Comparison of bleeding risk scores in patients with atrial fibrillation: insights from the RE-LY trial.

BACKGROUND: Oral anticoagulation is the mainstay of stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF), but must be balanced against the associated bleeding risk. Several risk scores have been proposed for prediction of bleeding events in patients with AF. OBJECTIVES: To compare the performance of contemporary clinical bleeding risk scores in 18 113 patients with AF randomized to dabigatran 110 mg, 150 mg or warfarin in the RE-LY trial. METHODS: HAS-BLED, ORBIT, ATRIA and HEMORR2 HAGES bleeding risk scores were calculated based on clinical information at baseline. All major bleeding events were centrally adjudicated. RESULTS: There were 1182 (6.5%) major bleeding events during a median follow-up of 2.0 years. For all the four schemes, high-risk subgroups had higher risk of major bleeding (all P < 0.001). The ORBIT score showed the best discrimination with c-indices of 0.66, 0.66 and 0.62, respectively, for major, life-threatening and intracranial bleeding, which were significantly better than for the HAS-BLED score (difference in c-indices: 0.050, 0.053 and 0.048, respectively, all P < 0.05). The ORBIT score also showed the best calibration compared with previous data. Significant treatment interactions between the bleeding scores and the risk of major bleeding with dabigatran 150 mg BD versus warfarin were found for the ORBIT (P = 0.0019), ATRIA (P < 0.001) and HEMORR2 HAGES (P < 0.001) scores. HAS-BLED score showed a nonsignificant trend for interaction (P = 0.0607). CONCLUSIONS: Amongst the current clinical bleeding risk scores, the ORBIT score demonstrated the best discrimination and calibration. All the scores demonstrated, to a variable extent, an interaction with bleeding risk associated with dabigatran or warfarin.

Anemia predicts thromboembolic events, bleeding complications and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation: insights from the RE-LY trial.

BACKGROUND: Anemia may predispose to thromboembolic events or bleeding in anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether anemia is associated with thromboembolic events and bleeding in patients with AF. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the RE-LY trial database, which randomized 18 113 patients with AF and a risk of stroke to receive dabigatran or warfarin for a median follow-up of 2 years. Cox regression analysis was used to determine whether anemia predicted cardiovascular events and bleeding complications in these patients. RESULTS: Anemia was present in 12% of the population at baseline, and the presence of anemia was associated with a higher risk of thromboembolic cardiovascular events, including the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality or myocardial infarction (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.32-1.71) and the primary RE-LY outcome of stroke or systemic embolism (adjusted HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.12-1.78). Anemia was also associated with a higher risk of major bleeding complications (adjusted HR 2.14, 95% CI 1.87-2.46) and discontinuation of anticoagulants (adjusted HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.28-1.79). The association between anemia and outcome was similar irrespective of cardiovascular comorbidities, randomized treatment allocation, or prior use of warfarin. The incidence of events was lower in patients with transient anemia than in patients in whom anemia was sustained (adjusted HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.49-0.91). CONCLUSIONS: Anemia is associated with an increased risk of thromboembolic events, bleeding complications and mortality in anticoagulated patients with AF. These findings suggest that patients with anemia should be monitored closely during all types of anticoagulant treatment.

Assessing the impact of dabigatran and warfarin on health-related quality of life: results from an RE-LY sub-study.

BACKGROUND: Anticoagulation is recommended in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) to prevent strokes. Vitamin K antagonists, such as warfarin, are associated with numerous practical limitations--frequent anticoagulation monitoring, lifestyle and dietary restrictions--that complicate patient management and may impact health-related quality of life (HRQoL). This study derived HRQoL estimates for AF patients receiving warfarin or dabigatran etexilate (dabigatran), a new oral anticoagulant not requiring anticoagulation monitoring, during one year of stable treatment, i.e. in the absence of outcome events, such as strokes or major bleedings. METHODS: Changes in HRQoL over time and between treatments were assessed using the EQ-5D (utility and Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) scores) at baseline, 3 and 12 months in a sub-group of 1435 patients participating in the RE-LY trial. RE-LY was a phase III study that compared the safety and efficacy of warfarin, dabigatran 150 mg bid and dabigatran 110 mg bid for stroke prevention in patients with AF. RESULTS: Utilities ranged from 0.805 (dabigatran 150 mg bid) to 0.811 (dabigatran 110 mg bid) at baseline, and did not change over the one year observation period. No differences between the dabigatran groups and warfarin were statistically significant except for the dabigatran 150 mg bid group at 3 months. Similarly, none of the within-group or between-group differences in VAS scores were statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Over the course of one year, all anticoagulated patients without outcome events (e.g. strokes or major bleedings) had stable HRQoL. Scores between dabigatran and warfarin were comparable, which was unexpected given the known complexities of warfarin treatment.

Practical use of dabigatran etexilate for stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism, and is the most prevalent factor for cardioembolic stroke. Vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) have been the standard of care for stroke prevention in patients with AF since the early 1990s. They are very effective for the prevention of cardioembolic stroke, but are limited by factors such as drug-drug interactions, food interactions, slow onset and offset of action, haemorrhage and need for routine anticoagulation monitoring to maintain a therapeutic international normalised ratio (INR). Multiple new oral anticoagulants have been developed as potential replacements for VKAs for stroke prevention in AF. Most are small synthetic molecules that target thrombin (e.g. dabigatran etexilate) or factor Xa (e.g. rivaroxaban, apixaban, edoxaban, betrixaban, YM150). These drugs have predictable pharmacokinetics that allow fixed dosing without routine laboratory monitoring. Dabigatran etexilate, the first of these new oral anticoagulants to be approved by the United States Food and Drug Administration and the European Medicines Agency for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular AF, represents an effective and safe alternative to VKAs. Under the auspices of the Regional Anticoagulation Working Group, a multidisciplinary group of experts in thrombosis and haemostasis from Central and Eastern Europe, an expert panel with expertise in AF convened to discuss practical, clinically important issues related to the long-term use of dabigatran for stroke prevention in non-valvular AF. The practical information reviewed in this article will help clinicians make appropriate use of this new therapeutic option in daily clinical practice.

Population pharmacokinetic analysis of the oral thrombin inhibitor dabigatran etexilate in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation from the RE-LY trial.

BACKGROUND: Dabigatran etexilate (DE) is an orally absorbed prodrug of dabigatran, a thrombin inhibitor that exerts potent anticoagulant and antithrombotic activity. OBJECTIVES: To characterize the pharmacokinetics of dabigatran in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) from the Randomized Evaluation of Long-term Anticoagulant Therapy (RE-LY) trial and to quantify the effect of selected factors on pharmacokinetic (PK) model parameters. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 27 706 dabigatran plasma concentrations from 9522 patients who received DE 110 or 150 mg twice daily were analyzed with non-linear mixed-effects modeling. RESULTS: The pharmacokinetics of dabigatran were best described by a two-compartment disposition model with first-order absorption. The covariates creatinine clearance (CRCL), age, sex, heart failure and the ethnic subgroup 'South Asian' exhibited statistically significant effects on apparent clearance of dabigatran. Body weight and hemoglobin significantly influenced the apparent volume of distribution of the central compartment. Concomitant medication with proton-pump inhibitors, amiodarone and verapamil significantly affected the bioavailability. However, all of the statistically significant factors that were identified, except for renal function status, showed only small to moderate effects (< 26% change in exposure at steady state). On the basis of simulations from the final population PK model, a dose of 75 mg twice daily would result in similar exposure for severely renally impaired patients with CRCL of 15-30 mL min(-1) and patients with normal renal function receiving 150 mg twice daily. CONCLUSIONS: The analysis provides a thorough PK characterization of dabigatran in the AF patient population from RE-LY. None of the covariates investigated, with the exception of renal function, warrants dose adjustment.

Defibrillation testing at the time of ICD insertion: an analysis from the Ontario ICD Registry.

BACKGROUND: increasingly, ICD implantation is performed without defibrillation testing (DT). OBJECTIVES: To determine the current frequency of DT, the risks associated with DT, and to understand how physicians select patients to have DT. METHODS: between January 2007 and July 2008, all patients in Ontario, Canada who received an ICD were enrolled in this prospective registry. RESULTS: a total of 2,173 patients were included; 58% had new ICD implants for primary prevention, 25% for secondary prevention, and 17% had pulse generator replacement. DT was carried out at the time of ICD implantation or predischarge in 65%, 67%, and 24% of primary, secondary, and replacement cases respectively (P = <0.0001). The multivariate predictors of a decision to conduct DT included: new ICD implant (OR = 13.9, P < 0.0001), dilated cardiomyopathy (OR = 1.8, P < 0.0001), amiodarone use (OR = 1.5, P = 0.004), and LVEF > 20% (OR = 1.3, P = 0.05). A history of atrial fibrillation (OR = 0.58, P = 0.0001) or oral anticoagulant use (OR = 0.75, P = 0.03) was associated with a lower likelihood of having DT. Age, gender, NYHA class, and history of stroke or TIA did not predict DT. Perioperative complications, including death, myocardial infarction, stroke, tamponade, pneumothorax, heart failure, infection, wound hematoma, and lead dislodgement, were similar among patients with (8.7%) and without (8.3%) DT (P = 0.7) CONCLUSIONS: DT is performed in two-thirds of new ICD implants but only one-quarter of ICD replacements. Physicians favored performance of DT in patients who are at lower risk of DT-related complications and in those receiving amiodarone. DT was not associated with an increased risk of perioperative complications.

Effect of a simple two-step warfarin dosing algorithm on anticoagulant control as measured by time in therapeutic range: a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of vitamin K antagonists for the prevention of thromboembolism are dependent on the time for which the International Normalized Ratio (INR) is in the therapeutic range. The objective of our study was to determine the effect of introducing a simple two-step dosing algorithm, as compared with dosing by anticoagulation clinic staffs on the basis of their experience, on time in therapeutic range (TTR) of warfarin therapy. METHODS: We compared TTRs of all clinic patients before and after the introduction of a simple two-step dosing algorithm at a single anticoagulation clinic in Canada, between 1 August 2006 and 24 December 2008. TTR was calculated using the linear interpolation method of Rosendaal. RESULTS: We included 873 patients in the 'before' phase and 1088 patients in the 'after' phase. Introduction of the dosing algorithm significantly increased TTR of patients with a therapeutic INR range of 2-3 from 67.2% to 73.2% (P < 0.001), and that of patients with a therapeutic INR range of 2.5-3.5 from 49.8% to 63.8% (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The introduction of a simple two-step warfarin-dosing algorithm in place of dosing by experienced anticoagulation clinic staff significantly improved mean TTR for patients in a tertiary-care anticoagulation clinic. This inexpensive and widely applicable algorithm has the potential to improve warfarin control.

Effects of magnesium on atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: a meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy of the administration of magnesium as a method for the prevention of postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) and to evaluate its influence on hospital length of stay (LOS) and mortality. METHODS: Literature search and meta-analysis of the randomised control studies published since 1966. RESULTS: 20 randomised trials were identified, enrolling a total of 2490 patients. Study sample size varied between 20 and 400 patients. Magnesium administration decreased the proportion of patients developing postoperative AF from 28% in the control group to 18% in the treatment group (odds ratio 0.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.38 to 0.75). Data on LOS were available from seven trials (1227 patients). Magnesium did not significantly affect LOS (weighted mean difference -0.07 days of stay, 95% CI -0.66 to 0.53). The overall mortality was low (0.7%) and was not affected by magnesium administration (odds ratio 1.22, 95% CI 0.39 to 3.77). CONCLUSION: Magnesium administration is an effective prophylactic measure for the prevention of postoperative AF. It does not significantly alter LOS or in-hospital mortality.

Physiologic pacing: where pacing mode selection reflects the indication.

Results of recent trials suggest that in patients with left ventricular dysfunction, interventricular synchrony is possibly more important than atrioventricular synchrony. In patients with AV block and conduction system disease, alternatives to right ventricular apical pacing are therefore needed.

Dose-response relations of azimilide in the management of symptomatic, recurrent, atrial fibrillation.

We evaluated the efficacy and safety of azimilide, a new class III antiarrhythmic agent that blocks both the slow and fast components of the cardiac-delayed rectifier potassium currents in 4 randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials with similar protocols. The purpose of this study was to assess the relation between dose and effect. A total of 1,380 patients with a documented history of symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF), atrial flutter, or both, were enrolled. After a 3-day loading period during which the assigned dose was given twice a day, subjects received placebo or azimilide (35, 50, 75, 100, or 125 mg once a day) for the duration of the study period. The primary end point of the studies was the time to symptomatic arrhythmia recurrence with a transtelephonic electrocardiogram typical of AF, atrial flutter, or paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia. For each study, Kaplan-Meier estimates of the median time to recurrence were computed for placebo and for each azimilide dose. Cox proportional-hazards modeling was used to estimate hazard ratios for each active dose. Each of the 2 highest azimilide doses (100 and 125 mg/day) significantly prolonged the time to recurrence of arrhythmia. For the 100 mg/day dose, the hazard ratio was 1.34, 95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.72; p = 0.02. For the 125 mg/day dose, the hazard ratio was 1.32, 95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.62; p = 0.01. Patients with a history of either ischemic heart disease or congestive heart failure had a significantly greater treatment effect from azimilide than those without it. Torsades de Pointes occurred in 0.9% of patients receiving either of the 2 effective doses. Thus, doses of azimilide <100 mg/day are not effective for control of AF, whereas doses of 100 and 125 mg/day are effective with an acceptable risk of serious toxicity.

Effect of clinical risk stratification on cost-effectiveness of the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator: the Canadian implantable defibrillator study.

BACKGROUND: Three randomized clinical trials showed that implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) reduce the risk of death in survivors of ventricular tachyarrhythmias, but the cost per year of life gained is high. A substudy of the Canadian Implantable Defibrillator Study (CIDS) showed that 3 clinical factors, age >/=70 years, left ventricular ejection fraction /=2 of 3 risk factors. Incremental cost-effectiveness of ICD therapy was computed as the ratio of the difference in mean cost to the difference in life expectancy between the 2 groups. Over 6.3 years, the mean cost per patient in the ICD group was Canadian (C) $87 715 versus $38 600 in the amiodarone group (C$1 approximately US$0.67). Life expectancy for the ICD group was 4.58 years versus 4.35 years for amiodarone, for an incremental cost-effectiveness of ICD therapy of C$213 543 per life-year gained. The cost per life-year gained in patients with >/=2 factors was C$65 195, compared with C$916 659 with <2 risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: The cost-effectiveness of ICD therapy varies by patient risk factor status. The use of ICD therapy in patients who have >/=2 risk factors of age >/=70 years, left ventricular ejection fraction

Progression to chronic atrial fibrillation after pacing: the Canadian Trial of Physiologic Pacing. CTOPP Investigators.

OBJECTIVES: This study examined the effect of physiologic pacing on the development of chronic atrial fibrillation (CAF) in the Canadian Trial Of Physiologic Pacing (CTOPP). BACKGROUND: The role of physiologic pacing to prevent CAF remains unclear. Small randomized studies have suggested a benefit for patients with sick sinus syndrome. No data from a large randomized trial are available. METHODS: The CTOPP randomized patients undergoing first pacemaker implant to ventricular-based or physiologic pacing (AAI or DDD). Patients who were prospectively found to have persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) lasting greater than or equal to one week were defined as having CAF. Kaplan-Meier plots for the development of CAF were compared by log-rank test. The effect of baseline variables on the benefit of physiologic pacing was evaluated by Cox proportional hazards modeling. RESULTS: Physiologic pacing reduced the development of CAF by 27.1%, from 3.84% per year to 2.8% per year (p = 0.016). Three clinical factors predicted the development of CAF: age > or =74 years (p = 0.057), sinoatrial (SA) node disease (p < 0.001) and prior AF (p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis demonstrated a trend for patients with no history of myocardial infarction or coronary disease (p = 0.09) as well as apparently normal left ventricular function (p = 0.11) to derive greatest benefit. CONCLUSIONS: Physiologic pacing reduces the annual rate of development of chronic AF in patients undergoing first pacemaker implant. Age > or =74 years, SA node disease and prior AF predicted the development of CAF. Patients with structurally normal hearts appear to derive greatest benefits.

Relationship between pacemaker dependency and the effect of pacing mode on cardiovascular outcomes.

BACKGROUND: A recently completed trial, the Canadian Trial of Physiological Pacing (CTOPP), showed that physiological pacing did not significantly reduce mortality, stroke, or heart failure hospitalization, but it did show that atrial fibrillation occurred less frequently in patients with physiological pacing. Many pacemaker patients experience only transient bradyarrhythmias with an adequate unpaced heart rate (UHR) and are not pacemaker-dependent. The purpose of the present analysis was to determine if pacemaker-dependent patients have an increased benefit from physiological pacing compared with non-pacemaker-dependent patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of 2568 patients included in the CTOPP trial, 2244 patients had a pacemaker dependency test performed at the first follow-up visit. The yearly event rate of cardiovascular death or stroke steadily increased with decreasing UHR in the ventricular pacing group, but it remained constant in the physiological pacing group. When the patients were subdivided to UHR 60 bpm, there was an interaction between pacing mode treatment and UHR subgroup. The Kaplan-Meier plot confirmed a physiological pacing advantage only in the UHR

New-onset atrial fibrillation: sex differences in presentation, treatment, and outcome.

BACKGROUND: Although sex differences in coronary artery disease have received considerable attention, few studies have dealt with sex differences in the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, atrial fibrillation (AF). Differences in presentation and clinical course may dictate different approaches to detection and management. We sought to examine sex-related differences in presentation, treatment, and outcome in patients presenting with new-onset AF. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Canadian Registry of Atrial Fibrillation (CARAF) enrolled subjects at the time of first ECG-confirmed diagnosis of AF. Participants were followed at 3 months, at 1 year, and annually thereafter. Treatment was at the discretion of the patients' physicians and was not directed by CARAF investigators. Baseline and follow-up data collection included a detailed medical history, clinical, ECG, and echocardiographic measures, medication history, and therapeutic interventions. Three hundred thirty-nine women and 560 men were followed for 4.14+/-1.39 years. Compared with men, women were older at the time of presentation, more likely to seek medical advice because of symptoms, and experienced significantly higher heart rates during AF. Compared with older men, older women were half as likely to receive warfarin and twice as likely to receive acetylsalicylic acid. Compared with men on warfarin, women on warfarin were 3.35 times more likely to experience a major bleed. CONCLUSIONS: Anticoagulants are underused in older women with AF relative to older men with AF, despite comparable risk profiles. Women receiving warfarin have a significantly higher risk of major bleeding, suggesting the need for careful monitoring of anticoagulant intensity in women.

Cost-effectiveness of the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator: results from the Canadian Implantable Defibrillator Study (CIDS).

BACKGROUND: In the Canadian Implantable Defibrillator Study (CIDS), we assessed the cost-effectiveness of the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) in reducing the risk of death in survivors of previous ventricular tachycardia (VT) or fibrillation (VF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Healthcare resource use was collected prospectively on the first 430 patients enrolled in CIDS (n=212 ICD, n=218 amiodarone). Mean cost per patient, adjusted for censoring, was computed for each group based on initial therapy assignment. Incremental cost-effectiveness of ICD therapy was computed as the ratio of the difference in cost (ICD minus amiodarone) to the difference in life expectancy (both discounted at 3% per year). All costs are in 1999 Canadian dollars (C$1 approximately US$0.65). Over 6.3 years, mean cost per patient in the ICD group was C$87 715 versus C$38 600 in the amiodarone group (difference C$49 115; 95% CI C$25 502 to C$69 508). Life expectancy for the ICD group was 4.58 years versus 4.35 years for amiodarone (difference 0.23, 95% CI -0.09 to 0.55), for incremental cost-effectiveness of ICD therapy of C$213 543 per life-year gained. ICD benefit was greater in patients with low left ventricular ejection fraction (<35%), and cost-effectiveness in this group was more attractive (C$108 484). Alternative extrapolations of survival benefit and costs to 12 years indicated cost-effectiveness in the range of C$100 000 to C$150 000 per life-year gained. CONCLUSIONS: At C$213 543, the value for the money offered by ICD therapy is not attractive by currently accepted standards. Further research is warranted to identify the indications and patient subgroups for whom ICDs are a cost-effective use of resources.

Circadian variation of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation. PA3 Investigators. Atrial Pacing Peri-ablation for Prevention of Atrial Fibrillation Trial.

The circadian variation of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) was studied in 67 patients who received a dual-chamber pacemaker 3 months before a planned atrioventricular node ablation. A distinct circadian variation of AF was observed with 2 time peaks in initiation (1 in the early morning and 1 in the early evening hours), which was modulated by atrial pacing, the duration of AF, and the use of beta-adrenergic blocking agents.