A study of the safety and harms of antidepressant drugs for older people: a cohort study using a large primary care database.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to establish the relative safety and balance of risks for antidepressant treatment in older people. The study objectives were to (1) determine relative and absolute risks of predefined adverse events in older people with depression, comparing classes of antidepressant drugs [tricyclic and related antidepressants (TCAs), selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs), monoamine oxidase inhibitors (MAOIs) and other antidepressants] and commonly prescribed individual drugs with non-use of antidepressant drugs; (2) directly compare the risk of adverse events for SSRIs with TCAs; (3) determine associations with dose and duration of antidepressant medication; (4) describe patterns of antidepressant use in older people with depression; and (5) estimate costs of antidepressant medication and primary care visits. DESIGN: A cohort study of patients aged 65 years and over diagnosed with depression. SETTING: The study was based in 570 general practices in the UK supplying data to the QResearch database. PARTICIPANTS: Patients diagnosed with a new episode of depression between the ages of 65 and 100 years, from 1 January 1996 to 31 December 2007. Participants were followed up until 31 December 2008. INTERVENTIONS: The exposure of interest was treatment with antidepressant medication. Antidepressant drugs were grouped into the major classes and commonly prescribed individual drugs were identified. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: There were 13 predefined outcome measures: all-cause mortality, sudden cardiac death, suicide, attempted suicide/self-harm, myocardial infarction, stroke/transient ischaemic attack (TIA), falls, fractures, upper gastrointestinal bleeding, epilepsy/seizures, road traffic accidents, adverse drug reactions and hyponatraemia. RESULTS: In total, 60,746 patients were included in the study cohort. Of these, 54,038 (89.0%) received at least one prescription for an antidepressant during follow-up. The associations with the adverse outcomes were significantly different between the classes of antidepressant drugs for seven outcomes. SSRIs were associated with the highest adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for falls [1.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.58 to 1.73] and hyponatraemia (1.52, 95% CI 1.33 to 1.75), and the group of other antidepressants was associated with the highest HRs for all-cause mortality (1.66, 95% CI 1.56 to 1.77), attempted suicide/self-harm (5.16, 95% CI 3.90 to 6.83), stroke/TIA (1.37, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.55), fracture (1.63, 95% CI 1.45 to 1.83) and epilepsy/seizures (2.24, 95% CI 1.60 to 3.15) compared with when antidepressants were not being used. TCAs did not have the highest HR for any of the outcomes. There were also significantly different associations between the individual drugs for seven outcomes, with trazodone, mirtazapine and venlafaxine associated with the highest rates for several of these outcomes. The mean incremental cost (for all antidepressant prescriptions) ranged between £51.58 (amitriptyline) and £641.18 (venlafaxine) over the 5-year post-diagnosis period. CONCLUSIONS: This study found associations between use of antidepressant drugs and a number of adverse events in older people. There was no evidence that SSRIs or drugs in the group of other antidepressants were associated with a reduced risk of any of the adverse outcomes compared with TCAs; however, they may be associated with an increased risk for certain outcomes. Among individual drugs trazodone, mirtazapine and venlafaxine were associated with the highest rates for some outcomes. Indication bias and residual confounding may explain some of the study findings. The risks of prescribing antidepressants need to be weighed against the potential benefits of these drugs. FUNDING: The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Community falls prevention for people who call an emergency ambulance after a fall: randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether a service to prevent falls in the community would help reduce the rate of falls in older people who call an emergency ambulance when they fall but are not taken to hospital. DESIGN: Randomised controlled trial. SETTING: Community covered by four primary care trusts, England. PARTICIPANTS: 204 adults aged more than 60 living at home or in residential care who had fallen and called an emergency ambulance but were not taken to hospital. INTERVENTIONS: Referral to community fall prevention services or standard medical and social care. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was the rate of falls over 12 months, ascertained from monthly diaries. Secondary outcomes were scores on the Barthel index, Nottingham extended activities of daily living scale, and falls efficacy scale at baseline and by postal questionnaire at 12 months. Analysis was by intention to treat. RESULTS: 102 people were allocated to each group. 99 (97%) participants in the intervention group received the intervention. Falls diaries were analysed for 88.6 person years in the intervention group and 84.5 person years in the control group. The incidence rates of falls per year were 3.46 in the intervention group and 7.68 in the control group (incidence rate ratio 0.45, 95% confidence interval 0.35 to 0.58, P<0.001). The intervention group achieved higher scores on the Barthel index and Nottingham extended activities of daily living and lower scores on the falls efficacy scale (all P<0.05) at the 12 month follow-up. The number of times an emergency ambulance was called because of a fall was significantly different during follow-up (incidence rate ratio 0.60, 95% confidence interval 0.40 to 0.92, P=0.018). CONCLUSION: A service to prevent falls in the community reduced the fall rate and improved clinical outcome in the high risk group of older people who call an emergency ambulance after a fall but are not taken to hospital. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN67535605.

Meta-analysis of individual- and aggregate-level data.

The methodology described here was developed for a systematic review and individual participant-level meta-analysis of home safety education and the provision of safety equipment for the prevention of childhood accidents. This review had a particular emphasis on exploring whether effectiveness was related to socio-demographic characteristics previously shown to be associated with injury risk. Individual participant data were only made available to us for a proportion of the included studies. This resulted in the need for developing a new methodology to combine the available data most efficiently. Our objective was to develop a (random effects) meta-analysis model that could synthesize both individual-level and aggregate-level binary outcome data while exploring the effects of binary covariates also available in a combination of individual participant and aggregate level data. To add further complication, the studies to be combined were a mixture of cluster and individual participant-allocated designs.A Bayesian model using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to estimate parameters is described which efficiently synthesizes the data by allowing different models to be fitted to the different study design and data format combinations available. Initially we describe a model to estimate mean effects ignoring the influence of the covariates, and then extend it to include a binary covariate. The application of the method is illustrated by application to one outcome from the motivating home safety meta-analysis for illustration. Using the same general approach, it would be possible to develop further 'tailor made' evidence synthesis models to synthesize all available evidence most effectively.

Clinical pathways for patients with newly diagnosed hepatitis C - what actually happens.

Management of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected individuals requires referral to specialist care. To determine whether patients newly diagnosed as anti-HCV positive are appropriately referred for further investigation and management, and if not, to determine why not. We studied patients tested for antibodies to HCV by Nottingham Public Health Laboratory in a 2-year period (2000-2002). The progress of newly diagnosed anti-HCV positive patients into specialist clinics for further management was documented. For patients not referred for specialist care, a questionnaire was sent to the clinician requesting the initial anti-HCV test, to identify reasons for nonreferral. Eleven thousand one hundred and seventy-seven patients were tested for anti-HCV. Two hundred and fifty-six (2.3%) were newly diagnosed as being anti-HCV positive. Two per cent of samples sent from primary care were anti-HCV positive, compared to 18.8, 18.9 and 1.3% sent from prison, drug and alcohol units, and secondary care, respectively. About 64.3% of positive patients diagnosed in primary care were referred to specialist care, compared to 18.4, 42.4 and 62.6% of patients diagnosed in the other three settings. One hundred and twenty-five (49%) newly diagnosed patients were referred appropriately for further management. 68 of these attended clinic, 45 underwent liver biopsy and 26 (10%) began treatment. One hundred and thirty-one patients (51%) were not referred. In 54 cases, there was no evidence that the anti-HCV positive result reached the patient. In 15, referral was considered but rejected, and 20 patients were referred to non-HCV-specialists (their general practitioners or to genito-urinary medicine). Hence less than 50% of newly diagnosed anti-HCV positive patients are referred to an appropriate clinic for further investigation and management. Reasons for this are multifarious and complex, reflecting both systems failure and patient choice. Unless these are understood and addressed, the Department of Health Hepatitis C Strategy (2002) and Action Plan for England (2004) will fail to achieve their intended objectives.

Increasing child pedestrian and cyclist visibility: cluster randomised controlled trial.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Visibility aids have the potential to reduce child pedestrian and cyclist injury but scarce data exist relating to their use or to interventions for increasing visibility aid use among children. This cluster randomised controlled trial was designed to assess the use of free visibility aids one and eight weeks after their provision among primary school children in Nottingham, UK. DESIGN: One class from each of 20 schools representing 377 children aged 7, 8, and 9 years old participated in the trial and were randomly assigned to treatment and control arms. Children in the intervention arm received two visibility aids, namely, a reflective and fluorescent slap wrap (an item that can be worn around an arm or trouser leg and is readily removed), and a reflective durable sticker in addition to educational material on the importance of being seen in the dark. Observers visited schools to observe use of reflective and fluorescent slap wraps, stickers, piping and patches on coats, and bags at baseline and at one and eight weeks after distribution of the visibility aids. The study used random effects logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (OR) and confidence intervals (CI). MAIN RESULT: The results showed that children provided with free visibility aids were significantly more likely to use any visibility aid at one week (adjusted OR 59.5, 95% CI 18.5 to 191.0) and eight weeks (adjusted OR 5.9, 95% CI 3.4 to 10.4) after distribution than children in the control arm. CONCLUSIONS: Providing free visibility aids and an educational booklet on road safety significantly increases use of visibility aids for up to eight weeks during the winter among primary school children. On the basis of an eight week follow up trial in Nottingham of 20 classes of children aged 7 to 9 years old, these results suggest that campaigns providing free visibility aids to primary school children should be encouraged.

Do rates of hospital admission for falls and hip fracture in elderly people vary by socio-economic status?

OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship between hospital admissions for falls and hip fracture in elderly people and area characteristics such as socio-economic deprivation. STUDY DESIGN: Ecological study of routinely collected hospital admissions data for falls and hip fracture in people aged 75 years or over for 1992-1997, linked at electoral ward level with characteristics from census data. METHODS: In total, 42,293 and 17,390 admissions were identified for falls and hip fracture, respectively, from 858 electoral wards in Trent. Rate ratios (RRs) for hospital admissions for falls and hip fracture were calculated by the electoral wards' Townsend score divided by quintiles. RRs were estimated by negative binomial regression and adjusted for the ward characteristics of age, gender, ethnicity, rurality, proportion of elderly people living alone and distance from hospital. RESULTS: There was a small but statistically significant association at electoral ward level between hospital admissions for falls and the Townsend score, with the most deprived wards having a 10% higher admission rate for falls compared with the most affluent wards (adjusted RR 1.10, 95% CI 1.01-1.19). No association was found between hospital admission for hip fracture and deprivation (adjusted RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.95-1.16). CONCLUSION: There is some evidence of an association at electoral ward level between hospital admissions for falls and socio-economic deprivation, with higher rates in deprived areas. No such association was found for hip fracture. Further work is required to assess the impact of interventions on reducing inequalities in hospital admission rates for falls in elderly people.

Reproductive, menstrual and menopausal factors: which are associated with bone mineral density in early postmenopausal women?

The associations between a number of reproductive and menopausal factors and bone mineral density (BMD) were studied in a sample of early postmenopausal women. The study included 580 women aged 45-61 years who completed a risk factor questionnaire containing sections on obstetric and menstrual history. BMD measurements were taken at the anteroposterior (AP) spine, greater trochanter, femoral neck, total radius and whole body, along with whole body bone mineral content (BMC). In analyses adjusting for key confounders, number of pregnancies was more strongly associated with increased BMD than number of live births at all sites (p<0.05 at femoral neck and total radius), and menstrual years was more strongly associated with increased BMD than years since menopause (p<0.05 at all sites). Hysterectomized women had a significantly higher adjusted mean BMD than non-hysterectomized women at all sites (AP spine: 0.999 g/cm2 vs 0.941 g/cm2, p<0.001), although there were no significant differences in BMD between hysterectomized women who had a bilateral oophorectomy and those whose ovaries were preserved. Negative associations between the duration of hot flushes and BMD were statistically significant (p<0.05) at the three non-hip sites. In multiple regression analyses containing all reproductive terms, duration of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use, menstrual years and hysterectomy status were significantly associated with BMD at all five sites, whilst oral contraceptive use before the age of 23 years was significantly associated with increased BMD at all sites except the total radius. Breastfeeding duration, the duration of oral contraceptive use and premenopausal amenorrhea were found to have no association with BMD. Results for whole body BMC were consistent with those for the five BMD sites, across all the variables considered here. These findings confirm the importance of HRT use and duration of menses as predictors of BMD, whilst the results for hysterectomy status and early oral contraceptive use require further consideration.

Occupational activity and bone mineral density in postmenopausal women in England.

Few studies have assessed the relationship between occupational activity and bone mineral density (BMD), although two case-control studies have reported a protective effect of occupational activity on hip fracture. In the present study 580 postmenopausal women aged 45-61 years completed a risk factor questionnaire including a detailed occupational history. For each job, hours spent sitting, standing, walking, lifting and carrying were recorded; these measures, evaluated at ages 20, 30, 40 years, in the current job and over the working lifetime, were used in the analysis. BMD was measured with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, and measurements at five sites were used in a multiple regression analysis adjusting for potential confounding variables. There was a significant negative association between sitting at age 20 years and BMD at the radius (p = 0.037), with negative relationships of borderline significance at the anteroposterior spine (p = 0.091) and whole body (p = 0.078). There were significant positive associations between standing at age 30 years and BMD at all five sites (p < 0.05), but no significant linear associations for standing at ages 20 and 40 years. No significant associations were found for lifetime or current occupational measures of sitting, standing, walking and lifting or carrying. The lack of consistency of these significant findings suggests that they may have occurred by chance, and that occupational activity has little if any effect on BMD in postmenopausal women.

Risk factors for testicular germ cell tumours by histological tumour type. United Kingdom Testicular Cancer Study Group.

There are two main histological groups of testicular germ cell tumours, which may have different risk factors. Some authors have analysed potential risk factors by histological group but few consistent differences have been identified. In this paper we examine risk factors for pure seminoma and other tumours using data from the United Kingdom case control study of testicular cancer. Seven hundred and ninety-four cases were included in the study, each with a matched control; 400 cases had pure seminoma tumours, and 394 had other testicular tumours. The risk of seminoma associated with undescended testis was slightly higher than that for other tumours (odds ratio of 5.3 compared with 3.0). When split at the median age at diagnosis, this difference was greater in men aged 32 and over (odds ratio of 11.9 compared with 5.1) than in the younger men (3.0 compared with 2.5). Risks associated with testicular or groin injuries were higher in the non-seminoma group, as was the risk for a history of sexually transmitted disease. The protective effect of a late puberty was more marked for tumours of other histologies. Some differences were also detected for participation in sports. Whilst some of the differences detected may have arisen by chance, the stronger association between undescended testis and pure seminoma has been identified by a number of other studies and may reflect a genuine difference in aetiology.

Association between a family history of fractures and bone mineral density in early postmenopausal women.

The aim of this analysis was to measure the strength of the association between a family history of fractures and bone mineral density (BMD), and to determine what definition of family fracture history best predicts BMD. Five hundred and eighty postmenopausal women aged 45-59 at recruitment completed a risk factor questionnaire. Women were asked to recall details of fractures sustained by any female relative. BMD measurements taken at five sites were used. The data were analysed using linear regression, adjusting for age. Two hundred and ninety-seven (52.8%) women reported a family history of fractures, and they had a significantly lower BMD at two of the sites measured (p < 0.05). The associations with BMD were most significant when only counting fractures that occurred in the subject's mother or a sister as a result of low trauma, with no restrictions made on age at the time of fracture and site of fracture (p < 0.01 at three sites; 0.01 < p < 0.05 at two sites). Women with a family history according to this definition had a 4.6% reduction in BMD at the femoral neck. When T scores were used to categorize women as either osteopenic/osteoporotic (T < -1) or normal at the femoral neck, the sensitivity of using this definition was 39% and the specificity was 74%. The small group of women that reported a low-trauma hip fracture in a mother or sister (n = 23) had a mean femoral neck BMD which was 8.9% lower than that of the remainder of the sample, although this difference was less statistically significant than when low trauma fractures at any site were counted. Of these 23 women, 70% were osteopenic or osteoporotic, compared with 57% of those reporting a low-trauma fracture at any site and 47% of the sample as a whole. The sensitivity of this definition, however, was low (6%). From these analyses it can be concluded that the definition of family fracture history that best predicts BMD in postmenopausal women is a fracture at any age in a mother or sister resulting from low trauma, although the sensitivity and specificity of using a family history of fractures by itself to screen for low BMD were poor.

Habitual physical activity and bone mineral density in postmenopausal women in England.

BACKGROUND: Reduced levels of physical activity have been found to be associated with an increased risk of osteoporotic fracture in a number of epidemiological studies, and intervention studies have shown beneficial effects of exercise regimes on bone mineral density. It is not yet established, however, which specific forms of customary physical activity are most strongly associated with bone mineral density in postmenopausal women. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in 580 postmenopausal women, aged 45-61 years, resident in Nottingham, England. The participants completed a detailed interviewer-administered activity questionnaire. Physical activity was assessed as total hours of participation per week in activities including housework, walking, gardening and sports. Stair-climbing and self-reported walking pace were also reported. Bone mineral density measurements were made using dual energy x-ray absorptiometry, measurements at five sites were used in analysis. RESULTS: The strongest associations between the activity measures and bone mineral density were for stair-climbing and walking pace, which both gave statistically significant positive associations at the trochanter hip site and the whole body. In women reporting a fairly brisk or fast walking pace, bone mineral density at the proximal femur was also significantly and positively associated with the frequency of walking at least a mile. There were no significant associations with aggregate measures of total customary physical activity. CONCLUSIONS: This study has identified two forms of physical activity, namely stair-climbing and brisk walking which are associated with increased bone mineral density at the hip and whole body in postmenopausal women. Both are feasible forms of activity for promoting to middle-aged women.

Cigarette smoking, alcohol and caffeine consumption, and bone mineral density in postmenopausal women. The Nottingham EPIC Study Group.

The aim of this analysis was to compare the effects of different measures of cigarette, alcohol and caffeine consumption upon bone mineral density (BMD). Five hundred and eighty postmenopausal women aged 45-59 years at recruitment completed a risk factor questionnaire that contained detailed sections on cigarette, alcohol and caffeine consumption. BMD was measured using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Measurements taken at five bone sites were used: anterior-posterior spine, femoral neck, greater trochanter, radius/ulna and whole body. The data were analyzed using multiple linear regression, adjusting for a number of established BMD risk factors. BMD was more strongly related to the number of months spent smoking than to pack-years of smoking at all five sites (p < 0.05 at four of the five sites). There were significant reductions in BMD when comparing smokers with non-smokers at ages 20, 30 and 40 years, but not for current smoking. Lifetime alcohol consumption and current alcohol consumption did not have an independent association with BMD. However, the heaviest beer drinkers in the sample had a particularly low bone density. Caffeine consumption at various ages was not associated with BMD. The results of these analyses suggest that for predicting BMD a simple history of smoking duration is as good as trying to obtain more detailed smoking information, but that only 25% of the variation in BMD is explained by personal characteristics, family history and lifestyle factors.

The contribution of bone densitometry to the diagnosis and treatment of osteoporosis.

OBJECTIVE: It has recently been proposed that a specialist osteoporosis service, including bone densitometry, should be made available to those most at risk in the UK population. The aim of this study was to evaluate such a service, and in particular the role of bone densitometry, in terms of its effect on the diagnosis of osteoporosis and clinical management of the disease. METHODS: A retrospective data abstraction study was performed to investigate the diagnosis and management of patients referred to the Metabolic Clinic, City Hospital Nottingham, with a potential diagnosis of osteoporosis. Hospital records were available for 117 patients, aged between 45 and 59, who had attended the Clinic in a given time period and undergone bone mineral density measurement. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients (41.0%) had osteoporosis of the lumbar spine. The final diagnosis of osteoporosis after attending the clinic was different from that on referral in a substantial proportion (62.6%) of cases. Only 48.9% of patients with spinal osteoporosis were identified by their referring doctor. The percentage of patients receiving treatment for osteoporosis increased from 34.2% to 72.6% after attending the clinic. CONCLUSIONS: Measurement of bone mineral density identifies cases of osteoporosis who would not otherwise be detected and as a consequence contributes to the proportion of patients receiving treatment after referral. The osteoporosis service provided by the Metabolic Clinic including measurement of bone mineral density was thus found to have a considerable impact on the diagnosis and treatment of patients with osteoporosis.

Effects of hormone replacement therapy on muscle performance and balance in post-menopausal women.

1. A randomized controlled trial of the effect of oral hormone replacement therapy plus calcium compared with calcium alone on balance, muscle performance and falls was conducted over 48 weeks in 116 post-menopausal women (aged 45-70 years), all of whom had suffered a distal radial fracture during the previous 3 months. Treatment was with Prempak C or Premarin 0.625 mg in the test group with 1 g calcium daily (Sandocal) in both groups. Measurements were made of balance, assessed as sway, leg extensor power and self-paced walking speed, at 12-week intervals over 24 weeks. Hand grip strength was measured every 12 weeks for 48 weeks, and falls in the preceding 12 weeks were recorded at each visit. 2. There was no relation between initial levels of oestradiol and any other variable assessed, except body mass. Levels of follicle-stimulating hormone in the test group were in the premenopausal range. There was no significant change attributable to hormone replacement therapy at any time point in any of the outcome variables. The only significant difference was an increase of 4.2% (95% confidence interval 0.7-7.6%) in leg extensor power in the control group (calcium alone) compared with the group treated with hormone replacement therapy. 3. Of the total group, 37% fell again during the year, with three patients suffering a further fracture. Frequent fallers swayed significantly more often than the others, but there was no evidence that their muscle strength was poorer or that the group treated with hormone replacement therapy fell less frequently. 4. Hormone replacement therapy did not increase muscle performance, improve balance or reduce falls over a year in middle-aged women.

Comparison of methods of assessing response of Paget's disease to bisphosphonate therapy.

Bisphosphonates have been shown to be effective in suppressing the elevated bone turnover found in Paget's disease of bone. In theory, the major determinants of post-treatment bone turnover are the initial disease activity and the rate of decline in bone turnover with therapy. In the present study, we examined the rate of decrease of alkaline phosphatase and hydroxyproline (expressed as a half-life) and showed this to be superior to percentage changes in bone turnover as a marker of response. The combination of pre-treatment alkaline phosphatase and the alkaline phosphatase half-life and pre-treatment hydroxyproline and the hydroxyproline half-life were the best models to predict post-treatment bone turnover (multiple r = 0.75, r2 = 0.56, p < 0.0001; and r = 0.71, r2 = 0.51, p < 0.0001, respectively). In addition, measurement of the half-lives of these markers of bone turnover may allow prospective changes to be made during treatment so that maximal disease suppression can be achieved.