be appropriate for the same reasons. The consequence of performing a survival analysis using either of the traditional sets of groups is to dilute the risk ratios for a subset of individuals within a particular group, thereby providing less discrimination between neurological groups. Cox proportional hazards regression was employed to determine a set of neurological groupings with homogeneous risk ratios within a group while providing better differentiation between groups.