Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic Lockdown on Emergency Medical Service Utilisation, and Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Volume-An Australian Perspective.

BACKGROUND: Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) admissions and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) volume declined during periods of COVID-19 lockdown internationally in 2020. The effect of lockdown on emergency medical service (EMS) utilisation, and PCI volume during the initial phase of the pandemic in Australia has not been well described. METHOD: We analysed data from the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry (VCOR), a state-wide PCI registry, linked with the Ambulance Victoria EMS registry. PCI volume, 30-day major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE; composite of mortality, myocardial infarction, stent thrombosis, unplanned revascularisation, and stroke), and EMS utilisation were compared over four time periods: lockdown (26 Mar 2020-12 May 2020); pre-lockdown (26 Feb 2020-25 Mar 2020); post-lockdown (13 May 2020-10 Jul 2020); and the year prior (26 Mar 2019-12 May 2019). Interrupted time series analysis was performed to assess PCI trends within and between consecutive periods. RESULTS: The EMS utilisation for ACS during lockdown was higher compared with other periods: lockdown 39.4% vs pre-lockdown 29.7%; vs post-lockdown 33.6%; vs year prior 27.1%; all p<0.01. Median daily PCI cases were similar: 31 (IQR 10, 38) during lockdown; 39 (15, 49) pre-lockdown; 39.5 (11, 44) post-lockdown; and, 42 (10, 49) the year prior; all p>0.05. Median door-to-procedure time for ACS indication during lockdown was shorter at 3 hours (1.2, 20.6) vs pre-lockdown 3.9 (1.7, 21); vs post-lockdown 3.5 (1.5, 21.26); and, the year prior 3.5 (1.5, 23.7); all p<0.05. Lockdown period was associated with lower odds for 30-day MACCE compared to pre-lockdown (odds ratio [OR] 0.55 [0.33-0.93]; p=0.026); post-lockdown (OR 0.66; [0.40-1.06]; p=0.087); and the year prior (OR 0.55 [0.33-0.93]; p=0.026). CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to international trends, EMS utilisation for ACS increased during lockdown but PCI volumes remained similar throughout the initial stages of the pandemic in Victoria, with no observed adverse effect on 30-day MACCE during lockdown. These data suggest that the public health response in Victoria was not associated with poorer quality cardiovascular care in patients receiving PCI.

Electrocardiographic patterns and clinical outcomes of acute coronary syndrome cardiogenic shock in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention - A propensity score analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the influence of presenting electrocardiographic (ECG) changes on prognosis in acute coronary syndrome cardiogenic shock (ACS-CS) patients undergoing percutaneous coronary angiography (PCI). BACKGROUND: The effect of initial ECG changes such as ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) versus non-STEMI among patients ACS-CS on prognosis remains unclear. METHODS: We analysed data from consecutive patients with ACS-CS enrolled in the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes registry between 2014 and 2020. Inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis (IPTW) was used to assess the effect of ECG changes on 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Of 1564 patients with ACS-CS who underwent PCI, 161 had non-STEMI and 1403 had STEMI on ECG. The mean age was 66 ± 13 years, and 74 % (1152) were males. Patients with non-STEMI compared to STEMI were older (70 ± 12 vs 65 ± 13 years), had higher rates of diabetes (34 % vs 21 %), prior coronary artery bypass graft surgery (14 % vs 3.3 %), peripheral arterial disease (10.6 % vs 4.1 %, p < 0.01), and lower baseline eGFR (53.8 [37.1, 75.4] vs 65.3 [46.3, 87.8] ml/min/1.73m2), all p ≤ 0.01. Non-STEMI patients were more likely to have a culprit left circumflex artery (29 % vs 20 %) and more often underwent multivessel percutaneous coronary intervention (30 % vs 20 %) but had lower rates of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (21 % vs 39 %), all p ≤ 0.01. Propensity score analysis with IPTW confirmed that non-STEMI ECG was associated with lower odds for 30-day all-cause mortality (OR 0.47 [0.32, 0.69], p < 0.001), and 30-day major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (OR 0.48 [0.33, 0.70]). CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing PCI, Non-STEMI as compared to STEMI on index ECG was associated with approximately half the relative risk of both 30-day mortality and 30-day MACCE and could be a useful variable to integrate in ACS-CS risk scores.

Sex differences among patients presenting to hospital with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and shockable rhythm.

OBJECTIVE: Sex differences in patients presenting with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and shockable rhythm might be associated with disparities in clinical outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study and compared characteristics and short-term outcomes between male and female adult patients who presented with OHCA and shockable rhythm at two large metropolitan health services in Melbourne, Australia between the period of 2014-2018. Logistic regression was used to assess the effect of sex on clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Of 212 patients, 166 (78%) were males and 46 (22%) were females. Both males and females presented with similar rates of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (44% vs 36%, P = 0.29), although males were more likely to have a history of coronary artery disease (32% vs 13%) and a final diagnosis of a cardiac cause for their OHCA (89% vs 72%), both P = 0.01. Rates of coronary angiography (81% vs 71%, P = 0.23) and percutaneous coronary intervention (51% vs 42%, P = 0.37) were comparable among males and females. No differences in rates of in-hospital mortality (38% vs 37%, P = 0.90) and 30-day major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, coronary revascularization and nonfatal stroke) (39% vs 41%, P = 0.79) were observed between males and females, respectively. Female sex was not associated with worse in-hospital mortality when adjusted for other variables (odds ratio 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.28-1.60, P = 0.36). CONCLUSION: Among patients presenting with OHCA and a shockable rhythm, baseline sex and sex differences were not associated with disparities in short-term outcomes in contemporary systems of care.

Echocardiographic detection of heart valve disease in a community cohort of asymptomatic Australians > 65 years with cardiovascular risk factors.

BACKGROUND: Valvular heart disease is becoming an increasingly prevalent with population ageing. We sought to define the current prevalence of valvular heart disease in Australia. METHODS: The TasELF and VicELF studies prospectively recruited 962 asymptomatic participants ≥65 years, with at least one cardiovascular risk factor, from the Tasmanian and Victorian communities. People were excluded if they had a previous diagnosis of heart failure, or a life expectancy <1 year. All underwent baseline echocardiography. Those with moderate or severe valvular disease were identified. The current prevalence of clinically significant valve disease was applied to the Australian Bureau of Statistics population projections. RESULTS: Echocardiograms were interpretable in 943 participants (98%). Clinically significant valve disease was present in 5% of the population, and mitral regurgitation was the most common overall valvular lesion, present in 36% of the population. The projected numbers of people with clinically significant valvular disease is expected to increase significantly across all age groups by the year 2060. CONCLUSIONS: Clinically significant yet asymptomatic valvular disease was prevalent in a large community cohort of participants with at least one risk factor. The total burden of valvular heart disease is expected to increase dramatically over the coming decades.

Evaluation of factors associated with selection for coronary angiography and in-hospital mortality among patients presenting with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest without ST-segment elevation.

BACKGROUND: Clinical factors favouring coronary angiography (CA) selection and variables associated with in-hospital mortality among patients presenting with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) without ST-segment elevation (STE) remain unclear. METHODS: We evaluated clinical characteristics associated with CA selection and in-hospital mortality in patients with OHCA, shockable rhythm and no STE. RESULTS: Between 2014 and 2018, 118 patients with OHCA and shockable rhythm without STE (mean age 59; males 75%) were stratified by whether CA was performed. Of 86 (73%) patients undergoing CA, 30 (35%) received percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). CA patients had shorter return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) time (17 vs. 25 min) and were more frequently between 50 and 60 years (29% vs. 6.5%), with initial Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score >8 (24% vs. 6%) (all p < 0.05). In-hospital mortality was 33% (n = 39) for overall cohort (CA 27% vs. no-CA 50%, p = 0.02). Compared to late CA, early CA ( ≤ 2 h) was not associated with lower in-hospital mortality (32% vs. 34%, p = 0.82). Predictors of in-hospital mortality included longer defibrillation time (odds ratio 3.07, 95% confidence interval 1.44-6.53 per 5-min increase), lower pH (2.02, 1.33-3.09 per 0.1 decrease), hypoalbuminemia (2.02, 1.03-3.95 per 5 g/L decrease), and baseline renal dysfunction (1.33, 1.02-1.72 per 10 ml/min/1.73 m2 decrease), while PCI to lesion (0.11, 0.01-0.79) and bystander defibrillation (0.06, 0.004-0.80) were protective factors (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with OHCA and shockable rhythm without STE, younger age, shorter time to ROSC and GCS >8 were associated with CA selection, while less effective resuscitation, greater burden of comorbidities and absence of treatable coronary lesion were key adverse prognostic predictors.

Global longitudinal strain as a prognostic marker in cardiac resynchronisation therapy: A systematic review.

PURPOSE: Cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT) has proven mortality benefits for heart failure patients with moderate to severe systolic left ventricular dysfunction and evidence of a left bundle branch block. Determining responders to this therapy can be difficult due to the presence of myocardial fibrosis and scar. Left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LV GLS) is a robust and sensitive measure of myocardial function and fibrosis that has significant prognostic value for a plethora of cardiac pathologies. Our aim was to perform a systematic review of the value of LV GLS for predicting outcomes in patients undergoing CRT. METHODS: A systematic review of the literature was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) protocol for reporting on systematic reviews and meta-analyses. An electronic search of all English, adult publications in EMBASE, MEDLINE/PubMed and the Cochrane Database of Systematic reviews was undertaken. RESULTS: The search yielded, 9 studies that included 3,981 patients with symptomatic heart failure, undergoing CRT implantation with LV GLS utilised as a predictor of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, rehospitalisation, LVAD implantation/ heart transplantation or left ventricular reverse remodelling. Significant heterogeneity was observed in study outcome measures, included populations, LV-GLS cut-offs and follow-up definitions, resulting in the inability to reliably conduct a meta-analyses. Overall, pre-CRT LV GLS was found to be a predictor of outcome post CRT insertion. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, all studies implied that incrementally abnormal baseline LV GLS pre-CRT implantation was associated with a long term poorer outcome.

Comparison of 3D echocardiographic-derived indices using fully automatic left ventricular endocardial tracing (heart model) and semiautomatic tracing (3DQ-ADV).

AIMS: The availability of a true 3D dataset provides an opportunity for automation of left ventricular (LV) and left atrial (LA) measurements. Although manual and automated measurements of 3D volumes are known to correlate, the variance is an important parameter for the individual patient. The reasons for discrepancies remain unexplained. We hence aim to explain the disagreement between automated and manual LV and LA volumes. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 355 patients underwent standard clinical echo, with offline analysis in both fully- (Heart Model, Philips) and semiautomated (3DQ-Adv, Philips) assessment of routine indices of LV and LA function and shape. Each image was classified according to quality using a 4-point scale as well as the American Society for Echocardiography guidelines for appropriate use of contrast. Bland-Altman plots were used to assess agreement, and t tests were used to assess differences in agreement. Predictors of volume discrepancy were sought with linear regression. Measures of LV and LA volumes were greater with automatic than semiautomatic assessment. The difference in left ventricular end-diastolic volume was dependent on the number of regional wall-motion abnormalities (RWMA) (ß = 0.59, P < .04) and image quality (ß = 19.71, P = .02). RWMA predicted the difference in left ventricular end-systolic volume (ß = 0.83, P < .01) and left atrial end-systolic volume (ß = -1.01 P < .01). CONCLUSION: LV and LA volumes were higher with automatic than semiautomatic assessment. Image quality and RWMA may contribute to this discrepancy. These limitations need to be addressed before fully automatic assessment of 3D echocardiograms can be used in the clinic.

Echocardiographic Risk Assessment to Guide Screening for Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Although atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant population health burden, and an avoidable cause of stroke, AF screening remains controversial. The aim of this study was to investigate whether coincidental echocardiography could provide information about patients at risk for AF. METHODS: Asymptomatic participants ≥65 years of age with more than one AF risk factor (N = 445) undergoing echocardiography for risk evaluation were followed over a median of 15 months for incident AF. Left atrial volume index (LAVi), left ventricular (LV) global longitudinal strain (GLS; absolute value), left atrial (LA) strain, and LV mass were measured. During the follow-up period, AF was diagnosed clinically by primary care physicians or by using a single-lead portable electrocardiographic monitoring device (five 60-sec recordings performed by participants over 1 week). RESULTS: AF was diagnosed in 45 patients (10%; mean age, 70.5 ± 4.2 years; 55% women). AF detection was higher in those with LV hypertrophy, GLS < 16%, LAVi > 34 mL/m2, and LA reservoir strain < 34%. GLS, LAVi, and LA reservoir strain were independently associated with AF (P < .05). Those with AF had reduced GLS, higher LAVi, and higher LV mass (P < .05), but LA strain was similar in both groups (P > .05). GLS and LAVi were the strongest predictors, and cut points of 14.3% for GLS and 39 mL/m2 were associated with increased risk for developing AF. Those with all four risk parameters (LV hypertrophy, GLS < 16%, LA reservoir strain < 34%, and LAVi > 34 mL/m2) had a 60% AF detection rate, compared with 7% without these features (P = .004). CONCLUSION: Echocardiography is widely used in patients at risk for AF, and simple LV and LA measurements may be used to enrich the process of AF screening.

Association between socioeconomic status and incident atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Low socioeconomic status is associated with cardiovascular diseases, and an association with atrial fibrillation (AF) could guide screening. AIM: To investigate if indices of advantage/disadvantage (IAD), index of education/occupation (IEO) and index of economic resources were associated with incident AF, independent of risk factors and cardiac function. METHODS: We studied community-based participants aged ≥65 years with AF risk factors (n = 379, age 70 ± 4 years, 45% men). The CHARGE-AF score (a well validated AF risk score) was used to assess 5-year risk of developing AF. Participants also had baseline echocardiograms. IAD, IEO and index of economic resources were obtained from the 2011 Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas score, in which higher decile ranks indicate more advantaged areas. Patients were followed up for incident AF (median 21 (range 5-31) months), with AF diagnosed by clinical review, including 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG), as well as single-lead portable ECG monitoring used to record 60 s ECG tracings five times/day for 1 week. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between socioeconomic status and incident AF. RESULTS: Subjects with AF (n = 50, 13%) were more likely to be male (64 vs 42%, P = 0.003) and had higher CHARGE-AF score (median 7.1% (5.2-12.8%) vs 5.3% (3.3-8.6%), P < 0.001). Areas with lower socioeconomic status (IAD and IEO) had a higher risk of incident AF independent of LV function and CHARGE-AF score (hazard ratio for IAD 1.16, 95% confidence interval 1.05-1.29, P = 0.005 and hazard ratio for IEO 1.18, 95% confidence interval 1.07-1.30, P = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Regional socioeconomic status is associated with risk of incident AF, independent of LV function and clinical risk. This association might permit better regional targeting of prevention.

Serial assessment of left ventricular morphology and function in a rodent model of ischemic cardiomyopathy.

Left ventricular remodelling (LVr) occurs post myocardial infarction (MI), predisposing people to heart failure (HF). LV mechanics and morphology are important in this process. We hence sort to characterize LV mechanics and geometry in a post-MI rodent model. Thirty-two male Sprague-Dawley rats (150-200 g) sustained MI (n = 24) or sham (Sham; n = 8) surgery. In another six sham rats invasive blood pressure measurements were performed. Ultrasound imaging was done at baseline, and 1, 3, 7, 14, 30 and 60 days following surgery, and LV mechanics and morphology assessed. LV volumes increased with time (p < 0.01), at a greater rate in the MI group than the Sham group (p < 0.01). Strain was impaired in MI rats at day 1 (13.50 ± 6.64 vs. 25.71 ± 4.94%, p < 0.01) and remained impaired at day 60 (14.07 ± 5.37 vs. 22.98 ± 5.87%, p < 0.01). Strain rate was lower at day 1 (4.11 ± 1.29 vs. 8.10 ± 2.18%/s, p < 0.01), remained lower throughout follow-up (p < 0.01), and decreased at a greater rate in MI rats (p < 0.01). Mean systolic (204 ± 43 vs. 322 ± 75 1/m, p < 0.01) and diastolic (167 ± 21 vs. 192 ± 11 1/m, p < 0.01) curvature was lower in the MI rats at day 1 post surgery and throughout follow-up (p < 0.01). Maximum principal curvature decreased throughout time (p < 0.01), while minimum principal curvature did not (p = 0.86). Wall stress increased significantly after infarction in MI rats (p < 0.01). ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) changed LV shape and contractile function. The assessment of these indices may prove useful in understanding LVr and the development of HF.

Use of Atrial Strain to Predict Atrial Fibrillation After Cerebral Ischemia.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to identify whether atrial strain could be used as an imaging biomarker to predict atrial fibrillation (AF). BACKGROUND: AF is found in up to 30% of cryptogenic cerebrovascular accidents (CVAs), which themselves account for 30% to 40% of ischemic CVA. METHODS: This observational study evaluated all patients who had an echocardiogram (transthoracic echocardiogram [TTE]) following presentation with cryptogenic CVA from 2010 to 2014. The TTEs were evaluated for reservoir strain (ƐR), contractile strain (ƐCt), and conduit atrial strain (ƐCd) using speckle tracking. Baseline clinical and TTE characteristics of patients who developed AF over 5 years of follow-up and those who did not were compared. The independent and incremental predictive value of atrial strain over established clinical models was assessed. Discriminatory cutpoints were defined using a Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis to identify patients at risk of developing AF. RESULTS: Of 538 patients, 61 (11%) developed AF, and this occurred within 2 years in 85% of patients. Patients who developed AF were older, had higher clinical risk scores, had higher LA volume, and had lower atrial strain than did those who did not develop AF. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.85 for ƐR, 0.83 for ƐCt, and 0.76 for ƐCd (all p < 0.001). The nested Cox regression model showed that ƐR (p = 0.03) and ƐCt (p < 0.001) demonstrated independent and incremental predictive value over the clinical risk. CART analysis identified ƐR ≤21.4%, ƐCd >10.4%, and CHARGE-AF (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology Atrial Fibrillation) score >7.8% as discriminatory for AF, with a 13-fold greater hazard of AF (p < 0.001) in patients with increased clinical risk and reduced ƐR. However, validation is needed for these strain cutoffs for detection of AF. CONCLUSIONS: Left atrial strain adds independent and incremental predictive value to current risk-prediction models for AF following cryptogenic CVA. Further studies should examine the implications of these findings for AF monitoring or empiric anticoagulation.

Normal Ranges of Left Atrial Strain by Speckle-Tracking Echocardiography: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Recent advances in the assessment of myocardial function have facilitated the direct measurement of atrial function using speckle-tracking echocardiography. Currently, normal reference ranges for atrial function using speckle-tracking echocardiography are based on a few initial studies, with variations among modestly sized (n = 100-350) studies. METHODS: The authors searched the PubMed, Embase, and Scopus databases for the key terms "left atrial/atrial/atrium" and "strain/function/deformation/stiffness" and "speckle tracking/Velocity Vector Imaging/edge tracking." Studies of global left atrial function using speckle-tracking were selected if they involved >30 normal or healthy participants without any cardiac risk factors. Normal ranges for reservoir strain, conduit strain, and contractile strain were computed using a random-effects model. Meta-regression and subgroup analysis was performed to explore between-study heterogeneity. RESULTS: Forty studies (2,542 healthy subjects) satisfied the inclusion criteria. Meta-analysis revealed a normal reference range for reservoir strain of 39% (95% CI, 38%-41%, from 40 articles), for conduit strain of 23% (95% CI, 21%-25%, from 14 articles), and for contractile strain of 17% (95% CI, 16%-19%, from 18 articles). Meta-regression identified heart rate (P = .02) and body surface area (P = .003) as contributors to this heterogeneity. Subgroup analyses revealed heterogeneity due to sample size (n > 100 vs N < 100, P = .02). CONCLUSIONS: The normal reference ranges for the three components of left atrial function are demonstrated. The between-study heterogeneity is explained partly by heart rate, body surface area, and sample size.

Association Between Myocardial Mechanics and Ischemic LV Remodeling.

The outcomes associated with heart failure after myocardial infarction are still poor. Both global and regional left ventricular (LV) remodeling are associated with the progression of the post-infarct patient to heart failure, but although global remodeling can be accurately measured, regional LV remodeling has been more difficult to investigate. Preliminary evidence suggests that post-MI assessment of LV mechanics using stress and strain may predict global (and possibly regional) LV remodeling. A method of predicting both global and regional LV remodeling might facilitate earlier, targeted, and more extensive clinical intervention in those most likely to benefit from novel interventions such as cell therapy.