AN ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD PREDICTION MODEL TO IDENTIFY INADEQUATE BOWEL PREPARATION IN PATIENTS AT OUTPATIENT COLONOSCOPY.

Background and Aims: Inadequate bowel preparation during colonoscopy is associated with decreased adenoma detection, increased costs, and patient procedural risks. This study aimed to develop a prediction model for identifying patients at high risk of inadequate bowel preparation for potential clinical integration into the EMR. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted using outpatient screening/surveillance colonoscopies at the University of North Carolina (UNC) from 2017 to 2022. Data were extracted from the EMRs of Epic and ProVation, including demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical variables. Logistic regression, LASSO regression, and gradient boosting machine (GBM) models were evaluated and validated in a held-out testing set. Results: The dataset included 23,456 colonoscopies, of which 6.25% had inadequate bowel preparation. The reduced LASSO regression model demonstrated an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.65 [95% CI 0.63-0.67] in the held-out testing set. The relative risk of inadequate bowel prep in the high-risk group determined by the model was 2.42 (95% CI 2.07-2.82), compared to patients identified as low risk. The model calibration in the testing set revealed that among patients categorized as having 0-11%, 11-22%, and 22-33% predicted risk of inadequate prep, the respective proportions of patients with inadequate prep were 5.5%, 19.3%, and 33.3%. Using the reduced LASSO model, a rudimentary code for a potential Epic FHIR application called PrepPredict was developed. Conclusions: This study developed a prediction model for inadequate bowel preparation with the potential to integrate into the EMR for clinical use and optimize bowel preparation to improve patient care.

Prevalence and Costs of Esophageal Strictures in the United States.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Esophageal strictures are a leading cause of dysphagia, but data regarding the epidemiology of esophageal strictures are limited. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence, health care utilization, and financial burden of esophageal strictures in the United States. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using 2 large national insurance claims databases (MarketScan and Medicare). Using International Classification of Diseases-9 and -10 diagnostic codes, annual prevalence was calculated for both cohorts overall, and stratified by age and sex strata. Most common diagnostic and procedural codes associated with esophageal strictures were extracted and analyzed to estimate health care utilization. Direct annual medical costs of esophageal strictures were calculated. RESULTS: The annual prevalence of esophageal strictures in MarketScan in 2021 was 203.14 cases/100,000 people, whereas the annual prevalence in Medicare cohort in 2017 was 1123.47 cases/100,000. Although rates were relatively stable over time, esophageal stricture prevalence increased with advancing age. No prevalence differences were noticed between males and females. Gastroesophageal reflux disease/erosive esophagitis was the top diagnostic code associated with esophageal strictures, although an increase in the proportion of eosinophilic esophagitis codes was noted over time. Esophageal dilation codes were present in ∼50% of stricture cases. The total health care costs associated with esophageal strictures were estimated at $1.39 billion in 2017. CONCLUSIONS: Esophageal strictures are common, affecting between 1/100 and 1/1000 patients in the United States, with the highest rates seen in patients aged 75 years and older. Accordingly, strictures have a significant financial burden on the health care system, with costs greater than $1 billion annually.

Next-generation endoscopic probe for detection of esophageal dysplasia using combined OCT and angle-resolved low-coherence interferometry.

Angle-resolved low-coherence interferometry (a/LCI) is an optical technique that enables depth-specific measurements of nuclear morphology, with applications to detecting epithelial cancers in various organs. Previous a/LCI setups have been limited by costly fiber-optic components and large footprints. Here, we present a novel a/LCI instrument incorporating a channel for optical coherence tomography (OCT) to provide real-time image guidance. We showcase the system's capabilities by acquiring imaging data from in vivo Barrett's esophagus patients. The main innovation in this geometry lies in implementing a pathlength-matched single-mode fiber array, offering substantial cost savings while preserving signal fidelity. A further innovation is the introduction of a specialized side-viewing probe tailored for esophageal imaging, featuring miniature optics housed in a custom 3D-printed enclosure attached to the tip of the endoscope. The integration of OCT guidance enhances the precision of tissue targeting by providing real-time morphology imaging. This novel device represents a significant advancement in clinical translation of an enhanced screening approach for esophageal precancer, paving the way for more effective early-stage detection and intervention strategies.

Incidence and Prediction of Unrelated Mortality After Successful Endoscopic Eradication Therapy for Barrett's Neoplasia.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Follow-up (FU) strategies after endoscopic eradication therapy (EET) for Barrett's neoplasia do not consider the risk of mortality from causes other than esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). We aimed to evaluate this risk during long-term FU, and to assess whether the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) can predict mortality. METHODS: We included all patients with successful EET from the nationwide Barrett registry in the Netherlands. Data were merged with National Statistics for accurate mortality data. We evaluated annual mortality rates (AMRs, per 1000 person-years) and standardized mortality ratio for other-cause mortality. Performance of the CCI was evaluated by discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: We included 1154 patients with a mean age of 64 years (±9). During median 59 months (p25-p75 37-91; total 6375 person-years), 154 patients (13%) died from other causes than EAC (AMR, 24.1; 95% CI, 20.5-28.2), most commonly non-EAC cancers (n = 58), cardiovascular (n = 31), or pulmonary diseases (n = 26). Four patients died from recurrent EAC (AMR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.1-1.4). Compared with the general Dutch population, mortality was significantly increased for patients in the lowest 3 age quartiles (ie, age <71 years). Validation of CCI in our population showed good discrimination (Concordance statistic, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.72-0.84) and fair calibration. CONCLUSION: The other-cause mortality risk after successful EET was more than 40 times higher (48; 95% CI, 15-99) than the risk of EAC-related mortality. Our findings reveal that younger post-EET patients exhibit a significantly reduced life expectancy when compared with the general population. Furthermore, they emphasize the strong predictive ability of CCI for long-term mortality after EET. This straightforward scoring system can inform decisions regarding personalized FU, including appropriate cessation timing. (NL7039).

Adherence to prescription proton pump inhibitor therapy amongst individuals diagnosed with Barrett's esophagus.

INTRODUCTION: In the United States, clinical guidelines recommend daily use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) amongst individuals diagnosed with Barrett's esophagus to decrease the risk of progression to dysplasia and neoplasia. Prior studies documenting adherence to PPIs in this population have not characterized heterogeneity in adherence patterns. Factors that may relate to adherence are incompletely described. METHODS: We used administrative claims data from the Merative MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database to conduct a retrospective study of adherence to prescription PPIs. A cohort of individuals diagnosed with incident Barrett's esophagus between 2010 and 2019 was identified. Group-based trajectory models were generated to detect longitudinal adherence subgroups. RESULTS: 79 701 individuals with a new diagnosis of Barrett's esophagus were identified. The best fitting model detected five distinct adherence trajectory groups: consistently high (44% of the population), moderate decline (18%), slow decline (12%), rapid decline (10%), and decline-then-increase (16%). Compared to individuals starting PPIs, those already using PPIs were less likely to have a declining adherence pattern. Other factors associated with membership in a declining adherence group included (but were not limited to): female sex, having a past diagnosis of anxiety or depression, and having one or more emergency department visits in the past year. DISCUSSION: Using an exploratory method, we detected heterogeneity in adherence to prescription PPIs. Less than half of individuals were classified into the consistently high adherence group, suggesting that many individuals with Barrett's esophagus receive inadequate pharmacologic therapy.

Liquid nitrogen spray cryotherapy for eradication of dysplastic Barrett's esophagus: results from a multicenter prospective registry.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Liquid nitrogen spray cryotherapy (SCT) is an alternative to radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for eradication of dysplastic Barrett's esophagus (BE). We aimed to assess the safety, efficacy, and durability of SCT in a multicenter U.S. registry. METHODS: This is a multicenter prospective registry of adults with BE treated with truFreeze Spray Cryotherapy (Steris, Mentor, Ohio, USA) (4 community and 11 academic sites, 2013-2022). Complete eradication of intestinal metaplasia (CEIM) and dysplasia (CED) were assessed in BE with dysplasia or intramucosal adenocarcinoma. Kaplan-Meier analysis of CEIM and CED was performed. Hazard ratios for CEIM stratified by baseline risk factors were calculated. RESULTS: Among 138 subjects with low-grade dysplasia (24%), high-grade dysplasia (49%), and intramucosal adenocarcinoma (27%), 34% received prior RFA therapy. Subjects received a median of 2 SCT sessions. Adverse events were uncommon, with 5.5% reporting strictures and 0.7% a perforation. Rates of CEIM and CED, respectively, were 66% and 84% after 2 years and 67% and 92% after 3 years. In RFA-naive patients, CEIM was 77% and CED was 96% at 3 years. Increasing BE length (per centimeter: adjusted hazard ratio, 0.90; 95% confidence interval, 0.83-0.96) and prior treatment with RFA (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.39; 95% confidence interval, 0.22-0.69) were associated with a lower rate of CEIM. Recurrence occurred in 8.8% (n = 6) at a mean follow-up of 2.5 years after CEIM. CONCLUSION: In this largest reported prospective cohort, liquid nitrogen SCT was safe and effective for the treatment of dysplastic and neoplastic BE. Response was lower in those with prior failed RFA; in that cohort, approximately 50% attained CEIM at 3 years.

Increasing Age at the Time of Diagnosis and Evolving Phenotypes of Eosinophilic Esophagitis Over 20 Years.

BACKGROUND: The presentation of eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) is heterogeneous, but trends over time are not known. AIM: To determine whether clinical and endoscopic phenotypes at EoE diagnosis have changed over the past 2 decades. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, adults and children with newly diagnosed EoE were phenotyped as follows: (1) inflammatory vs fibrostenotic vs mixed on endoscopy; (2) atopic vs non-atopic; (3) age at symptom onset; (4) age at diagnosis; (5) presence of autoimmune or connective tissue disease; and (6) responsive to steroids. The prevalence of different phenotypes was categorized by 5-year intervals. Multivariate analysis was performed to assess for changes in patient features over time. RESULTS: Of 1187 EoE patients, age at diagnosis increased over time (from 22.0 years in 2002-2006 to 31.8 years in 2017-2021; p < 0.001) as did the frequency of dysphagia (67% to 92%; p < 0.001). Endoscopic phenotypes were increasingly mixed (26% vs 68%; p < 0.001) and an increasing proportion of patients had later onset of EoE. However, there were no significant trends for concomitant autoimmune/connective tissue disease or steroid responder phenotypes. On multivariate analysis, after accounting for age, dysphagia, and food impaction, the increase in the mixed endoscopic phenotype persisted (aOR 1.51 per each 5-year interval, 95% CI 1.31-1.73). CONCLUSION: EoE phenotypes have changed over the past two decades, with increasing age at diagnosis and age at symptom onset. The mixed endoscopic phenotype also increased, even after controlling for age and symptomatology. Whether this reflects changes in provider recognition or disease pathophysiology is yet to be elucidated.

Gastrointestinal-isolated Distress is Common in Alpha-gal Allergic Patients on Mammalian Meat Challenge.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alpha-gal allergy causes a delayed reaction to mammalian meats and has been reported worldwide. Patients with the allergy may present with isolated gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms, but this phenotype is poorly understood. METHODS: We pooled and analyzed symptoms and demographics of patients from two prospective cohorts of patients with a diagnosis of alpha-gal allergy who reacted after eating mammalian meat under observation. We compared the characteristics of patients who demonstrated GI-isolated symptoms on a challenge with those who exhibited symptoms outside the GI tract (skin, respiratory, and circulatory). RESULTS: Among the 91 children and adult alpha-gal allergic patients who exhibited symptoms after oral challenge with mammalian meat, 72.5% experienced GI distress with one or more GI symptoms, which was the most frequent class of symptoms, compared with skin changes in 57.1% and respiratory distress in 5.5%. The most common GI symptoms were abdominal pain (71%) and vomiting (22.0%). GI-isolated symptoms occurred in 37 patients (40.7%) who reacted, and those patients reacted more quickly than patients who exhibited systemic symptoms (median onset of symptoms in GI-isolated group 90 min vs 120 min) and were more likely to be children than adults (relative risk=1.94, 95% CI: 1.04-3.63). CONCLUSIONS: Isolated-GI distress occurred in 4 in every 10 alpha-gal allergic individuals who developed symptoms on oral food challenge with mammalian meat. Alpha-gal allergic patients, particularly children, may exhibit GI distress alone, and adult and pediatric gastroenterologists should be aware of the diagnosis and management of the allergy.

Proximity to Swine Farming Operations as a Risk Factor for Eosinophilic Esophagitis.

We aimed to determine whether residential proximity to permitted swine facilities was associated with an increased risk of eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) by conducting a case-control study using 2 complementary data sources: 1 from a tertiary care center (n = 401 cases and 1805 controls) and 1 from a large pathology group (n = 904 cases and 4074 controls). Addresses of the subjects and swine facilities were geocoded, and adjusted odds of EoE relative to proximity to and density of swine facilities were calculated. We observed a positive association between proximity to a permitted swine facility (<1 mile) and odds of EoE (adjusted odds ratio R, 2.56; 95% CI, 1.33-4.95) in the tertiary center data; density of farms (>10 farms/census tract) was also positively associated (adjusted odds ratio, 2.76; 95% CI, 1.30-5.84). However, this association was not observed in the pathology database. Though proximity to and density of swine operations were associated with EoE, associations were sensitive to the database used.

Development of a model to identify patients who do not need oesophageal biopsies when eosinophilic oesophagitis is suspected.

BACKGROUND: Predictive models for eosinophilic oesophagitis (EoE) may not fully rule in the diagnosis. AIM: To develop a reverse model that predicts against EoE to eliminate the need for oesophageal biopsies. METHODS: In this two-centre study, a predictive model was developed (Mayo Clinic) and validated (University of North Carolina [UNC]). Cross-sectional data from consecutive adult patients without prior EoE who underwent upper enoscopy with oesophageal biopsies were used. EoE cases had ≥15 eosinophils/high-power field while controls had no eosinophils. Data were collected on patient clinical and endoscopic features. Multiple variable logistic regression was used to identify predictors of non-EoE status while maintaining specificity ≥95%. A secondary model was developed to predict against the need for endoscopy in patients suspected of having EoE without alarm symptoms. RESULTS: The Mayo and UNC cohorts consisted of 345 (EoE = 94, non-EoE = 251) and 297 patients (EoE = 84, non-EoE = 213), respectively. A primary model based on clinical and endoscopic features predicted against EoE with c-statistic 0.92 (95% CI: 0.88-0.96), specificity 95%, and sensitivity 65%. This model was validated (UNC) with c-statistic 0.87 (95% CI: 0.82-0.92). A simplified scoring system was created and a threshold of ≥12 points excluded EoE with 95% specificity and 50% sensitivity. A secondary model based on clinical characteristics alone predicted against EoE with c-statistic 0.86 (95% CI: 0.82-0.90), specificity 95% and sensitivity 39% and validated (UNC) with c-statistic 0.78 (95% CI: 0.71-0.85). CONCLUSION: A simplified scoring system accurately identified a group of patients with a low likelihood of EoE where unnecessary oesophageal biopsies can be avoided, potentially resulting in resource and cost savings.

Feeding Tube Placement, Complications, and Treatment Responses in a Large Eosinophilic Esophagitis Patient Population.

OBJECTIVES: Feeding tubes can provide a temporary or long-term solution for nutritional therapy. Little is known regarding the use of feeding tubes in patients with eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE). We sought to describe the characteristics and outcomes in EoE patients requiring tube feeding. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of EoE patients at a large tertiary care health system. Demographics, clinical characteristics, and endoscopic findings were extracted from medical records, and patients who had a feeding tube were identified. Patients with and without a feeding tube were compared. Details about the tube, complications, and treatment were extracted. Growth, global symptomatic, endoscopic, and histopathologic (<15 eos/hpf) responses were compared before and after the initiation of feeding tube therapy. RESULTS: We identified 39 of 1216 EoE patients who had a feeding tube (3%). Feeding tube patients were younger (mean age 6.3 years), reported more vomiting, and had a lower total endoscopic reference score than non-feeding tube patients ( P < 0.01 for all). Tubes were used for therapy for an average of 6.8 years, with most patients (95%) receiving both pharmacologic and formula treatment for EoE. An emergency department visit for a tube complication was required in 26%. Tube feeding improved body mass index z score ( P < 0.01), symptomatic response (42%), endoscopic response (53%), and histologic response (71%). CONCLUSIONS: Among EoE patients, only a small subset required a feeding tube and predominantly were young children with failure to thrive. Feeding tubes significantly improved growth and, when used in combination with other treatments, led to reduced esophageal eosinophilic inflammation.

A Newly Proposed Severity Index for Eosinophilic Esophagitis is Associated With Baseline Clinical Features and Successful Treatment Response.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The Index of Severity for EoE (I-SEE) was recently developed. We aimed to determine the relationship between features of eosinophilic esophagitis and disease severity, and assess change in disease severity with topical corticosteroid treatment, using I-SEE. METHODS: We performed a post hoc analysis of an 8-week randomized trial comparing 2 topical corticosteroid formulations in newly diagnosed patients with eosinophilic esophagitis. I-SEE was calculated at baseline and posttreatment, and patients were classified as mild (1-6 points), moderate (7-14 points), severe (≥15 points), or inactive (0 points). We analyzed clinical, endoscopic, and histologic features at baseline by disease severity, and examined the change in severity before and after treatment, and by histologic response (<15 eosinophils per high-power field). RESULTS: Of 111 subjects randomized, 20 (18%) were classified as mild, 75 (68%) as moderate, and 16 (14%) as severe at baseline. Increasing severity was associated with lower body mass index (30 for mild, 27 for moderate, 24 for severe; P = .01), longer duration of dysphagia symptoms before diagnosis (9 years for mild, 9 for moderate, and 20 for severe; P < .001), and decreasing esophageal diameter (15 mm for mild, 13 for moderate, and 10 for severe; P < .001). Mean severity score decreased after treatment (11 vs 4; P < .001), with lower scores in histologic responders compared with nonresponders (2 vs 9; P < .001). The severity score at baseline predicted need for dilation at follow-up (C statistic, 0.81). CONCLUSIONS: The newly developed I-SEE correlates with many clinical features at diagnosis, and severity improves with successful topical corticosteroid treatment. Additional investigations in other populations can further confirm its utility.

Management of Dysplastic Barrett's Esophagus and Early Esophageal Adenocarcinoma.

While patients with Barrett's esophagus without dysplasia may benefit from endoscopic surveillance, those with low-grade dysplasia may be managed with either endoscopic surveillance or endoscopic eradication. Patients with Barrett's esophagus with high-grade dysplasia and/or intramucosal adenocarcinoma will generally require endoscopic eradication therapy. The management of Barrett's esophagus with dysplasia and early esophageal adenocarcinoma is predominantly endoscopic, with multiple effective methods available for the resection of raised neoplasia and ablation of flat neoplasia. High-dose proton-pump inhibitor therapy is advised during the treatment of Barrett's esophagus with dysplasia and early esophageal adenocarcinoma. After the endoscopic eradication of Barrett's esophagus and associated neoplasia, surveillance is required for the diagnosis and retreatment of recurrence or progression.

Low Prevalence of Endoscopic Screening for Barrett's Esophagus in a Screening-Eligible Primary Care Population.

INTRODUCTION: Despite societal recommendations supporting Barrett's esophagus (BE) screening, it is unknown what proportion of eligible patients is screened in primary care. We assessed the proportion of BE screening- eligible patients evaluated in the primary care setting receiving upper esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) and identified factors associated with undergoing EGD. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of BE screening-eligible patients, as defined by the American College of Gastroenterology's BE guidelines, in a multipractice healthcare network consisting of 64 internal medicine practices and 94 family medicine (FM) practices. The proportion undergoing EGD, prevalence of BE and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) in this group, and patient and provider factors associated with undergoing EGD were assessed. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors of undergoing EGD. RESULTS: Of 1,127 screening-eligible patients, the mean age was 65.2 ± 8.6 years; 45% were obese; and 61% were smokers. Seventy-three percent were seeing FM; 94% were on proton pump inhibitors; and 44% took ≥1 gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) medication. Only 39% of patients (n = 436) had undergone EGD. The overall prevalence of BE or EAC was 9.9%. Of 39 (9%) referred for BE screening as the primary indication, BE/EAC prevalence was 35.1%. Factors associated with increased odds of having EGD were symptomatic GERD despite treatment (odds ratio [OR] 12.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 9.1-16.3), being on ≥1 GERD medication (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.0-1.9), and being an FM patient (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1-2.1). DISCUSSION: In this large, primary care population, only 39% of screening-eligible patients underwent EGD. Most of the examinations were triggered by refractory symptoms rather than screening referrals, highlighting a need for improved dissemination and implementation of BE screening.

Posttreatment Gene Scores Support Histologic and Endoscopic Response Thresholds in Eosinophilic Esophagitis.

INTRODUCTION: The correlation between clinical and molecular treatment response thresholds in eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) is not well understood. METHODS: We evaluated posttreatment EoE diagnostic panel gene expression profiles across histologic and endoscopic thresholds (EREFS) in a prospective adult EoE cohort. RESULTS: We observed a strong inverse correlation between posttreatment gene score and eosinophil count (R = -0.66; P < 0.001); biopsies with <15 eos/hpf had higher gene scores (≥425) vs those with ≥15 eos/hpf. Findings for EREFS were similar; EREFS ≤2 was associated with EoE diagnostic panel scores ≥395. DISCUSSION: Molecular signatures support the use of posttreatment response thresholds <15 eos/hpf and EREFS ≤2 in clinical practice and trials.

Surveillance After Treatment of Barrett's Esophagus Benefits Those With High-Grade Dysplasia or Intramucosal Cancer Most.

INTRODUCTION: Endoscopic eradication therapy with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and endoscopic mucosal resection is a safe and effective treatment for Barrett's esophagus. Although the outcomes of surveillance endoscopy after successful endoscopic eradication therapy have been described, no previous studies have modeled the natural history or the effect of surveillance endoscopy after successful ablation to prevent progression to invasive esophageal adenocarcinoma. METHODS: The US RFA Registry is a multicenter registry consisting of patients treated with RFA for Barrett's esophagus at 148 institutions (113 community-based and 35 academic-affiliated). The authors fit models to impute the natural history of recurrence and neoplastic progression after any recurrence or retreatment. Natural history estimates of invasive adenocarcinoma after ablation therapy were compared with as-treated estimates at 5 years to derive the preventive risk difference for surveillance. RESULTS: Natural history estimates for the postablation progression of high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or intramucosal adenocarcinoma to invasive adenocarcinoma after treatment were 6.3% at 5 years compared with 1.3% for low-grade dysplasia (LGD). The natural history model found a much higher preventative risk difference for surveillance for HGD/intramucosal adenocarcinoma (-4.8%), compared with LGD (-1.1%). The numbers needed to surveil at 5 years were 21 and 90 for these groups, respectively, to prevent one case of invasive esophageal adenocarcinoma, making surveillance after successful ablation of baseline HGD more than 4 times as effective at preventing invasive cancer than after successful ablation of baseline LGD. DISCUSSION: Endoscopic surveillance after successful ablation of baseline HGD or intramucosal cancer is much more effective than surveillance after successful treatment of baseline LGD in averting invasive adenocarcinoma. Although the modest benefits of surveillance for treated LGD may be greater than the risks for patients at average risk for adverse effects of endoscopy, clinicians should concentrate on retaining patients with baseline HGD or cancer in endoscopic surveillance programs.

Autoimmune and viral risk factors are associated with achalasia: A case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Achalasia is a rare esophageal motility disorder of uncertain etiology. While past studies have indicated that autoimmune conditions and viral infections may be associated with development of achalasia, these associations are yet to be examined in large, population-based studies. METHODS: A matched case-control study was performed using administrative claim data from the IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters Database between 2000 and 2019. A history of selected autoimmune conditions and viral infections was assessed using past medical claims. Multivariable conditional logistic regression was used to account for the matched nature of the study design and further control for confounding by demographic and clinical characteristics when reporting adjusted odds ratios (aORs). KEY RESULTS: Among 6769 cases and 27,076 controls, presence of any of the autoimmune conditions studied was associated with increased odds of achalasia (aOR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.42). Scleroderma or systemic sclerosis (aOR = 8.13, 95% CI: 3.34, 19.80) and Addison's disease (aOR = 3.83, 95% CI: 1.83, 8.04) had the strongest associations with achalasia. Presence of any of the viral infections studied was also associated with an increased risk of achalasia (aOR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.23, 2.01). Varicella zoster virus (aOR = 3.84, 95% CI: 1.94, 7.62) and human papillomavirus (aOR = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.15, 2.73) both had strong relationships with achalasia. CONCLUSIONS AND INFERENCES: These findings suggest that achalasia may have autoimmune and viral components contributing to its etiology. Future mechanistic studies could target specific diseases and agents highlighted by this research.

Epidemiologic and Economic Burden of Achalasia in the United States.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Achalasia is a debilitating chronic condition of the esophagus. Currently there are no national estimates on the epidemiologic and economic burden of disease. We sought to estimate trends in incidence and prevalence of achalasia by age-sex strata, and to estimate the total direct medical costs attributed to achalasia in the United States. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study using two administrative claims databases: IBM MarketScan Commercial Claims and Encounters database (2001-2018; age <65) and a 20% sample of nationwide Medicare enrollment and claims (2007-2015; age ≥65). Point prevalence was calculated on the first day of each calendar year; the incidence rate captured new cases developed in the ensuing year. Utilization rates of healthcare services and procedures were reported. Mean costs per patient were calculated and standardized to the corresponding U.S. Census Bureau population data to derive achalasia-specific total direct medical costs. RESULTS: The crude prevalence of achalasia per 100,000 persons was 18.0 (95% CI, 17.4, 18.7) in MarketScan and 162.1 (95% CI, 157.6, 166.6) in Medicare. The crude incidence rate per 100,000 person-years was 10.5 (95% CI, 9.9, 11.1) in MarketScan and 26.0 (95% CI, 24.9, 27.2) in Medicare. Incidence and prevalence increased substantially over time in the Medicare cohort, and increased with more advanced age in both cohorts. Utilization of achalasia-specific healthcare was high; national estimates of total direct medical costs exceeded $408 million in 2018. CONCLUSIONS: Achalasia has a higher epidemiologic and economic burden in the US than previously suggested, with diagnosis particularly increasing in older patients.

Gender and Nationality Trends in Manuscripts Published in Prominent Gastroenterology Journals Between 1997 and 2017.

BACKGROUND: Gender disparities remain in the field of gastroenterology (GI) despite the decreasing gender gap in the medical field overall. We sought to examine primary and last female authorship as a marker of academic opportunity and advancement to assess the proportion of women publishing in GI over 20 years (1997-2017). METHODS: In this observational study, we assessed the gender and nationality of primary and last authors of original research manuscripts in three GI journals (Gastroenterology, Gut, and American Journal of Gastroenterology) across a 20-year period in 5-year intervals (in 1997, 2002, 2007, and 2012). We used a validated gender-determining algorithm, genderize.io, to classify gender. Our primary outcome was the proportion of female primary and last authors, with secondary measures assessing trends in gender and nationality. RESULTS: Through the Genderize.io gender database, we were able to identify the gender for 3,673 (95.9%) of primary author names and 3,504 (95.4%) of last author names in the 3,615 manuscripts evaluated. Overall, there was a significant increase in female primary authors over time, from 18.1% in 1997 to 42.6% in 2017, a 6.0% increase per 5-year period (95% CI 4.8-7.2%). A similar trend was found for female last authors, however, at a slower rate, from 8.3% in 1997 to 24.7% in 2017, a 3.5% increase per 5 years (95% CI 2.5-4.4%). These trends were noted cumulatively, and in each journal individually. Manuscripts with a female last author were more likely to demonstrate a female primary author. CONCLUSION: Female authorship in high-impact gastroenterology journals has increased over time. Last authorship has lagged primary authorship in female representation and has increased more slowly over time. Interventions to reduce gender disparity in GI research should focus on the transition from first to last authorship.

Determination of a treatment response threshold for the Eosinophilic Esophagitis Endoscopic Reference Score.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic features of eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) are measured using the validated EoE Endoscopic Reference Score (EREFS); however, a threshold for treatment response has not been defined. We aimed to determine a cut-point for endoscopic response as measured by EREFS. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial comparing budesonide slurry with swallowed fluticasone multidose inhaler for initial treatment of EoE. In the parent trial, EREFS was determined before and after treatment (score range 0-9), as were histologic findings and dysphagia symptoms. We performed tabular, flexible trend, and dependent mixture analyses of measures of treatment response to select the best clinical EREFS threshold. RESULTS: In the 111 included patients (mean age 39 years; 67 % male; 96 % white), an EREFS threshold of ≤ 2 was 80 % sensitive (95 % confidence interval [CI] 69 % to 88 %) and 83 % specific (95 %CI 67 % to 94 %) for histologic response (peak of < 15 eosinophils per high-power field). Flexible trend analysis and dependent mixture modeling similarly suggested that a threshold of ≤ 2 best captured the correlation of EREFS with histologic and symptomatic measures. Dependent mixture modeling found near-total membership in the response class at EREFS of 0 or 1 and > 75 % at EREFS of 2 or 3. CONCLUSIONS: An EREFS of ≤ 2 was the best clinical threshold for endoscopic response to topical steroid treatment, and was consistent with clinical and histologic response. Therefore, future studies can report a binary outcome of endoscopic response when EREFS is 2 or less.