Epidemiological trends and trajectories of MAFLD-associated hepatocellular carcinoma 2002-2033: the ITA.LI.CA database.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) represents a new inclusive definition of the whole spectrum of liver diseases associated to metabolic disorders. The main objective of this study was to compare patients with MAFLD and non-MAFLD with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) included in a nationally representative cohort. METHODS: We analysed 6882 consecutive patients with HCC enrolled from 2002 to 2019 by 23 Italian Liver Cancer centres to compare epidemiological and future trends in three subgroups: pure, single aetiology MAFLD (S-MAFLD); mixed aetiology MAFLD (metabolic and others, M-MAFLD); and non-MAFLD HCC. RESULTS: MAFLD was diagnosed in the majority of patients with HCC (68.4%). The proportion of both total MAFLD and S-MAFLD HCC significantly increased over time (from 50.4% and 3.6% in 2002-2003, to 77.3% and 28.9% in 2018-2019, respectively, p<0.001). In Italy S-MAFLD HCC is expected to overcome M-MAFLD HCC in about 6 years. Patients with S-MAFLD HCC were older, more frequently men and less frequently cirrhotic with clinically relevant portal hypertension and a surveillance-related diagnosis. They had more frequently large tumours and extrahepatic metastases. After weighting, and compared with patients with non-MAFLD, S-MAFLD and M-MAFLD HCC showed a significantly lower overall (p=0.026, p=0.004) and HCC-related (p<0.001, for both) risk of death. Patients with S-MAFLD HCC showed a significantly higher risk of non-HCC-related death (p=0.006). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of MAFLD HCC in Italy is rapidly increasing to cover the majority of patients with HCC. Despite a less favourable cancer stage at diagnosis, patients with MAFLD HCC have a lower risk of HCC-related death, suggesting reduced cancer aggressiveness.

Comparison of point shear wave elastography and transient elastography in the evaluation of patients with NAFLD.

PURPOSE: To compare point shear wave elastography (pSWE, ElastPQ®) and transient elastography (TE) with Liver Biopsy in order to evaluate fibrosis stage in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: Our prospective study from September 2017 to October 2020 included 50 consecutively enrolled patients with NAFLD (52.2 ± 13.0 years, 32 male). All patients underwent clinical evaluation, B-mode ultrasound, pSWE, TE and liver biopsy in a single evaluation. The clinical, laboratory and liver biopsy data were compared with liver stiffness (LS) measurement obtained with pSWE and TE. TE and pSWE diagnostic accuracy for the diagnosis of the different fibrosis stages were evaluated using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: Only fibrosis stage was independently associated with TE and pSWE. The median liver stiffness measurement for fibrosis stages F0, F1, F2, F3, and F4 using TE was 4.8 (4.7-6.1) kPa, 5.5 (4.4-7.3) kPa, 7.7 (6.1-9.1) kPa, 9.9 (8.8-13.8) kPa, and 20.2 kPa, respectively. The corresponding median liver stiffness measurement using pSWE was 4.2 (4.0-4.8) kPa, 4.7 (4.2-5.8) kPa, 5.1 (4.1-6.9) kPa, 8.5 (5.2-13.3), and 15.1 kPa, respectively. The AUROC of TE for diagnosis of fibrosis stage F1, ≥ F2, ≥ F3, and F4 were 0.795, 0.867, 0.927, and 0.990, respectively. The corresponding AUROC of pSWE was 0.717, 0.733, 0.908, and 1.000, respectively. No association was observed with other histological parameters. CONCLUSION: TE was significantly better than pSWE for the diagnosis of fibrosis stage ≥ F2. No statistically significant differences were found between TE and pSWE AUROC of fibrosis stage ≥ F1, ≥ F3, and F4.

Mechanisms for increased risk of diabetes in chronic liver diseases.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with chronic liver disease (CLD), both non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and chronic hepatitis C (CHC), are at high risk of diabetes (T2D), but mechanisms are still unknown. Muscle/liver insulin resistance (IR) and pancreatic dysfunction are the major metabolic defects leading to T2D. However, if the risk of T2D in CLD patients is because of reduced insulin response and/or to IR, and the impact of liver histology has not been investigated. DESIGN: We studied 220 non-T2D patients with chronic liver disease (129 NAFLD, BMI = 27.3 kg/m2 ; 91 CHC, BMI = 25.0 kg/m2 ) that received a 75-gram oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) with the measurement of glucose and insulin concentrations for 2 hours, glucose tolerance (NGT vs IGT) and liver biopsy. The results were compared to 26 controls (CT-NGT, BMI = 25.6 kg/m2 ). We evaluated peripheral insulin sensitivity (OGIS), OGTT-insulin response (ΔAUC-I/ΔAUC-G) and disposition-index (DI = OGIS∙ΔAUC-I/ΔAUC-G) for the risk to develop T2D. RESULTS: NAFLD had increased muscle IR (associated to NASH, steatosis and fibrosis), higher than in CHC or CT-NGT (OGIS = 8.9 vs 11.3 and 10.5 mL/min kg, P < .0001). In NAFLD, OGTT-insulin response (ΔAUC-I/ΔAUC-G) was the highest while it was significantly decreased in CHC (2.2 vs 1.1 and 1.6, NAFLD vs. CHC and CT-NGT, P < .005). The highest T2D risk (low DI) was observed in CHC-IGT (7.5), CHC-NGT (13.5) and NAFLD-IGT (10.8) vs CT-NGT (14.9, all P < .0001), but not in NAFL-NGT or NASH-NGT. CONCLUSION: We observed an increased T2D risk in NAFLD-IGT, CHC-IGT and CHC-NGT mainly because of reduced OGTT-insulin response, while insulin response in NAFLD-NGT compensates the IR thus maintaining normal glycaemia.

Usefulness of the index of NASH - ION for the diagnosis of steatohepatitis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver: An external validation study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The non-invasive identification of steatohepatitis (NASH) in patients with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease is an unmet need in clinical practice. Index of NASH (ION) is a new tool for the prediction of NASH. We aimed to externally validate ION and to compare it with CK-18. Since necroinflammation precedes fibrosis, we also tested ION in combination with non-invasive tools for fibrosis. METHODS: We analysed data from 292 Italian patients (169 Southern cohort, and 123 Northern cohort) with an histological diagnosis of NAFLD. The ION, FIB-4 and NFS scores were calculated according to published algorithms. Serum cytokeratin18-Aspartate396 levels and liver stiffness (LS) by Fibroscan were assessed within three months from liver biopsy. RESULTS: The diagnostic accuracy of ION for the identification of NASH was not as satisfactory as reported (area under the ROC curve, AUROC = 0.687 [95% CI = 0.62-0.75]). The proposed cut-off value ≥50 showed a poor sensitivity (Se) (28%) and a good specificity (Sp) (92%), with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 91% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 30%. A new cut-off value >26 improved Se (73%) but decreased Sp (60%) (PPV of 84% and a NPV of 43%). ION performed slightly better in obese NAFLD (AUROC = 0.700). The combination of ION and markers of fibrosis did not improve the identification of advanced liver disease. CONCLUSIONS: ION is not feasible for the non-invasive diagnosis of NASH across different populations of NAFLD patients, mainly because its limited reproducibility in non-obese subjects.