Additional treatment after primary conservative treatment in patients with chronic subdural hematoma-A retrospective study.

OBJECTIVE: Chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) is a common neurological condition and is typically treated with burr hole craniostomy. Nevertheless, conservative treatment may lead to spontaneous hematoma resolution in some patients. This study aims to describe the characteristics of patients who were treated conservatively without the eventual need for additional treatment. METHODS: Data were retrospectively collected from patients who were primarily treated conservatively in three hospitals in the Netherlands from 2008 to 2018. The Primary outcome was the nonnecessity of additional treatment within 3 months after the initial CSDH diagnosis. We used univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses to identify factors associated with not receiving additional treatment. RESULTS: In this study, 83 patients were included and 61 patients (73%) did not receive additional treatment within 3 months. Upon first presentation, the patients had a Markwalder Grading Scale score (MGS) of 0 (n = 5, 6%), 1 (n = 43, 52%), and 2 (n = 35, 42%). Additional treatment was less often received by patients with smaller hematoma volumes (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.78 per 10 mL; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.64-0.92). Patients using antithrombotic medication also received less additional treatment, but this association was not significant (aOR 2.02; 95% CI 0.61-6.69). CONCLUSIONS: Three quarters of the initially conservatively treated CSDH patients do not receive additional management. Typically, these patients have smaller hematoma volumes. Further, prospective research is needed to distinguish which patients require surgical intervention and in whom primary conservative treatment suffices.

Limb-Shaking Transient Ischemic Attacks in Patients with Carotid Occlusion or Stenosis: A Systematic Review and Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Limb-shaking transient ischemic attack (LSTIA) is a rare neurological condition which presents with involuntary jerky movements of the arm or leg, often because of carotid stenosis or occlusion. Due to the rarity of the condition, the epidemiology of LSTIA is poorly understood and the disease is frequently misdiagnosed. There is no standard treatment to date. The purpose of this study was to provide an overview of the epidemiology of LSTIA and its current treatment options. METHODS: Embase, MEDLINE, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for randomized controlled trials, and Google Scholar were searched from database inception to December 30, 2023 for articles containing information on the epidemiology and treatment of LSTIA. An individual patient data meta-analysis (IPD-MA) was performed using data extracted from the included articles. Inclusion criteria were description of both the epidemiology and treatment of LSTIA in patients over the age of 18 with carotid stenosis/occlusion, confirmed by radiographic imaging. Exclusion criteria were studies focusing on pediatrics, no epidemiological data, internal carotid artery (ICA) stenosis/occlusion not radiologically confirmed, full text unavailable, full text not in English or Dutch, and non-original articles. RESULTS: Of the 8,855 articles screened, 55 articles containing 251 patients were included. Fifty articles harboring 81 patients were included in the IPD-MA, and 7 articles harboring 187 patients were included in the cohort analysis. The results of the IPD-MA showed that LSTIA was caused by unilateral ICA stenosis/occlusion in 29 patients (36%) and most often from bilateral ICA stenosis/occlusion in 52 patients (64%). Limb-shaking was unilateral in 66 patients (83%) and was accompanied by weakness in 27 patients (33%). The intervention with the highest success rate was endovascular intervention (carotid stenting or balloon angioplasty), as all 10 patients remained asymptomatic after treatment. The cohort analysis showed that LSTIA can be caused by both unilateral and bilateral carotid stenosis or occlusion. The prevalence within cohorts of TIA patients of LSTIA varied considerably from 3.5 to 29%. CONCLUSION: A large international clinical registry is warranted to gain a better understanding of the epidemiology of LSTIA. There is insufficient evidence available to suggest a standard treatment.

Pharmacology of erenumab in human isolated coronary and meningeal arteries: Additional effect of gepants on top of a maximum effect of erenumab.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Multiple drugs targeting the calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) receptor have been developed for migraine treatment. Here, the effect of the monoclonal antibody erenumab on CGRP-induced vasorelaxation was investigated in human isolated blood vessels, as well as the effect of combining erenumab with the small molecule drugs, namely rimegepant, olcegepant, or sumatriptan. EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH: Concentration-response curves to CGRP, adrenomedullin or pramlintide were constructed in human coronary artery (HCA) and human middle meningeal artery (HMMA) segments, incubated with or without erenumab and/or olcegepant. pA2 or pKb values were calculated to determine the potency of erenumab in both tissues. To study whether acutely acting antimigraine drugs exerted additional CGRP-blocking effects on top of erenumab, HCA segments were incubated with a maximally effective concentration of erenumab (3 µM), precontracted with KCl and exposed to CGRP, followed by rimegepant, olcegepant, or sumatriptan in increasing concentrations. KEY RESULTS: Erenumab shifted the concentration-response curve to CGRP in both vascular tissues. However, in HCA, the Schild plot slope was significantly smaller than unity, whereas this was not the case in HMMA, indicating different CGRP receptor mechanisms in these tissues. In HCA, rimegepant, olcegepant and sumatriptan exerted additional effects on CGRP on top of a maximal effect of erenumab. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Gepants have additional effects on top of erenumab for CGRP-induced relaxation and could be effective in treating migraine attacks in patients already using erenumab as prophylaxis.

Study on prognosis of acutely ruptured intracranial aneurysms (SPARTA): a protocol for a multicentre prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Ruptured intracranial aneurysms resulting in subarachnoid haemorrhage can be treated by open surgical or endovascular treatment. Despite multiple previous studies, uncertainties on the optimal treatment practice still exists. The resulting treatment variation may result in a variable, potentially worse, patient outcome. To better inform future treatment strategies, this study aims to identify the effectiveness of different treatment strategies in patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms by investigating long-term functional outcome, complications and cost-effectiveness. An explorative analysis of the diagnostic and prognostic value of radiological imaging will also be performed. METHODS: This multi-centre observational prospective cohort study will have a follow-up of 10 years. A total of 880 adult patients with a subarachnoid haemorrhage caused by a ruptured intracranial aneurysm will be included. Calculation of sample size (N = 880) was performed to show non-inferiority of clip-reconstruction compared to endovascular treatment on 1 year outcome, assessed by using the ordinal modified Rankin Scale. The primary endpoint is the modified Rankin Scale score and mortality at 1 year after the initial subarachnoid haemorrhage. Patients will receive 'non-experimental' regular care during their hospital stay. For this study, health questionnaires and functional outcome will be assessed at baseline, before discharge and at follow-up visits. DISCUSSION: Despite the major healthcare and societal burden, the optimal treatment strategy for patients with subarachnoid haemorrhage caused by ruptured intracranial aneurysms is yet to be determined. Findings of this comparative effectiveness study, in which in-between centre variation in practice and patient outcome are investigated, will provide evidence on the effectiveness of treatment strategies, hopefully contributing to future high value treatment standardisation. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05851989 DATE OF REGISTRATION: May 10th, 2023.

Personalized decision-making for aneurysm treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: development and validation of a clinical prediction tool.

BACKGROUND: In patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage suitable for endovascular coiling and neurosurgical clip-reconstruction, the aneurysm treatment decision-making process could be improved by considering heterogeneity of treatment effect and durability of treatment. We aimed to develop and validate a tool to predict individualized treatment benefit of endovascular coiling compared to neurosurgical clip-reconstruction. METHODS: We used randomized data (International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial, n = 2143) to develop models to predict 2-month functional outcome and to predict time-to-rebleed-or-retreatment. We modeled for heterogeneity of treatment effect by adding interaction terms of treatment with prespecified predictors and with baseline risk of the outcome. We predicted outcome with both treatments and calculated absolute treatment benefit. We described the patient characteristics of patients with ≥ 5% point difference in the predicted probability of favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Score 0-2) and of no rebleed or retreatment within 10 years. Model performance was expressed with the c-statistic and calibration plots. We performed bootstrapping and leave-one-cluster-out cross-validation and pooled cluster-specific c-statistics with random effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: The pooled c-statistics were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.69-0.75) for the prediction of 2-month favorable functional outcome and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.63-0.71) for prediction of no rebleed or retreatment within 10 years. We found no significant interaction between predictors and treatment. The average predicted benefit in favorable functional outcome was 6% (95% CI: 3-10%) in favor of coiling, but 11% (95% CI: 9-13%) for no rebleed or retreatment in favor of clip-reconstruction. 134 patients (6%), young and in favorable clinical condition, had negligible functional outcome benefit of coiling but had a ≥ 5% point benefit of clip-reconstruction in terms of durability of treatment. CONCLUSIONS: We show that young patients in favorable clinical condition and without extensive vasospasm have a negligible benefit in functional outcome of endovascular coiling - compared to neurosurgical clip-reconstruction - while at the same time having a substantially lower probability of retreatment or rebleeding from neurosurgical clip-reconstruction - compared to endovascular coiling. The SHARP prediction tool ( https://sharpmodels.shinyapps.io/sharpmodels/ ) could support and incentivize a multidisciplinary discussion about aneurysm treatment decision-making by providing individualized treatment benefit estimates.

Outcomes Associated With Intracranial Aneurysm Treatments Reported as Safe, Effective, or Durable: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Importance: Testing new medical devices or procedures in terms of safety, effectiveness, and durability should follow the strictest methodological rigor before implementation. Objectives: To review and analyze studies investigating devices and procedures used in intracranial aneurysm (IA) treatment for methods and completeness of reporting and to compare the results of studies with positive, uncertain, and negative conclusions. Data Sources: Embase, MEDLINE, Web of Science, and The Cochrane Central Register of Clinical Trials were searched for studies on IA treatment published between January 1, 1995, and the October 1, 2022. Grey literature was retrieved from Google Scholar. Study Selection: All studies making any kind of claims of safety, effectiveness, or durability in the field of IA treatment were included. Data Extraction and Synthesis: Using a predefined data dictionary and analysis plan, variables ranging from patient and aneurysm characteristics to the results of treatment were extracted, as were details pertaining to study methods and completeness of reporting. Extraction was performed by 10 independent reviewers. A blinded academic neuro-linguist without involvement in IA research evaluated the conclusion of each study as either positive, uncertain, or negative. The study followed Preferring Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Main Outcomes and Measures: The incidence of domain-specific outcomes between studies with positive, uncertain, or negative conclusions regarding safety, effectiveness, or durability were compared. The number of studies that provided a definition of safety, effectiveness, or durability and the incidence of incomplete reporting of domain-specific outcomes were evaluated. Results: Overall, 12 954 studies were screened, and 1356 studies were included, comprising a total of 410 993 treated patients. There was no difference in the proportion of patients with poor outcome or in-hospital mortality between studies claiming a technique was safe, uncertain, or not safe. Similarly, there was no difference in the proportion of IAs completely occluded at last follow-up between studies claiming a technique was effective, uncertain, or noneffective. Less than 2% of studies provided any definition of safety, effectiveness, or durability, and only 1 of the 1356 studies provided a threshold under which the technique would be considered unsafe. Incomplete reporting was found in 546 reports (40%). Conclusions and Relevance: In this systematic review and meta-analysis of IA treatment literature, studies claiming safety, effectiveness, or durability of IA treatment had methodological flaws and incomplete reporting of relevant outcomes supporting these claims.

Dexamethasone versus Surgery for Chronic Subdural Hematoma.

BACKGROUND: The role of glucocorticoids without surgical evacuation in the treatment of chronic subdural hematoma is unclear. METHODS: In this multicenter, open-label, controlled, noninferiority trial, we randomly assigned symptomatic patients with chronic subdural hematoma in a 1:1 ratio to a 19-day tapering course of dexamethasone or to burr-hole drainage. The primary end point was the functional outcome at 3 months after randomization, as assessed by the score on the modified Rankin scale (range, 0 [no symptoms] to 6 [death]). Noninferiority was defined by a lower limit of the 95% confidence interval of the odds ratio for a better functional outcome with dexamethasone than with surgery of 0.9 or more. Secondary end points included scores on the Markwalder Grading Scale of symptom severity and on the Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale. RESULTS: From September 2016 through February 2021, we enrolled 252 patients of a planned sample size of 420; 127 were assigned to the dexamethasone group and 125 to the surgery group. The mean age of the patients was 74 years, and 77% were men. The trial was terminated early by the data and safety monitoring board owing to safety and outcome concerns in the dexamethasone group. The adjusted common odds ratio for a lower (better) score on the modified Rankin scale at 3 months with dexamethasone than with surgery was 0.55 (95% confidence interval, 0.34 to 0.90), which failed to show noninferiority of dexamethasone. The scores on the Markwalder Grading Scale and Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale were generally supportive of the results of the primary analysis. Complications occurred in 59% of the patients in the dexamethasone group and 32% of those in the surgery group, and additional surgery was performed in 55% and 6%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In a trial that involved patients with chronic subdural hematoma and that was stopped early, dexamethasone treatment was not found to be noninferior to burr-hole drainage with respect to functional outcomes and was associated with more complications and a greater likelihood of later surgery. (Funded by the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development and others; DECSA EudraCT number, 2015-001563-39.).

The prevalence and severity of fatigue in meningioma patients and its association with patient-, tumor- and treatment-related factors.

Background: Fatigue is a commonly reported and severe symptom in primary brain tumor patients, but the exact occurrence in meningioma patients is unknown. This study aimed to determine the frequency and severity of fatigue in meningioma patients as well as associations between the level of fatigue and patient-, tumor-, and treatment-related factors. Methods: In this multicenter cross-sectional study, meningioma patients completed questionnaires on fatigue (MFI-20), sleep (PSQI), anxiety and depression (HADS), tumor-related symptoms (MDASI-BT), and cognitive functioning (MOS-CFS). Multivariable regression models were used to evaluate the independent association between fatigue and each patient-, tumor-, and treatment-related factor separately, corrected for relevant confounders. Results: Based on predetermined in- and exclusion criteria, 275 patients, on average 5.3 (SD = 2.0) year since diagnosis, were recruited. Most patients had undergone resection (92%). Meningioma patients reported higher scores on all fatigue subscales compared to normative data and 26% were classified as fatigued. Having experienced a complication due to resection (OR 3.6, 95% CI: 1.8-7.0), having received radiotherapy (OR 2.4, 95% CI: 1.2-4.8), a higher number of comorbidities (OR 1.6, 95% CI: 1.3-1.9) and lower educational level (low level as reference; high level OR 0.3, 95% CI: 0.2-0.7) were independently associated with more fatigue. Conclusions: Fatigue is a frequent problem in meningioma patients even many years after treatment. Both patient- and treatment-related factors were determinants of fatigue, with the treatment-related factors being the most likely target for intervention in this patient population.

Safety and technical efficacy of early minimally invasive endoscopy-guided surgery for intracerebral haemorrhage: the Dutch Intracerebral haemorrhage Surgery Trial pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Previous randomised controlled trials could not demonstrate that surgical evacuation of intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) improves functional outcome. Increasing evidence suggests that minimally invasive surgery may be beneficial, in particular when performed early after symptom onset. The aim of this study was to investigate safety and technical efficacy of early minimally invasive endoscopy-guided surgery in patients with spontaneous supratentorial ICH. METHODS: The Dutch Intracerebral Haemorrhage Surgery Trial pilot study was a prospective intervention study with blinded outcome assessment in three neurosurgical centres in the Netherlands. We included adult patients with spontaneous supratentorial ICH ≥10mL and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥2 for minimally invasive endoscopy-guided surgery within 8 h after symptom onset in addition to medical management. Primary safety outcome was death or increase in NIHSS ≥4 points at 24 h. Secondary safety outcomes were procedure-related serious adverse events (SAEs) within 7 days and death within 30 days. Primary technical efficacy outcome was ICH volume reduction (%) at 24 h. RESULTS: We included 40 patients (median age 61 years; IQR 51-67; 28 men). Median baseline NIHSS was 19.5 (IQR 13.3-22.0) and median ICH volume 47.7mL (IQR 29.4-72.0). Six patients had a primary safety outcome, of whom two already deteriorated before surgery and one died within 24 h. Sixteen other SAEs were reported within 7 days in 11 patients (of whom two patients that already had a primary safety outcome), none device related. In total, four (10%) patients died within 30 days. Median ICH volume reduction at 24 h was 78% (IQR 50-89) and median postoperative ICH volume 10.5mL (IQR 5.1-23.8). CONCLUSIONS: Minimally invasive endoscopy-guided surgery within 8 h after symptom onset for supratentorial ICH appears to be safe and can effectively reduce ICH volume. Randomised controlled trials are needed to determine whether this intervention also improves functional outcome. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov : NCT03608423, August 1st, 2018.

The cognitive status of chronic subdural hematoma patients after treatment: an exploratory study.

OBJECTIVE: Chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) is a common neurological condition, often affecting the elderly. Cognitive impairment is frequently observed at presentation. However, the course and longer term aspects of the cognitive status of CSDH patients are unknown. In this study, we aim to explore the cognitive status of CSDH patients after treatment. METHODS: An exploratory study in which CSDH patients were assessed 3 months after treatment and compared to healthy controls. A total of 56 CSDH patients (age 72.1 SD ± 10.8 years with 43 [77%] males) and 60 healthy controls were included (age 67.5 ± SD 4.8 with 34 [57%] males). Cognitive testing was performed using the Telephonic Interview of Cognitive Status-modified (TICS-m), a 12-item questionnaire in which a total of 50 points can be obtained on several cognitive domains. RESULTS: Median time between treatment and cognitive testing was 93 days (range 76-139). TICS-m scores of CSDH patients were significantly lower than healthy controls, after adjusting for age and sex: mean score 34.6 (95% CI: 33.6-35.9) vs. 39.6 (95% CI: 38.5-40.7), p value < 0.001. More than half (54%) of CSDH patients have cognitive scores at follow-up that correspond with cognitive impairment. CONCLUSION: A large number of CSDH patients show significantly worse cognitive status 3 months after treatment compared to healthy controls. This finding underlines the importance of increased awareness for impaired cognition after CSDH. Further research on this topic is warranted.

Impact of an external ventricular shunt (EVD) handling protocol on secondary meningitis rates: a historical cohort study with propensity score matching.

BACKGROUND: External ventricular drainage (EVD) is frequently used in neurosurgical procedures for cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) drainage. It is, however, associated with high infection rates, namely secondary meningitis and ventriculitis. Based on a previous high prevalence of these infections among patients with EVDs, we have proposed and implemented a protocol in an effort to decrease the infection rate. The aim of this study was to measure the effect of hospital-wide implementation of the EVD handling protocol on secondary EVD infections. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We included 409 consecutive patients who received a new EVD for other indications than infectious pathologies from January 2000 until June 2012. Patients above 18 years of age were divided into pre- (n = 228) and post-protocol (n = 181) groups. Patient and disease demographics, as well as EVD data together with confounders for secondary meningitis were recorded in a database. Propensity score matching was then performed to create groups matched for sex, age, reason for drainage, type of shunt, time in situ and duration of surgery to place the EVD. Binomial logistic regression for confounder adjustment and regression discontinuity analyses were then performed on the matched cohort. RESULTS: Infections occurred more frequently in the pre-protocol group (23% vs 9%, p <  0.001). The incidence of infection was 33/1000 drain-days pre-protocol and 9/1000 drain-days post-protocol. Regression analysis in a propensity score-matched cohort (n = 103 in the pre- and n = 178 in the post-protocol groups) showed that the pre-protocol period was independently associated with more infections (OR 2.69; 95%-CI 1.22-5.95, p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of secondary EVD infections can be reduced significantly by the implementation of a strict hospital-wide EVD handling protocol.

The first historical description of chronic subdural hematoma: A tale of inaccurate interpretation, inaccurate quoting and inaccurate requoting.

Most historical articles have named Johann Jacob Wepfer as the first author to describe a case of chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH). However, the question arises whether these cases truly describe CSDH. Two other names that appear in literature as the first authors to describe a case of CSDH are Thomas Willis and Giovanni Battista Morgagni. In our attempt to find the first description of a CSDH, we studied the original cases described by Willis, Wepfer, and Morgagni. The cases described by Willis and Wepfer cannot be interpreted as cases of CSDH. Willis's university scholar is more likely to have experienced venous infarction with an underlying septic thrombosis than a CSDH. Wepfer's cases seem to represent an intraparenchymal hemorrhage from the rupture of a branch or branches of the internal carotid artery, a subarachnoid hemorrhage complicated with hydrocephalus, and a hydrocephalus in tuberculous meningitis. Morgagni's case described in Letter III, Article 20 in the Sedibus in 1761 seems to be the first accurate historical description of a CSDH, and we believe it should be cited as such. With these early cases of alleged CSDH, we emphasize the importance of misquotation and blind copying of references, which are important citation errors.

Change in Hematoma Size after Dexamethasone Therapy in Chronic Subdural Hematoma Subtypes: A Prospective Study in Symptomatic Patients.

The main treatment strategy for chronic subdural hematoma is surgical intervention. When a conservative pharmacological approach is considered in symptomatic patients, mainly dexamethasone therapy is applied. Recent trials revealed dexamethasone therapy to be an ineffective treatment in symptomatic patients with chronic subdural hematoma. Whether the efficacy of dexamethasone therapy differs in radiological hematoma subtypes is unknown. The aim of this substudy was to identify which hematoma subtype might be favorable for dexamethasone therapy. As part of a randomized controlled trial, symptomatic chronic subdural hematoma patients received 19-days dexamethasone therapy. The primary outcome measure was the change in hematoma size as measured on follow-up computed tomography (CT) after 2 weeks of dexamethasone in six hematoma (architectural and density) subtypes: homogeneous total, laminar, separated and trabecular architecture types, and hematoma without hyperdense components (homogeneous hypodense, isodense) and with hyperdense components (homogeneous hyperdense, mixed density). We analyzed hematoma thickness, midline shift, and volume using multi-variable linear regression adjusting for age, sex and baseline value of the specific radiological parameter. From September 2016 until February 2021, 85 patients were included with a total of 114 chronic subdural hematoma. The mean age was 76 years and 25% were women. Larger decrease in hematoma thickness and midline shift was revealed in hematoma without hyperdense components compared with hematoma with hyperdense components (adjusted [adj.] b -2.2 mm, 95% confidence interval [CI] -4.1 to -0.3 and adj. b -1.3 mm, 95% CI -2.7 to 0.0 respectively). Additional surgery was performed in 57% of patients with the highest observed rate (81%) in separated hematoma. Largest hematoma reduction and better clinical improvement was observed in chronic subdural hematoma without hyperdense components after dexamethasone therapy. Evaluation of these parameters can be part of an individualized treatment strategy.

Protocol for the development of a multidisciplinary clinical practice guideline for the care of patients with chronic subdural haematoma.

Introduction: A common neurosurgical condition, chronic subdural haematoma (cSDH) typically affects older people with other underlying health conditions. The care of this potentially vulnerable cohort is often, however, fragmented and suboptimal. In other complex conditions, multidisciplinary guidelines have transformed patient experience and outcomes, but no such framework exists for cSDH. This paper outlines a protocol to develop the first comprehensive multidisciplinary guideline from diagnosis to long-term recovery with cSDH. Methods: The project will be guided by a steering group of key stakeholders and professional organisations and will feature patient and public involvement. Multidisciplinary thematic working groups will examine key aspects of care to formulate appropriate, patient-centered research questions, targeted with evidence review using the GRADE framework. The working groups will then formulate draft clinical recommendations to be used in a modified Delphi process to build consensus on guideline contents. Conclusions: We present a protocol for the development of a multidisciplinary guideline to inform the care of patients with a cSDH, developed by cross-disciplinary working groups and arrived at through a consensus-building process, including a modified online Delphi.

Endovascular versus neurosurgical aneurysm treatment: study protocol for the development and validation of a clinical prediction tool for individualised decision making.

INTRODUCTION: Treatment decisions for aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage patients should be supported by individualised predictions of the effects of aneurysm treatment. We present a study protocol and analysis plan for the development and external validation of models to predict benefit of neurosurgical versus endovascular aneurysm treatment on functional outcome and durability of treatment. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will use data from the International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial for model development. The outcomes are functional outcome, measured with modified Rankin Scale at 12 months, and any retreatment or rebleed of the target aneurysm during follow-up. We will develop an ordinal logistic regression model and Cox regression model, considering age, World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grade, Fisher grade, vasospasm at presentation, aneurysm lumen size, aneurysm neck size, aneurysm location and time-to-aneurysm-treatment as predictors. We will test for interactions with treatment and with baseline risk and derive individualised predicted probabilities of treatment benefit. A benefit of ≥5% will be considered clinically relevant. Discriminative performance of the outcome predictions will be assessed with the c-statistic. Calibration will be assessed with calibration plots. Discriminative performance of the benefit predictions will be assessed with the c-for benefit. We will assess internal validity with bootstrapping and external validity with leave-one-out internal-external cross-validation. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The medical ethical research committee of the Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam approved the study protocol under the exemption category and waived the need for written informed consent (MEC-2020-0810). We will disseminate our results through an open-access peer-reviewed scientific publication and with a web-based clinical prediction tool.

Development of the SAFETEA Scores for Predicting Risks of Complications of Preventive Endovascular or Microneurosurgical Intracranial Aneurysm Occlusion.

OBJECTIVE: Preventive unruptured intracranial aneurysm occlusion can reduce the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage, but both endovascular and microneurosurgical treatment carry a risk of serious complications. To improve individualized management decisions, we developed risk scores for complications of endovascular and microneurosurgical treatment based on easily retrievable patient, aneurysm, and treatment characteristics. METHODS: For this multicenter cohort study, we combined individual patient data from unruptured intracranial aneurysm patients ≥18 years undergoing preventive endovascular treatment (standard, balloon-assisted or stent-assisted coiling, Woven EndoBridge-device, or flow-diverting stent) or microneurosurgical clipping at one of 10 participating centers from three continents between 2000-2018. The primary outcome was death from any cause or clinical deterioration from neurological complications ≤30 days. We selected predictors based on previous knowledge about relevant risk factors and predictor performance and studied the association between predictors and complications with logistic regression. We assessed model performance with calibration plots and concordance (c) statistics. RESULTS: Of 1282 included patients, 94 (7.3%) had neurological symptoms that resolved <30 days, 140 (10.9%) had persisting neurological symptoms, and 6 died (0.5%)). At 30 days, 52 patients (4.1%) were dead or dependent. Predictors of procedural complications were: size of aneurysm, aneurysm location, familial subarachnoid hemorrhage, earlier atherosclerotic disease, treatment volume, endovascular modality (for endovascular treatment) or extra aneurysm configuration factors (for microneurosurgical treatment; branching artery from aneurysm neck or unfavorable dome-to-neck ratio), and age (acronym: SAFETEA). For endovascular treatment (n=752), the c-statistic was 0.72 (95%CI:0.67-0.77) and the absolute complication risk ranged from 3.2% (95%CI:1.6%-14.9%;≤1 point) to 33.1% (95%CI:25.4%-41.5%;≥6 points). For microneurosurgical treatment (n=530), the c-statistic was 0.72 (95%CI:0.67-0.77) and the complication risk ranged from 4.9% (95%CI:1.5%-14.9%;≤1 point) to 49.9% (95%CI:39.4%-60.6%;≥6 points). CONCLUSIONS: The SAFETEA risk scores for endovascular and microneurosurgical treatment are based on seven easily retrievable risk factors to predict the absolute risk of procedural complications in patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms. The scores need external validation before the predicted risks can be properly used to support decision making in clinical practice.

Mortality after chronic subdural hematoma is associated with frailty.

PURPOSE: Chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) is a common neurological disease often affecting the elderly. Long-term excess mortality for patients after CSDH has been suggested but causes of death are unknown. We hypothesize that excess mortality of CSDH patients is related to frailty. In this article, we describe mortality rates and causes of death of CSDH patients compared with the general population and assess the association of frailty with mortality. METHODS: A cohort study in which consecutive CSDH patients were compared to the general population regarding mortality rates. Furthermore, the association of six frailty indicators (cognitive problems, frequent falling, unable to live independently, unable to perform daily self-care, use of benzodiazepines or psychotropic drugs, and number of medications) with mortality was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 1307 CSDH patients were included, with a mean age of 73.7 (SD ± 11.4) years and 958 (73%) were male. Median follow-up was 56 months (range: 0-213). Compared with controls CSDH patients had a hazard ratio for mortality of 1.34 (95% CI: 1.2-1.5). CSDH patients more often died from cardiovascular diseases (37% vs. 30%) and falls (7.2% vs. 3.7%). Among CSDH patients frequent falling (HR 1.3; 95% CI: 1.0-1.7), inability to live independently (HR 1.4, 95% CI: 1.1-1.8), inability to perform daily self-care (HR 1.5; 95% CI: 1.1-1.9), and number of medications used (HR 1.0; 95% CI: 1.0-1.1) were independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: CSDH patients have higher mortality rates than the general population. Frailty in CSDH patients is associated with higher mortality risk. More attention for the frailty of CSDH patients is warranted.

Surveillance of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for 3 Countries.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: No consensus exists on adequate surveillance of conservatively managed unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs). We aimed to determine optimal MRI surveillance strategies for the growth of UIAs using cost-effectiveness analysis. A secondary aim was to develop a clinical tool for personalizing UIA surveillance. METHODS: We designed a microsimulation model from a health care perspective simulating 100,000 55-year-old women to estimate costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) over a lifetime horizon in the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands, using literature-derived model parameters. Country-specific costs and willingness-to-pay thresholds ($100,000/QALY for the United States, £30,000/QALY for the United Kingdom, and €80,000/QALY for the Netherlands) were used. Lifetime costs and QALYs were annually discounted at 3% for the United States, 3.5% for the United Kingdom, or 4% (costs) and 1.5% (QALYs) for the Netherlands. Strategies were no follow-up surveillance, follow-up with MRI in the first and fifth year after UIA discovery, every 5 years, every 2 years, or annually, or immediate intervention (i.e., clipping or coiling). Using the microsimulation model, we developed a tool for personalizing UIA surveillance for men and women, with different ages and varying aneurysm characteristics. Uncertainty in the input parameters was modeled with probabilistic sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: Among 55-year-old women, 2,222 individuals in the United States, 1,910 in the United Kingdom, and 2,040 in the Netherlands needed to undergo an annual MRI scan to prevent 1 case of subarachnoid hemorrhage per year. No surveillance MRI was most cost-effective in the United States (in 47% of the simulations) and United Kingdom (in 54% of simulations), whereas annual MRI was most cost-effective in the Netherlands (in 53% of simulations). In the United States and United Kingdom, annual surveillance or surveillance in the first and fifth year after discovery was cost-effective in patients <60 years and at increased risk of aneurysm growth. The optimal, personalized, surveillance strategies were summarized in a look-up table for use in clinical practice. DISCUSSION: Generally, the US and UK physicians should refrain from assigning patients, particularly older patients and those with few risk factors for aneurysm growth or rupture, to frequent MRI surveillance. In the Netherlands, annual follow-up is generally most cost-effective.