AIDS and non-AIDS morbidity and mortality across the spectrum of CD4 cell counts in HIV-infected adults before starting antiretroviral therapy in Cote d'Ivoire.

BACKGROUND: In Western Europe, North America, and Australia, large cohort collaborations have been able to estimate the short-term CD4 cell count-specific risk of AIDS or death in untreated human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected adults with high CD4 cell counts. In sub-Saharan Africa, these CD4 cell count-specific estimates are scarce. METHODS: From 1996 through 2006, we followed up 2 research cohorts of HIV-infected adults in Côte d'Ivoire. This included follow-up off antiretroviral therapy (ART) across the entire spectrum of CD4 cell counts before the ART era, and only in patients with CD4 cell counts >200 cells/µL once ART became available. Data were censored at ART initiation. We modeled the CD4 cell count decrease using an adjusted linear mixed model. CD4 cell count-specific rates of events were obtained by dividing the number of first events occurring in a given CD4 cell count stratum by the time spent in that stratum. RESULTS: Eight hundred sixty patients were followed off ART over 2789 person-years (PY). In the ≥650, 500-649, 350-499, 200-349, 100-199, 50-99, and 0-49 cells/µL CD4 cell count strata, the rates of AIDS or death were 0.9, 1.7, 3.7, 10.4, 30.9, 60.8, and 99.9 events per 100 PY, respectively. In patients with CD4 cell counts ≥200 CD4 cells/µL, the most frequent AIDS-defining disease was tuberculosis (decreasing from 4.0 to 0.6 events per 100 PY for 200-349 and ≥650 cells/µL, respectively), and the most frequent HIV non-AIDS severe diseases were visceral bacterial diseases (decreasing from 9.1 to 3.6 events per 100 PY). CONCLUSIONS: Rates of AIDS or death, tuberculosis, and invasive bacterial diseases are substantial in patients with CD4 cell counts ≥200 cells/µL. Tuberculosis and bacterial diseases should be the most important outcomes in future trials of early ART in sub-Saharan Africa.

Rapid scaling-up of antiretroviral therapy in 10,000 adults in Côte d'Ivoire: 2-year outcomes and determinants.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the rates and determinants of mortality, loss to follow-up and immunological failure in a nongovernmental organization-implemented program of access to antiretroviral treatment in Côte d'Ivoire. METHODS: In each new treatment center, professionals were trained in HIV care, and a computerized data system was implemented. Individual patient and program level determinants of survival, loss to follow-up and immunological failure were assessed by multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Between May 2004 and February 2007, 10,211 patients started antiretroviral treatment in 19 clinics (median preantiretroviral treatment CD4 cell count, 123 cells/microl; initial regimen zidovudine-lamivudine-efavirenz, 20%; stavudine-lamivudine-efavirenz, 22%; stavudine-lamivudine-nevirapine, 52%). At 18 months on antiretroviral treatment, the median gain in CD4 cell count was +202 cells/microl, the probability of death was 0.15 and the probability of being loss to follow-up was 0.21. In addition to the commonly reported determinants of impaired outcomes (low CD4 cell count, low BMI, low hemoglobin, advanced clinical stage, old age and poor adherence), two factors were also shown to independently jeopardize prognosis: male sex (men vs. women: hazard ratio = 1.52 for death, 1.27 for loss to follow-up, 1.31 for immunological failure); and attending a recently opened clinic (inexperienced vs. experienced centers: hazard ratio = 1.40 for death, 1.58 for loss to follow-up). None of the three outcomes was associated with the drug regimen. DISCUSSION: In this rapidly scaling-up program, survival and immune reconstitution were good; women and patients followed up in centers with longer experience had better outcomes; outcomes were similar in zidovudine/stavudine-based regimens and in efavirenz/nevirapine-based regimens. Decreasing the rate of loss to follow-up should now be the top priority in antiretroviral treatment rollout.

Impact of genotypic drug resistance mutations on clinical and immunological outcomes in HIV-infected adults on HAART in West Africa.

OBJECTIVES: To analyse the association between the presence of resistance mutations and treatment outcomes. The impact of HIV-1 drug resistance mutations in African adults on HAART has so far never been reported. METHODS: In 2004 in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire, 106 adults on HAART had plasma viral load measurements. Patients with detectable viral loads had resistance genotypic tests. Patients were followed until 2006. Main outcomes were serious morbidity and immunological failure (CD4 cell count < 200 cells/microl). RESULTS: At study entry, the median previous time on HAART was 37 months and the median CD4 cell count was 266 cells/microl; 58% of patients had undetectable viral loads, 20% had detectable viral loads with no major resistance mutations, and 22% had detectable viral loads with one or more major mutations. The median change in CD4 cell count between study entry and study termination was +129 cells/microl in patients with undetectable viral loads, +51 cells/microl in those with detectable viral loads with no mutations and +3 cells/microl in those with detectable viral loads with resistance mutations. Compared with patients with undetectable viral loads, those with detectable viral loads with resistance mutations had adjusted hazard ratios of immunological failure of 4.32 (95%CI 1.38-13.57, P = 0.01). One patient died. The 18-month probability of remaining free of morbidity was 0.79 in patients with undetectable viral loads and 0.69 in those with resistance mutations (P = 0.19). CONCLUSION: In this setting with restricted access to second-line HAART, patients with major resistance mutations had higher rates of immunological failure, but most maintained stable CD4 cell counts and stayed alive for at least 20 months.

Decreasing incidence of pregnancy by decreasing CD4 cell count in HIV-infected women in Côte d'Ivoire: a 7-year cohort study.

In a cohort study of women of childbearing age in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire, we followed 473 HIV-infected women for 1551 person-years, and found that the incidence of pregnancy and livebirth decreased with decreasing CD4 cell counts. This has consequences in terms of scaling-up strategies for highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Women who need HAART will be less likely than those who do not to be recruited into prenatal care facilities.

Medium-term survival, morbidity and immunovirological evolution in HIV-infected adults receiving antiretroviral therapy, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate survival, morbidity, and CD4 and viral load (VL) evolution in HIV-infected adults receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Côte d'Ivoire. METHODS: Since 1996, 723 HIV-infected adults have been followed up in the ANRS 1203 cohort study in Abidjan. For those patients who received ART, we describe data between ART initiation and August 2002. RESULTS: One-hundred-and-one adults (61% women) were followed up under ART for a median of 17 months. At ART initiation, median age, CD4 count and VL were 36 years, 135/mm3 and 5.3 log10 copies/ml, respectively. Initial ART regimens were two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) plus one protease inhibitor in 74 patients, two NRTIs plus one non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor in 16, and two NRTIs in 11. No patient was lost to follow-up. The most frequent causes of severe morbidity were bacterial infections [11.6/100 person-years (PY), 95% CI: 7.2-18.7], drug-related events (6.5/100 PY, 3.5-12.0), tuberculosis (3.1/100 PY, 1.3-7.4) and malaria (3.1/100 PY, 1.3-7.4). The incidence of death was 3.0/100 PY (1.1-8.0) in patients with baseline CD4 > or = 50/mm3 and 16.1/100 PY (7.2-35.9) in patients with CD4 < 50/mm3. Fifty percent of causes of death were active infections pre-existing ART initiation, mainly atypical mycobacteriosis. After 1 year, 51% of patients had undetectable VL, 28% had detectable VL reduced by more than 0.5 log10 copies/ml since ART initiation, and the median gain in CD4 was +115/mm3. CONCLUSION: Medium-term survival under ART may be as good in Africa as in industrialized countries, provided that patients benefit from access to care for opportunistic infections, including bacterial diseases, tuberculosis and malaria.

Pattern of bacterial diseases in a cohort of HIV-1 infected adults receiving cotrimoxazole prophylaxis in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire.

BACKGROUND: WHO/UNAIDS recommended that cotrimoxazole should be prescribed in Africa in HIV-infected adults with CD4 cell counts < 500 x 10 /l, while closely monitoring bacterial diseases in as many settings as possible. METHODS: Prospective cohort study, describing bacterial morbidity in adults receiving cotrimoxazole prophylaxis (960 mg daily) between April 1996 and June 2000 in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire. RESULTS: Four-hundred and forty-eight adults (median baseline CD4 cell count 251 x 10 /l) were followed for a median time of 26 months. The rates of overall bacterial diseases and of serious bacterial diseases with hospital admission were 36.8/100 person-years (PY) and 11.3/100 PY, respectively. Bacterial diseases were the first causes of hospital admissions, followed by non-specific enteritis (10.2/100 PY), acute unexplained fever (8.4/100 PY), and tuberculosis (3.6/100 PY). Among serious bacterial diseases, the most frequent were enteritis (3.0/100 PY), invasive urogenital infections (2.5/100 PY), pneumonia (2.3/100 PY), bacteraemia with no focus (2.0/100 PY), upper respiratory tract infections (1.6/100 PY) and cutaneous infections (0.6/100 PY). Compared with patients with baseline CD4+ cell counts >or= 200 x 10 /l, other patients had an adjusted hazard ratio of serious bacterial diseases of 3.05 (95% confidence interval, 2.00-4.67; < 0.001). Seventy-five bacterial strains were isolated during serious episodes including 29 non-, 14, 12 spp, and 12. DISCUSSION: Though with a medium-term rate half that of the short-term rate estimated under placebo before 1998 (26.1/100 PY), serious bacterial morbidity remains the first cause of hospital admission in adults receiving cotrimoxazole in this setting.

Causes and empirical treatment of fever in HIV-infected adult outpatients, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire.

OBJECTIVES: In Abidjan, HIV prevalence has been estimated at 20% in outpatients attending community clinics. Documenting causes of fever in HIV-infected adult outpatients may help to improve care in these centres with limited facilities. DESIGN: Prospective study. METHODS: We describe all diagnoses and treatments made during febrile episodes in HIV-infected adults participating in the ANRS 059 trial and followed up in a dedicated outpatient centre. RESULTS: Causes of fever could be identified in half of the 269 febrile episodes. Bacterial diseases were the leading identified cause of fever in all CD4 cell count strata (53, 56 and 43% of identified causes in episodes with CD4 count < 200 x 106/l, 200-499 x 106/l, and >or= 500 x 106/l, respectively), followed by malaria (5, 22, and 38%, respectively). Among febrile bacterial diseases, respiratory tract infections and enteritis accounted for 62% of organ involvement, and Streptococcus pneumoniae and non-typhi Salmonella represented 69% of isolated bacterial strains. In these bacterial episodes, an early empirical antibacterial treatment was associated with shorter duration of hospitalization and fever. In the 19 episodes leading to death (7%), the two leading diagnoses were atypical mycobacteriosis (26%) and acute unexplained fever (21%). Death was associated with the absence of antimalarial treatment in the group of acute unexplained fevers. CONCLUSIONS: African HIV treatment guidelines should take into account the predominant role of bacterial infections and malaria in HIV-infected adult outpatients. Reports from other African settings would be useful to compare experiences in algorithms of empirical early antibacterial and antimalarial treatments.