ABSTRACT
To establish a multidimensional nomogram model for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) and risk stratification in patients with advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). This retrospective cross-sectional study included 156 patients with advanced NPC who underwent dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI). Radiomic features were extracted from the efflux rate constant (Ktrans ) and extracellular extravascular volume (Ve ) mapping derived from DCE-MRI. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis was applied for feature selection. The Radscore was constructed using the selected features with their respective weights in the LASSO Cox regression analysis. A nomogram model combining the Radscore and clinical factors was built using multivariate Cox regression analysis. The C-index was used to assess the discrimination power of the Radscore and nomogram. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis. Of the 360 radiomic features, 28 were selected (7, 6, and 15 features extracted from Ktrans , Ve, and Ktrans +Ve images, respectively). The combined Radscore k trans +Ve (C-index, 0.703, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.571-0.836) showed higher efficacy in predicting the prognosis of advanced NPC than Radscore k trans (C-index, 0.693; 95% CI, 0.560-0.826) and Radscore Ve (C-index, 0.614; 95% CI, 0.481-0.746) did. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed clinical stage, T stage, and treatment with nimotuzumab as risk factors for PFS. The nomogram established by Radscore k trans +Ve and risk factors (C-index, 0.732; 95% CI: 0.599-0.864) was better than Radscore k trans +Ve in predicting PFS in patients with advanced NPC. A lower Radscore k trans +Ve (HR 3.5584, 95% CI 2.1341-5.933), lower clinical stage (hazard ratio [HR] 1.5982, 95% CI 0.5262-4.854), lower T stage (HR 1.4365, 95% CI 0.6745-3.060), and nimotuzumab (NTZ) treatment (HR 0.7879, 95% CI 0.4899-1.267) were associated with longer PFS. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a lower PFS in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (p<0.0001). The nomogram based on combined pretreatment DCE-MRI radiomics features, NTZ, and clinicopathological risk factors may be considered as a noninvasive imaging marker for predicting individual PFS in patients with advanced NPC.
ABSTRACT
Purpose: To determine whether the early assessment of temporal lobe microstructural changes using diffusion kurtosis imaging (DKI) can predict late delayed neurocognitive decline after radiotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Methods and Materials: Fifty-four NPC patients undergoing intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) participated in a prospective DKI magnetic resonance (MR) imaging study. MR imaging was acquired prior to IMRT (-0), 1 month (-1), and 3 (-3) months after IMRT. Kurtosis (Kmean, Kax, Krad) and Diffusivity (Dmean, Dax, Drad) variables in the temporal lobe gray and white matter were computed. Neurocognitive function tests (MoCA) were administered pre-radiotherapy and at 2 years post-IMRT follow-up. All the patients were divided into neurocognitive function decline (NFD group) and neurocognitive function non-decline groups (NFND group) according to whether the MoCA score declined ≥3 2 years after IMRT. All the DKI metrics were compared between the two groups, and the best imaging marker was chosen for predicting a late delayed neurocognitive decline. Results: Kurtosis (Kmean-1, Kmean-3, Kax-1, Kax-3, Krad-1, and Krad-3) and Diffusivity (Dmean-1 and Dmean-3) of white matter were significantly different between the two groups (p<0.05). Axial Kurtosis (Kax-1, Kax-3) of gray matter was significantly different between the two groups (p<0.05). By receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kmean-1 of white matter performed best in predicting of MoCA scores delayed decline (p<0.05). The radiation dose was also significantly different between NFD and NFND group (p=0.031). Conclusions: Temporal lobe white matter is more vulnerable to microstructural changes and injury following IMRT in NPC. Metrics derived from DKI should be considered as imaging markers for predicting a late delayed neurocognitive decline. Both temporal lobe white and gray matter show microstructural changes detectable by DKI. The Kmean early after radiotherapy has the best prediction performance.
