Loss of LPAR6 and CAB39L dysregulates the basal-to-luminal urothelial differentiation program, contributing to bladder carcinogenesis.

We describe a strategy that combines histologic and molecular mapping that permits interrogation of the chronology of changes associated with cancer development on a whole-organ scale. Using this approach, we present the sequence of alterations around RB1 in the development of bladder cancer. We show that RB1 is not involved in initial expansion of the preneoplastic clone. Instead, we found a set of contiguous genes that we term "forerunner" genes whose silencing is associated with the development of plaque-like field effects initiating carcinogenesis. Specifically, we identified five candidate forerunner genes (ITM2B, LPAR6, MLNR, CAB39L, and ARL11) mapping near RB1. Two of these genes, LPAR6 and CAB39L, are preferentially downregulated in the luminal and basal subtypes of bladder cancer, respectively. Their loss of function dysregulates urothelial differentiation, sensitizing the urothelium to N-butyl-N-(4-hydroxybutyl)nitrosamine-induced cancers, which recapitulate the luminal and basal subtypes of human bladder cancer.

Plasmacytoid urothelial carcinoma of the urinary bladder-A clinicopathological and molecular analysis of 52 cases.

Plasmacytoid urothelial carcinoma (UC) is a rare histologic subtype of bladder cancer that is associated with an aggressive clinical behavior. We analyzed the clinicopathologic and molecular features of plasmacytoid UC in 52 patients from a single institute. The patients included 44 men and 8 women, with a mean age of 64 years (range, 41-91 years). All bladder cancers were high-grade UC, and plasmacytoid component accounted for a mean of 47% of bladder tumors (range, 5-100%). Distinct gene mutations were found in most plasmacytoid UCs (n = 49); the most common mutations were TP53 (n = 30), followed by TERT (n = 20), and CDH1 (n = 18). Copy number analysis was performed in 34 patients, and 13 of them showed copy number variations. Expression of HER2 was analyzed in 18 patients by immunohistochemistry, and 3 of them showed HER2 overexpression, which was confirmed by fluorescence in situ hybridization analysis. Thirty-two patients died of disease in a median of 15 months (range, 1-45 months). No individual gene mutations were significantly associated with clinical outcome, but mutations in the mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway, including PICK3CA and PIK3R1 mutations, were associated with a significantly shorter survival duration (p < 0.05). Plasmacytoid UC is an aggressive histologic subtype that demonstrates frequent somatic gene mutations and CNVs, which may underlie its oncogenesis and progression. Gene mutations of the mTOR pathway are associated with poor outcome in a subset of patients with plasmacytoid UC.

Inferring Bladder Cancer Evolution from Mucosal field Effects by Whole-Organ Spatial Mutational, Proteomic, and Metabolomic Mapping.

Multi-platform mutational, proteomic, and metabolomic spatial mapping was used on the whole-organ scale to identify the molecular evolution of bladder cancer from mucosal field effects. We identified complex proteomic and metabolomic dysregulations in microscopically normal areas of bladder mucosa adjacent to dysplasia and carcinoma in situ. The mutational landscape developed in a background of complex defects of protein homeostasis which included dysregulated nucleocytoplasmic transport, splicesome, ribosome biogenesis, and peroxisome. These changes were combined with altered urothelial differentiation which involved lipid metabolism and protein degradations controlled by PPAR. The complex alterations of proteome were accompanied by dysregulation of gluco-lipid energy-related metabolism. The analysis of mutational landscape identified three types of mutations based on their geographic distribution and variant allele frequencies. The most common were low frequency α mutations restricted to individual mucosal samples. The two other groups of mutations were associated with clonal expansion. The first of this group referred to as ß mutations occurred at low frequencies across the mucosa. The second of this group called γ mutations increased in frequency with disease progression. Modeling of the mutations revealed that carcinogenesis may span nearly 30 years and can be divided into dormant and progressive phases. The α mutations developed gradually in the dormant phase. The progressive phase lasted approximately five years and was signified by the advent of ß mutations, but it was driven by γ mutations which developed during the last 2-3 years of disease progression to invasive cancer. Our study indicates that the understanding of complex alterations involving mucosal microenvironment initiating bladder carcinogenesis can be inferred from the multi-platform whole-organ mapping.

Molecular profile of bladder cancer progression to clinically aggressive subtypes.

Bladder cancer is a histologically and clinically heterogenous disease. Most bladder cancers are urothelial carcinomas, which frequently develop distinct histological subtypes. Several urothelial carcinoma histological subtypes, such as micropapillary, plasmacytoid, small-cell carcinoma and sarcomatoid, show highly aggressive behaviour and pose unique challenges in diagnosis and treatment. Comprehensive genomic characterizations of the urothelial carcinoma subtypes have revealed that they probably arise from a precursor subset of conventional urothelial carcinomas that belong to different molecular subtypes - micropapillary and plasmacytoid subtypes develop along the luminal pathway, whereas small-cell and sarcomatoid subtypes evolve along the basal pathway. The subtypes exhibit distinct genomic alterations, but in most cases their biological properties seem to be primarily determined by specific gene expression profiles, including epithelial-mesenchymal transition, urothelial-to-neural lineage plasticity, and immune infiltration with distinct upregulation of immune regulatory genes. These breakthrough studies have transformed our view of bladder cancer histological subtype biology, generated new hypotheses for therapy and chemoresistance, and facilitated the discovery of new therapeutic targets.

Comparative Effectiveness Analysis of Treatment Strategies for Surgically Resectable Neuroendocrine Carcinoma of the Urinary Tract.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (neoCTX) has been recommended as the optimal strategy in surgically resectable neuroendocrine carcinoma (NEC) of the urinary tract (NEC-URO). OBJECTIVE: To determine the systemic therapy regimen and timing, which are most active against NEC-URO. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We used our institutional historical clinical and pathological database to study 203 patients (cT2, 74%; cT3/4a, 22%; and cTx, 4%) with surgically resectable NEC-URO between November 1985 and May 2020. A total of 141 patients received neoCTX and 62 underwent initial radical surgery, 24 of whom received adjuvant CTX (adjCTX). INTERVENTION: Neoadjuvant CTX with etoposide/cisplatin (EP), an alternating doublet of ifosfamide/doxorubicin (IA) and EP, dose-dense methotrexate/vinblastine/doxorubicin/cisplatin (MVAC), gemcitabine/cisplatin (GC), or others. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Overall survival (OS), downstaging rate, and pathological complete response using a multivariable model adjusting for tumor- and patient-related factors. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Downstaging rate was significantly improved with neoCTX versus initial surgery (49.6% vs 14.5%, p < 0.0001), stage cT2N0 versus cT3/4N0 (44% vs 25%, p = 0.01), or presence of carcinoma in situ (47% vs 28%, p = 0.01). Downstaging was greatest with IA/EP (65%) versus EP (39%), MVAC/GC (27%), or others (36%, p = 0.04). After adjusting for age and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, IA/EP was still associated with improved downstaging (odds ratio = 3.7 [1.3-10.2], p = 0.01). At a median follow-up of 59.7 mo, 5-yr OS rates for neoCTX followed by surgery, surgery alone, and surgery followed by adjCTX were 57%, 22%, and 30%, respectively. An NEC regimen (IA/EP or EP) versus a urothelial regimen (MVAC/GC or others) was associated with improved survival (145.4 vs 42.5 mo, hazard ratio = 0.49, 95% confidence interval: 0.25-0.94). CONCLUSIONS: Neoadjuvant CTX remains the standard-of-care treatment for NEC-URO with an advantage for NEC regimens over traditional urothelial regimens. IA/EP improves pathological downstaging at the time of surgery compared with EP, but is reserved for younger and higher function patients. PATIENT SUMMARY: In this report, we looked at the outcomes from invasive neuroendocrine carcinoma of the urinary tract in a large US population. We found that the outcomes varied with treatment strategy. We conclude that the best outcomes are seen in patients treated with chemotherapy prior to surgery and regimens tailored to histology and tolerance.

Combined Mek inhibition and Pparg activation Eradicates Muscle Invasive Bladder cancer in a Mouse Model of BBN-induced Carcinogenesis.

Bladder cancers (BCs) can be divided into 2 major subgroups displaying distinct clinical behaviors and mutational profiles: basal/squamous (BASQ) tumors that tend to be muscle invasive, and luminal/papillary (LP) tumors that are exophytic and tend to be non-invasive. Pparg is a likely driver of LP BC and has been suggested to act as a tumor suppressor in BASQ tumors, where it is likely suppressed by MEK-dependent phosphorylation. Here we tested the effects of rosiglitazone, a Pparg agonist, in a mouse model of BBN-induced muscle invasive BC. Rosiglitazone activated Pparg signaling in suprabasal epithelial layers of tumors but not in basal-most layers containing highly proliferative invasive cells, reducing proliferation but not affecting tumor survival. Addition of trametinib, a MEK inhibitor, induced Pparg signaling throughout all tumor layers, and eradicated 91% of tumors within 7-days of treatment. The 2-drug combination also activated a luminal differentiation program, reversing squamous metaplasia in the urothelium of tumor-bearing mice. Paired ATAC-RNA-seq analysis revealed that tumor apoptosis was most likely linked to down-regulation of Bcl-2 and other pro-survival genes, while the shift from BASQ to luminal differentiation was associated with activation of the retinoic acid pathway and upregulation of Kdm6a, a lysine demethylase that facilitates retinoid-signaling. Our data suggest that rosiglitazone, trametinib, and retinoids, which are all FDA approved, may be clinically active in BASQ tumors in patients. That muscle invasive tumors are populated by basal and suprabasal cell types with different responsiveness to PPARG agonists will be an important consideration when designing new treatments.

Pre-cancer: From diagnosis to intervention opportunities.

The multi-step process of carcinogenesis implies the existence of pre-malignant yet altered states that involve both the potentially carcinogenic cell as well as its surrounding microenvironment. Experts discuss some tumor types for which clear pre-cancerous stages have been identified and mention key biological alterations used for diagnosis and intervention strategies.

Intraosseous hibernoma: clinicopathologic and imaging analysis of 18 cases.

AIMS: Intraosseous hibernomas are rarely reported tumours with brown adipocytic differentiation of unknown aetiology, with only 38 cases documented in the literature. We sought to further characterise the clinicopathologic, imaging and molecular features of these tumours. METHODS AND RESULT: Eighteen cases were identified occurring in eight females and 10 males (median age = 65 years, range = 7-75). Imaging indication was cancer surveillance/staging in 11 patients and clinical concern for a metastasis was raised in 13 patients. The innominate bone (7), sacrum (5), mobile spine (4), humerus (1) and femur (1) were involved. Median tumour size was 1.5 cm (range = 0.8-3.8). Tumours were sclerotic (11), mixed sclerotic and lytic (4) or occult (1). Microscopically, tumours were composed of large polygonal cells with distinct cell membranes, finely vacuolated cytoplasm, central or paracentral small bland nuclei with prominent scalloping. Growth around trabecular bone was observed. Tumour cells were immunoreactive for S100 protein (15/15) and adipophilin (5/5), while negative for keratin AE1/AE3(/PCK26) (0/14) and brachyury (0/2). Chromosomal microarray analysis, performed on four cases, did not show clinically significant copy number variation across the genome or on 11q, the site of AIP and MEN1. CONCLUSION: Analysis of 18 cases of intraosseous hibernoma, to our knowledge, the largest series to date, revealed that these tumours are most often detected in the spine and pelvis of older adults. Tumours were generally small, sclerotic and frequently found incidentally and can raise concern for metastasis. Whether or not these tumours are related to soft tissue hibernomas is uncertain.

Reprint of: somatic-type malignancies in testicular germ cell tumors.

The development of somatic-type malignancy (SM) in testicular germ cell tumor represents a major challenge in the diagnosis and treatment of testicular cancer. Most SMs are derived from teratoma, and the remainder is associated with yolk sac tumor. They occur more frequently in metastases than in primary testicular tumors. SMs demonstrate a variety of histologic types, including sarcoma, carcinoma, embryonic-type neuroectodermal tumor, nephroblastoma-like tumor, and hematologic malignancy. Sarcoma, particularly rhabdomyosarcoma, accounts for the majority of SMs in the primary testicular tumors, whereas carcinoma, particularly adenocarcinoma, is the most common SM in metastases. Although SMs derived from testicular germ cell tumors mimic their histologic counterparts in other organs with overlapping immunohistochemical profiles, isochromosome 12p is present in most SMs, which can be useful in the differential diagnosis. The presence of SM in the primary testicular tumor may not worsen the outcome, but the development of SM in metastasis is associated with a poor prognosis. Furthermore, somatic-type carcinoma is likely associated with a worse prognosis than somatic-type sarcoma. Although SMs respond poorly to the cisplatin-based chemotherapy, timely surgical resection is an effective treatment for most patients.

Integrative Clinical and Genomic Characterization of MTAP-deficient Metastatic Urothelial Cancer.

Deficiency of MTAP (MTAPdef) mainly occurs because of homozygous loss of chromosome 9p21, which is the most common copy-number loss in metastatic urothelial cancer (mUC). We characterized the clinical and genomic features of MTAPdef mUC in 193 patients treated at MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC) and 298 patients from the phase 2 IMvigor210 trial, which investigated atezolizumab in cisplatin-ineligible and platinum-refractory disease. In the MDACC cohort, visceral metastases were significantly more common for MTAPdef (n = 48) than for MTAP-proficient (MTAPprof; n = 145) patients (75% vs 55.2%; p = 0.02). MTAPdef was associated with poor prognosis (median overall survival [mOS] 12.3 vs 20.2 mo; p = 0.007) with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.93 (95% confidence interval 1.35-2.98). Similarly, IMvigor210 patients with MTAPlo (n = 29) had a higher incidence of visceral metastases than those with MTAPhi tumors (n = 269; 86.2% vs 72.5%; p = 0.021) and worse prognosis (mOS 8.0 vs 11.3 mo; p = 0.042). Hyperplasia-associated genes were more frequently mutated in MTAPdef tumors (FGFR3: 31% vs 8%; PI3KCA: 31% vs 19%), while alterations in dysplasia-associated genes were less common in MTAPdef tumors (TP53: 41% vs 67%; RB1: 0% vs 16%). Our findings support a distinct biology in MTAPdef mUC that is associated with early visceral disease and worse prognosis. PATIENT SUMMARY: We investigated the outcomes for patients with the most common gene loss (MTAP gene) in metastatic cancer of the urinary tract. We found that this loss correlates with worse prognosis and a higher risk of metastasis in internal organs. There seems to be distinct tumor biology for urinary tract cancer with MTAP gene loss and this could be a potential target for treatment.

Recent Advances in the Classification of Bladder Cancer - Updates from the 5th Edition of the World Health Organization Classification of the Urinary and Male Genital Tumors.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization Classification (WHO) of Urinary and Male Genital Tumors has recently been updated to its 5th edition. The new edition presents a comprehensive approach to the classification of urinary and male genital tumors with an incorporation of morphologic, clinical, and genomic data. OBJECTIVE: This review aims to update the new classification of bladder cancer in the 5th edition and to highlight important changes in nomenclatures, diagnostic criteria, and molecular characterization, as compared to the 4th edition. METHODS: The pathologic classification of bladder cancer in the 5th edition of WHO Classification of Urinary and Male Genital Tumours was compared to that in the 4th edition. PubMed was searched using key words, including bladder cancer, WHO 1973, WHO 1998, WHO 2004, WHO 2016, histology, pathology, genomics, and molecular classification in the time frame from 1973 to August of 2022. Other relevant papers were also consulted, resulting in the selection of 81 papers as references. RESULTS: The binary grading of papillary urothelial carcinoma (UC) is practical, but it may be oversimplified and contribute to "grade migration" in recent years. An arbitrary cutoff (5%) has been proposed for bladder cancers with mixed grades. The diagnosis of papillary urothelial neoplasm with low malignant potential has been dramatically reduced in recent years because of overlapping morphology and treatment with low-grade papillary UC. An inverted growth pattern should be distinguished from true (or destructive) stromal invasion in papillary UC. Several methods have been proposed for pT1 tumor substaging, but it is often challenging to substage pT1 tumors in small biopsy specimens. Bladder UC shows a high tendency for divergent differentiation, leading to several distinct histologic subtypes associated with an aggressive clinical behavior. Molecular classification based on the genomic analysis may be a useful tool in the stratification of patients for optimal treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The 5th edition of WHO Classification of Urinary and Male Genital Tumours has made several significant changes in the classification of bladder cancer. It is important to be aware of these changes and to incorporate them into routine clinical practice.

Updates of Prostate Cancer from the 2022 World Health Organization Classification of the Urinary and Male Genital Tumors.

Prostate cancer is a heterogeneous disease with a wide spectrum of pathological, clinical, and molecular features. The diagnosis and classification of prostate cancer have been constantly modified with the incorporation of new data. The 5th edition of the World Health Organization (WHO) Classification of Urinary and Genital Tumors was recently published six years after the 4th edition. In this new edition, the classification of prostate cancer has been refined in the diagnostic criteria, grading, nomenclature, and genomics. This paper reviews significant updates to the new WHO classification of prostate cancer, including high-grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia, acinar adenocarcinoma, intraductal carcinoma, ductal carcinoma, and neuroendocrine tumors. Controversial issues in the Gleason grading are discussed, such as intraductal carcinoma and tertiary grade. We also highlight distinct genetic and epigenetic alterations in prostate cancer that may contribute to its diverse clinicopathologic features. Overall, the 5th edition of the WHO classification provides a comprehensive assessment of prostate cancer with morphologic, immunohistochemical, genomic, and clinical data, which may represent an optimal paradigm for diagnosing and treating prostate cancer.

Molecular Taxonomy and Immune Checkpoint Therapy in Bladder Cancer.

Bladder cancer is a heterogeneous disease, which exhibits a wide spectrum of clinical and pathologic features. Recent genomic studies have revealed that distinct molecular alterations may underlie the diverse clinical behaviors of bladder cancer, leading to a novel molecular classification. The intrinsic molecular subtypes exhibit distinct gene expression signatures and different clinicopathologic features. Genomic alterations also underlie the development of bladder cancer histologic subtypes. Genomic characterization provides new insights to understanding the biology of bladder cancer and improves the diagnosis and treatment of this complex disease. Biomarkers can aid the selection of patients for immune checkpoint therapy.

Longitudinal GFR trends after neoadjuvant chemotherapy prior to nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Renal function dictates sequencing and eligibility for definitive therapy in upper tract urothelial carcinoma. We investigated longitudinal glomerular filtration rate (GFR) changes after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and nephroureterectomy (RNU). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients treated with ≥3 cycles of chemotherapy prior to RNU for UTUC from 2000 to 2019 were included. GFR was calculated by CKD-Epi before chemotherapy, before RNU, 1 to 3 months, and 12 months post-RNU. Pathologic stage and overall survival were compared in those with stable GFR (+/-10% of baseline) to the rest of the cohort. RESULTS: One hundred and fifty-two patients received ≥3 cycles of NAC, with 121 (79%) receiving at least 1 cycle of cisplatin. Renal function dropped by mean of 22.3 ml/min/1.73 m2 from the beginning of chemotherapy to 1-year post-surgery. In patients receiving cisplatin, a mean decline of 26.2 ml/min/1.73 m2 was observed vs. 8.8 ml/min/1.73 m2 without cisplatin-based NAC (P < 0.01). GFR after RNU was unchanged between 3 and 12 months postoperatively. At 1 to 3 months after RNU, 19% of patients had GFR<30 ml/min/1.73m2. Improvement in GFR during NAC was associated with invasive final pathologic stage (P = 0.018) and worse overall survival (P = 0.049). CONCLUSIONS: In patients managed with NAC prior to RNU, renal function stabilizes at 1 to 3 months post-operatively and remains clinically similar for cisplatin or non-cisplatin-based therapy. Improvement in GFR during NAC was associated with higher pathologic stage and poorer survival, especially in those receiving non-cisplatin-based therapy, an observation that requires further investigation.

Erratum: The origin of bladder cancer from mucosal field effects.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2022.104551.].

Somatic-type malignancies in testicular germ cell tumors.

The development of somatic-type malignancy (SM) in testicular germ cell tumor represents a major challenge in the diagnosis and treatment of testicular cancer. Most SMs are derived from teratoma, and the remainder is associated with yolk sac tumor. They occur more frequently in metastases than in primary testicular tumors. SMs demonstrate a variety of histologic types, including sarcoma, carcinoma, embryonic-type neuroectodermal tumor, nephroblastoma-like tumor, and hematologic malignancy. Sarcoma, particularly rhabdomyosarcoma, accounts for the majority of SMs in the primary testicular tumors, whereas carcinoma, particularly adenocarcinoma, is the most common SM in metastases. Although SMs derived from testicular germ cell tumors mimic their histologic counterparts in other organs with overlapping immunohistochemical profiles, isochromosome 12p is present in most SMs, which can be useful in the differential diagnosis. The presence of SM in the primary testicular tumor may not worsen the outcome, but the development of SM in metastasis is associated with a poor prognosis. Furthermore, somatic-type carcinoma is likely associated with a worse prognosis than somatic-type sarcoma. Although SMs respond poorly to the cisplatin-based chemotherapy, timely surgical resection is an effective treatment for most patients.

Lentiviral interferon: A novel method for gene therapy in bladder cancer.

Interferon alpha (IFNα) gene therapy is emerging as a new treatment option for patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). Adenoviral vectors expressing IFNα have shown clinical efficacy treating bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG)-unresponsive bladder cancer (BLCA). However, transient transgene expression and adenoviral immunogenicity may limit therapeutic activity. Lentiviral vectors can achieve stable transgene expression and are less immunogenic. In this study, we evaluated lentiviral vectors expressing murine IFNα (LV-IFNα) and demonstrate IFNα expression by transduced murine BLCA cell lines, bladder urothelium, and within the urine following intravesical instillation. Murine BLCA cell lines (MB49 and UPPL1541) were sensitive to IFN-mediated cell death after LV-IFNα, whereas BBN975 was inherently resistant. Upregulation of interleukin-6 (IL-6) predicted sensitivity to IFN-mediated cell death mediated by caspase signaling, which when inhibited abrogated IFN-mediated cell killing. Intravesical therapy with LV-IFNα/Syn3 in a syngeneic BLCA model significantly improved survival, and molecular analysis of treated tumors revealed upregulation of apoptotic and immune-cell-mediated death pathways. In particular, biomarker discovery analysis identified three clinically actionable targets, PD-L1, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), and ALDHA1A, in murine tumors treated with LV-IFNα/Syn3. Our findings warrant the comparison of adenoviral and LV-IFNα and the study of novel combination strategies with IFNα gene therapy for the BLCA treatment.

Estimation of tumor cell total mRNA expression in 15 cancer types predicts disease progression.

Single-cell RNA sequencing studies have suggested that total mRNA content correlates with tumor phenotypes. Technical and analytical challenges, however, have so far impeded at-scale pan-cancer examination of total mRNA content. Here we present a method to quantify tumor-specific total mRNA expression (TmS) from bulk sequencing data, taking into account tumor transcript proportion, purity and ploidy, which are estimated through transcriptomic/genomic deconvolution. We estimate and validate TmS in 6,590 patient tumors across 15 cancer types, identifying significant inter-tumor variability. Across cancers, high TmS is associated with increased risk of disease progression and death. TmS is influenced by cancer-specific patterns of gene alteration and intra-tumor genetic heterogeneity as well as by pan-cancer trends in metabolic dysregulation. Taken together, our results indicate that measuring cell-type-specific total mRNA expression in tumor cells predicts tumor phenotypes and clinical outcomes.

The origin of bladder cancer from mucosal field effects.

Whole-organ mapping was used to study molecular changes in the evolution of bladder cancer from field effects. We identified more than 100 dysregulated pathways, involving immunity, differentiation, and transformation, as initiators of carcinogenesis. Dysregulation of interleukins signified the involvement of inflammation in the incipient phases of the process. An aberrant methylation/expression of multiple HOX genes signified dysregulation of the differentiation program. We identified three types of mutations based on their geographic distribution. The most common were mutations restricted to individual mucosal samples that targeted uroprogenitor cells. Two types of mutations were associated with clonal expansion and involved large areas of mucosa. The α mutations occurred at low frequencies while the ß mutations increased in frequency with disease progression. Modeling revealed that bladder carcinogenesis spans 10-15 years and can be divided into dormant and progressive phases. The progressive phase lasted 1-2 years and was driven by ß mutations.