ABSTRACT
This monocentric, retrospective, two-stage observational study aimed to recognize the risk factors for a poor outcome in patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 infection, and to develop and validate a risk score that identifies subjects at risk of worsening, death, or both. The data of patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection during the first wave of the pandemic were collected and analyzed as a derivation cohort. Variables with predictive properties were used to construct a prognostic score, which was tried out on a validation cohort enrolled during the second wave. The derivation cohort included 494 patients; the median age was 62 and the overall fatality rate was 22.3%. In a multivariable analysis, age, oxygen saturation, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein and lactate dehydrogenase were independent predictors of death and composed the score. A cutoff value of 3 demonstrated a sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of 93.5%, 68.5%, 47.4% and 97.2% for death, and 84.9%, 84.5%, 79.6% and 87.9% for worsening, respectively. The validation cohort included 415 subjects. The score application showed a Se, Sp, PPV and NPV of 93.4%, 61.6%, 29.5% and 98.1% for death, and 81%, 76.3%, 72.1% and 84.1% for worsening, respectively. We propose a new clinical, easy and reliable score to predict the outcome in hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 patients.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/diagnosis , Humans , Middle Aged , Predictive Value of Tests , Retrospective Studies , Risk Factors , SARS-CoV-2Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Conjunctivitis , COVID-19/complications , COVID-19/diagnosis , Conjunctivitis/virology , Humans , Severity of Illness IndexABSTRACT
Shortening therapy duration with direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) is desirable to pursue the WHO target of HCV eradication by 2030. We report two cases of HCV-infected women who achieved sustained virologic response after an ultra-short treatment with glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (G/P), discontinued due to cutaneous adverse events, and analyze similar cases reported in the literature. Female gender seems to be a prevailing characteristic in this group of patients. G/P, due to its pangenotypic and strong antiviral activity, may represent a candidate for a shortened DAA regimen in non-cirrhotic treatment-naive subjects.
